Dancing with the Stars Season 15: Week 2 Predictions!
As always many thanks to Heidi for this weeks’ Who is Dancing What and When post.
From Heidi’s post here is how the couples will stack up in accordance to past data:
Much like last week, half of the celebrities have danced the same dance in the same week… it will be interesting to see how the scores compare to tonight’s scores on those cases.
In case you have forgotten here was last week’s original predicted scores in comparison to what the celebrities received in their season for the same week and same dance (separate if they did a different dance in that week) as well as their actual score from last week:
Taking a look at the original elimination predictions from earlier this year Helio Castroneves is not only towards the bottom of eliminations (placing 11th) but he is also towards the bottom of this weeks predicted leaderboard.
It will be interesting to see how the scores stack up this evening and compare them to how the couples did in their original season as well as the various predicted scores…
Thanks, Marianya! Very interesting to look at Emmitt’s predicted and actual score from last week! Kelly’s too!
I see Drew is predicted to do well this week. Hope you’re right! 😉
This is my fav part about this site. If I had to guess, I would have said most of these scores too. The two that I disagree with you slightly are Bristol and Mark and and Kirstie and Maks. I think Bristol is going to get 21 and Kirstie is going to get 24.
I hope you are right…but I kind of smell a rat with the producers seeming to do on and on about how great the men are this year…and then today I saw a whole DWTS commercial devoted to Kelly….which I can’t remember ever seeing only one single dancer highlighted like that…and I think they are pimping up Gilles and Emmitt…because I thought while Emmitt’s dance was good last week I didn’t think it was “awesome” and deserved to be top of the leaderboard.
So fascinating as always. Thanks Marianya! I don’t want to say or think this, but, I have a feeling Drew is going to still be at the bottom this week….and Helio as well. I think Bristol will be at the bottom as well and one of the three is going home.
Many thanks to you, Marianya for this post! Hate to nitpick but Val has actually done a Quickstep at this point in the season before. In season 13 wk 2 he danced a Quickstep with Elisabetta and they got 21. 🙂
@Zach: You know why? Because the tables with all the pre-formulated calculations on my spreadsheet have “Val Chmerkovskiy”… and when I derive the data for the predictions I have been using “Valentin Chmerkovskiy”
Me = human… no kidding. 🙂 Post is updated by the way.
Marianya, You’re an amazing human. I’m sure those spreadsheets are a beauty to behold. Thanks for doing this for us (even if I don’t always like the way the numbers are leaning) 🙂
My thoughts of tonights dances:
Melissa and Tony-Ok, Melissa always has great tehnique, but I felt like her jive was on the boring side. She is in the top 5, but I have a feeling she might be in the bottom 2.
Bristol and Mark-I think it’s pretty obvious now that country music and ballroom dancing do not mix, so I hope there wont be a Country Week. Even though the judges didn’t like her quickstep, I actually liked it a little. Yes, she broke hold, but I thought it was probably one of the most memorable dances of the night.
Helio and Chelsie-After last week, I thought he wasn’t going to last long at all, but after his jive, he proved that he is a force to be reckoned with.
Apolo and Karina-Still my favorites. Enough said.
Sabrina and Louis-Probably by far the most memorable dance of the night and I wouldn’t be suprised if she got the encore tomorrow night.
Kirstie and Maks-Kristie is not the best dancer in this bunch, but I thought her jive was better than the judges let on. And their storyline for the dance was really original.
Emmitt and Cheryl-I can understand why people are on an Emmitt hype, but I just dont think he is the one of the best this season.
Drew and Anna-Much better than last week. I think he was underscored a little. I dont expct him to be in the bottom 2, but you never know.
Joey and Kym-I felt so bad, because I thought he actually did a really good job and I loved the ending of his dance.
Shawn and Derek-Another awesome routine. But, if Derek doesn’t challenge her with the coreography, she might be “Sabrina Bryan’ed”
Kelly and Val-I thought they just did ok. For the first time, I actually agree with all the judges. I really want her to stay around and I think she will.
Gilles and Peta-I’m not really a fan of Gilles and Peta only because I don’t see any chemistry, but they are technically an awesome duo.
To wrap up, the music sucked and I think the ones in trouble will be Kirstie, Melissa and Joey.