DWTS Season 14, Week 4 – Dancing by the Numbers
Well, well, well….as predicted, the real judges came back to life and gave a few of our couples a little dash of reality. Sherri and William being most notable. Of course, next week is Latin week so I expect William will regain something of his status, since it plays to his strenghts. Sherri too, for that matter. If both are still around next week…and there is no guarantee. Didn’t seem to me that William was getting as much love from the audience this week either. We’ll see. The benefit of this REAL scoring is that Gavin isn’t at the bottom of the score board and we know he’s been in the real bottom two the last two weeks…so now we will REALLY see who the other weak links are. 🙂 I also get the sense that Gavin is gaining in popularity – I LOLed at his “Absolutely not” in answer to Brooke’s question about if he did enough to stay out of the bottom two. I can’t be the only one who is finding him totally endearing.
Let’s look at the couples and their percentages of the total:
The Judges Scores and Percentages
Place | Celebrity | Score | Percentage |
1. | Donald | 27 | 11.59 |
2. | Maria | 26 | 11.16 |
2. | Roshon | 26 | 11.16 |
4. | Katherine | 24 | 10.30 |
5. | Gavin | 23 | 9.87 |
6. | Melissa | 22 | 9.44 |
6. | William | 22 | 9.44 |
6. | Jaleel | 22 | 9.44 |
9. | Sherri | 21 | 9.01 |
10. | Gladys | 20 | 8.58 |
Despite what some fans were claiming on twitter, we actually have a real live spread this week between the high and low scores. Now, our bottom position is Gladys…and I just don’t have a feel for how she’s doing with the voters. She is sooo amazing and sweet…but her dance was a bit of a train wreck. So what does Gladys need in order to stick around? She needs ONE of the following things:
– Gladys needs 4,300 more votes per million votes cast than Sherri, OR;
– Gladys needs 8,600 more votes per million votes cast than EITHER William, Jaleel or Melissa, OR;
– Gladys needs 12,880 more votes per million votes cast than Gavin, OR;
– Gladys needs 17,170 more votes per million votes cast than Katherine, OR;
– Gladys needs 25,760 more votes per million votes cast than either Maria or Roshon, OR;
– Gladys needs 30,050 more votes per million votes cast than Donald.
Anyway, I am kinda thinking that Gladys is getting the votes to get past Sherri…but is Sherri, in turn, getting the votes to get past the next three dancers who all got 22 points; William, Jaleel and Melissa? Sherri needs ONE of the following things to happen in order to be safe tomorrow night:
– Sherri needs Gladys to NOT get 4,300 more votes per million votes cast than her, OR;
– Sherri needs 4,300 more votes than EITHER William, Jaleel or Melissa, OR;
– Sherri needs 8,590 more votes per million votes cast than Gavin, OR:
– Sherri needs 12,880 more votes per million votes cast than Katherine
And so on up from there. Personally, I tend to think that Gladys is getting those votes…but perhaps one of those with 22 points is not. It’s entirely possible that Jaleel or Melissa is getting beat by Gladys and Sherri. Look above – Gladys only needs 8,600 and Sherri only needs 4,300 for Jaleel, Melissa (or William) to go home. Not a lot. And tomorrow night we’ll find out what these folks are made of.
Now we come to Gavin – the man many assume is going home tomorrow due to two consecutive appearances in the bottom two. Do I agree?? I don’t think I do. There is one rather huge difference between this week and the previous weeks; Gavin isn’t at the bottom of the leader board. In fact, he’s not even terribly close to the bottom of the leaderboard. He’s got a nice 3 point cushion that he’s NEVER had before. In all the previous weeks he’s been either the low scorer or tied as low scorer. Last week, it was a five way tie for last place. That meant that those with Gavin in the bottom only needed ONE vote more than him. ONE. At the end of the second performance show, Martina was three points below Gavin and Melissa was one point below Gavin – and it was Gavin and Martina in the bottom two. Which meant that Melissa was getting at least 1,900 more votes per million votes cast than Gavin. A tiny number. So is Melissa getting the votes required NOW to stay over Gavin?? Well, here’s what William, Melissa and Jaleel need to happen for them all to stay. They need ONE of the following:
– They need for Sherri OR Gladys to NOT get the required votes to pass them, OR;
– Each of them needs ONE more vote per million votes cast than the others, OR;
– They need to get 4,300 more votes per million votes cast than Gavin, OR;
– They need to get 8,600 more votes per million votes cast than Katherine.
And so on.
Now, you can see, looking at everything above, that tonight we will really see what kinda juice these people have. It’s entirely possible that Gavin could still find himself in the bottom two – if everyone else is doing really well with the voters and he’s doing less well.
I have to say…I’m really not sure what’s going to happen. I don’t think there is a clear underdog this week. Yeah, Gladys is way down at the bottom with only 20 points – but she’s *Gladys Knight*. She falls squarely in the wheelhouse of the average viewer of this show. So, are people voting for her? Beats me. We’ll find out tonight. 🙂
Let’s spell it out for Gavin, for those who are still not sure. For Gavin to go home tonight, ALL of the following would have to happen:
– Gladys gets 12,880 more votes per million votes cast than Gavin, AND;
– Sherri gets 8,590 more votes per million votes cast than Gavin, AND;
– William, Jaleel and Melissa ALL get 4,300 more votes per million votes cast than Gavin, AND;
– Gavin doesn’t have the juice to get past Katherine (that is, 4,300 more votes per million votes cast).
Personally, I kinda see Jaleel and Melissa in jeopardy here, but let’s look at it a bit closer. Gladys needs 8,600 more votes and Sherri needs 4,300 more votes per million votes cast than either William, Jaleel or Melissa. Because of the five way tie at the bottom last week, which resulted in Gavin and Jack as the bottom two, we actually have no idea how well these five people are really doing with the voters. They didn’t need but one vote to stick around, or in the case of William and Jaleel, they had protection from the judges. So, there is no way to gage, mathematically, what their odds are. This is more of a straight up guess than it normally is. This week will give us some clues into who’s getting the votes…maybe. If Sherri and Gladys are the bottom two, then we still don’t really have a clue about Melissa, William and Jaleel – but if it’s someone other than those two, that will be telling.
Of course, being essentially clueless in terms of who’s getting votes, I have to wonder about Katherine as well. She’s not getting the pimpage that William was getting, she’s so pretty and sweet that she might not be getting the attention from the voters. Combine a somewhat quiet personality, with being a good dancer, a bad running order and not tremendous scores and what do you get? Possible trouble. Is she protected enough?? Part of the risk of being the “best dancer” who is getting raves (usually) there is a danger that people will assume that you’re safe and vote for someone else they like who they perceive as being at risk. Like Gladys. What would have to happen for Katherine to be a “shocking elimination”? ALL of the following things would have to happen:
– Gladys gets 17,170 more votes per million votes cast than Katherine does, AND;
– Sherri gets 12,880 more votes per million votes cast than Katherine does, AND;
– William, Jaleel and Melissa all get 8,600 more votes per million votes cast than Katherine, AND;
– Gavin gets 4,300 more votes per million votes cast than Katherine does.
– Katherine doesn’t have the votes in quantities needed to get past Maria, Roshon or Donald.
So…is it possible? Or course it’s possible, but I don’t find it particularly probably. I don’t think that Gavin is getting that many more votes than Katherine is, for one thing. I also don’t think that Jaleel is getting those kinda votes. Gladys and Sherri?? No idea. The thing is, we’ve seen a good dancer with good scores go home before – but I’m not inclined to believe it will happen tonight.
So, who is going home? Well, I think it’s safe to say that it won’t be Donald, Maria or Roshon. Either my gut is over estimating Sherri and Gladys by a good bit and one of them will hit the road, or my gut is correct to think it’s between Jaleel and Melissa. It’s also possible my gut just doesn’t like Jaleel. 🙂 Or…it’s half and half. At the end of the day, I just feel like Gladys is getting the 8,600 votes and Sherri is getting the very tiny 4,300 votes for one of the trio of William, Jaleel and Melissa to go home. I think William (unfortunately) is still good for a bit as the hormonal sex starved crowd probably hasn’t completely gotten over it yet – although I think they are on their way, judging by the muted crowd response last night and the fact that even Carrie Ann appears to see that the bloom is off the rose. SO, I think Jaleel is going to go, with either Gladys or Melissa in the bottom two with him. If it’s not Jaleel, it may be Gladys simply because Melissa might get a sympathy vote for getting hurt last night. It could still be Gavin, but I don’t believe so – but I’ve been wrong before, of course. 🙂
I WANT Melissa to be safe and I want Jaleel to go home – so there is a good chance that my guts are more biased this week. 🙂
ETA: I want to note that all of the above was written prior to this Tweet from Tom Bergeron:
So, you tell me. You’ve seen the numbers. What is shocking enough to make Bergeron say “WTF?” Keep in mind that Tom RARELY does this – I don’t think he even did it one time last season. I’m tempted to change my call to William or Katherine…but I think I’m going to leave it as is with Jaleel. I still think the top three (Maria, Roshon and Donald) are safe – but what about those two previous leader board toppers??
Uh oh, Tom Bergeron tweeted online voting shifted results and that this elimination will make jaws drop?
That rules out Gladys, Sherri, Melissa, and Gavin going home unless Tom is being completely over the top.
Jaleel? Katherine? William?
Already mentioned in the comments of the power rankings, but to give everyone some context, the last time I can recall Tom tweeting that an elimination was “shocking” was in season 11, when The Hoff got eliminated – and The Hoff was in a 3-way tie for lowest score. So a “shocking” elim may not necessarily mean a high-scorer…
…I’m leaning towards Katherine – it’s the first week she hasn’t had a really high score to protect her, and she went in one of the “running order positions of doom” and generally had a bit of an off-week. I don’t really think her fanbase has truly been tested. Do I think she deserves to go home? No. Do I think she’s in danger of going home? Possibly.
I think the only 3 to me who would classify as shocking and actually could be kicked off are…
1) roshon -praying not cuz team rochee is my fav …but young fans are always a questionable voting base
2) jaleel – not shocking for anyone visits sites like this and keeps up with negative press, but shocking for the avg public and the fact that preseason into week 1 he was the front runner to beat
3) Katherine – in the same boat as roshon, would be a shame to see her go…but foreign pretty girls never seem to bode well with voting demo, but she seemed charming enough to win over fans
william, donald – think they have way too many fans right now to be voted off
maria, sherri – safely in the middle of the road of entertaining dances/personalties/scores/ fanbases – dont see them leaving tonight
gavin/gladys/melissa – i dont think any of these three would be a shocking elimination to anyone, so according to TOM, they should be safe
My guess is Roshon. He’s been good and pretty consistent, but maybe voters haven’t been turning out for him. Who knows? But he’s my guess.
Still got my fingers crossed for Jaleel though… 😉
I think your reasoning is pretty sound. One thing you have to remember too – Derek, Maks and now Tristan all have their own fanbases and power-voters, so I see them as buying their celebs at least a couple of weeks on their own.
Tom’s tweet is certainly intruiging, and the more I think about it, the more I wonder if it isn’t William gone.
Thanks Heidi for doing the numbers!
now that i look at those, i feel pretty good about Roshon being safe 🙂
so im gonna say…if it’s truly a shock… jaleel or katherine
I would normally guess Jaleel but taking into account Tom’s WTF I will say Katherine.
If it’s truly such a shocking elimination they will at least gain more public support for the dance-offs.
It can’t be Katherine. I hope not.
Oh, dear…… I’m afraid it might be Katherine. But you never know, it might be William – he’s in a worse position on the leader board, and I’m sure that would shock Tom. I’m still hoping, hoping, hoping that it’s Jaleel, though.
I don’t think Tristan’s fanbase is there just yet, compared to Derek, Maks and Cheryl. But he’s getting there. If Gladys is safe, it will likely be thanks to Gladys. 🙂
Remember when the girl from Disney was by far the best dancer and she got eliminated because “everyone” thought she was safe…then Tom Bergeron didn’t necessarily say “wtf” but I remember that show and how he kept saying there was going to be an upset…yada yada yada….this smacks of the same thing…I think it is William or Katherine….
So…many…numbers. Haha! I got lost in the mix of things, but then again, it’s not anyone’s fault but my own. And I can’t really complain about there being so many numbers in a NUMBERS post. lol
Anyway, I do find it strange that Tom tweeted that. I’m beginning to think Gavin won’t be in the bottom as pointed out above, he does have a little bit of a buffer. I don’t see Will or Katherine going home, so this “surprising” elimination we’re in for makes me think Jaleel is going home. But that’s just me.
Guh I really don’t want Katherine to go ! I hope the shocking elimination will be Jaleel, though it wouldn’t be really shocking to me considering all the bad press…
I would also be happy if William leaves, then again it might also be Roshon, he’s doing good but idk about his fanbase. So I’m really hoping it’s between William and Jaleel…
I’m thinking it will be Jaleel. He started very strong, and until whatever happened last week he was doing pretty well. He has clearly lost steam, and the show may not be seeing that he has lost favor with the viewers, OR the show knows it and is happy he’s going but has to play up the shock factor.
I think it’s Sherri or Jaleel going tonight. I would actually rather see Sherri go at this point, but they are both kind of off putting to me so whatever.
My husband watched with me last night and he actually said that “those judges must really like that foreign guy (William) for him to screw up that bad and still get that score. I think it’s funny how apparent their protection is of him.
Well, I don’t think Tristan’s fanbase is at Maks or Derek levels yet, but it’s getting there. I dunno – its the whole ‘middle of the night shift’ thing that has me thinking an overseas fan base (say, Irish fans voting for Tristan or Welsh for Katherine, etc.) affected the outcome, since that’s when they would be voting. One thing’s for sure – we will have a much better sense of how the vote is going after tonight.
Lynne – yeah, this does feel a bit like the whole Sabrina debacle…
I think the term shocking may be subjective. I want to say Jaleel because of how well he did the first week. However shocking could also mean the way someone gets eliminated. For example, what if Melissa can’t continue because of her neck injury or if Maria broke her foot? A little neck injury didn’t keep Kym down, but with a non-dancer who knows.
Twickenham, I live in Europe, the show starts at 2am for me so I vote online on tuesdays and I have all day until 5pm so that leaves plenty of time to vote for overseas fans like me, but then I’m not sure that there are tons of people who are able to do this, with work etc It would be interesting to know how many overseas ppl actually vote…
I would love to see one of the judge’s “pets” be the shock elim. This will be the only chance before the new dance off is implemented. Whomever it is, the message has been sent. If you don’t get enough votes, the viewers don’t want you to continue …despite obvious score manipulation by the judges. Power to the people!!! LOL
Shocking elimination tonight meaning it’s going to be either Jaleel, William, Katherine or Roshon
While I am intrigued by Tom’s tweet and fear seeing Katherine in the bottom two, since there is a dance off this week I think she’ll be OK. She’s an amazing and I think could beat anydody else in a dance off. I would say I think it’s William because that would make sense for Tom to tweet ” shocking ” because they at DWTS think he’s the best thing since sliced bread and Gilles Marini. 😛 The dance off complicates things though so i’m guessing that Jaleel and Katherine are the bottom two and Jaleel’s going home with William as a strong possibility.
Zach, I think the dance off starts next week :/ I believe thats what Tom said
Ugh! I hate it when Tom tweets stuff like this. Let his idea of a shocker be Jaleel, I don’t want to lose anyone else. Seems to me Tom’s *not* shocked when a “good dancer” is eliminated. Did he give a hint about Chelsea or Audrina? He seems to save his “shock” tweets for when people with supposedly large fan bases (like The Hoff) are booted early.
Since I’m a bit of a nerd when it comes to numbers and statistics, I love the Dancing by the Numbers post! I agree that it seems like Gavin is gaining in popularity and I don’t think he’ll be going home. I think Sherri has enough voting fans to get her out of the bottom two. I’m unsure of Gladys and Melissa. Seems I wouldn’t be surprised if either were in the bottom two. Katherine’s scores took quite a dip from last week so she may make a shock bottom two appearance. I really hope Jaleel goes home. I love Kym, but his overall attitude (like his reaction to getting 7s last night) and the reported fight coupled with the crying last week rub me the wrong way.
Oooh, I just saw Tom’s tweet. I’m thinking William or Katherine. I hope it’s not Katherine, because she’s the best dancer this season (though Maria and Roshon are catching up fast). I’d be fine with William going since he was overscored A LOT for the first three weeks and one point overscored last night, in my opinion. Nothing against him, but I just don’t think he’s as good of a dancer as the judges make him seem.
Does the dance off start tonight. There are posts on other boards that think it is starting tonight? Since I watch on DVR and tend to zip through the judges and brooke-bot speak I am afraid I may have missed something.
Thanks for all the work put into the posts. While the numbers tend to numb my brain…I do enjoy reading them even if I don’t understand half of what is said.
Thanks Heidi, I was really looking for these numbers…
I hope is Jaleel going home tonite. But think it’s gonna be Sherri.
Hell, I guess it’s not going to be Katherine… =(
Hated the UFG/MMA theme – was a Mark thing (as was Chelsea freestyle), not Katherine’s…
That wouldn’t be shocking, though, Twickenham – if they’re GETTING the votes, they would stay.
I dunno, Ashley, Maria, Derek, Mark and Katherine were all out last night together so I don’t think it’s Maria’s physical issues. Plus, Tom distinctly mentioned the voting.
I would be shocked if it was Roshon or Maria (since they both have the same score) – that’s some pretty serious vote totals that would have to be overcome.
Well, Chelsea made it to the final three, so no shock there. And I think he did say something about Audrina.
I have no idea what to think. Those are some huge numbers for people to overcome to send home Roshon, Donald, or Maria, but what really does constitute “shocking?” To me it would be one of those three, or William, Katherine, or maybe Jaleel. I don’t see the others as being “shocking” but you never know. The fact that he tweeted about the Hoff being shocking seems to point to it being a lower vote getting with a seemingly huge fan base, but who knows? I just hope it’s not Roshon, Katherine or Donald. Those are the only ones I really care about.
Yeah, but Chelsea made it with an extra 15 points to boost her up to 70 points.
It better not be Derek and Maria…if so, I am done with DWTS this year for sure! That would be a SHOCKER……no, no!!!
Are the dance offs not till next week??
Maybe Tom just means that the “assumed”, Gavin, is getting is votes to be called safe? Maybe the dropping of jaws would be because he was in bottom 2 twice, but is now safe…..by a lot of votes…. ? A few more hours to go 🙂
Yes, Zach. Last results show, Tom said, “After next week, for the next 3 weeks the couples in the bottom two will have a dance off”….blah blah blah… 🙁
When I think “Jaw Dropping” (overall performances) I think Katherine, Donald, Maria or Roshon.
In terms of Pro’s (fan base) + their celebrity – “Jaw Dropping” = Maks (Melissa), or Val (Sherri) – Maks and Val have a HUGE MASSIVE fan base – these folks will vote through the night if need be. Although if it came down to anyone splitting the vote – (which has been discouraged) I’d say Maks would win hands down…. his elimination at this stage of the game would be “jaw dropping” to his fan base.
Folks are warming up to Gavin – but he’s been in the bottom 2 the last 2 weeks – so no “Jaw Dropping” there
Gladys – that might be – while the dance last night was not great – the Empress of Soul – IS the Empress of Soul (hear the crowd react last night to judges score – pity the judge who scores below a 7) People LOVE Gladys – there is a sentimentality to her – could be “jaw dropping” but I don’t think so.
HYPE Jaw Dropping: William or Jaleel
Jaleel was thought to be the “front runner” Hype
William ~ “Sex Sells” Hype
Guess it depends on your definition or Tom’s definition of “Jaw Dropping” 😉
Loved the numbers post as always, can’t wait to see how it all works out tonight.
Tom also said last night that the dance-off thing doesn’t start until next week.
Why didn’t I see this shocking elim coming?
**Of course** a shocking elimination happens the very week before they start letting the judges decide who goes home. ;-P
In Tom and TV’s twisted world they could consider Sherri to be “shocking”. She is a judges favorite and “lights up the ball room”.
Maybe “jaw dropping” just means Gavin is not in the bottom two this week? Perhaps the actual eliminated dancer could be someone who has been cruising in the low middle all this time, so not a huge shock.
Based on Tom’s tweet “WTF”, I would say its either Jaleel, Katherine, or William. jmo though.
It better not be Katherine. She’s the best one there and wasn’t even toward the bottom. She placed higher than 6 people. I don’t think ALL 6 couples below her are polling significantly higher votes than her.
Maybe it’s Jaleel. I could see it. Just can’t be Katherine. She deserves to make it till the end. I would be devastated.
Brooke also commented: @brookeburke
“Don’t miss 2night’s result show #DWTS. All I can say is Holy Rock-n-Rolly!!! Ong!” (guess Ong is OMG?).
William would be the most surprising to leave even with his low score because of the way people go crazy over him, but what Tom and Brooke think as surprising my be different from what we think. That’s one way to get ratings!!! Fingers crossed my favorites make to another week.
I’m REALLY hoping its Jaleel!!!
i think will be jaleel white is leaving because of past abuse will hurt him and not be good the show and others around him
I’m hoping with every ounce of “hope-power” I have that it’s not Katherine. I voted a LOT for her last night, because I expected she would need them. All of my other votes went to Maria. I’m sure Maria, Donald, and Roshon aren’t going anywhere. The rest are a toss up. I’m just praying it’s somebody besides Katherine.
But a part of me it’s slightly convinced that Katherine will make it. It would be “shocking” if it was her, but like many others have stated, Jaleel could constitute as shocking. Honestly, if it is Jaleel, I say “Hope the door hits you where the good Lord split you.” I love Kym, but just don’t like Jaleel whatsoever. Total disappointment. I wouldn’t mind too much if it was William, although I do think he is better than Sherri and I like him more than Jaleel.
Bottom line: Just PLEASE not be Katherine. I think I would cry if it’s true.
I really hope that it’s Jaleel…. To the average viewer, I think that would be shocking. He’s in the middle of the pack with a 3 way tie with 22 points. Jaleel just bugs the hell out of me even though his DWTS cast seem to be all chummy with him again.
Ok. I have a “what if” thought…maybe Tom’s tweet has a clue in it….like ‘This one will make your jaws drop’? Maybe it’s Sherri since she seems to always be talking. No offense intended against Sherri but that girl is always moving her jaws! Remember when Florence got voted off and Tom sent a tweet of him sitting at his desk with his feet up and he has his computer screen showing all of the contestants up in the format of the Brady Bunch and said we would be shocked at who was going home? I’m probably reading too much in it, but it’s fun to guess.
Tom said “WTF” and “jaws will drop”. I think a high scorer is going home and it really could be anybody.
What a tweet from Tom! lol
I personally don’t think Jaleel would be shocking to Tom because of all the negative press. I suppose it might be to the average viewer. I don’t know.
I really think the biggest WTF eliminations would be William, Katherine and Roshon. Sherri and Melissa might also be shocking, given their fanbases, but their scores would suggest otherwise.
Wow.
To me, a fan base is an unknown quantity. And even if you could figure that out, how do we know if they voted?
This show followed a holiday. Many people are away, many people are home, kids are off from school. How many took the time to vote? How many forgot?
Hard to say…
Oops…. I forgot about Maria. I guess it should be just about anyone! LOL.
@lizzbeth has a point. Doesn’t matter how big a fanbase a pro or celeb has…it’s the voting fanbase that makes the difference.
Well, bullcookies! All this number crunching and speculating, and we still won’t know until tonight. I’m sure DWTS is loving this.
The words “shocking” and “jaw dropping” make me think it has to be someone unexpected is going. I think Maria and Donald are safe. Gladys, Melissa, Sherri, and Gavin really wouldn’t be shocking. That leaves Roshon, Jaleel, William and Katherine in the danger zone. Since Jaleel was considered an early front runner, maybe it’s him but, with all the bad publicity … would that be shocking? I’m thinking it’s going to be William since both Roshon and Katherine have a slight advantage with the judges scores.
Love the numbers posts – tonight should give a better hint at how viewers are voting.
Gawd, I hope it’s not a good dancer that goes home. I’ll be sad. Please let it be Jaleel. If it’s Gladys, Gavin, or Melissa, I’d be ok with it too.
And Heidi, you rock as always with your Numbers posts. I had to work all afternoon (longer than was planned) and couldn’t wait to get home to read this.
Mark tweeted, “Uh, oh…brace yourselves”…and then Tom’s tweet. LOL!!!
Thanks, Heidi, for another great numbers analysis.
How would Mark know who was going home? Unless he too read Tom’s tweet and in bracing like the rest of us…
I think it’s Wiiliam or Roshan based on Tom’s tweet!
Love the numbers post! 🙂
More I’m thinking, it’s gotta be Jaleel. He was only 2 points off the bottom. His public image have fallen and/or people are turned off by his odd behavior.
I think to the show and to Tom, it’s shocking because he tied for the top in Week 1 and was predicted by some to make the final 3.
Katherine got 2 more points than him and if more people voted for Jaleel than Katherine, than that it messed up.
Could be our jaws will drop because who is in the bottom 2 and not necessarily who is eliminated. Let’s say the bottom 2 are William and Gladys—Gladys would get eliminated, but the “shock” would be William, for example.
As far as him saying online votes over night….isn’t that when UK, etc votes?
Melissa or katherine, imo my least favorite celebs, don’t mind if either one is voted off.
@Nathan, I don’t think Mark knows who it is. He’s reacting to Tom’s tweet just like we are. 🙂
I want my Martina back. 🙁
What are they doing for the first hour tonight? It’s a 2-hour show right?
Nope. They’re airing two sitcoms.
Well imo only about 4 would be jaw dropping…….
Donald, William, Katherine or Maria.
I suspect one of them is gone………
Zach, me too!!
I doubt it’s either Maria and especially not Donald…but if it were Maria, I would be able to go to bed earlier on Mondays…
Sorry if this seems a bit off topic at first but it does connect to the topic so bare with me. George Pennacchio from an ABC station in California said his sources told him Melissa will NOT be at tonight’s results show, however only time will tell if he’s right. Now that makes me think she’s safe because would they really tell her to stay home, if that’s the case, if she were the one to be going? I don’t know but that’s just my reasoning.
I think that if this truly a jaw dropping elimination I could see William, Katherine, and Roshon who would be the most in danager for that with Jaleel and possibly Maria being outliers for a shockign elimination tonight but we’ll be finding out soon enough!
I hope it is not Maria or Donald. I wish I had your confidence PH
Okay, my final decision, gut feeling. I think it’s William. I think some were annoyed by the overscoring and treatment of him as if her were meat. None of this is his fault, but it may have affected his votes.
Second choice – Katherine.
Here we go…….
I’m not that confident, Melissa – I just have a realistic view of the show, regardless of what some may think. What happens will happen. Nothing to be done but go to bed early on Monday nights if it’s Maria. 🙂
It might be Roshon who is vulnerable…I saw a lot of tweets saying the used up their phone votes for him, but seldom do I see anyone tweeting that they went online to vote for him, you can count on your fingers of one hand his online voters based on his twitter followers.
[…] Heidi: After a good bit of waffeling, I predicted Jaleel going home with either Melissa or Gladys in the bottom two with him. […]
I want to see Maria do all of the ballroom dances! Particularly a v waltz!