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DWTS Season 12, Week 9 – The Bonus Dance???

At the risk of getting outraged over nothing, I thought I would do a post examining the possible impact of this “bonus dance” that Tom Bergeron (or was it Brooke?) alluded to – very casually – last night. Keep in mind that this post is only my opinion and that I am GUESSING entirely at what they might have planned. We’re just hypothesizing here and won’t likely know until the press release or the show itself what is going to happen. I’m also kinda hoping that if I write this post and people get pissed about it enough that the producers WON’T DO IT. :-) If that doesn’t work, then all the fan groups will know to be prepared with lots of accounts – which is probably what the producers want, but there you have it.

THEORETICALLY, it is a winner-take-all dance, and a Cha Cha at that. Courtney tells me on Twitter that this info is gleaned from the Wiki page. Everyone knows to eye Wikipedia with suspicion, but the person doing that entry seems to have their crap together. Also, Vogue tells me that Kym Johnson (in a video posted earlier) says the words “winner take all”. If you watch the Ralph and Karina video, you will get an explanation of how it’s going to work. In a word? Stupid. So, that is the theory we will go with. In addition, in order to construct this post with no dancing, we will give the dancers scores similar to what they earned this past week, i.e. they will reward Chelsea heavily and try their dammdest to get rid of Ralph. If you are worried about your favorite, you should be – just switch the names around to get different results. IF they are doing this simply to protect Chelsea (and really, why else would it be needed?? Anyone can smell fish emmanating from this scenario), then any of the remaining three will go home over her. Most likely. :-) Always gotta add the qualifier with this show. One never knows for sure.

So, here is our hypothetical scenario:

The Theoretical Judges Scores and Percentages

Place Celebrity Score Percentage
1. Chelsea 73 31.33
2. Hines 57 24.46
3. Kirstie 53 22.75
5. Ralph 50 21.46

Just looking at those numbers should give everyone the heebie jeebies. It does me. It also pisses me off. So, if this is what happens, you can see that Ralph is down by typical numbers from Hines and Kirstie, but Chelsea?? Not so much. Here’s what Ralph would have to do to stick around:

- He would have to get 12,880 more votes per million votes cast than Kirstie, OR;
- He would have to get 30,050 more votes per million votes cast than Hines, OR;
- He would have to get 98,720 more votes per million votes cast than Chelsea.

You understand how ridiculous this is yet? No? Okay, well, let’s look at Kirstie’s numbers. She needs the following to stick around if Ralph is taken out of the equation:

- She would have to get 17,170 more votes per million votes cast than Hines, OR;
- She would have to get 85,840 more votes per million votes cast than Chelsea.

Hines would then have to get 68,700 more votes per million votes cast to pass Chelsea. That is almost 3 TIMES the number of votes that Ralph had to get the other night to stay over Romeo and we thought that was big??

I can cast a whole lot of aspersions on why they feel the need to do this, but at the end of the day the motivation seems clear – someone ain’t getting the votes they want him/her to be getting OR someone is getting a tremendous number of votes that the producers are trying to overcome. One or the other. Or both. If, for some reason, they want Chelsea in the final (she does work for Disney, which owns ABC), she will need this kind of boost in order to stick around. If Ralph can get more votes than Romeo whom he was 6 points behind, he can probably beat Chelsea in a similar situation.

But it’s not just Ralph – she would be vulnerable in a normal scenario to ANY of the other three remaining celebs. Like I was trying to explain on Twitter last night, Chelsea is up against an iconic movie Actor, a very likable, very well-known actress and a football player with a Steeler Nation behind him – a guy who is fresh off the Superbowl. Chelsea is the female version of Kyle – but not as likeable and with much stiffer completion than Kyle had. Kyle was up against Brandy, Jennifer and Bristol. I think Brandy and Bristol were a piece of cake for Kyle to beat – the same cannot be said of either Kirstie, Ralph or Hines. I get the feeling that all three are powerhouses in their own rights. Ralph kinda proved it the other night.

So, you still not seeing the picture? If this ends up close to reality, what would it take for Chelsea (or whoever gets the 15 points) to be eliminated?? ALL of the following would have to happen:

- Ralph would have to get 98,720 more votes per million votes cast than her, AND;
- Kirstie would have to get 85,840 more votes per million votes cast than Chelsea, AND;
- Hines would have to get 68,700 more votes per million votes cast than Chelsea.

How likely do YOU think that is?? Not bloody likely in my book, unless the only people voting for her are Mark’s fans and everyone else knows how this game is played. I believe the largest vote margin ever overcome since I’ve been keeping track is when Kurt got 48k more votes than Audrina – and we were all stunned by that, if I remember correctly.

So, let’s assume for a moment that the judges aren’t all harshed out on Ralph and are not determined to see the backside of him. Although if you watched their faces when Romeo got eliminated last night you may find that hard to believe. Anyway, let’s say that Kirstie and Ralph get the same scores of 56, while Hines and Chelsea keep the same scores as above – mighty generous, right? Eh, not so much. What that means is for Chelsea to go home over one of the other three, ALL of the following needs to happen:

- Ralph has to get 70,250 more votes per million votes cast than her, AND;
- Kirstie ALSO has to get 70,250 more votes per million votes cast than her, AND;
- Hines has to get 66,150 more votes per million votes cast than her.

How possible is that? Well, thanks to the voting numbers being kept secret, we have no real clue. But I have to think that it’s NOT possible, otherwise, why do this at all? Just to make the audience nuts? To engineer a “shocking elimination”? Well, it’s possible. But this is a game with severely diminishing returns – how long before the audience decides they have no say, the show is rigged and just tune out all together?? You can do stunts like this occasionally, but if you continually over reach because you think you can get away with it, you may suddenly find the tipping point. And it’s over. The audience isn’t stupid – at some point they will see the man behind the curtain.

What is possible motivation for this? Well, it makes some of the audience outraged and they will write blogs like this or chatter all over the net and basically create a stir similar to what they got for Bristol making it to the finals. Ratings. Plus, everyone could vote extra hard with many, many accounts; I have to believe that there is revenue attached to on-line voting. Probably A LOT. All those hits combined with all those ads? Yup. Money. If they do what I think they will do and give Chelsea 15 extra points, they have the Disney kid (the company that owns ABC and DWTS) in the finals. She doesn’t need to win, but she’ll have been on every single week of the show. And if she goes back to Disney, well enough said. Winning the show has been pretty kind to Nicole Scherzinger – she is now one of the hosts on The X Factor. Just sayin’.

Possible drawbacks? Well, good ratings NOW could spell ever dwindling ratings down the road. You can only screw fans over so many times before they just throw in the towel. Also, if the spread is TOO high between all the couples, you could have people just give up and not vote as much. Then there’s all that lost revenue. Any other possible drawbacks? I can’t think of any right now, and that’s not good.

So. NOW what do you think?

May 11, 2011 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

Pure DWTS 12 – Interviews After The Results Show & Preparing For Three Dances For Semi-Finals (Videos)

George Pennacchio interviewed all our dancing couples who have made the Semi-finals after the Results Show last night. They talk on the elimination, their dances, their partnerships, what’s to come with THREE dances next week (pay close attention to what Karina and Kym say on them), and MORE. George, as always, asks some amazing questions!!! The pressure and excitement for the semi-finals is starting to build in a ‘surreal’ way. Check it out.

Kirstie and Maks;

Ralph and Karina;

Kym and Hines;

Chelsea and Mark;

I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.

DWTS 12, Week 8 – Rate Your Favorite Couples in Order

We only have FOUR couples left now as most of you all know. If you were to rate them in order of your “favorites” for who you’d like to see win (from first to last), how would you rate them? Post your ratings in the comment section of this post. This might give us a hint of how people are “voting”, who might be in the top three for finals, and who might be eliminated next week. Feel free to add some comments too if you like.

Ok, here are my ratings;

1. Kirstie and Maks (I want to see Maks get a Mirror Ball so badly and I love Kirstie too. Her dancing experience has been a pure delight to watch. I love how she’s helped Maks this Season personally)

2. Ralph and Karina (My second favorite couple of the Season. I love their creativity. I love the Oriental influence he’s brought to some of his dances. He’s a fighter. They know when to be traditional and when not to be.)

3. Hines and Kym (I love these two as well. Always humble, full of charm, and total class acts.)

4. Chelse and Mark (As most of you know, I can’t stomach these two anymore – adding: their DANCING, not them personally!!!! All I see is ego and no connection.)

I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.

Dancing With The Stars Week 8 Elimination – And So We Say Good-bye To Romeo Miller (Interviews)

Well, I don’t think any of us could say we weren’t pleasantly surprised with Lil’ Romeo and his dancing this Season. Like Kyle Massey last year, many of us had never heard of Romeo before he was picked to do the show and we ended up liking him and his dancing very much. But, what was really cool is that he never let us forget his causes for dancing. Last night, was no different. He took being eliminated like a class act and again he didn’t want us to forget about how important it is to be a fighter in life and not giving up no matter what. It was a lesson not only for kids, but, for us all. So, here’s to Romeo. I really enjoyed him and his dancing this Season and I’m sure his Dad is proud. Just think, at one time, Romeo and his Dad would never have been seen in a pair of dancing shoes. lol More below when he and Chelsea talk more on their journey on Jimmy Kimmel Live last night and Good Morning America today.

Edit to add: Below is George Pennacchio interviewing Romeo and Chelsie as well;

I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.