Dancing with the Stars Season 11 Odds and Competitiveness Factor
Time to take a look at a number of other ways to try and rank and evaluate the various stars chances on Dancing with the Stars season 11. Voguerista commented with the following Las Vegas Odds for Dancing with the Stars (I’m not sure of the exact source):
Rick Fox and Cheryl Burke, 4 to 1
Jennifer Grey and Derek Hough, 5 to 1
David Hasselhoff and Kym Johnson, 6 to 1
Brandy and Maksim Chmerkovskiy, 7 to 1
Michael Bolton and Chelsie Hightower, 9 to 1
Mike βThe Situationβ Sorrentino and Karina Smirnoff, 11 to 1
Florence Henderson and Corky Ballas, 15 to 1
Kurt Warner and Anna Trebunskaya, 16 to 1
Audrina Patridge and Tony Dovolani, 20 to 1
Margaret Cho and Louis Van Amstel, 25 to 1
Kyle Massey and Lacy Schwimmer, 30 to 1
Bristol Palin and Mark Ballas, 35 to 1
mmc commented with these odds from Bodog.com that provide a different perspective on the odds for each star.
Brandy 3/1
Jennifer 7/2
Rick 5/1
Sitch 7/1
Audrina, Hoff, Michael 10/1
Margaret 12/1
Kyle 15/1
Bristol, Kurt 20/1
Florence 25/1
Of course, it’s really early to try and create odds when we haven’t even seen them dance yet. However, that’s what makes it so much fun and so interesting. I’m really surprised that they have Rick Fox so high in both cases. Although, his ex-wife has an audience that likely has a fair amount of overlap with the DWTS audience and so he could benefit from that if they don’t all hate him for breaking up. I also wouldn’t have ranked Kurt Warner that low either. Football fans likely won’t be surprised by him, but I think that many DWTS viewers are going to fall in love with Kurt.
Voguerista offered an interesting idea in the comments also about the person’s level of competitiveness being a factor in their success on Dancing with the Stars. Obviously, this plays some role. The fact that Lawrence Taylor was thinking more about his tee time than dancing is a problem. I’m not sure how you measure this, but this list of competitiveness by Voguerista is interesting to consider:
Brandy – 50% Competitive. But Max will be 100% Competitive. So, he may push that # up to 90%.
Audriana – 50% Competitive
Florence – 20% Competitive, she’ll be just having fun
Bristol – 100% Competitive, has something to prove personally and has a message for us about herself
Margaret Cho – 0% Competitive -just having fun too. Won’t care if she’s out that frst week.
Jennifer – 100% Competitive.
The Situation – 100% Competitive
Kyle – 20% Competitive
Rick Fox – 100% Competitive -it’s in the blood
David Hasselhoff – 100% Competitive -he will take this on just like Donny Osmond
Michael Bolton – 0% Competitive. I love this guy. But, I have a feeling he doesn’t really care and hopes to be out soon especially with concert dates falling on a Monday and Tuesday?
Kurt Warner – 100% Competitive -it’s in the blood
Interesting! I also think Tony will be 150% competitive after last season’s disaster.
I don’t think Rick and Michael will be as good though. I don’t know much about Florence but I don’t think she’s Cloris.
Top 5 for me will be Jeniffer, Brandy, Audrina, The Situation, Kurt…in no particular order.
I knew Karina had The Situation the moment I read Maks dissing him Maks’ way on twitter. It will be fun to see if Maks and Karina end up in the finals.
This is interesting! I agree with you guest that Tony will be very competitive this season after having Kate. I however am wondering how she will do and fair with the viewers/voters. She could be good but she may be another Kim Kardashian type.
Rick/Cheryl rehearsal photos have just been posted. I think he could do well, but just not sure on the height difference between them.
My top picks are Jennifer, Brandy & Kurt.
Lisa,
I agree that the comparison of Audrina to Kim Kardashian is a good one. I was excited to see Kim dance on the show and then she wasn’t exciting at all. I hope I’m wrong about Audrina though. In some of the pics of her practicing at least she seems to have more flexibility than Kim.
John,
Thanks! I am glad you liked the comparison. I saw some of the pictures to of Audrina and she actually doesn’t look half bad. Way better than how Kim looked. If she is good I guess it will come down to the viewers/voters. Since she is up against NFL, NBA, a Brady, Dirty Dancing and David H fans Tony and her got their work cut out to get people on their side.
Rick Fox’s current girlfriend has a huge following and her fan base will not hurt. Kurt is a serious threat. He doesn’t even have to dance well. As long as he tries and works hard, which we know he will, he will at least get to fourth place. He is very popular. It is funny because I think so far Brandy and Kurt are favorites and both Anna and Maks were just in the finals. Cheryl is favored again when she just went to the semi-finals with Chad. Bristol is a wild card along with The Situation and Audrina.
I think Audrina is going to be Kim Kardashian redux. Kurt and Rick may get votes, but the Derek/Jennifer combo will likely be stiff competition – I just don’t see them better than 4th place. Of course, I will be voting my butt off for them anyway. π
I’d be okay with Brandy winning, as long as Maks acknowledges that he got the ringer this time. π Oh and if he doesn’t throw his clothing at the judges. If there is any of the same crap as there was last season, Maks fans won’t like it here very much. π
I actually hope he does throw his clothes at the judges. I like when the pros get under the judges skin. Keeps things interesting.
John, I was just thinking how it could possibly be some of the same pros in the finals again! That is, if their partners do as well as expected.
I agree with those who said Tony will be extremely motivated to do well after last season. I’m just a little uncertain of how well Audrina will do. She looks like she’s in shape, so she should be capable of trickier choreography, but she’s also tall and thin. That can contribute to new dancers looking pretty awkward, unless they have a lot of natural ability. It sounds like she wants to do well, and is enjoying it so far, so that helps!
Bristol and The Situation are definite wild cards. I think it could go either way with them. While I love Mark, I’m not convinced he’s such a great teacher considering he’s only done well with a dancer, a gymnast, and a figure skater. Being with Karina should help The Situation though. I don’t think he has a bad attitude either, like some people have been assuming.
Princess Heidi, I have to agree with you. I want Brandy to win, but I’ve been catching up with her Twitter, and I don’t know why, but after Mel B., Maks and his partners have this condescending attitude. Brandy is commenting about Maks’ “hotness” and their posing in pictures as if they’re dating, and I want to ignore it but Maks just sucks his partners in and I hope Brandy doesn’t go the Erin Andrews route. Yet, I have given them the “Most Interesting Couple”. I hope Brandy doesn’t fall for Maks’ spell and attitude, but overall, she’s who I’m rooting for.
I dedicate this video to all of you at puredwts! I give you a shout out and I thank you for giving me the courage to post my comments of DWTS!
Audrina looks to be another Kathy Ireland/Kim Kardashian type. Looks pretty in the costumes but stiff. I wish Tony got Brandy instead. That would have been a lot more fair since Maks just had Erin.
John, I don’t think Maks got under the judges skin any more than they got under HIS. He acted like a child.
Yes, Nathan, that annoyed me as well. Maks criticizes the judges for being awful (and sometimes they truly ARE awful) but then he seems to go out of his way to make it about MORE than dancing with his partners. The showmance gimmick is old, and you’d think people would stop falling for it, but they don’t.
Princess Heidi – Clearly you are Maks #1 fan. LOL! I don’t think a day goes by without you commenting on him & everytime someone else makes a comment you then comment again. It seems a bit obsessive to me & the SAME points are made OVER & OVER again every few days/weeks…but that’s just my opinion : )
But anyway. I laughed at the Maks sucks em in comment like he has cast a spell on Brandy or something and she is defenseless. LMAO. You can call his season with Erin a showmance or whatever you want but he was very supportive to her through some really crappy/hard moments so I think he did just fine as her partner. : )
OMG! Thank you. I wasn’t expecting this!! Glad you liked the info and competitive deal. Love hearing your thoughts on this (and sorry for any mis-spellings);) xxx
I love Maks!! And don’t worry, I am sticking around. I can take the criticism as long as you don’t mind me disagreeing sometimes (which I do a little in this thread again). lol π
Thanks again Guys.
And Nathan You Rock. What a great plug for this site you made in your video. I don’t have time to listen right now. But, when I do a little later, I’ll be sure to comment.
And btw, I’m rooting for Maks and Brandy too.
Michelle – don’t wait for that to change. π I calls ’em like I sees ’em, and when some of Maks’s obsessive fans come over here and have nothing to say but personal attacks I’ll continue to make my points again and again.
Calling me obsessive is certainly the pot calling the kettle black – no points for originality.
Oh Vogue, when people offer actual *content* and not just complaints about my treatment of poor widdle Maks, I won’t mind any disagreement. I’m not actually accustomed to anything other than personal attacks from Maks fans, so you are a refreshing change of pace. π I like discussions – bring it!!
Nathan – haven’t had a chance to watch it, but I look forward to it this evening. π
Princess Heidi – And I call it like I see it and what I see is unrelentless criticism. I get it that everyone has their favorites and people don’t see eye to eye but what I see from you regarding Maks is obsessive.
Let’s be real – you make your points again and again whether Maks fans are here or not. ; ) That is irrelevant. : )
Oh you poor thing. You still don’t get it do you? Half my fun is poking Maks’ *fans*. Call me all the names you like – you make my point and I’m unlikely to change.
And clearly, you ARE here, aren’t you. It’s win-win for me. π
Ok ladies. Back to your corners;-) Maks and Derek are both sexy and there’s plenty of them to go around.
Now, let’s talk about something more interesting. Like the sadness that is Edyta not being on this season:-(
Did I call you a name? LOL! I love the holier than thou attitude you have about yourself and Derek fans. I’ve seen you get quite defensive about Derek so let’s not pretend you’re above it. ; )
And yes – I did enjoy reading some of the write-ups here but the obvious efforts (you said it yourself) to make digs at Maks has just become stale.
Michelle,
Just wait for a series of posts we’re working on about each of the pros. I think you’ll like it. We make digs at all of the pros.
@John lol – thank you and I enjoyed your article. : )
I will say that I have come across via twitter some very nice & objective Derek fans and I get it that he has appeal and fans and I respect him as a dancer and what he has accomplished. I respect ALL of the pros for what they do. Yes – I will miss Edyta as she is a very sweet person. Best of luck to her.
Uh-oh, I just saw the pics on the other article and here’s what I think:
Jennifer & Derek are going to kick butt!
Bristol and Mark- Uh-oh. She’s not moving a muscle! But they might be posing!
Rick & Cheryl + Kyle * Lacey might take everyone by surprise!
**
Thanks for your support everyone! I’m really nervous about posting stuff on the internet. I hope you enjoy!
Sorry for chiming in kinda late, but I’m really surprised the first set of stats has Florence doing so well. I think a lot of people are banking on her being wildly entertaining like Cloris – ooh boy, they’re gonna be disappointed. From what I’ve seen of Florence in recent tv (the last I saw her was on The Surreal Life on VH1), Florence is very, very demure and reserved. Don’t get me wrong – a very kind, classy lady, but we’re not going to see the same antics out of her that we saw from Cloris. Granted, she may actually be a better dancer, but I don’t see her sticking around as long as Cloris did.
I’m kinda having the same sentiments about the Hoff – I think people might be severely OVERESTIMATING his skill…as someone in another post put it (ck410, maybe), his brain seems a bit pickled…not sure he’s gonna be able to buckle down and focus the way he needs to in order to win the competition. But hey, what do I know? I only predicted the top 5 correctly before the last season even started π (ok, ok, I admit – last season was pretty easy to call).
Don’t want to give too much away (I’m saving it for my preseason power rankings), but overall I’m thinking that Florence, the Hoff, and Brandy aren’t going to be as good as most think they will be, and that The Situation will actually really surprise people…for some reason, I think this guy could last awhile.
First and foremost: I LOVE THIS SITE. This is really turning out to be a very interesting season – better than I thought initially, that’s for sure. I have to admit that I really enjoy the journey these contestants have to make in order to do well in this competition – seems I’m always rooting for the underdog. (I quit voting for them when the other teams surpass them in the dancing, but until then …) Of course, I agree with Heidi that this show is really not about the dancing, but like I said – it’s the part I enjoy the most. Seeing someone like Kelly Osbourne or Ty Murray (just to name a few) give this a shot, way out of their wheel house but going for broke … yeah, that is what it’s about for me. Yes, I voted for Ty – as long as there was at least one team remaining who was dancing worse, my vote went to him. I also like the stereotype busting – I’ve had to eat crow (so to speak) on any number of occasions because I’ve been dead wrong about a particular contestant. Does the soul good and keeps my head in the right place. For me, just about all of these celebs are wild cards – one moment I’m thinking so-and-so probably isn’t going to do that well, then the next I’m thinking, well maybe they might surprise me. Brandy should do well, but I think the partnership with Maks may be a hindrance – did anyone else find it odd that all of their rehearsal photos shows them sitting down looking at a book? maybe a laptop? Anyway …. David seems to be the favorite, and he could be another showmanship-wins-the-day Donny, but I think his “pickeling” problem could get in the way. I’m kind of rooting for Bristol to do well – if she’s looking for this to be an opportunity to make a clean break from SP Inc, then good for her; I hope she’s able to make more of this opportunity then Kate did. And speaking of KG, even if Audrina turns out to be another Kim Kardashian or Kathy Ireland, she seems to have a much better attitude than Tony’s last partner, so I’m sure he’s thrilled about that – they look like they’re having fun in their photos. Oddly enough, the height diff between Rick and Cheryl doesn’t appear as great as I surmised it would be – hope she can dance in those higher heels!
Then go elsewhere, sweetheart (Michelle). Yes, you are the typical Maks fan making personal attacks instead of bringing real substance to the site. Do you HAVE an opinion on anything other than Me? I suppose I should be flattered.
Saying someone is obsessive is name calling in my book. But hey, stick around – I like the hits to the site. And yeah, we take shots at all the pros in an upcoming series – but Maks more than anyone. LOL.
Nathan, I think it’s difficult to tell how someone will do from the pictures. I’m actually hoping that Bristol will do okay (and turn out to be nothing like her mother).
I have to agree that Cheryl and Rick are gorgeous together. Stunning even.
Yeah, Linde, I agree – I think that even if Audrina isn’t a good dancer Tony will probably fare better than he did with Kate. Although that bar was set pretty low. π I will be curious to see if his overall attitude improves based on his partner, regardless of her ability.
Speaking of Kate – how long is ET going to use her?? She is unbearably fake in her bits on the show as correspondent for them. I have a few pieces on my Tivo that I may post this weekend, and she’s seriously cringeworthy.
YAY! Check it out. Maks wrote a new Blog at TV guide:: http://www.tvguide.com/Celebrity-Blogs/Dancings-Maks-Brandy-1022585.aspx
Beat ya, Vogue. π
LOL We must have been posting at the same time becasue I checked the main page first but didn’t see it yet. lol
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