DWTS Stats Class: Week 2

So… for anyone that remembers, in previous seasons I attempted to predict scores for the Monday night performance show. Sometimes far off the mark and other times pretty darn close.

This season I’m going to try something vastly different.

Similar to how I placed the stars in the pre-season by breaking down the averages of the seasons to professional, occupation and age, I am going to try to use a similar method when trying to predict scores from week to week.

See here you have it, a (hopefully) much more simplistic way to understand my scoring prediction calculations… good luck!

Ralph and Karina – Jive
- Age [40s]: 18.5
- Occupation [Actor]: 23
- Pro Partner: 21
Predicted Score: 20
Thoughts: I don’t really agree with the score, knowing that he was able to pull of in the Foxtrot. But the Jive is a faster dance, and requires a lot of energy. So this tends to be cumbersome for older stars… let’s see how he pulls this off.

Kendra and Louis – Jive
- Age [20s]: 23.444
- Occupation [Reality TV]: 17.5
- Pro Partner: 19.5
Predicted Score: 20
Thoughts: I found it kind of odd that Louis hasn’t fared well with the Jive and his partners, then again, Reality TV stars don’t really fare well over all in dancing, however, she has youth behind her, that could help.

Chelsea and Mark – Jive
- Age [20s]: 23.444
- Occupation [Disney]: 25
- Pro Partner: 21
Predicted Score: 23
Thoughts: Easily one of the younger partnerships, the Jive caters to youth quite well, the question is how much would this pairing take that knowledge to their advantage? It’s Mark… if he goes campy, I quit… wait… it’s Mark… dammit.

Mike and Lacey – Jive
- Age [30s]: 22.043
- Occupation [Host]: 22
- Pro Partner: 28
Predicted Score: 24
Thoughts: Oddly enough, Lacey has never worked on the Jive with any of her partners prior to Week 6. So this could be interesting.

Sugar Ray & Anna – Jive
- Age [50s]: 20.333
- Occupation [Boxer]: 17
- Pro Partner: 21.333
Predicted Score: 19
Thoughts: Despite their quickness of feet in the ring, for some reason it could never transfer over to the dance floor. Could Sugar Ray buck the trend?

Petra and Dmitry – Jive
- Age [30s]: 22.043
- Occupation [Model]: 20.5
- Pro Partner: 27
Predicted Score: 23
Thoughts: Models always did seem out of sorts in the Jive, mainly because she is so tall and with long limbs. The only “tall” celebrity that I could think of that actually looked comfortable in the Jive? Evan Lysacek, but he was an athlete, Petra is not.

Wendy and Tony – Quickstep
- Age [40s]: 20.417
- Occupation [Host]: 22
- Pro Partner: 21
Predicted Score: 21
Thoughts: I firmly believe that the woman’s particular assets are going to be a hindrance versus a help… I mean seriously, since when is having big breasts a help? Ok… don’t answer that. All joking aside, I do believe they are going to be a hell of a hindrance especially with all the hopping around in the Quickstep, though the only thing worse than that? The Jive and THANK GOODNESS she’s not doing that.

Kirstie and Maks – Quickstep
- Age [60s]: 19.2
- Occupation [Actress]: 21.143
- Pro Partner: 23
Predicted Score: 21
Thoughts: Kirstie made a hell of a splash on the ChaCha, but the Quickstep is another animal and a lot faster. She seemed a little winded after the ChaCha last week. As long as she doesn’t pull a Marie, it should be fine and I hope last week wasn’t just a one dance wonder.

Romeo and Chelsie – Quickstep
- Age [20s]: 23.7
- Occupation [Singer]: 23.286
- Pro Partner: 20.5
Predicted Score: 22
Thoughts: Another young partnership that should take advantage of the energy that the Quickstep provides. However, Romeo could have trouble with posture, posture, posture… but considering he has sex appeal for days, does it really matter this early in the season?

Chris and Cheryl – Quickstep
- Age [40s]: 20.417
- Occupation [Athlete]: 20
- Pro Partner: 21.429
Predicted Score: 20
Thoughts: An athlete in their 40s? Ok, maybe not “athlete” per say, but close enough. In all honesty though, I don’t see the Quickstep being a dance that would come easily to him. I see a lower score than the calculation says, but meh… I’m not going to argue with numbers, are you?

Hines and Kym – Quickstep
- Age [30s]: 21.92
- Occupation [NFL]: 21.571
- Pro Partner: 20.5
Predicted Score: 21
Thoughts: Footballers shouldn’t have trouble with this dance, they’re suppose to be quick on their feet. Hines doesn’t have an excuse to score decently.