DWTS Season 14 Stats Class: Week 2 Predicted Scores

So we know from previous experience that the couples are either going to be jumping around with the Jive or kicking up their heels with the Quickstep. How do we know what they are going to be dancing? Well, if they danced the Foxtrot last week, they will be working on the Jive in Week 2… consequently if a couple danced the ChaCha last week they will be dancing the Quickstep this week.

So let’s see how the predicted numbers add up!

GAVIN DEGRAW
Dance: Jive
Average Scores:
- Age: 21.423
- Occupation: 20.167
- Professional Partner: 21.333
Predicted Score / Rank: 21 / 7th
Comments: Gavin is towards the bottom of the leaderboard after last week’s Foxtrot, which means he will have a lot of ground to cover if he wants to stay in the competition (granted I’m not even counting fanbase votes). When it comes to the Jive, he seems to have a lot going for him between his age group and his partner, both ranking in the top half. However, for some reason singers have crazy trouble with the dance in the first third of the season… and being singers that are suppose to know how to keep time… why? Knowing all this, I’d say his predicted score should be fairly close to the real thing… strongly in the middle of the pack.

DONALD DRIVER
Dance: Quickstep
Average Scores:
- Age: 21.792
- Occupation: 22.000
- Professional Partner: N/A (one time pros average: 22.000)
Predicted Score / Rank: 22 / 3rd
Comments: Donald seems to have a lot going for him in regards to how he should do on the Quickstep. Every NFL player that has done the Quickstep in the first third of the season have scored at least a 20. Add to that his age group (30s) and his score inches up a bit… unfortunately Peta has yet to do a Quickstep on the show… so looking at other female pros that have been on the show once it would seem that the Quickstep isn’t a bane either… so I would say that the predicted score is about par for the course based on the limited data available.

ROSHON FAGEN
Dance: Quickstep
Average Scores:
- Age: 23.154
- Occupation: 22.667
- Professional Partner: 21.333
Predicted Score / Rank: 22 / 2nd
Comments: After a very entertaining ChaCha, how is Roshon going to fare with the Quickstep? Similar to Donald, Roshon seems to have a lot going for him in regards to scores and overall rank, in this case all other Disney related celebs have scored either a 22 or 23 in their Quickstep in the first third of the season. As for having the same score as Donald? It’s a possibility, but I do think that Roshon would be placed higher on the leaderboard than Donald… but that’s just me.

MELISSA GILBERT
Dance: Quickstep
Average Scores:
- Age: 19.933
- Occupation: 21.000
- Professional Partner: 20.667
Predicted Score / Rank: 20 / 9th
Comments: Melissa is going to have her work cut out for her this week as she attempts to conquer the Quickstep. Maks’ previous partners have gotten either a 20 or 21 in the first third of the season which seems to place him in the lower third of pro scores. Her age doesn’t help either… so unless she manages to wow the crowd I’m expecting something lower than the 20, but she’ll definitely rank in the lower half of the cast.

KATHERINE JENKINS
Dance: Jive
Average Scores:
- Age: 21.423
- Occupation: 20.167
- Professional Partner: 21.000
Predicted Score / Rank: 21 / 8th
Comments: Other than for the speculation of why singers seem to have trouble with the Jive (see Gavin), most of her other scores seem to be fairly middle of the road. With a strong showing last week with the Foxtrot, I think she should be ok this week with the Jive… just as long as she loses the glaze-eyed look and comes off a bit more animated. So the middle of the road score and rank seems rather appropriate for her this time around.

GLADYS KNIGHT
Dance: Quickstep
Average Scores:
- Age: 19.333
- Occupation: 22.714
- Professional Partner: 21.000
Predicted Score / Rank: 21 / 6th
Comments: The sentimental favorite brought the house down last week with her fun ChaCha, can she do it with the Quickstep? Possibly if the numbers are any indication. Unfortunately others in her age group seems to struggle with the dance, but singers seem to get the counts for a the Quickstep (over the Jive apparently) and her partner seems to do rather well the last time he did the dance. Middle of the road? Not if this Empress of Soul has anything to say about it… but only time will tell.

WILLIAM LEVY
Dance: Quickstep
Average Scores:
- Age: 21.792
- Occupation: 23.625
- Professional Partner: 22.143
Predicted Score / Rank: 23 / 1st
Comments: This celeb has no excuse to NOT do well with this dance if the numbers have any say. Ranking in the top two in every category and add to it his looks and personality, if he doesn’t do well this week I will seriously be disappointed. Seriously.

MARIA MENOUNOS
Dance: Quickstep
Average Scores:
- Age: 21.792
- Occupation: 21.000
- Professional Partner: 22.800
Predicted Score / Rank: 22 / 4th
Comments: Another celeb with a lot going for her. Though her ChaCha was a bit lackluster and not all that memorable. I’m hoping that they will come out all guns blazing this week (this IS Derek afterall) to compensate for the low score last week. She has the capability to place high this week, barring any major mishap… maybe.

MARTINA NAVRATILOVA
Dance: Jive
Average Scores:
- Age: 19.500
- Occupation: 20.667
- Professional Partner: 20.200
Predicted Score / Rank: 20 / 10th
Comments: Well, Tony and Martina are hoping to come back this week with a strong Jive, but the numbers are telling me otherwise. Tony’s been all over the spectrum with this dance’s scores (from 15 with Kate Gosselin to 25 with Sara Evans). Martina’s age group also seems to have quite a bit of trouble with this dance as well. As thus the 20 seems too kind, I’m expecting something lower.

SHERRI SHEPHERD
Dance: Jive
Average Scores:
- Age: 19.333
- Occupation: 20.000
- Professional Partner: N/A (one time pros average: 21.000)
Predicted Score / Rank: 20 / 11th
Comments: Oh man, I like Sherri and her personality and it would mesh well with the dance… on the surface. But dammit she doesn’t have the numbers to back that up… and if that’s the case she may lose the other boob on the dance floor tonight. Also her pro partner has not done a Jive yet… with that wildcard in play there is no telling where she would actually land on the leaderboard. I’m just not expecting it to be very high.

JACK WAGNER
Dance: Jive
Average Scores:
- Age: 19.500
- Occupation: 21.400
- Professional Partner: 20.250
Predicted Score / Rank: 20 / 12th
Comments: This is one placement/score that I don’t agree with, but that could by fangirl side talking. Realistically his age group don’t mesh well with the Jive, and his pro partner (as much as I love her as a dancer) seems to have trouble with her celebs on this dance (unless his name is Even Lysacek). I really want him to score higher, but I’m not entirely convinced that he would… I’m sure he won’t come dead last though.

JALEEL WHITE
Dance: Jive
Average Scores:
- Age: 21.423
- Occupation: 21.400
- Professional Partner: 21.000
Predicted Score / Rank: 21 / 5th
Comments: Last week’s golden boy gets the Jive this week… we got to see a little snippet of his swing dance moves when they announced the cast a few weeks ago so we know he’s got some moves (on a social level) but will they translate well to the Jive? It would seem like it’s possible since the numbers indicate a slightly higher than middle of the road score… even though I think he is probably going to have a slightly higher score and as thus rank.

So there you have it… the calculated predictions / scores of the week. Let’s see how I fare when showtime comes in a few hours. =)