DWTS Season 21, Week FOUR – Dancing by the Numbers
Well, another interesting week on DWTS. Really, I don’t have too many complaints beside CAI’s shocking blindness to the lifts that were happening. She really does seem to only see them when Derek does them, and not when other pros let them happen. But, this shouldn’t surprise me – I was talking tonight over margaritas about what the producers might do to prevent Bindi winning. My friends think Bindi is a sure thing – but they aren’t online and don’t really pay close attention to the show. I think Bindi has to overcome the “everyone gets a trophy” cabal, and that’s no small thing.
I do think it’s going to come down to Bindi, Alek and Nick. I think Hayes and Tamar are going to fight for fourth place and I gotta say – I’m leaning toward Hayes right now. My friends who aren’t online are extremely impressed with him and not at all impressed with Nick. They also love Alek. It’s very interesting to talk to those who aren’t online (and therefore aren’t contaminated by the BS). They may actually be a bit better at calling the show than I am – but they also show me that the general audience is VERY susceptible to the producer’s subtle manipulations. Actually, after talking to them, I wonder if Nick might get edged out of the Top 3 by either Hayes or Tamar.
Well, let’s not get too ahead of ourselves. Nick IS a Backstreet Boy, after all. 🙂
Anyway, what happened with the leaderboard? And shout out to Tony Dovolani for his bafflement that Bindi didn’t get a perfect score – dude, you gotta know by now that the judges aren’t scoring based on reality, but based on what week it is and the hidden agenda. It’s all false. Anyway…
Now, Bindi is at the top and there is a three way tie for second place. CAI and Julianne give the same score to Nick, Tamar and Hayes that they do to Bindi. Crack is wack, ya’ll. Tamar and Hayes MAYBE I could forgive, but Nick? No. Sorry, but that dance was a letdown.
Anyway, none of this will likely matter because they are going to combine week 4 with week 5 (the switchup) to eliminate someone in week 6. Now Paula says that Week 6 will feature a double elimination. I say why not? Let’s tighten it up right now. Anyway, no idea if this is true, but we’ll consider it in this post. Despite that there will be a whole bunch of scores on Monday night to change everything that I write here, it helps to look at these scores and required votes and then see what the new scores do – and how much power the judges have.
As the low woman on the totem pole, Paula has the most work to do. Fortunately for her, she has Mark this week and it sounds like they are having a lot of fun (and I’m sure of it). Mark learned how to make fried chicken, ya’ll!! And having a lot of fun is important. I have a lot of confidence that Mark can create a fun dance for Paula. But she has a bit of work to do regardless.
As you can see, if there was an elimination this coming Monday, Paula would need about 12,800 more votes per million votes cast than Alexa, Mark’s actual partner. And doesn’t that kinda suck? Why this really sucks is that my sense is that Alexa isn’t connecting with the audience – and I think Paula might have a legit chance. Now, I think Alexa seems like a very nice girl, but I think the whole “married couple competing” thing has hurt her chances, for a variety of reasons we’ve discussed here, ad nauseum. She’s in a tough spot, because Paula is a well-known person with a fanbase. BUT, at the end of the day, there are a whole other set of scores to be added and I suspect that Alexa will do well with Derek – probably very well – and that will keep her safe for another week. Maybe. If Paula is right about the double elimination, Alexa pretty much needs Andy to score low in order to ensure her safety.
But what about the double elimination? If that is true, then two people leave and that really changes the game. For Paula to be safe, she needs TWO of the following to happen:
- Paula needs to get 12,800 more votes per million votes cast than Alexa, AND/OR;
- Paula needs to get 21,200 more votes per million votes cast than Andy, AND/OR;
- Paula needs to get 25,500 more votes per million votes cast than Alek, AND/OR;
- Paula needs to get 29,700 more votes per million votes cast than Carlos, AND/OR;
- And so on…
Now, I don’t think that Alek or Carlos have too much to worry about. In this situation I think it comes down to Paula, Alexa and Andy. IF it is a double, I think Paula may be one of them, but the other eliminated depends heavily on what happens tomorrow night. If Alexa just kills her Tango with Derek, then I think Andy is in danger. But if Alexa doesn’t score significantly above Andy – and Paula does very well with Mark – all bets are off.
Let me guess at Week 5 scores, just to show you what could happen. Now, I think Alexa will do well, and I think Bindi will do well, if for no other reason that the judges don’t want to hurt you-know-who’s reputation. They might even want to pump him up and give Bindi a 30. Fine by me – as Bindi herself said, it’s due to the foundation Derek has laid for 6 weeks and she is Derek’s partner. So, you have three dancers influenced by Derek and Mark – Paula, Alexa and Bindi. If all three do very well tomorrow, that could spell doom for Andy – and, depending on Paula, it might not be enough to save her. Here are my guesses:
As you can see, I’ve predicted that Alexa will do better, as will Bindi – the 30 might be pushing it, it just depends on the producers agendas and how strong they are. I think Tamar and Nick will be steady, with Hayes dropping a point and Carlos gaining a point. Alek I’m really not sure about – I think it has the potential to go either way. I’m guessing he kills it on chemistry alone. But this will be the first indication if he’s going to have the latin hip action or not. It may not matter, depending on what the judges are on. 🙂 I think both Andy and Paula are going to benefit tremendously from a partner switch. Nothing against their current partners, just that Sharna is THAT GOOD as is Mark – not to mention that Mark and Paula are having way too much fun.
So let’s say I’m close. What does all this mean for the couples? Well, there is ten points between Andy and Paula. If it’s not a double elimination, Andy could be safe.
If Paula does a little bit better and Andy does a little bit better, Paula would still need 20k votes per million votes cast to beat him. That’s quite a bit. I honestly don’t know if she’s doing it or not. But if she’s right about the double elimination, she would have to beat TWO people in order to be safe. In other words, she would have to get two of the following:
- Paula would need roughly 20k votes per million votes cast to beat Andy, AND/OR;
- Paula would need roughly 23k votes per million votes cast to beat Alexa, AND/OR;
- Paula would need roughly 27k votes per million votes cast to beat Carlos, AND/OR;
- Paula would need roughly 29k votes per million votes cast to beat Paula, AND/OR;
- So on up the leader board.
The big question is if she has it in her to beat two of the Andy/Alexa/Carlos combination. I kinda doubt it, but ALL of them have been in jeopardy and all of them have been hanging in the middle of the pack. If Paula’s dance/package goes like I suspect it will on Monday night, things could get really interesting. Combine that with lower scores than what I’ve guessed for Andy/Alexa/Carlos and it will get real interesting really fast. I don’t know what to hope for. I don’t want Mark to see another early exit, plus I like Alexa FAR better than her husband. It’s a conundrum.
So, whether or not Paula is safe, it’s interesting to look at the people directly above her – once you get past Paula, the race tightens up. If Paula does well, and any of the Andy/Alexa/Carlos don’t do as well things could get a bit crazy.
So, Andy only needs roughly 2k to beat Alexa and roughly 6k to beat Carlos, in this scenario. That’s chump change. And Alexa is dancing with Derek, who I’m sure she’ll do quite well with. I’m not sure this bears any further discussion (from me), because we don’t know what’s going to happen. But just look at how tight those numbers are and think about who’s dancing with who.
Who would you put money on at this point? Who do you think will do better with their switch up partner…and who will do worse?
You forgot someone! The possibility of a 40.
“Former DWTS pro and Season 18 champion Maks Chmerkovskiy will return to the bathroom in Week 5. This time to take a seat at the judge’s table alongside Julianne Hough, Carrie Ann Inaba and Bruno Tonioli to weigh in on the new pairs.” Copied from DWTS website
These numbers are mind boggling so all I will say is that I think Alexa will score well since she’s with Derek and will be safe. Carlos is not connecting with me and I didn’t care for his story last week so if others feel likewise I think he may be in danger over Andy or Alexa. I think Paula will go even if she does okay with Mark. She just can’t keep up. Everyone left is much younger.
So I’ve heard – Vogue posted it days ago. But since this is all guess work anyway, leaving him out really doesn’t matter. All adding a 4th judge does is make the spread a bit tighter – and I doubt he will stray too far from the others.
yep very true! with more points on the table it changes things a bit in terms of the numbers, and how close they are to each other.
Mmmhh very interesting how people perceive Nick. The fans are amazed by him, because we all know he’s not a dancer. He never thought he was a dancer and we all know he was never comfortable with dancing. He’s not Kev or AJ who are smooth and pretty comfortable with their dancing. Nick? Nope. Just because he is part of the backstreet boys doesn’t mean he has to dance perfectly. I’ve seen Hayes and Alek dance and nope. The only one who is a really contender is Bindi. And somewhere else I’ve read a comment “Don’t ever underestimate the Backstreet Army, especially when is about Nick”
Oh I see Maks scoring his brother very highly because it’s Val but then he could lowball her too in order to sabatoge Derek, I wouldn’t put it past him at all.
I think Andy will do very well with Sharna..better than Alexa with Derek? Not likely. I’m not sure how much technique Andy is getting from Allison…but I could see Sharna improving that greatly.
Regardless, I’d be shocked if Paula isn’t eliminated next week. It’s anybody’s guess on who the 2nd person will be. I agree that it will likely be between Andy and Alexa and possibly even Carlos. Truthfully, I wouldn’t mind seeing Carlos say adios. I just don’t like him.
So, I’m gonna go with Paula and Carlos as next to be leaving the ballroom.
We’ve heard all of this before, MrsKT, and sometimes it’s true and sometimes it’s not. We’ll have to wait and see. But I don’t think he’s a lock for the MBT.
Princess Heidi, I always look forward to your numbers post, so thank you again for your hard work. I agree with your logic, especially that it will be very hard to call who will go home next, and the interesting thing will be to see how the dances Monday night actually affect the voting, vice just affecting the judges scores.
Realistically I think it probably will be Paula and Andy as the two current lowest scorers to go home, but I have to wonder how wild it would be if Carlos and Alexa were the eliminated pair, because even if Alexa does a fantastic job with Derek, the majority of Derek fans will probably still vote Bindi, whereas I could see Mark fans possibly vote splitting to ‘reward’ a fantastic Paula and Mark effort.
And if there is any chance that Carlos and Alexa are vote splitting to begin with, then the next elimination may get really shocking. Or perhaps that is just my ‘tinfoil hat being wrapped a little too tight’ :).
As long as Paula goes home I’m happy. If anyone else does I’ll be pretty disappointed.
I think Carlos has a shot for going home next week I don’t think they put him jeopardy for no reason. I really would like for him to go before Alexa, but I wonder if his much higher scores will keep him safe plus he did talk about his faith last week so I am sure he got some christian voters behind him now He was technically supposed to be with Allison this week which in my opinion would have hurt him. So they gave him Lindsay who I think is a better teacher. Anyways thanks for numbers, double elimination really is going to come down with how well the pairs do with their new partners.
Another great post. I’m in awe of your number crunching skills. Much appreciated!
It gets interesting I have to say Paula will do very well with the switch. (although I don’t know Louis very well) I think Alexa will also do very well with Derek. Paula seems the most logical to go but we all know it’s not a dance competition but a popularity contest so we all could be wrong. She was 5 pts behind Gary and survived. As for the double elimination, isn’t the team dances coming up? If 2 go it will leave 7 couples (usually 8 for teams) Just a thought If 2 do go my guess is Paula and Alexa or Carlos maybe Andy TPTB may want to split the whole married couple thing as they did with Charly and Meryl.
They can have team dances in week 6 before the elimination happens. But besides that, they’ve had team dances with uneven numbers before. At least twice that I recall.
@princess Heidi I understand what you’re saying when it comes to Bindi, but it seems like she has a huge following reminiscent of Kellie-not as good of dancer, and Kellie overcame the odds and won. The only difference that I see is that Bindi is going up against a much more popular ringer. If you could explain the difference?
Rachel, it’s not about the ringer (Nick), it’s about Derek. When Kellie won, Derek only had three trophies. Still hard to imagine anyone would vote for him to get another, but he did. But now he has 5 trophies – and unfortunately there are silly people out there that thinks everyone should get a trophy at one point. It only has to do with Derek and nothing to do with Bindi. The question is, can BINDI over come the idiocy of certain parts of the audience who think DEREK shouldn’t win again. That’s a question besides Nick. Bindi has to not just beat Nick, but she has to overcome the “Derek wins too much” part of the audience.
I really hate that Bindi has to overcome Derek’s trophy record because of idiots who don’t realize it’s about the celebrity who has never won. It’s just maddening. Hopefully she does have the Kellie effect. I’ll be doing my part to get her to that MBT that’s for sure.
PH, since everything is likely to change after tomorrow’s dances, you’re either a glutton for punishment or a statistics wonk who likes crunching numbers. Either way, I raise my glass to salute you. I’m really curious to see how Monday night’s scores shuffle the deck.
I haven’t been a big fan of Paula, but I kind of hope both she and Mark have a good night on Monday. He’s had a challenging season, and if they have fun and she has a good dance with him then goes out in Week 6, I’d call that a win-win.
What you said about your friends who are casual viewers and aren’t contaminated by all the online stuff really resonates with me. I think we’ve been exposed to the machine too much and become so jaded that we just can’t see things clearly from that perspective no matter how hard we try. One of my colleagues fits the casual viewer perfectly. She’s only watched the last couple seasons and has accurately predicted the winner every season she’s watched. I try not to “contaminate” her with all the insider stuff because I don’t want to ruin the show for her and I like getting that “average viewer” perspective.
It will be Interesting to see how the switch ups turn out. Four of the the teams are very close coming into this week. Interesting enough, 3 of them have the total of overall points. With the teams probably coming up soon, will be interesting to see how they all fair.
Great job, Heidi ~ This numbers thing is tough.
Linz, I can’t believe the ABC announcement hasn’t been corrected yet. it still says Maks will return to the “bathroom” 🙂
I meant to say, three of them, I believe have the same overall points- Nick, Bindi & Tamar~ If they had not underscored Bindi last week, she would have had the highest overall score.
I think I’m more excited for week 6 🙂
Great numbers again, Heidi. I don’t remember it being so tight with so many contestants before. I’m at a loss for who will go next week, but, I’m leaning towards Andy and Carlos. I would say Paula, but, she’s so cute and likable. She’s funny too and I’m loving her journey. I also think she and Mark might do really well tomorrow night. We will soon see!
LOL It does? OMG!!!
Well that would be a good place to keep Maks…lol. Maybe it was a Freudian slip…lol.
Dee, that’s hysterical!! How is it possible that ABC is so sloppy with their copy editing?
Of course, with smart phones taking over the world, hardly anybody seems to notice, care, or be embarrassed about typos anymore. They just shrug and say “stupid autocorrect”. (I know I sound like an old fart, but that’s just an excuse for the lazy. If you typed it, you need to own it–don’t blame the technology.)
Vogue I absolutely agree with you. Paula might become this season’s Tommy Chong. I think she and Mark may really entertain us tomorrow night and we may see some decent scores. I really like Andy but I don’t think he will continue past week six. Especially since Allison’s pregnancy announcement. I hope that Carlos is the second elimination. I don’t think he is connecting with the audience and the married couple thing is becoming annoying.
I can’t see Paula as this season’s Tommy Chong because after tomorrow she’s going back to Louis. He just doesn’t seem to know how to be entertaining.
LeannC, I agree. She’s funny in that same way! She also keeps surprising me in the same way as Tommy did.
I love the work you put into these, PH. Look forward to reading these each week!
@MRsKT – “Just because he is part of the backstreet boys doesn’t mean he has to dance perfectly.”
I was thinking the same thing the other day. I don’t quite understand what people expect him to do… they do know it was all dumbed down pop choreography and not ballroom dancing in the BSB, right? :-p I think he’s done really well. Maybe people were expecting more of an Alfonso situation. If he would lighten up a little in BTS footage it would help him greatly, I think. Time will tell in the next few weeks if there is an agenda. I do think that both he and Bindi both will likely have the votes to make it to the finals, regardless of scoring.
As for Hayes, he seems to have a HUGE and CRAZYYY following, so I am not counting him out unless/until he is eliminated. Wouldn’t be surprised if he is getting way more votes that people would expect.
Can’t wait for the switch up, especially Alexa and Derek. I think it will be telling as to her ability to connect (with her partner or the audience!)
Kinda makes you think twice about calling Nicole Scherzinger and Sabrina Bryan ringers, doesn’t it? Being part of a boy/girl band that has a dancing element to it doesn’t mean that you’re going to turn out to be a great dancer, a la Nicole. These are the same things we said about Nicole – that Pussycat Dolls was a chest pumps, pop choreo and not ballroom – yet because she was dancing with Derek and ended up being a really great dancer (but then, so was Kellie Pickler who had no experience at all)…well, there you go. And here we are making excuses for Nick, while Nicole is STILL labeled a huge ringer. Their backgrounds are essentially the *same*. At the end of the day, we can call them both ringers – doesn’t mean that Nick will be a successful one. I just find these double standards interesting.
But to get back to Mermaid’s comment – no one is expecting him to dance perfectly, just a lot better than he has been. But it’s not even his dancing that is at issue – he’s not connecting with me. He doesn’t really interest me. That is a problem for him, possibly with the general audience as a whole. We won’t know until we’re looking back on the season. But I would not be at all surprised for him to not win, and possibly only take 3rd.
I’m just glad there’s no elimination tonight because Bindi, Andy and Alexa are my favorites and two are teetering on the edge. I know Derek will do Alexa justice, I just hope Sharna does the same for Andy as she even this week appears to be focused on Nick. I like most of the stars this season so I really don’t want any to go lol.
Let me preface my comment by saying that I think Sharna is a good person, a wonderful teacher and choreographer, and I believe she’s doing the best she can do with Nick.
However – part of me wonders if this is similar to the Apolo/Karina and to a lesser degree Sharna/Charlie pairings – both of whom I loved – but there wasn’t a whole lot of outward “joy” in the partnership, at least visible to the audience – perhaps because of abilities and the perception/expectations that comes with such celebs (and perhaps also producer agenda, but besides that). But Apolo is made of steelier stuff than Nick – and I just wonder if there’s a tiny bit missing somewhere in Sharna’s approach to help propel Nick a bit further. I’m really curious to see how he does with Witney, who I also think is a taskmaster but maybe slightly more light-hearted than Sharna.
Nick seems like an intense dude. Probably a bit of a perfectionist as well. Nick and Sharna are in my top three favorite couples this season, but even I can agree that he’s not exactly a warm and fuzzy, made for this show personality.
I too hope that Witney can bring out more openness and warmth from Nick.
I kind of feel that Sharna is thinking that she might never get another Nick or Charlie again and might be feeling pressured to overachieve, which Nick is unconsciously picking up on.
The BSB’s dance last week and him having Witney this week will hopefully benefit him and help him relax and enjoy the ride instead of holding onto the rails with a white knuckled intensity.
I did not get the chance to watch the entire program until a few days ago, and I was just blown away by Carlos package and dance, and I think other people of faith probably felt the same. I have since spoken to a few people who saw the show, fans, but people who would not necessarily get online and vote, and they have said that they voted for him last week and will continue to give him votes, they were so impressed by his dance. I think Carlos has a very good chance of making it to the top four, he’s young, has potential, is relatable, why not?
@PH #28 – good comparison to Nicole, and that makes me wonder about Sharna as a pro/teacher. She is great, but is she good enough to break Nick past his issues? It does seem that most people who aren’t really excited about him make the same comment about his intensity/ability to relate – time will tell is his fan base is enough to overcome that. Part of me wants him to break out this week and be silly with Witney (very possible given her demeanor) but, at the same time, you never know how that will effect the regular partnership. It will be interesting. I am hoping he continues to get more comfortable because I think he could really wow us.
Figamentation – not having outward joy is a great way to describe it.
Dare I say, if this season continues as it has, Derek could be on the way to his sixth MBT? 🙂
Is anyone else sort of more excited for Paula and Mark tonight than anyone else? Haha! Didn’t think I’d be saying that.
Here’s the thing about Nick (and I apologize if this sounds a bit fangirlish): I’ve seen the Backstreet Boys in concert 3 times in my life, and I can state with confidence that he’s actually one of the weaker dancers in that group. Probably second-weakest, next to Kevin. Relegated to the back more often than not, and given a lot of walking & pointing choreography. And boy band dancing, as someone else mentioned, is already kinda watered-down and not particularly difficult. So I think the assumption that Nick would be good simply because he was in a boy band may have been a bit misplaced as a result – is he a showman? Sure. Does he have musicality? Yes. Will he get a lot of votes? Probably; but I don’t think the fact that he’s a Backstreet Boy guarantees he’ll be the second coming of Alfonso Ribeiro. And in all honesty, I don’t think any of the former boy banders we’ve had on the show have been super-stellar dancers right off the bat – I think they were all good showman and had good musicality, but I often found their technique lacking. Think of Drew Lachey, Joey Fatone, Lance Bass, and Joey McIntyre – looking back and comparing them to some truly incredible male dancers we’ve had on the show (Alfonso, Corbin, Charlie), they were ok, at best, and their strength lay more in showmanship and musicality. I also think most all of them ended up with female pros that just really knew how to showcase them well.
As for Nick in particular – part of me also wonders if he’s just so freakin’ busy with outside projects that he’s not been able to really throw himself into DWTS 100%. I keep hearing that BSB is already recording new music, plus he’s got that zombie movie going on…
Kelly #6 – I think the way Maks plays things will be very interesting – scoring Val well helps Derek, but scoring Val badly to spite Derek hurts Val…
Olivia, in order for Carlos to make the Top 4, someone else has to NOT make the top 4. So, who is he going to beat out?? Alek, Bindi, Nick or Tamar? I don’t see him getting past any of those four barring disaster.
Heck, at this point, I don’t think Carlos can even get past Hayes…
Maybe everyone has moved beyond the “Derek shouldn’t win again” thing since Maks and Val have both won now? I wish the producers would just let the judges judge fairly and let the audience vote without manipulation. Obviously the audience is ok with Derek winning many times, or he wouldn’t have already won 5 MBTs. It should be about Bindi, not Derek.
I think the issue with Nick is more personality than dancing. He seems like a nice guy, but he reminds me a bit of Bethany Mota, in that he seems to get lost among the more charismatic contestants. Bethany was a good dancer and she seemed sweet, but she didn’t leave a strong impression like, say Sadie and Alfonso. (And of course there was a lot of manipulation during her season, but I don’t think she would have won out against Alfonso and Sadie).
@Courtney exactly. I think that’s why I’m surprised people were expecting him to be amazing. Having to been to multiple BSB concerts, I knew he wasn’t going to be an Alfonso. I guess I just didn’t realize so many people did expect that, which is why I was confused/amused at people saying they’ve been underwhelmed. For Nick and his ability, he’s done great, and hopefully gets even better. I still think that his intensity is holding him back with non-BSB voters more than anything, right now, though, and if he would let his guard down a little more he would have more people would rooting for him.
Now if AJ were to ever do the show? Totally different story. I would expect a second coming of Alfonso for sure in that case. 🙂
BSB were way after my time. The first time I saw Nick dance on DWTS was in video taken during the opening number on Hollywood Blvd. He was wearing a bright blue suit and was dancing so “maniacally” (that’s a good thing btw) that he reminded me of an old style “villain” from Batman. He was really into it and I thought he portrayed the carnival aspect really well. Needless to say, his dancing in the competition hasn’t been like that. He seems like a nice enough guy, but that’s really all I get from him. I felt the way a couple of the people on Afterbuzz felt about his “BSB Concert” routine — it was stuff he’s done forever, not necessarily worthy of his scores. Beyond that, I’m just tired of the hand-wringing over whether or not Nick will be able to get out of his head.
As far as Derek goes, a lot of people are still rooting for him. I think there are far more fans of his than there are haters. The haters are just more vocal which makes them seem bigger than they actually are. I was on the dancing with the stars facebook page and there are a lot of fans pulling for him even apart from Bindi. In the end, I do think Bindi and Derek are going to win. Between Dereks fanbase and the outpouring of love for Bindi, I can’t see it going any other way at this point.
That does leave the question of the final 3. I think at the moment it is between Nick, Hayes and AleK for the other 2 spots after Bindi. Hayes has a lot of voting support and is really starting to improve in his dancing ability and people really seem to like Alek.
With Nick, I find it depends on what dance he has performed last. Last week after his waltz, many people were in aw from what I saw and read. His jazz resonated with BSB fans and former BSB fans and created some buzz in that light but may not have resonated as much with non fans. TBH, I think it was good for him to get the Backstreet Boys dance out of the way for that reason. It helped to get some of the older BSB fans back and fangirling so to speak but it gives him enough time to bring something else to the table for the casual viewers. Only time will tell at this point. Though I do think there is a bit of a disadvantage for NIck considering so many people expect more from him than the other contestants because of his background. Regardless of the fact that ballroom dancing is more complex than what he is used to.
In the end, I am hoping Nick and Alek make it to the finals. Really looking forward to seeing what Nick can bring to the table. I’m not connecting with Hayes as much at the moment. Maybe because he is so young, but I do see a lot of potential and I do know that he has a lot of fans voting for him. He could squeeze in.
Here’s a question: has there ever been an “add the scores” where the two weeks had different “weights”?
In other words, are they just going to add the points up for each person out of 70, or are they going to count each week equally (in other words, do Week 4 out of 30, do Week 5 out of 40, and average them)?
I can’t remember off the top of my head, Sam, but I would hazard a guess that it won’t really negatively affect them. I think you will see most couples get the same or better score. If not, it’s likely someone who’s on the bubble anyway – like Andy and Paula.
I agree I don’t see Carlos getting past Hayes. I think Hayes could even get past Tamar, tbh.
I’m hoping Alexa has had a major breakthrough having worked with Derek this week. Andy seems like a really sweet guy. I listen to the Morning Mashup on Hits 1 on Sirius XM radio while taking my son to school and every week, since the competition started, Andy Grammar has been calling in. It’s funny listening to him.After last week he’s like yeah, I might have to pull a Tonya Harding to knock Bindi out of the competition…then he’s like, naw, I’m just kidding, she is the sweetest person I’ve ever met and I’d never do anything to sabatoge her.