Dancing with the Stars Season 15: Week 3 Predictions
This is going to be an off week on so many levels… I can just sense it. So I am going to apologize for the tardiness of last week and this week’s votes… Looking at the calculations and predictions this week (as always many thanks to Heidi for finding out Who is Dancing What:
I am actually surprised that Tony Dovolani has not done a Samba this early in the competition. That can’t be right. Well I looked at the past seasons and the earliest that Tony has done a Samba was in Week 5… which for the purposes of the predicted calculations would not be used as Week 5 is considered to be the middle of the seasons and not early.
To be honest I am surprised that Drew Lachey is ranked so low while Bristol Palin *shudders* is placed high. I guess we are going to have to see.
Taking a look at last week’s scores and comparing them with the original predictions:
As you can see the numbers when you compare the predictions to the actual are all over the place. Thus another reason why one cannot use past data for such a subjective sport. However, when one would look at the original scores (when averaged up) what I found to be interesting is that for the most part the rankings of the original scores were similar to the overall rankings of the actual scores. Sure there were a few anomalies here and there (Drew Lachey being the major one), but at least there is some consistency going on.
Like I said before, I apologize for the delay in the posts from last week and this week… and I hope to be more up to date after this week… so bare with me in the meantime.
If I were going to guess at who would most likely be going home based on what I know thus far… with Helio and Drew having already been at the Bottom Two, and this week being a double elimination… It is hard to say. However considering that both Drew and Helio are predicted to be the in the bottom three lowest scoring couples (with Kirstie) my best bet would be on one of them. Helio is most likely to go due to his predicted early eliminiation. Kirstie and Drew are also possibilities at this point based entirely on predictions, even though I would honestly love to see Bristol go too.
So I would bet on Helio going with a toss up between Drew and Kirstie… and Bristol as a wish list elimination.
Wow, please please don’t let Bristol do that well!!!! *cries*
Thanks, Marianya…always interesting! I do hope you’re wrong about Bristol doing so well. I might be crying in my beer tomorrow night!
Great post, and I love your comment about Bristol being a “wish list elimination”. I can only hope. If she is saved again this week, I’ll be joining SherryJ in crying in my beer and I don’t even like beer! But I may have some just to cry in it!!!
Maybe we should buy a keg….lol…because I will be joining you as well. Just saw Derek’s tweet about something they are doing that could cause actual physical harm….with them you never know what it could be….hope the judging is fair tonight…and who is dancing with the donkey???
Helio going home before Bristol would just be so wrong. He is such a joy to watch, he works hard and is enjoying every minute of it. I will join everyone with the beer, and I don’t like beer either!
There were some good dances and some not so good ones tonight. Of course the judges scores did not reflect what I saw. There was no way that Kirstie deserved 8’s. And Len was the only one who porperly docked the Golden Boy for breaking the rules.
No, actually Len docked “golden boy” more than he did Bristol for breaking the rules. That dance was a 30. By the way, if you’re going to be an ass? Learn to spell.
Sorry for the typo, not sure how that makes me as ass though
As I said b4 the season even started..I think the judges are going to “handicap” Shawn’s + Apolo’s scores, and they are. Those 2 alone should have been at the top of the leader board, with Shawn in first place. After all, Len issued a warning, criticism and challenge all at the same time that she wasn’t doing “enough”. And several other couples should have been higher than Melissa. The tricks she added ruined her dance , she was wobbley, they actually STOPPED in the middle of the dance to do a couple of them. No flow…judges scoring as usual, unfathomable for any person of reason to try to decipher. Shawn’s dance given the same score as Kirstie’s? Yes, she should have been docked 1 POINT for breaking hold (Bristol was docked 1, as Len so pointedly brought up)but the reason for anything lower-there isn’t one. Apolo and Karina, also. Sure it was a quieter dance but it sizzled, I didn’t see any”mistakes”??
I have to give it to Kelly, she was GOOD. But she did lose her footing a couple of times..should’ve maybe gotten third or fourth. Giles and Peta just looked ridiculous to me last night..his opening stunt had NOTHING to do with the dance, which neither did very well.
And the judges are NEVER going to give Bristol the scores she really deserves. Nothing much else stood out for me.
I think if you took a magnifying glass to SJ +AO’s dances and found nothing wrong, the judges would still keep lo-balling because they think they have such an advantage. I think the result will be one or both of them getting eliminated because of the judges “gaming” the scores, instead of being 2 of the top 3 where they should end up.