DWTS Season 14 Week 3 Predicted Scores

This is when things get kind of dicey when it comes to predicted scores. Keeping in mind that I am only taking scores from the first four weeks of any given season as a basis of calculations for predicted scoring, you start to find holes in the data. For example: Chelsie Hightower has been had a partner that she has had to work on the Samba with in the first four weeks of any season (whether it’s because they never last that long or luck of the draw).

GAVIN DEGRAW
Dance: Rumba
Average Scores:
- Age: 21.773
- Occupation: 23.000
- Professional Partner: 21.000
Predicted Score / Rank: 22 / 7th
Comments: On paper, this is the dance that could help Gavin break out from the lower pack. The other celebs who were singers and in their 30s did really well with the Rumba (Season 9′s Mya w/ Dmitry Chaplin got a 27 and Season 11′s Brandy w/ Maksim Chmerkovskiy got a 24) so Gavin has quite the shoes (or in the case the heels) to fill. To me, a 22 doesn’t seem all that low.

DONALD DRIVER
Dance: Rumba
Average Scores:
- Age: 21.773
- Occupation: 19.500
- Professional Partner: N/A
Predicted Score / Rank: 21 / 9th
Comments: Unfortunately, since Peta hasn’t been on the show long enough, there isn’t much data to work from. In the meantime what I’m curious about is how other NFL players in their 30s have coped with the Rumba in the past. Apparently, not that well: Season 10′s Chad Ochocinco w/ Cheryl Burke got a 22 while Season 11′s Kurt Warner w/ Anna Trebunskaya got a 17. So how is Donald going to fare with the Rumba? I think a 21 is rather middle of the road, it might be off by a point or two though.

ROSHON FEGAN
Dance: Samba
Average Scores:
- Age: 22.000
- Occupation: N/A
- Professional Partner: N/A
Predicted Score / Rank: 23 / 4th
Comments: Wow, the data is weak with this one. I don’t know how but the Disney kids have managed to avoid the Samba until – at earliest – their 5th week of competition (Season 12′s Chelsea Kane w/ Mark Ballas got a 26). For the most part the Disney crew has scored at minimum a 23 on the Samba and I would be surprised if Roshon’s score isn’t higher than that.

MELISSA GILBERT
Dance: Jive
Average Scores:
- Age: 19.333
- Occupation: 20.429
- Professional Partner: 22.250
Predicted Score / Rank: 21 / 8th
Comments: The only other actress in their 40s that has done the Jive in the first four weeks of a season was way back in Season 6 w/ Marlee Matlin and her partner Fabian Sanchez, they got a 21. I personally think that a 21 might be too high for Melissa though, unless she wows us.

KATHERINE JENKINS
Dance: Waltz
Average Scores:
- Age: 20.667
- Occupation: 24.000
- Professional Partner: 23.000
Predicted Score / Rank: 23 / 3rd
Comments: Honestly, with the way that Katherine’s been performing, her scores are simply too low at this point in time. But since this is based on the numbers and data of past celebs on the show, I’ll do what I can. The only other singer in their 30s to have done the Waltz in the first four weeks of the season was Season 8′s Chuck Wicks with Julianne Hough, where they got a 20. Granted there is also Season 3′s Willa Ford with Maksim Chmerkovskiy who got a 28, but she was also in her 20s then. It’s hard to say, but I’m expecting a score higher than predicted.

GLADYS KNIGHT
Dance: Foxtrot
Average Scores:
- Age: 24.000
- Occupation: 20.000
- Professional Partner: N/A
Predicted Score / Rank: 22 / 4th
Comments: I think this dance will work more in Gladys favor than the Quickstep did… It would seem that the predicted scores will reflect that. Gladys is the first singer in their 20s to be on the show, in the past there have been more actors/actresses and Jerry Springer, so Gladys is treading fairly new ground at this point. She would probably get something a point or two higher, but other than that, this is fairly par for the course.

WILLIAM LEVY
Dance: Salsa
Average Scores:
- Age: 19.333
- Occupation: N/A
- Professional Partner: N/A
Predicted Score / Rank: 19 / 10th
Comments: The salsa has only been used on the show in four previous seasons (7, 8, 9, and 12). Actors that have done the salsa previously: Season 8′s Gilles Marini w/ Cheryl Burke where they got a 30 and Season 12′s Ralph Macchio w/ Karina Smirnoff who got a 23. Both however, did the Salsa much later in their seasons, so that isn’t a fair comparison. While I don’t believe that William would get a 19, whether whatever score he gets is well deserved, I don’t know.

MARIA MENOUNOS
Dance: Rumba
Average Scores:
- Age: 21.773
- Occupation: 23.000
- Professional Partner: 26.000
Predicted Score / Rank: 24 / 1st
Comments: Why am I not surprised that Derek’s partners would all score so high on the Rumba? Why celebs in Maria’s age group seem to have trouble with the Rumba in general, doesn’t make sense to me. In any case, the score, can be considered realistic all things considered… but I also think the score may be below that, but a point or two.

SHERRI SHEPHERD
Dance: Rumba
Average Scores:
- Age: 20.962
- Occupation: 23.000
- Professional Partner: N/A
Predicted Score / Rank: 22 / 6th
Comments: Oooh wee! Sherri’s going to have a hot time tonight! I’m sure for a chance to do whatever she wants with Val on that dance floor and get away with it, she is going to do with flying colors. Because of that, I say she’s going to score a point, maybe two above the predicted score. I doubt she’s going to want to screw this dance up, especially not with such good looking arm candy like Val.

JACK WAGNER
Dance: Samba
Average Scores:
- Age: 18.000
- Occupation: N/A
- Professional Partner: 17.000
Predicted Score / Rank: 18 / 11th
Comments: Can I say I’m worried. I sense trouble with a capital “T” which rhymes with “D” and that stands for Dance (anybody catch the reference?). Anyway, I really am worried for Jack on this dance, he already had trouble with the Jive last week, the Samba isn’t going to be much better. And unfortunately that 18 seems just about right unless Jack really comes out swinging.

JALEEL WHITE
Dance: Rumba
Average Scores:
- Age: 21.773
- Occupation: 23.667
- Professional Partner: 22.500
Predicted Score / Rank: 23 / 2nd
Comments: It’s a slow, smooth dance… and Jaleel’s is a very special brand of dark chocolate. He did better in a smoother dance (Foxtrot) over an upbeat one (Jive)… but I don’t know… portraying romance is a lot harder than it looks. Still I have high hopes for Jaleel… I expect to see him scores high.

Here you have it! My predicted scores for the night! Come back and see how I fare on tonight score card… :)