Major Switcharoo For Dancing With The Stars Season 14 Las Vegas Odds Going Into Week 8
Las Vegas Sports Betting has posted their new odds for Dancing With The Stars. What another difference one week of dances can make compared to last week’s odds!! Maria’s numbers have risen and rightfully so. For the first time, she’s placing higher than William Levy. Donald Driver and Katherine Jenkins continue to be neck and neck for first. I felt a lump in my heart when reading how they’ve put Roshon Fegan in last and at such low odds. He’s tons better than Melissa Gilbert. Do the odds makers even watch this show?
New Las Vegas Odds for this week:
Katherine Jenkins 9/5
Donald Driver 19/10
Maria Menounos 3/1
William Levy 7/2
Melissa Gilbert 60/1
Roshon Fegan 75/1
Last week’s Las Vegas Odds:
Katherine Jenkins 7/4
Donald Driver 19/10
William Levy 11/4
Maria Menounos 15/2
Jaleel White 12/1
Roshon Fegan 50/1
Melissa Gilbert 50/1
As in previous week’s and to help us/me understand it better, lets get Miss Heidi and Courtney’s thoughts and reaction and be sure to tell us yours too in the comments section.
Heidi: So, basically, all it takes is one dance?? I mean, I would love for it to be true…but it was ONE dance. Yeah, I think Maria is better than William…I think ROSHON is better than William…but if all it takes is a perfect 30 to move you up the Vegas odds? Well, I kinda think that shows how little these guys know about DWTS. The judges will probably be handing out 10′s to William and Katherine this week and the will be the end of that. Yep…I’m still cynical. I don’t expect it to go away any time soon.
Courtney: I think the oddsmakers also tend to disregard that it was a good dance during a week where everyone else just did okay-to-marginal – it puts things in perspective a bit when you realize that Maria didn’t really have anyone nipping at her heels this week, and it was likely due to almost everyone getting shafted to a certain degree by their music choice. As much as I think it SUCKS that Roshon has such astronomical odds to overcome, I do think the oddsmakers are about on the money there – he’s the only remaining contestant that has been in the bottom 2 (and he’s been there three times), and he’s really only still here because of the dance duel. I guess Melissa’s odds are slightly better due to the fact that she’s never been in the bottom 2, despite her scores – but I don’t think she really stands a snowball’s chance in hell of actually winning, as I don’t see her suddenly giving 10-worthy performances…and man (and woman) cannot win on votes alone.








I really really hope that in the finals is Maria ,Katherine and Donald! Do you agree?
Thanks Vogue for posting the odds again!
I have to say that I agree with the first four places, only that *I* have no idea how these four are going to end up. Personally, I think Donald is the one who’s going to win. But still…it could be anybody! Katherine, William or Maria!
We also don’t have a clue how many votes Melissa and Maks are getting and how big is their fanbases, but I’ll have to agree with Courtney that she has no chances of winning this. But as the lesser dancer, I hope she will go home this week.
It’s really shame to watch Roshon in the last place, but that’s where I would put him too. Not because he is not a good dancer, cause he is, but because of all the reasons Courtney mentioned! He is still here only because of the dance duels!
And yes…just ONE dance who scored perfect thirty doesn’t mean that you are going to win this! It really takes much more! I wish, like Heidi, this would be true cause God knows how much I want to see Maria getting that trophy!!
Actually, I’m open to any of them being in the finals this time…well, with an exception to Melissa. I love her and Maks, but, at this point in time, I don’t think she deserves to be in it.
And getting great scores throughout the competition is no guarantee either. Ask Mya. Or Gilles. For that matter, you can have a couple really bad weeks and still win – like JR.
I think Donald is going to win too…and if Maria and Derek get eliminated, that’s most likely where all my votes will go. I just like him the best out of the William/Katherine/Donald trio.
YW Ifigenia! I think it’s time for Melissa to go too.
@Vogue
You said it fine!! At this point she doesn’t deserve to be in the finals! Not even to the semi-finals! I really hope she goes home this week.
@Heidi
You are so right! And getting good scores also doesn’t mean you are going to win! It’s a combination of lots of things!
And yes…that’s what I also said! If Maria and Derek goes, Donald all the way!!
@Heidi – I was wondering if you still felt the same about Donald taking home that MBT. I think he will win as well.
I really don’t see Katherine pulling out the win, she is just too forgettable. William’s elimination will be partly to blame on his pro, Cheryl. The damage has been done.
I see Maria as possibly being one of the 3 finalists, but I just don’t see another win for Derek this season.
I really wanted to love Melissa, of course so Max had a really good shot at that Mirror Ball. But I just do not think she is very good. I cannot put my finger on it, but he seems way too powerful for her I guess is how I will say it. I have no idea who will go home in double elimination next week. But if I had to guess I think Roshon and Melissa. Of course that would leave William, Donald, Maria and Katherine to fight it out the rest of the way. Out of the four of them, I would say it is anyone of theirs to lose. I really like Roshon, too, but he has been in the bottom two enough to make me think he might not survive past next week. Oh who the heck knows. Cannot believe we are so close to the end of this season of DWTS and American Idol.
I am thinking unless someone really has an off week this week Roshan will be gone. I hope Melissia goes with him as she is the worst dancer. I am thinking we may get really low scores for her this week. I hope William goes next and leaves Damald, Kat & Maria for finals. The judgesay knock out Maria and put Willy in the finals but they seem to have chilled out dome where with him.
I didn’t get an email newsletter today. Guess there was not one.
If Maria doesn’t win or can’t continue because of injuries, it’s Donald all the way…
Implicit in Las Vegas’ odds is the oddsmaker’s assessment of each couple’s probability of actually winning. Those probabilities cannot be calculated directly from the odds themselves (because you have to factor in the house’s “take” of about 20% on DWTS bets). Taking that additional factor into account, these odds effectively say that Melissa and Roshon are almost certainly this week’s double elimination and that it’s anyone’s ballgame after that … which everyone pretty much already knew.
Implied Odds of Winning:
Katherine/Mark …. 29.67%
Donald/Peta ……… 28.65%
Maria/Derek ……… 20.77%
William/Cheryl .….. 18.46%
Melissa/Maks ….….. 1.36%
Roshon/Chelsie …… 1.09%
I usually split my votes amongst more than two couples BUT this season they always have gone to Maria and Derek and Donald Peta. I stopped voting for Jack one week and he got eliminated lol don’t want that happening to either of them.
I want Donald and Katherine in the final and really don’t have a preference between William and Maria, but I lean a little towards William. I like his personality better than Maria’s.
I would be OK with Donald winning, but IMO Katherine may indeed have the votes to keep her in this. I would love to see her win, so I’m hoping I’m right.
I’d like to see Maria, Donald and Katherine in the final. I want to see M and D dancing together as long as possible. If they go before that,
I’ll vote for Donald.
So yes, Adam, I agree!
Question: do all of you want Donald, Katherine, Maria, and William in the final 4 because you actually think they can dance, or do you like them and vote for them just because EVERYBODY ELSE likes them and votes for them??? Please people use your OWN minds. There’s absolutely NOTHING wrong with Roshon’s dancing and if you would throw him a few of your votes, then maybe he would’nt end up in the bottom two every week.
@Lathan
No Lathan!!! I am voting for Maria because I DO like her and I WANT to see her in the finals. Not because the others want that or because they told me to vote for her! Nobody is going to tell me how I’ll vote! I never said that Roshon can’t dance, but everyone have their own favorites! That’s how the show works!
I love 1) her improvement (she had never danced before in her life and she gets the first 30 of the season), 2) her personality (she makes me laugh and makes my days), 3) her determination and her strength (it’s amazing how she is pulling it off through all these injuries) and most of all 4) I loooove her chemistry with her partner!! She is my favorite and I won’t stop voting for her just to help someone else get into the finals by the possibility Maria to stay out!!! If she voted off, I’ll vote for my second favorite, who’s Donald!
So, if others’ favorites don’t agree with yours, it’s not their fault. Apparently, something else on Roshon doesn’t get to people and they are not voting for him. I can’t tell you what that is. For me, even though I like his dancing, is that I find him a little bit annoying sometimes. I wish he could make it cause he is a great dancer and I am sure he would if he was competing in another season…But he is on this season and we can’t change that.
I’d like to see Donald win the whole thing. Of the people left, he has the complete package – attitude, work ethic, dance ability. For the finale, I’d also like to see Katherine and Maria, because I think that would be the most entertaining.. The 4th spot? Frankly, “meh”… Could go either way. William would be the weakest dancer, IMO, but I don’t like hip-hop moves in the ballroom… but that’s just little ‘ole me…
Lathan, dial it back about 10 notches…like NOW. If you had actually read a lot of the comments here before launching into a full-on assault, you’d see the majority of them actually do like Roshon & think he’s a great dancer…but let’s get real here: do you HONESTLY think that he’s got a chance of making it to the finals??? He’s been in the bottom 2 THREE TIMES – and even when the judges score him decently high, he still can’t manage to stay out of the bottom. He doesn’t have the duel to save him anymore, and though many of us have tossed quite a few votes his way (I’ve given him 300 each of the past 4 weeks), with the way things have played out, we’ve pretty much just been delaying the inevitable: that Ro is probably going to be a goner after this week, even though he’s one of the better dancers left. If you don’t think we’re using our brains on that one, I dunno what else to tell you, honey.
And I’m not sure who you think you are, trying to tell everyone they’re “not using their brains” because they’re not voting for Roshon, and then going so far as to blame everyone for Ro being in the bottom two, but it stops NOW. Climb down off your high horse & discuss things like an adult or you will be done posting here.
Lathan, I’m finding your comment rude. I think the majority of posters here DO use their “OWN” minds thank you very much!! Just because someone may not vote for Roshon or like the same dancer you do doesn’t mean they are incompetent. With that said and if you were a regular, you’d know the majority here have not liked Roshon in the bottom two every week any more than you do. Blame the judges for it and their lowball scoring.
+1 Court!!! And I’ve been voting for Roshon too every week!! I think they are all great dancers. It’s been hard every week to decide who has been the best. It’s such a tight competition this time …which I’m loving.
+2 Ive been voting for Roshon too, and will continue to this week…but
everybody is just being realistic, unless this boy scores a perfect 60/60 + develops a fanbase over night, he’s a goner. As unfortunate as it is, thats the name of the game
I’ve been power voting for Roshon also. Eventhough his chances of making it to the semi-finals is slim, it’s not gonna stop me from doing my part and voting even more. I just hope that if Roshon and Chelsie due get eliminated they go out with a bang with their Foxtrot and Paso. Roshon seems pretty excited about the dances this week.
This week viewers get back some power in voting for their team. If someone doesn’t think a team is getting enough votes then vote more yourself and campaign to you friends and family to vote.
Lathan, mind your own damn business and quit begging for votes. People like who they like and it’s not up to you to lecture them for not loving Roshon.
How do you know they aren’t using their own damn minds? Just because they don’t like who you like??
Actually, Harriett, you don’t get back any power because two people are going to be eliminated.
It’s kind of ironic, Miss Heidi. Doesn’t Lathan realize a rude comment like that only chases people away from voting from the person you want not the other way around?
+1 Vogue! It turned me off…
I like Roshon, but I can’t stop voting for Melissa and Maks. It is a compulsion! My opinions change around all the time but today, now, my votes would go to:
1) Maks/Melissa — if they get eliminated my votes will go to:
2) Chelsie/Roshon; then:
3) Peta/Donald; then (although I don’t believe he’ll be eliminated in the next two weeks:)
4) Cheryl/William; then:
5) Mark/Katherine; then:
6) Derek/Maria.
[...] Last week I was shocked the Las Vegas odds makers put Roshon in last place at such low odds, but, well….you know the outcome as both he and Melissa were voted off of Dancing With The Stars. Leading into the Semi-finals, the competition and the odds have tightened up…and maybe even more so that we’ve ever seen them on this show thus far? However, note how Katherine has moved down from a first place position to third (for the first time this season) and is tied with Maria. Donald is in first place and William is in second place. Below is what Las Vegas Sports Betting is reporting currently… [...]