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DWTS Season 12, Week 7 – What if??

What if? What if Donny hadn’t been around to muck up the scoring?? What if there hadn’t been a team dance? Well, that second one is less interesting because Donny caused issues all by himself. :-) Seriously, there is always a team dance, so I won’t really talk about that unless someone is desperate to know. Anyway, Courtney said to me, on Twitter – hey, you know, we should have a numbers post showing what the impact was of Donny and the Team dances. My response? Well, gee, I already ran those numbers. :-)

So, you remember the actual scores right?? Kendra ended up going home, which meant that Romeo and Kirstie both got at least 2,660 more votes per million votes cast than she did – not a huge number by any stretch of the imagination. I figured that Kirstie was easily safe, but the question was between Romeo and Kendra – which one had more fans?? Had Romeo really gained a fanbase? Had Kendra turned people off?? Well, really, when you look at that number of 2,660 that is NOT a lot. It doesn’t truly require that Kendra have turned people off or Romeo gaining a huge fanbase. We’ve had similar discussions regarding Bristol and it’s not a huge effort to get that number – literally only 0.26 percent difference in this case, between Kendra and Romeo. That could be five people working really hard. :-) Here are the numbers WITH Donny’s scores and the team dances included:

The Judges Scores and Percentages

Place Celebrity Score Percentage
1. Ralph 66 17.51
2. Hines 66 17.51
3. Chelsea 64 16.98
4. Kendra 61 16.18
5. Kirstie 60 15.92
6. Romeo 60 15.92

Now, look at the exact same table with Donny’s scores removed completely:

The Judges Scores and Percentages, Sans Donny

Place Celebrity Score Percentage
1. Hines 50 17.79
2. Ralph 48 17.08
3. Chelsea 48 17.08
4. Kendra 46 16.37
5. Romeo 45 16.01
6. Kirstie 44 15.66

As you can see, removing Donny’s scores makes a difference. Part of the difference is that the extra score increases the total and therefore decreases the spread. BUT, the fact of the matter is that Donny gave a few wacky scores that impacted the overall positioning of the couples. Here’s what Donny did:

The Donny Effect

Celebrity Score
Hines 9
Ralph 10
Chelsea 8
Kendra 8
Romeo 7
Kirstie 9

Now, I love Kirstie, but that 9 is Cuh-razy. Donny is essentially responsible with putting Ralph in first place and seriously reducing the number of votes Kirstie and Romeo needed to stay over Kendra. Would him not being there have changed who went home? We will never know – but we can speculate. :-) With the Donny-free total scores, Kirstie is the new last place finisher and needs the following to stick around:

– Kirstie needs 3,600 more votes per million votes cast in order to stay over Romeo, OR;
– Kirstie needs 7,200 more votes per million votes cast in order to stay over Kendra.

Now, what do you think?? The way it ACTUALLY played out she only needed ONE more vote than Romeo OR 2,660 more votes per million than Kendra. That’s a pretty sizable difference…unless your name is Kirstie, IMO. Remember, she only needs to achieve ONE of those goals above, not both. I think she still would have managed Romeo, easily, but you just never know. What about Romeo? What happens to his chances of going home?? Romeo needs the following to still stick around:

– Romeo needs Kirstie to NOT get 3,600 more votes per million votes cast than him, OR;
– Romeo needs to get 3,600 more votes per million votes cast than Kendra.

This, I’m not sure about. The difference is that he’s ahead of Kirstie by a nice cushion – but the difference between him and Kendra is larger by a thousand or so votes and I have a feeling that it was pretty close between them. We *know* that he got at least 2,660 more votes per million than Kendra did and we know that Kirstie did too…but what about that extra thousand??

My instinct is that nothing would have actually changed. But 7,200 is a good bit more than 2,660. Like I said, we will never know – but what do you think?

May 4, 2011 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

Dancing With The Stars Season 12 – Saying Good-bye To ‘Late Blooming Flower’ Kendra Wilkinson

Len called it when he said Kendra was a “late blooming flower” last night. I’ve been so critical of her all Season. But, this week there was a lot of improvement with her attitude and she was finally starting to settle in. So, now I’m a little sorry to see her go. Anyway, here’s to Kendra. I think, if anything, she learned a lot from the show and about dancing. Plus, she made some new friends along the way. She went out laughing and with a positive attitude. She gave it all she had. With that, she should be proud.

Below are some interviews from last night after their elimination. Jimmy Kimmel is hilarious as always in the first video. He buries her dancing shoes at Sea with Bin Laden.lol

This is a great interview too. Good Morning America recaps Kendra and Louis’ journey. They talk about their costumes and more. They hope Kirstie will win this Season.

I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.

DWTS Season 12 – Are Modern Twists And Risks Hurting Mark Ballas And Chelsea Kane?

Mark has a new blog up at USA Today. As you will soon read, he thought his and Chelsea’s Paso Doble was perfect. I hate to say it, but, I don’t think we are going to see any changes in his style of dancing (or ego) anytime soon. More below and at the link. He talks of how well his new album is selling too.

I’m very grateful to the fans for supporting and voting for us. I loved our paso doble so much and I think Chelsea absolutely nailed it. As I’ve said previously, we’re in season 12 and fans of the show now have a high Latin and ballroom IQ (if they didn’t already). I think it’s important to be creative in the choreography to keep the fans on their toes. It may not have been as traditional as other pasos, but ours had all the necessary elements and steps. I thought it had a very fun and modern twist!

Because of this philosophy, I don’t always see eye to eye with the judges, especially Len. I’ve known Len, literally, since I was born. He’s family to me, like a grandfather, but we fundamentally differ on this. I guess that’s the difference in our generations, but I assure you, there’s nothing but love there between us! Tonight, Len said that Chelsea was the best dancer in the competition. I appreciate his acknowledgement and certainly agree that she can do it all, from Latin to ballroom, technically to emotionally. In fact, because Len is the most critical judge for technique, it’s a huge compliment for Chelsea. He had the same positivity for Bristol last season with her near-perfect footwork, and we danced all the way to the finals.

In a new Access Hollywood interview the two talk about the elimination last night and the “risks” they are taking on the show. Mark says he would not change a thing and he is proud of Chelsea.

My thoughts are if he could set his ego and overpowering her dances aside, the modern day twists and risks might work. In fact, I like it. But, right now all many fans (including myself) are seeing is EGO and disrespect for the judges and tradition.

Note: They have the Slow Waltz next week and the Salsa in the “Instant Dance”.

I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.

DWTS Season 12, Week 7 – Maksim Chmerkovskiy Planning To Step It Up A Notch With Kirstie Alley & More

Heidi’s Note: This was supposed to be posted yesterday, but the day got ahead of us. :-)

Maks is a little late with his blog at TV Guide, but, he’s made up for it for what he’s written. First, he not only praises Kirstie’s dancing and challenges to do so, but, Kirstie’s “spirit”. You can really feel how much he cares in his writing. He also talks on both dances Monday night and how he thinks everyone is doing. He didn’t like Donny added to the judging panel much. Maks would like to “judge” sometime and he says he would do just that. All this and more below and at TV Guide.

All joking aside, I’m not trying to find the good in every bad. I’m kind of a perfectionist, but I can’t not be happy for Kirstie. I can’t be mad that it was the best dance. Yes, the steps were messed up. Yes, we were out of sync. But honestly, it was cool to dance next to her and to feel that positive energy. She was having such a good time that I don’t need to worry about how good a performance it was. There have been amazing dances I’ve done in the past with people who didn’t enjoy the process. Kirstie is truly embracing every second of it, so it’s very cool and very nice to see that. I was genuinely very, very happy for her. I was trying to make sure she doesn’t get upset afterward and she wasn’t. She belonged out there. She allowed herself to relax and enjoy it. Eight weeks ago, I had a woman on a verge of heart attack who couldn’t dance more than 20 seconds of a cha-cha. Now, she’s out there performing a jive and enjoying the hell out of it.

I really hope fans and the audience could see Kirstie’s excitement and enjoyment of the dance. I feel like Kirstie represents way too many people out there. They live vicariously through her. It’s refreshing to see someone put in that situation. She’s done it all. This is another chapter in her life that she’s tackling with grace. I have the utmost respect and admiration for her. This show is a miniature version of life. Every experience we’ve had is tremendous and special. The way she embraces successes and failures is amazing. On the press line last night, she said that she wants to redo the jive at the showcase dinner I’m organizing for my students this summer. I’m kind of worried because I don’t even think Madison Square Garden can fit everyone who wants to see Kirstie! We may have to broadcast something in Times Square!

Bias or not, I think our team dance was a lot better. We definitely had better lines. As for the package, I think everyone knows how producers pick out story lines for everyone every week. First of all, we were not unprepared. We’ve already done the cha-cha, so how could we be unprepared? Second of all, we’re the happiest couple out there. We definitely have one of the best chemistry of all the partnerships.

Access Hollywood interviewed Maks and Kirstie after the results show lastnight. Maks said Kirstie is “like a pretty building without no foundation” and is hoping to fix that. More below for his plans for next week. They have the Argentine Tango and the Salsa (two of my favorite kind of dances. :) ).

Don’t forget thus fun duo will be on The Ellen Show tomorrow (Thursday). Should be lots of fun!!!

I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.