DWTS Las Vegas Odds For April 19th: Do you agree with the odds makers this time?
We usually see a twist in the Las Vegas Odds after another week of dances. This week, however, the Las Vegas odds are relatively the same in comparison to last week’s odds. The only difference is are the numbers slightly. The odds for Jaleel and Roshon have lowered. Also, Roshon and Melissa have switched places which I don’t understand since Roshon is clearly the better dancer? I imagine his fan base isn’t as big? Also note how Donald is in first place this week where he and Katherine were tied for first last week.
This week’s new Las Vegas Odds:
Donald Driver 19/10
Katherine Jenkins 2/1
William Levy 9/4
Maria Menounos 8/1
Jaleel White 25/1
Melissa Gilbert 30/1
Roshon Fegan 30/1
Gladys Knight 100/1
Last week’s Las Vegas Odds:
Donald Driver 2/1
Katherine Jenkins 2/1
William Levy 9/4
Maria Menounos 8/1
Jaleel White 15/1
Roshon Fegan 25/1
Melissa Gilbert 30/1
Gavin DeGraw 75/1
Gladys Knight 100/1
Let’s see what my PureDwts partners in crime think after looking at the new odds for this week? Be sure to tell us what you think too in the comments section.
Courtney: I think the fact that Melissa has been consistently scoring pretty low and still hasn’t fallen into the bottom 2 is confuzzling the oddsmakers 
I don’t think they quite know what to make of her. At this point, I’d actually put her above both Roshon AND Jaleel, considering those two have actually appeared in the bottom 2 while Melissa hasn’t yet – then again, I’m wondering if they’re trying to anticipate who falls into the dance duel and emerges victorious. I’m also not so sure I’d give Gladys such long-shot odds – she hasn’t been in the bottom 2, either, and had to get a decent amount of votes in order to overcome Roshon in week 4. Will she win the whole thing? Probably not, but I don’t think it’s as implausible as these odds imply. But, as with Melissa, I think they’re torn between what the scores & voting so far are telling them and what the judges are likely to do in the dance duel – I actually feel for the oddsmakers in that respect, because the two concepts seem to contradict one another. Yes, the judges would likely eliminate Melissa and/or Gladys in a heartbeat if they happened to tumble into the bottom 2, but what’s the likelihood that it would actually happen at this point??? The pattern of this season so far seems to indicate that both Roshon & Jaleel falling into the duel next week is a far more likely scenario…or one of them getting eliminated outright and the other duking it out with someone else in the dance duel. As for the opposite end of the odds…I’m really surprised they actually still have Donald at the top, with even better odds than last week, considering the tongue bath William was given this week, and Donald getting kinda shafted by Len. Oh well…I have a feeling the odds still have some shifting to do as we approach the finale…
Heidi: I think the odds makers see the same thing we do, in terms of Donald – personality. Like it or not, he also has his football fans behind him whereas William and Katherine MAY be suffering from being relatively unknown. Odds makers are people too. They may just see the same things we do and they may also know that the over hyped are usually being over hyped for a reason. That said, and while I think Donald does have the best actual shot of winning, I think the others could step in and be a surprise. So much of what happens on this show depends on things other than one or two given dances – the judges tend to rank and their ranking and desire to keep a few out of the bottom is, I think, obvious to everyone. But once they get down to the core 5 that they think deserve to be there, THAT’S when their true feelings come out. I fully expect Maria and maybe even Donald to start getting a bit of the Ralph treatment to make sure that William, Katherine and Donald are in the final three, with William and Katherine being the final two. But only a bit of the Ralph treatment – it also seems clear to me that the judges got the memo on their treatment of many past contestants because, over all, they have been MUCH nicer this season than any season in recent memory. And these people aren’t THAT good at dancing. There ain’t a Nicole in this bunch. And there is no Kristi with the huge fanbase either, I don’t think. That makes things harder.
Source: Las Vegas Sports Betting
I think it’s closer to what the odds are in reality. At this point its a four horse race between William, Donald, Katherine, and Maria (I would love to say Roshon too but something isn’t clicking with viewers for him it seems).
On a side note, I have a feeling that Gladys is going to go farther than Jaleel so its funny to see her being 100/1 and him being 25/1. I think the oddsmakers didn’t see the results show this week lol.
You are right Heidi, personality, personality, personality, Donald has everything you need to take it to the end, and not to mention a perfect pairing with Peta. One question though: I know you explained the odds before, but I keep looking at Donalds and what does 19/10 mean?
Heidi – You said, “That said, and while I think Donald does have the best actual shot of winning, I think the others could step in and be a surprise.”
Do you really think the judges only want Katherine and William as the final 2? Have we ever had 2 unknowns be the last 2 standing? What about fanbase?
@Sandy – Easiest way to interpret the odds is to think of the first number as the amount of money you win for how much you bet of the 2nd number, should Donald actually win. So in this case, for every $10 you bet on Donald, you get $19 if he actually wins. Or, for every dollar you bet on Donald, you get $1.90 back if he wins. If you divide the first number by the 2nd, that’s the amount of money you win for every dollar you bet. So for William, who’s odds are 9/4, you get $2.25 for every dollar you bet, should William actually win.
Okay. Thank You!
Its interesting that Katherine, Willy, and Maria’s odds have not changed since last week.
I can’t stand the partnership of William and Cheryl, I hope they are gone before the final 3.
I could see them trying to push for William & Katherine as the final two (lord knows why, as I still haven’t figured out the benefit of pimping either of them), but I don’t know if that would actually be the outcome – I think Donald has the potential to absolutely SLAY both of them in fan votes, even if (or perhaps, especially if) the judges kinda lowball him towards the end. I could see William or Katherine getting “Chelsea’d” – still in 3rd place after the judges did everything in their power to shoo them into the final 2.
I’ve got a post about this coming next week, but I think people are going to be shocked to see that William doesn’t exactly have an easy road ahead of him – he’s basically burned through all of the overtly “sexy” dances already, so all of that sex appeal that Carrie Ann’s been raving about so far? Yeah, he & Cheryl aren’t really going to be able to rely on it too much after next week…he’s got 4 ballroom dances left to do, a tough Latin dance (samba), and paso doble. Nothing super easy (or super sexy) for Cheryl to work with.
@Courtney
I don’t know about the samba. I could see Cheryl making it somewhat raunchy, which would appeal to both Carrie Ann and Bruno. Purist Len probably would not be amused, although hasn’t he in the past criticized some sambas for lacking the “raunch” factor?
Also, my mind may be slipping, but don’t Cheryl and William still have the tango to do? Is that not considered a sexy dance, or is it just the Argentine tango?
Anyway, I’m not pleased that Roshon is going to be doing a rumba the same week as Cheryl and William. He could do the best rumba that’s ever been done by a male contestant on the show (which is possible given that there’s no real standouts other than possibly JR’s last season), but they are going to compare it to William’s and Cheryl’s in their mind and say it lacks emotionality. Furthermore, Len does not seem to be a fan of Chelsie’s rumbas. I thought he was overly harsh on her rumba with Louis Vito, which looked pretty good as male rumbas go. I think he gave them a 5 despite the fact that Louis actually moved his hips significantly.
@IrisandLilies – Cheryl may make their samba raunchy, but Len has been known to call out sambas for being TOO raunchy, as well as lacking content. Case in point: Nicole’s samba. Plus they’ve still got to have quite a bit of technique – there’s only so much the judges can overlook. And yes, they still have the tango, but it’s the standard ballroom tango – which means they aren’t going to be able to break hold or get all up in each other’s personal space like they did in the Argentine tango. It can be sexy in the right hands, but it’s also very structured. I still don’t think it’s going to be a walk in the park for either of them. Like I said, they’ve already done pretty much all of the really sexy dances (Argentine tango, salsa, cha-cha, and then rumba this coming week), and the bulk of what remains is very technical, subdued ballroom.
@Courtney
Thanks for the explanation. I do recall Gilles’s samba as being overtly sexy (in my mind bordering on raunchy based on some of the moves Cheryl did (not Gilles)), but Gilles also performed well technically.
As for Len, he flip flops on what he considers “raunchy.” I was surprised when he called Nicole’s and Derek’s samba out for being raunchy when Julianne and Apolo did a samba with many of the same moves and he gave them a 10.
Well Courtney, I agree with you about fanbase. I have to think that most of the viewers feel the same as most of us do about the contestants. The Good and the Bad.
And back on William a second, I can barely understand him when he speaks, that has to be negative for most viewers as well.
As of right now I’m thinking things will play out like this: 1) Katherine 2) Donald 3) William. But I will most probably change my mind in the following weeks. Personally I would like to see Roshon in the final, instead of Donald or William.
@Iris
I agree about L. Vito’s Rumba. His dancing wasn’t THAT bad and their chemistry was sizzling in that particular dance. Should have gotten 7′s just for the chemistry alone.
William, Donald and Maria. Katherine/Mark will be booted just before the finals
@sasa For a moment, I was like “Louis Vuitton was a part of the show?” but the next second, I got that its Louie Vito
. So embarrassing…
Is there a section in this website that I can see writers’ and/or commenters’ favorites?
I agree, Sasa, I would like to see Roshon in the final. I’d like it to be 1) Roshon 2) Donald 3) Katherine. I’d almost be as happy with Donald winning as I would Roshon, and at this point that is only because Chelsie slightly outweighs Peta for me. Even with that though, I’m progressing more and more toward team Donald every week.
In commenting about JR’s rumba, I didn’t mean to imply that it was a technically great rumba, just that it was the most emotionally charged of the rumbas performed by male contestants on the show.
@sasa
I agree that Chelsie’s and L. Vito’s rumba was sizzling. There definitely was chemistry between those two. I also want to see Roshon in the finale. I think if he had any chance of replacing someone, I think it would be William, not Donald. My gut tells me that Donald’s fanbase is huge and only growing as contestants leave.
I think Katherine’s performance of the samba this week will indicate whether she has any chance of performing a crowd-pleasing and winning freestyle dance. Her jive was underwhelming from a performance standpoint, but maybe she’s loosened up after a couple of weeks.
For me, Katherine’s dance this week will be interesting because it’s the 1st time she’s doing one of the hip/booty shaking latin dances. She’s only had jive and paso so far. Her jive did have some sexy in it, but not like samba/salsa/cha-cha/rumba. And samba doesn’t seem to be the easy one of the bunch…
William, Donald and Katherine for the finals… unless those Maksim fans with 1000 or more accounts take them to the finals
…. not too sure about that, it did not work with Hope Solo.
I’m hoping for a final 3 of Donald, Maria, and Katherine. I’m not sure who I’d vote for, since Maria seems to be having such a blast (and Derek is my fav), but Donald seems so sweet and endearing…. and Katherine is a good dancer. I think it would make a dynamite finale! Oh, and Roshon would be my pick for 4th place, William for 5th.
I pretty much agree with the top 4, just maybe not in that order. However, I think it’s so close that one bad dance might mean a favorite is going home.
Unless Donald screws up badly, I think he will be in the finals along with Katherine. I’m not sure about Maria, but she definitely has a fighting chane to make it … at least to the semi-finals.
I agree with Courtney … I don’t think the producers have done William any favors based on the dances he has left. Except for the Paso, none of them really have that “wow” factor and that could hurt him. In order for him to make it all the way to the finals and/or win it, he’ll have to dance well, but if he can pull it
off … I might even vote for him.
I would think both Donald and Maria have big and growing fan bases while Katherine and William were relatively unknown before the show began. They both have certainly made a big impact and created lots of buzz but, can they an they catch up? Who knows … that MBT could be won by anyone
I think it’s worth noting that these are probably the odds to win. Not necessarily the odds to be kicked off next week. I think Gladys would have much better odds of not getting kicked off next week because of her large fan base. Although, I think we can all agree her odds of winning might be the lowest as is reflected in the odds above. Athletically I’m not sure she could ever score high enough to win.
Sandy, we’ll know once it gets down to a final 4 or 5 who the judges really want. If they don’t have any agenda, it could be anyway. But their interest may become clear then. And they might genuinely not have an agenda this season. We’ll find out, I think.
#12 Millie—I hope so
I agree with Courtney and Heidi that the judges will push for a William and Katherine final 2 all the way till the end, but I think (and hope) Donald will ultimately steal one of those spots despite the judges. For the life of me, I can’t understand the pimpage of these two this season. I’ve understood the reasons for it with some contestants in the past, but I just don’t see the great value to the show with these two. Maybe they are just trying to capitalize on the popularity of the Royal Wedding with “William and Katherine.” Lame joke I know, but I’m desperate here. lol!
I mean I don’t even have to discuss the overhype of William by all 3 judges. And I am so sick of Carrie Ann finding something every single week to say that Katherine is the “best ever” at. “Best dancer” (not even close) “Best jive kicks” (um.. no) “Best ever legs on the show” (is she blind and has absolutely no memory of past seasons?) “Best ever first week dance” (Two of Mark’s other ringers, Kristi and Sabrina, both had better first week dances) It’s just ridiculous! I can easily name 5 other dancers better than Katherine off the top of my head without even thinking about, and I know there’s more. Yes, Katherine is great and the best technical dancer this season (although I don’t feel much when she dances) but Carrie Ann needs to find a way to compliment and pimp her without calling her the “best ever” every week. It’s extremely annoying, at least to me.
Anyway, I’m hoping for Donald to pull out a win over these two in the end. I love him, his dancing and personality. And I’m really enjoying Peta this season. She’s doing a great job with him!
@dj – “Anyway, I’m hoping for Donald to pull out a win over these two in the end. I love him, his dancing and personality. And I’m really enjoying Peta this season. She’s doing a great job with him!”
I am hoping that a majority of the voters feel the same as you and I do. And vote like h*ll…..
I get the feeling the judges are hyping some in order to weed out the ones they want out. Very little is being left to the imagination this season. Katherine is technically good but I find her performances to be flat. I’d love a Roshon, Donald, Maria final, but agree with many that it will likely be Katherine, Donald and William. Oh well.
Katarina, I would love that final 3. But that is not what tptb want. Love it if Roshon and Maria beat out Katherine and William.
Seriously, she is not the best evah in any of those categories, Carrie Ann.
Depending on the day, there are different couples that I would like to see with Roshon and Chelsie in the finals. (Yes, I’m resigned that they are unlikely to make the finals). I prefer Mark’s more youthful freestyle dances over Derek’s, although they do tend to get somewhat hectic. However, based on what I’ve seen so far this season, Maria would give a better performance than Katherine in the freestyle, i.e., she’s more likely to let loose. Donald deserves to be in the finals more than William based on their performances so far. However, Donald’s and Peta’s freestyle is going to be lift-heavy, and I’m not a huge fan of lifts because many times they interfere with the flow of the dance. That said, I’m reiterating my prediction early in this season that Donald will take it all.
I think William deserves to be there. And in the end it will be William Maria and Katherine. Just gotta wait and see
[...] new Las Vegas Odds have been posted at Las Vegas Sports Betting. In comparison to last week’s odds, note how Donald and Katherine have switched places for first, but, not by much. Everyone else is [...]