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Thoughts About Week 3 of DWTS Season 10

Well, if you haven’t done so already, go and read Heidi and Courtney’s DWTS prediction scorecard. Lots of good discussion to get your heart racing.

I will say that I agree that Jake has turned off a lot of people. My wife saw it from about the second episode of The Bachelor. I realized it once Jake said that Chelsie, yes I said little sweet Chelsie, was disrespecting him. Can you imagine if Jake had gotten Karina. She would have literally eaten him alive, chewed him up and then spit him out.

I actually don’t hate Kate as much as everyone else does. Ok, I do hate her dancing. It’s pretty horrible. However, she doesn’t bother me like everyone else. Granted I didn’t see any full episodes of Kate Plus 8 and I can’t imagine her life now with the Papparazi following her everywhere. How can a person stay sane with those crazy people and every entertainment show following her. Sure, she brought a lot of it on herself, but I have a little sympathy for her. Plus, she’s pretty hot since being on DWTS, just as long as she’s not dancing.

In other notes…
I hope that Chelsie never goes brunette again. Give me back my blonde beauty!!

What about Chelsie and Derek hooking it up? Why haven’t there been more rumors. I’m starting the rumor and see where it goes. After watching Chelsie’s dance tonight, she might finally be woman enough for Derek to consider.

@GamblingLaker mentioned on Twitter that “Derek INTENTIONALLY wanted a non-10 choreo.” I agree completely. I think that Derek didn’t want Nicole to peak too early. If you peak too early the judges need a story to tell and will find a way to score you lower. Better that Derek keep Nicole’s scores lower early on when she was more than safe against the other contestants and then save the higher scores for later in the show when she might need them more. Conspiracy theory? Maybe, but let’s not think that Derek didn’t know what he was doing when he did a lift and broke hold.

Chad Ochocinco has been my biggest disappointment this season. His dancing has been horrible. His posture kills me. How Cheryl can’t see and somehow fix that is crazy. Maybe his height and hers is the problem. I thought he’d be smooth on the floor and he has it in him, but up until now he’s killing me with how bad he’s dancing.

Ok, I lied. Ashly dancing with Buzz has been the most disappointing part of the season. That’s not saying anything about Buzz either. I just wish that I could really see what Ashly has in her. If she’s not back next season I’ll be extra mad at DWTS. Just not right.

I read that Heidi is missing Lacey Schwimmer. She was a big disappointment for me in the pro dances. Not sure why since I actually did like her more when she was on the show. My wife also commented that Lacey had put on some pounds it seemed. I can’t say that, but women can. Although, she’s right. I guess she’s missing the 6 hours a day of dancing (working out) that the show offered. I can’t imagine what a body is thinking when you go from dancing that much and then not dancing that much.

I’ve actually liked Anna Trebunskaya twice this season. That’s 2 more times than I’d liked her and her partner in past seasons. Not sure what’s different, but she’s done some great routines and really gotten into them.

Did anyone else fall in love with Cowgirls tonight after seeing Snejana Petrova and Edyta Śliwińska? Reba’s first song was horrible, but Snejana and Edyta saved it for me. It’s amazing what beautiful girls dancing can do to ANY song. (I’m sure you girls can insert men for this comment)

There’s something about Damian that just bugs. Is he made of plastic?

Ok, there’s certainly more, but we’ll save it for another week. What think thee?

April 6, 2010 I Written By

Better known as Charlie.

Week 3 Media – DWTS Season 10

Part one of what is sure to be a ton of media.

ET after Monday night’s show:

As usual, all the couples are interviewed by the Local ABC affiliate – click the link to see couples other than those I posted below.

Okay, I would have uploaded more, but the rest of the videos are acting up for me, for some reason.

I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

Dancing with the Stars Season 10, Week 3 Results Show – Video Recap

I’m sure I’ll find more of these later (like, say, tomorrow), but here are a few bits of the show you might want to see again.

Evan and Anna’s Encore Dance

Mark, Derek and Chelsie – the Incredible Paso Doble. May I go on?? The opening guitar by Derek was a beautiful touch, then the…a capella??…bit of dancing with only the snapping noise. Beautiful, intense, passionate – and I noticed that even after a commercial break, Derek and Chelsie were still recovering from that dance. Fantastic.

Reba McIntyre, with Val and Maks Chermkovskiy, Edyta Slwinska and Snejana Petrova

Reba with Lacey Schwimmer and Dmitry Chaplin

I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

DWTS Season 10 Week 3 – The Score Card

Spoilers!!!!! Buzz Aldrin, the old sweetheart, leaves the competition.

Well, mea culpa on several fronts. Clearly Courtney and I are severely underestimating Aiden’s appeal. Well, I should say, I understand TOTALLY his appeal – he’s gorgeous and he has a hot accent. But I just think he’s getting lost in a bunch of characters. Apparently not that lost just yet. Which I’m actually happy about because he’s better than Buzz and Kate, for sure. He might even be better than Chad!!

My other mea culpa was for bitching about Derek not having the chance to showcase the fact that he plays at least three instruments very, very well. Yay. He played guitar and danced with Chelsie in what will likely be, for me, the highlight pro dance of the season. Fantastic.

Another – I missed Lacey and didn’t realize until I saw her dance again. Sorry Lacey. Dmitry – still does nothing for me. Sorry Dmitry. If I’m going to go big and dark and brooding, I’m going Maks. ;-)

Len, seriously? You would have scored Erin and Maks *lower*? Are you on crack?? Well, at least he’s being a jerk to most everyone.

Anyway, I think I called it half right, and Courtney got her bottom person correct. I said either Aiden or Buzz. That said, we were both hoping and privately saying Kate should/would go. We are now drinking. Heavily. WTF??? Who is voting for this woman – or as I told Courtney, why are the haters not voting for other people??!! Geez. 10.5 million people watched Jon and Kate Plus 8 at it’s heyday – if you haters want her gone, ya best start voting for Jake, Pam or Aiden. Otherwise, we all have to quit complaining. Or you all do – I vote like crazy. :-) But as Courtney said, crazy Americans eliminated a true American hero in favor of a talentless woman with no REAL claim to fame. Why am I not surprised??

ANOTHER surprise – Jake in the bottom two. Jake, I’m not a huge fan but I do like you and think you have potential. It sucks. But rest assured your fans will kick butt and take names next week and Pam will fall to the bottom two again.

Courtney’s Power Ranking and my guesses by the numbers – click the links. In summary:

Heidi: Guessed either Aiden or Buzz. Was actually hoping for Kate, and very sad to see Buzz go. Was a tad surprised by Jake. Question: am I overestimating The Bachelor’s (or Jake’s) appeal? Or did his fans get cocky and think he is the second coming of Melissa Rycroft?

Courtney: Had Buzz as the bottom, but was hoping for Kate.

Heidi says: Jake is safe next week but may trade off with Pam, as viewers continue to save the lesser dancers.

Courtney? What say you?

Courtney says: Awwww Heidi, you flatter me – but I was actually 0 for 2 this week. I had Kate & Aiden as the bottom 2, with Buzz narrowly escaping the red zone. And I am LIVID that Kate lives to dance another week! Indeed, I find it a crying shame that America eliminated a prominent figure in from our country’s history in favor of a woman who has been accused of being an “absentee mother” (anyone else catch The Insider tonight?) to her 8 children and an overall fame-hungry, bitter divorcee? I honestly thought Buzz’s charm would carry him through at least one more week. And I’m clearly underestimating Aiden (After seeing Cameron Mathison there supporting him, I wonder if those same people that rallied around Cam are now also tuning in for Aiden – those two seem to have a bromance) and overestimating Jake’s appeal (perhaps the rest of the country is beginning to think he’s whiney just like I do!). Not that I’m complaining – I think Aiden is a doll up to Jake, and I’m just relieved that Pam managed to avoid the red zone this week (she’s definitely in the top half of the pack for me). Grrrr…now I’m seriously beginning to doubt myself. Gonna go stick some more pins in my Kate voodoo doll, and go construct a generic one for all of the dingbats that are voting for her!

I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

Dancing with the Stars Season 10, Week 3 – By the Numbers

Well, Courtney got a few things off her chest, now it’s MY turn. :-)

First, let me say that I really like ALL of the couples, even Kate to a certain extent. Several of the couples I even LOVE – best season so far. So, I say the following with love, not hate.

Would you all shut the hell up? Please? And I mean in the media and on twitter – maybe I get too much of both, but still. You guys are making my job here annoying, unnecessarily. You’re all good people (again, possibly except Kate) – there is no need for storyboarding, creating drama, or flapping your yaps at every single thing. Maybe I’m cynical, but it all strikes me as vote grabbing. And I’m talking about ALL of you – every last one. Some examples…

Kate? We KNOW you have 8 children. How can we not know that? It’s the only reason you’re famous – and if you REALLY didn’t like the paparazzi perhaps you should have stayed home in PA. Evan? Dude, you are getting the lion share of votes already, do you need to comment over and over about your poor, broken toes AND spam for votes (although there was marked improvement last night)? Seriously? You had a couple in the media calling you heroic. Please. Ballas danced on a torn up knee last week – that is what you DO. Crazy? Definitely. But the only hero on the show is Buzz. Nicole? We get that you have a boyfriend and that there is no way you’re involved with Derek. But you’re accomplishing TWO things here; one, you’re protesting SO much that it makes me wonder things you don’t want me to wonder about, and; two…let people have their fantasies!! That’s part of the dance – it’s supposed to be romantic and you’re taking it too far in the other direction. It’s certainly working for Erin and Maks – just look at the comments EVERYWHERE. People buy the romantic crap. I love ya, and you’re my favorite, but cut it out. And slap your partner upside the head while you’re at it – not for his choreography, that’s always stellar in my book. But for not stopping you from protesting too much – he KNOWS what it takes to win this show and he’s letting you write the book. Stop it. That brings me to Erin – girl, I love you, and I sympathize with what you’ve gone through. You’re very brave AND you have not played on anyone’s sympathies intentionally. You are awesome. But if you are NOT dating Maks by the time this is all over, I’m going to feel I was manipulated. I will feel like you guys used your chemistry for votes (similar to what Shannon and Derek were castigated for in Season 6). Jake? Shut up. I hate when people say “you’re so disrespectful” – dude, people don’t automatically get respect, it has to be earned. As much as I enjoyed your dance last night, you ain’t there – your stint on the Bachelor also didn’t help. Louis and Niecy? Both of you were all over twitter with how emotional your dance was. You were so all over it that the dance itself was a letdown once it happened. Careful with the broadcasting. Manage expectations, don’t set them. See Derek, Maks and a couple other pros for help in this area. Anyway…

The MATH.
Here are the Judges Scores:

Dancer/Score
Evan/26
Nicole/23
Erin/23
Jake/21
Niecy/21
Pam/21
Chad/20
Aiden/20
Kate/15
Buzz/13
Total Judges Points Awarded = 203

As Courtney said, the 7 paddle is highly over rated. And Len, you seriously score Nicole only a point higher than what you gave Kate? That’s taking bunched panties to a new high (or is that low?). But Derek and Nicole knew they were taking a risk – at least they were honest about it, unlike some in the past. They took their spanking well. :-) Anyway – anyone looking at these scores knows that the fans of the different dancers better have voted like hell last night because we got lots of bunching. Nicole dropping to a tie for 2nd place doesn’t accomplish much, as you’ll see below. The only question is, has Aiden gotten enough distance from Kate and Buzz to be safe?

Dividing the individual scores by the total points awarded gives you the following percentages:

Dancer/Percentage of Total
Evan/12.81
Nicole/11.33
Erin/11.33
Jake/10.34
Niecy/10.34
Pam/10.34
Chad/9.85
Aiden/9.85
Kate/7.39
Buzz/6.40

Leaving Kate and Buzz out of it for a second, there are only three points between first and 8th place. Crazy. The question is, again, do Kate and Buzz have the fans to catapult them over someone in that bunch? Very hard to say. This season is rife with characters and people with their own, bizarre fanbases. I’m tempted to think that Kate has a bigger fanbase than Nicole – the question will be if the people who DON’T like Kate will vote for someone else. That’s what will count. You see all these people hating on Kate, but if they don’t vote for someone else, then she stays.

Buzz? Well, based on this, you can see that Buzz is now 3.45 points behind Aiden. Will it matter? Probably not. Remember, the percentage of total points awarded is added to the percentage of total votes cast to determine the dancers rank. Buzz needs to catch either Aiden or Kate to stay in the game. Do you think he can do it? I STILL think possibly so.

Here’s my current GUESS at how I think the voting might go, in tens of thousands (or thousands, who knows?):

Dancer/Votes (in thousands)
Evan/30 – Far and away the ringer of the season based on fanbase and ability, I don’t see this changing unless he breaks a leg or Anna choreographs a total crap freestyle. I have to say that I thought his Quickstep started off a tad sloppy.

Nicole/20 – Danced fantastically well, although a tad off from last week, and I think she’ll hold her own in voting thanks to passionate fanbases and Len being a jerk. Why yes, that is reverse psychology.

Erin/25 – I bumped Erin up because people will vote for chemistry every time. Throw in the sympathy votes for the crap she’s had to deal with and she may rival Evan for votes (for this week, anyway).

Jake/20 – I liked this dance. Also holding his own, and unless I severely overestimate the power of the Bachelor (and his very canny ability to be constantly photographed with Vienna and healing that “issue”) he should be fine for a while. It doesn’t hurt that he doesn’t suck as a dancer. The “aw shucks” thing has got to get old after a while, though. I’m not sure if his tantrum last night hurts or helps him.

Niecy/20 – Tough call here. I agreed with Carrie Ann’s comments, but I think she will be safe because she dances well and a lot of people liked and agree with her and Louis’ expressions of their feelings last night. Problem is, there are still a lot of…conservative…people in the world who won’t appreciate it at all.

Pam/20 – I have her up with the rest of the 20-group because I think her fans probably voted like maniacs last night due to her being in the bottom two last week. She also pulled off a decent Paso, but she was too soft, not crisp enough.

Chad/20 – Judges on crack – I didn’t think this Paso was good at all, but I like Chad as a character a good bit and it was a great improvement from last week. And I imagine he’s right up there with the rest in votes. Bengals fans indeed.

Aiden/15 – Poor Aiden. Not only do you suffer from being a plain old nice guy in a room full of crazy characters, you also were too stiff with bad feet. On the bright side, the singer crapped up the song so badly your footwork may have gone unnoticed. Still not sure that’s a good thing.

Kate/20 – Puh-lease. Yes I know there are crazy people voting for her. Slight improvement from last week but still awful.

Buzz/20 – I didn’t pick on Buzz above, and I feel bad to pick on him now. Because he’s 80! And an Astronaut!! :::sigh::: My enthusiasm for those two things is waning rapidly and the patriotic stuff is now officially too much.

Anyway, if you do the same math as I did above for the Judges points – add up the total and then divide into each individual score to get a percentage – then add the two percentages together, you get the total following points.

Evan/27.09
Erin/23.23
Nicole/20.85
Jake/19.87
Niecy/19.87
Pam/19.87
Chad/19.38
Aiden/17.00
Kate/16.91
Buzz/15.93

Note: These are my best guesses of the voting range of the dancers – no clue as to the accuracy. By my math, Buzz goes home with the lowest total. I have Aiden as the low vote getter, but not so low (by 5 points) that Buzz can overtake him. IF all others are correct, but I have slightly over estimated Aiden’s votes – if he gets a 12 instead of a 15 in votes – he goes home. If I have underestimated any of the other dancers votes except Aiden and Buzz, Buzz goes home. This is a hard game, but playing with the voting percentages 6 ways to Sunday, either Buzz or Aiden go home. I’m leaning toward Aiden. If someone other than Buzz, Aiden or Kate go home, it won’t be that shocking, simply because there is so little margin for error.

But, if something wacky happens and someone else goes home, I’m going to have to seriously re-evaluate my perception of fanbases. I have this strange feeling that only Evan and Erin are truly safe. For now.

I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)