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DWTS Season 15, Week 5 – Dancing by the Numbers

This week, this particular post doesn’t mean a hill of beans because, as I’m sure you’ve all figured out by now, there was no elimination. But I’ve had a few requests for it so you can see how your favorites are doing. EVERYTHING could change on Monday night and I have some confidence that it will. I predict Sabrina stays in first place to get her past this particular week – and maybe past the following week. I think that Kirstie and Kelly – and maybe Melissa – are the next designated people who are considered disposable by the producers/judges.

Yes. Heidi is having a very cynical week. :-)

Anyway, let’s take a look at the numbers for this week:

The Judges Scores and Percentages

Oh dear, everyone favorite over the top showmance which gets more forced by the day is in serious trouble. At least, this week. You’ll notice that everyone but Kirstie has at least a percentage point lead on her. That translates to more votes than I would be comfortable with if I were them – roughly 10,000. What does Kelly have to do to stick around beyond this pretend elimination week? ONE of the following:

–          Kelly needs to get 2,250 more votes per million votes cast than Kirstie, OR;

–           Kelly needs to get 10,150 more votes per million votes cast than Emmitt, OR;

–          Kelly needs to get 11,250 more votes per million votes cast than Shawn, Apolo, Melissa or Gilles, OR;

–          Kelly needs to get 15,750 more votes per million votes cast than Sabrina.

Kelly has been relatively protected up to now by people with either much lower scores or fanbase issues of their own. But that protection is largely gone this week. Lots of people would be tempted to say that Kirstie is going to go because she was in the bottom two last week with Bristol. But Kirstie beat the spread on Bristol that was about three times the spread between her and Kelly. This is the part of the all star season where it gets really hard, cuz I’m really not sure if Kelly’s got juice or not. I’m inclined to say “not” – when compared to Kirstie. And I don’t think there is anyone else she can catch. Don’t give me crap about Soap fanbases – soaps are being cancelled left and right. Not to mention that it’s all relative – someone has to go, so you have to consider if other fanbases are bigger or more passionate.

But let’s assume that Kelly finds a miraculous way to safety. What does Kirstie needs need in order to stick around??  She needs ONE of the following:

–          Kirstie needs to get 7,900 more votes per million votes cast than Emmitt, OR;

–          Kirstie needs to get 11,250 more votes per million votes cast than Shawn, Apolo, Melissa or Gilles, OR;

–          Kirstie needs to get 13,500 more votes per million votes cast than Sabrina.

Based on those numbers, if there was an elimination this week I think it easily comes down to Kelly and Kirstie. I think the only other two people in potential danger would be Melissa and Sabrina – but the margins are too great this week. I think. We won’t really know until it happens. The path forward from here is really not clear. Emmitt has been fading into the woodwork lately, so it’s possible he’s in the lower tier as well.

But, when asked to make a guess, my guess is that Kelly would go home. If not her, Kirstie. Next week, we add a ton of points and everything can change. In any case, you can be sure the margins get smaller.

 

October 25, 2012 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

Jason Mraz And Taylor Swift To Perform On Dancing With The Stars October 30th

As we reported to you last week, Jason Mraz is set to perform on Dancing With The Stars. @DancingABC at twitter also confirmed tonight that Taylor Swift as performing. Both artists will perform on Tuesday night’s Results show!!!


The amazing @ will be performing this Tuesday on Dancing with the Stars: All-Stars at 8|7c on ABC! Will you be watching? #DWTS
@DancingABC
Official DWTS

Below are some more details on the shows and entertainment for next week from ABC Medianet

“Episode 1506 & 1506A” – Put on your cowboy wear… It’s Country night, on “Dancing with the Stars: All-Stars,” MONDAY, OCTOBER 29 (8:00-10:01 p.m., ET) on the ABC Television Network. Each couple will be performing to a Country hit song where the celebrity will be required to perform a solo during his or her routine. Three-time CMA Award-nominated group Little Big Town will rock the stage, performing their smash hit, “Pontoon,” accompanied by The Troupe. The remaining eight couples will perform together in a Freestyle Group Dance. Accompanying the Group Dance, Country legends Big & Rich, along with Cowboy Troy, will perform a medley of “Save a Horse (Ride a Cowboy)” and “I Play Chicken with the Train,” two of the show’s most exciting freestyle songs from previous seasons. This is the first time the show’s Group Dance will be accompanied by musical guests.

The next night, TUESDAY, OCTOBER 30 (8:00-9:01 p.m., ET), multi-platinum recording artist and six-time Grammy(r) winner Taylor Swift will perform her mega hit single, “We Are Never Ever Getting Back Together,” from her new blockbuster album, “Red.” In addition Grammy-winning singer and songwriter Jason Mraz will hit the stage to perform his chart topping hit single, “I Won’t Give Up,” from his latest album, “Love is a Four Letter Word.” Pro dancers Chelsie Hightower and Mark Ballas will dance during his live performance. And this week’s “Macy’s Stars of Dance” welcomes RJ Durell and Nick Florez, two of the hottest choreographers in the business, having worked with Katy Perry, Cher Lloyd and, most recently, Pink. Their dance will bring a modern day twist on Marie Antoinette, featuring incredible costumes, amazing hair and makeup, and 14 of some of the best dancers out there.

For the DWTS After party, be sure to tune in as Mark Ballas is set to perform according to his twitter. According to Grinya Talent, Iveta Lukosiute (@D8Iveta at twitter) and Tony Meredith (@ny212tony at twitter) will be guests to help critique the dances.

I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.

DWTS Judge Carrie Anne Inaba Talks Of Chemistry Some More On KTLA (Video)

Judge Carrie Ann Inaba went on KTLA today to discuss the fall from her chair on Dancing With The Stars this past week. She also discussed some of the contestants “chemistry”. She says Gilles and Peta could win the competition because of their chemistry, sexiness, etc.. She also says Derek and Shawn have a “chemistry” in a different “electrifying” and “magical” way. She also goes on again about Karina and Apolo and how they lack chemistry and how they haven’t found their “common point” yet. She ends the interview talking about her pet causes and how she’s auctioning two tickets for the Dancing With The Stars finale. More in detail below.
Read more..

I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.

The Costumes And Make-up: Who had the best look for DWTS 15 Week 5?

The Dancing With The Stars Make-up Team has released some behind the scenes photos of the cast getting ready for the shows this past week. Above is Shawn Johnson, Karina Smirnoff, and Peta Murgatroyd. To see more pics of the cast, see Dancing With The Stars Make-up’s official facebook page. I always enjoy the close-up of their EYES and how they do their make-up.

As for the costumes, who did you think had the prettiest or coolest costumes this week? I think I loved Kirstie’s long black flowing dress the most. But, what about Shawn and Derek? They looked stunning. I also liked Kelly’s 80’s vibe black corset dress and jewelry. I loved Karina’s red dress as well. She talked of how she designed it at Instyle.

“When I designed the costume, I wanted it to look like a silk nightgown,” Smirnoff told InStyle.com. “I wanted to match the dress, the hair and the makeup to what the song and dance make you feel—fun and sexy with some funk and sass! It was such a great, soft and seductive look—I loved it!”

It was perfect and I liked the red with Apolo’s leopard shirt. Let us know what you think in comments.

I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.

Shirley Ballas, Louis Van Amstel, And Sabrina Bryan Critique Dancing With The Stars Week 5’s Dances

Dancing champion Shirley Ballas was a guest on After Buzz to critique this past week’s dances from a “professional” perspective. As some of you pointed out in comments, she feels much like we do. For starters, she felt Tony and Melissa’s individual dance could have used more difficult choreography, passion, and chemistry. Louis Van Amstel and Sabrina were interviewed and joined in to critique the dances as well from a “dancing” perspective. Louis thinks Tony should push Melissa more too. As for Derek and Shawn, Shirley says Derek is “creative beyond belief”, but, he and Shawn’s dance missed a few technical elements. She has some choice words to describe Gilles Marini which aren’t far from our own this season. He’s too “self absorbed” and not as “sincere” in his dancing like he should be. Lots more below on each couple including Shirley’s thoughts on who she thinks will be in the Finale: Shawn and Derek, Louis and Sabrina, Emmitt and Cheryl, or possibly Apolo and Karina if they can get their chemistry in check. This interview is 45 minutes long, but, so well worth a listen when you get a chance. Let us know what you think and if you agree with Shirley? Can I just say? SHIRLEY SHOULD BE A JUDGE! I’d love to see her more involved with the show every week somehow and even possibly replace Carrie Anne!! Can you imagine?

I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.