DWTS Stats Class – Week 8
Ralph and Karina – Viennese Waltz
- Age [40s]: 21.4
- Occupation [Actor]: 27
- Pro Partner: 23.5
Averaged Predicted Score: 24
Thoughts: Ralph didn’t disappoint me last week, and I don’t expect him to disappoint this week. It’s a ballroom dance, and ballroom dances is more his strength. What I am more worried about is…
Ralph and Karina – ChaCha
- Age [40s]: 18.833
- Occupation [Actor]: 20.2
- Pro Partner: 19.625
Averaged Predicted Score: 19
Thoughts: This a fun and flirty dance and caters to those with good, strong personalities best. So as much as I’m worried about Ralph not doing as well in the Latin dances, this one I’m not as worried as long as he brings his personality onto the floor and loosens up a bit.
Kirstie and Maks – Argentine Tango
- Age [60s]: 22
- Occupation [Actress]: 24.333
- Pro Partner: 27.333
Averaged Predicted Score: 24
Thoughts: Here is a nice slower dance for Kirstie to start with. It requires a lot of passion and drama, and being an actress she should be ok with.
Kirstie and Maks – Salsa
- Age [60s]: 18.667
- Occupation [Actress]: 18.5
- Pro Partner: 16
Averaged Predicted Score: 17
Thoughts: Considering that the Salsa is a recent addition… there is only so much information that could be gleaned. However, it’s a Latin dance, and a bit fun and flirty which should help Kirstie a bit, however if it’s the second dance of the night that it could prove difficult for her stamina.
Romeo and Chelsie – Tango
- Age [20s]: 25.25
- Occupation [Singer]: 22.667
- Pro Partner: 23.5
Averaged Predicted Score: 23
Thoughts: Sometimes I feel that Romeo tries too hard to be too aggressive or too hard to be too fun loving… if that makes sense. The tango is one of those dances where he would have to be strong and masculine (a bit like the Paso Doble). Considering how well he’s been doing w/ the ballroom dances I’m not too worried.
Romeo and Chelsie – Salsa
- Age [20s]: 23
- Occupation [Singer]: 25.667
- Pro Partner: 24
Averaged Predicted Score: 24
Thoughts: As much as he’s improving on the ballroom dances, I felt that he’s become a bit stagnant with the Latin dances. After the first week’s chacha I didn’t feel like he has improved nearly as much as he did with the latin dances. Here’s hoping that I’m wrong.
Hines and Kym – Foctrot
- Age [30s]: 22.925
- Occupation [NFL]: 23.111
- Pro Partner: 23.571
Averaged Predicted Score: 23
Thoughts: Mr Personality gets to shine again. The personality that we all loved so much in the Latin dances gets to come out during the Foxtrot, and considering that he’s been strong in not only the Latin dances but the Ballroom dances as well, I’m not terribly worried about how he is going to progress.
Hines and Kym – Jive
- Age [30s]: 24.025
- Occupation [NFL]: 22.857
- Pro Partner: 26.2
Averaged Predicted Score: 24
Thoughts: There isn’t much more for me to add in regards to the Jive, just keep up the energy and the personality and he should be fine I think.
Chelsea and Mark – Waltz
- Age [20s]: 23.444
- Occupation [Disney]: 23.5
- Pro Partner: 23
Averaged Predicted Score: 23
Thoughts: I would say that with the waltz there is almost no way to make it cheesy, then I remember the Waltz w/ Bristol and how I rolled my eyes, and as thus stand corrected.
Chelsea and Mark – Salsa
- Age [20s]: 23
- Occupation [Disney]: 24
- Pro Partner: 24
Averaged Predicted Score: 23
Thoughts: Then again w/ the Salsa they could be as cheesy as they want to be, I think… I hope not though, b/c it would drive me batty.
Loved all these. I so agree about Jacoby because that man brought fun to the dance floor...
LOL Marianya! I just love these!!!! <3 <3
Hi Voguerista:
I am sure you’ve heard about the so-called injury ( I don’t know if its Ralph or karina), any idea who exactly is injured? Hope it isn’t bad, you know it may effect their dancing tonight!
@Margaret – I dont know which one of them is injured. But I’m worried for them tonight, Karinas tweet saying they are hoping they can fix it does not sound very promising to me. Heres to keeping our fingers crossed, rubbing our dancing shoes together, prayer, whatever it takes, anything to keep sending good vibes their way.
Lets make this Good Vibes Monday today in their honor.
You got it!
Margaret, I’ve got a new interview with them that we’re going to post in a bit. So, stay tuned. Karina doesn’t mention anything about them being hurt though with an injury. I hope it’s not bad too.
Ralph tweeted he has been down this week with serious pain management, but “nothing’s ever gonna keep me down.” Oh dear, not only in pain, but I’m sure not able to rehearse as much as they would like, esp with 2 dances.
I saw Karina’s tweet and it got me worried. Sounds like it was Ralph from the tweet dwtsclaire shared. Having two dances and dealing with pain management, sure scares me. Luckily they are both fighters and his ballroom dance is v. watlz which he should be able to pick up in short time and the instant is the cha cha which he was introduced in the team dances. Sending good vibes for them. I would hate for them to leave. I am actually not looking forward to the next two weeks for anyone to leave.
PETA also said they have a “just in case” dance for Monday I hope they don’t use it.
Mariyana – love this post, I always check back after the dances to see how close your estimations came to the judges scoring.
Have you ever thought of adding something that takes into account the week they are dancing? Isn’t this about the time of the season when they start giving out 8′s and 9′s like they are going out of business? I think in some ways they are willing the dances to be better than they are, but scores for similar levels of dance seem to be higher the later you get in the season….
@SueB – Hello! I thought about doing that earlier in the process… but then my mind started over-complicating things more than they should… There are so many variables and chances and inconsistancies from season to season that I kind of gave up trying to come up with a good way to have the scores cater from week to week.
Maybe over the summer I’ll try to come up w/ something now that there is more data to play with, but we’ll see.
I could be wrong, but if I were to guess, I think its gonna come down to: Hines, Chelsea and Ralph. I don’t know if Kirstie has the stamina to last until the finals, but I hope she does.
Jennifer Grey tweeted over the weekend to Chelsea that she should stick to the traditional ballroom dances. I don’t know if she cares for Marks take on the dances and adding a little more to it. One thing about Derek Hough he stuck to the traditional dances and I am sure Jennifer Grey agrees, after all she was taught by the best choreographer! Does anyone agree?
Re: Kirstie’s stamina, my guess is that the issue for her is not so much performing two dances in one night so long as they are spaced apart (she regains breath quickly), but the learning of two dances in four days. She’s seemed a bit underehearsed to me in her last few dances. If that’s resolved this week, I think she may actually benefit from the two dances, as it may be better help balance her performance nerves instead of them building as she sits around for two hours waiting to dance (plus, as with all contestants, if she has a bad dance, she has a chance to put in agood one as well for the night). She could shine in the Argentine Tango if she performs to her fullest and I expect her to also do well in the Salsa as 1) she’s got the best Latin moves of the contestants and 2) is quick on her feet. Either way, wish her well and hope to see her in the finals cause, when’s she hits it technically she excels and, even when issues crop up, she’s ALWAYS entertaining.