DWTS Season 16, Week 9 – Dancing by the Numbers

Okay, the scenario for Week 9 is underscore Zendaya for the first round and massively overscore her in the second round, putting her in fourth place. Clearly, Ingo can’t beat her in votes. He might be able to beat one of the others (Aly?), but he can’t beat her. So, she can handle the underscore in the first round for the DRAMA.

Actually, talking to Court on twitter and she and I disagree a tiny bit on Zendaya’s quickstep. I agreed with the judges: she’s still unsteady out of her turns and that first run, in particular, Val was dragging her.  He was dragging her a bit later in the dance as well. I don’t think she was underscored by a lot, but maybe a point. Here is where I am conflicted. IF she were dancing with Derek, they would be docked 2 or 3 points by Len for the Go Karts, the outfits and the fact that she is AGAIN wearing sneakers.  I mean, really?? If you can’t do the dances in heels like everyone else you should be docked.  But I HATE it when Len does it to Derek (and only Derek), and I don’t agree with it. BUT, if you’re going to do it to Derek – then you have to do it to EVERYONE. That’s the thing about this show – it’s so freakin’ uneven.  A 24? A bit low. I say 25, MAYBE 26. And that Hip Hop? SO over rated. And overscored. I mean, really? I expected SO much more. Maybe if I didn’t watch SYTYCD and she hadn’t been dancing hip hop since age 8…..And the judges are pimping her album during the critique?  Hey!!  Look!! They just jumped that there shark!!

I was actually impressed with Aly’s first dance AND she seems to be coming alive when talking – she’s losing that monotone, rehearsed sound to her comments. I don’t agree that it was worthy of a thirty, but I have to agree that she’s stepping up her game. The second dance?? It was not unique or particularly inspired – but it didn’t suck. I just don’t think it lived up to the hype that Mark was giving it. I appreciate that he was excited about it though, but after Shawn’s samba AND Bhangra last season I was a bit disappointed. Really, the in sync comments were galling on a her and Ingo both – does crack also may you see things in sync??

Jacoby won the night. Seriously. That was a great AT and his Lindy was fun as hell. I can’t argue with his scores at all. Fantastic. Loved him. Was laughing out loud at him once again. He makes me want to do an entire cheesecake devoted to just him (and Peanut in a fedora). :-)

Kellie – fantastic AT, as to be expected with Derek. I agreed with the judges on the Flamenco, as she did seem to tire out a bit. Still amazing and light years ahead of what Val did last season.  But Jesus…Derek was freakin’ AMAZING. I’ve never seen him dance like that. That was hot and spicy and incredibly difficult. Wow. I can’t wait to see him tap dancing in his movie (how’s THAT for pimping?). How in the hell do you do that with your feet??? I can’t even imagine. He pretty much put any other Flamenco to SHAME on this show.  As Court said on twitter – it’s a shame that Flamenco is the man’s dance like Paso. I could see one of those every season. Done right. ;-)

Anyway, where DO we stand??

week 9

Zendaya’s scoring is a bit of a red herring designed for Drama, I’m thinking. As I said earlier, I don’t think Ingo can touch her and really, that’s all that matters. You only have to beat one person. And the fact that they felt free to score her somewhat fairly (overall) tells me that the pimping has worked and she’s getting the votes. Maybe. Who knows?  Zendaya’s scoring tells me that Ingo is a goner. I’ll be shocked if it’s anyone other than him. What does Ingo need to do to stick around? He needs ONE of the following:

-        Ingo needs 10,700 more votes per million votes cast than Zendaya, OR;

-        Ingo needs 25,000 more votes per million votes cast than Kellie, OR;

-        Ingo needs 28,500 more votes per million votes cast then EITHER Aly or Jacoby.

I don’t think he’s beating Zendaya. Kellie? Anything is possible. I’m still not sure that half of Derek’s fans haven’t said “f#$k it” and walked away in disgust last season. Eh, I doubt Ingo beats Kellie, regardless. I don’t see him catching either Aly or Jacoby either.

Let’s say a miracle happens and Ingo beats someone. Zendaya is next on the list. What does Zendaya need to be safe to next week? She needs ONE of the following:

-        Zendaya needs for Ingo to NOT get the 10,700 more votes per million votes cast than her, OR;

-        Zendaya needs 14,300 more votes per million votes cast than Kellie, OR;

-        Zendaya needs 17,800 more votes per million votes cast than EITHER Jacoby or Aly.

I honestly have no idea if Zendaya’s youngsters are voting for her and/or if the general audience is voting for her or not. If it weren’t for the fact that they’ve been pimping the crap out of her all season, I would suggest a shocking elimination for Zendaya, but I don’t see that happening for her. I think it’s all “mission accomplished” at headquarters.

Let’s say that Ingo and Zendaya are safe. What does Kellie have to do to avoid a shocking elimination?? She needs ONE of the following to happen:

-        Kellie needs for Ingo to NOT get the 25,000 more votes per million votes cast than her, OR;

-        Kellie needs for Zendaya to NOT get the 14,300 more votes per million votes cast than her, OR;

-        Kellie needs to get 3,600 more votes per million votes cast than Aly OR Jacoby.

I have to believe that Kellie is beating Aly at this point, but who can be sure?? I really can’t make a call. I can only make ONE call and that is this:

Ingo be going home. I’m not even going to guess a second choice because I don’t see it…and if I did see it I can’t imagine who he might beat.