DWTS Season 24: Las Vegas Lays Odds on the Couples Before Week 1
Well, lets see what the odds makers have come up with for this season…and how we feel about those odds. We usually disagree, I think mainly because the people who come up with them are not fans of the show and seem to base betting on their knowledge of the celeb. And right on Bovada Sports book, where these came from, it says that it changes by performance when there is so much more to the show. 🙂 These are the odds to WIN the show, not a ranking although we tend to look at it as a ranking.
Simone Biles +200
Heather Morris +500
Bonner Bolton +700
Normani Kordei +700
Erika Jayne +750
Charo +800
Nancy Kerrigan +1000
Rashad Jennings +1200
Nick Viall +1600
David Ross +1600
Chris Kattan +2000
Mr. T +2500
Oddly enough, they could have the top 4 right! They *could*…I still think that either Normani or Heather are going to go out at the quarterfinals or earlier. I don’t think the show can sustain that many ringers and there are three in their top 3. On top of the numerous ringers, there is a ton of personality in this cast, both male and female. And absent some kickass choreo, personality can go a long way.
That said…not as far as Charo, I don’t think. 🙂 They think she’s gonna take both Rashad and Nancy?? That strikes me as wrong, but I guess we’ll have to see. I usually have a much better feel for how it’s going to shake out after week 2.
Vogue: Gosh, I don’t think I’ve ever been so conflicted about what the odds should be? For what we have in dance ability this season (whether they are young or older), they make up with the entertainment or charisma factor. I think the odds makers have it right with the first two. Then again, I’m getting a Hope Solo vibe with Heather in that she won’t be very well liked. I think I’d put Normani at #2 or #3. I think Rashan could make it to the top 3 or 4 too. I think they have the last four right except for Mr. T. I can’t imagine him being ousted first. I also wonder on Charo? Like Miss Heidi, I would think Nancy and Rashad would beat her for sure. I can’t wait to read everyone’s thoughts on this. *so conflicted*
Courtney: Pump those brakes, Vegas – no way I see Charo doing that well. I’d put her maybe above Chris Kattan, and I’d actually move Mr. T up a few spots – I think he’ll be a nostalgic favorite, even if he isn’t a fantastic dancer. I’d switch Heather & Normani – seems to be a lot of skepticism from fans about Heather being a professional dancer already, and if these annoying Harmonizers that seem to be coming out of the woodwork are any indicator, Normani may have some staying power; and I’d bring Rashad up – from what I’ve seen so far, he’s actually showing some promise. Erika should probably drop down a bit; the one I’m left not really sure how to feel about is Nancy – I think she has the talent to do well, but I’m very skeptical about how her pro is going to harness it…and whether they’re going to get along well.
I agree with Courtney about Nancy. I don’t think Artem is the best partner for her. It should have been Tony.
Kind of confused how they are underestimating Nancy and rashad and while I appreciate their optimism nick having better odds than mr t and David just seems wrong.
Without factoring in TPTB manipulation I think it MIGHT go something like this is a more likely scenario. With the top 3 being mostly a contest between dance ability (Heather) vs. having the IT factor (Simone and Bonner)
Simone Biles
Heather Morris
Bonner Bolton
Normani Kordei
Rashad Jennings
David Ross
Nancy Kerrigan
Erika Jayne
Mr. T
Charo
Nick Viall
Chris Kattan
And I wouldn’t rule out Nancy pushing up that list It rally depends on how well she overcomes the nervousness and performs the dances. I suspect she could be in the top 5.
I agree with the mods about the top being somewhere close to right, but the bottom of the list being a little off. I think they have both Charo and Erika too far up the list and Rashad too far down.
I think, regarding Chris, if they remind people of his characters from SNL (like Mango, Mr Peepers, and that guy from Night at the Roxbury), it may help him. If it’s true about Nick being a diva, then he could be out super fast.
I am really dismayed that Tony Dovolani is not paired with Nancy Kerrigan. Personality-wise I think it would be a natural perfect match, and Tony has the ability to teach well and bring out all of the talents. I haven’t seen these attributes ever in Artem. As well, I don’t see Artem as a personality match for Nancy at all. Poor cast call.
Finally a bookmakers have the top 4 probably right in the odds. Rashad is way to big though based on the small snippets we’ve seen so far. Definitely worth putting some loose change on him at those odds.
I agree with Bonner’s placement. He has a story, he’s hot, he’s aware of his body and he has a great choreographer in his pro. Not to mention he and Sharna seem to have good chemistry. I just wonder how far he’ll be able to go since he’s so unknown(well at least to me). Sending all my prayers to Keo with Miss Cuchi Cuchi. I think we’ll have to see if the audience will tolerate her PLUS if her and Keo make for good TV. I’m skeptical on that. If David Ross didn’t have Lindsay as a partner he would be my prediction for first to go. This season is gonna be a toss up for sure, it’s gonna get interesting since I feel like a lot of these celebs cancel each other out in a way. I think Nancy and Artem are gonna coast for awhile. They seem to have a sweet connection already. Artem seems grateful for a decent partner and Nancy seems grateful to be on the show. This season is gonna be a bumpy ride for sure.
Goes to show you the pros are just as or more important than celebs That is why Bonner is that high #Sharna and Rashad being with Emma is that low Same as Nancy being with Artem Both do not have a track record I think you are right about Heather Her background is her enemy People vote for no dance experience over experience
I think Emma has done well for what she has been given. Hopefully we’ll be able to see a lot more of her this season.
No, Kathy, I don’t think the pros play into this at all. They sure haven’t in the past. Derek was consistently ranked quite low in the first week with many of his partners because of their lack of name recognition. If the pros were weighted into this at all, he would have outpaced everyone else.
Bovada is a true betting site, unlike someother posts. Money moves the line. REMEMBER that it might be possible for soms of Normani fan base are not old enough to bet. Bovada usually post and updated set of odds at week 1, so that should give a better idea how the betting public is thinking.
I think they have the top person right, and am hoping that the rest are wrong. Besides Simone, I see Rashad as the next most popular outside of the Normani girl fandom so it will be interesting how it is perceived by the general DWTS demo. If Bonner and Sharna go for a fauxmance I can see that taking off too. I noticed on ABC’s IG account they posted Heather as “trying to look all cute and stuff.” They’re going to try hard as they might to downplay her professional dance career, and Maks is trying his hand at a clownish circus act, or something. Anything to detract I guess.
Pretending you don’t have an advantage never works out well and Heather should realize that. So should Maks, honestly. The audience is a lot smarter than it was five years ago. As for Maks – I think he and Val think they’re funny with some of the stuff they do, but it always seems like they’re trying too hard to be funny to me. I’ve seen Maks be more naturally funny – I know he’s got it in him.
I can’t imagine Simone not winning, so the race is for 2-4. I agree with the people who stated that personality will be very important (more than the pros) this season. And, unfortunately, personality is defined by the producers and what they put on tape. If Nick and Mr T get favorable videos, they’ll stay in longer than their dancing ability. I do think Nancy will go further than 7th if they give her decent videos, maybe as high as 4th.
I think TPTB are pushing for a “fam” finale. I hope they don’t get it.
I do think that Heather, Normani and Simone will be the top 3 (and in that order).
With the exception of Simone and Rashad, there is no one I really want to watch. I’ll watch them the next day and get my news about it from here.
I just love this show. I love everything about it. It’s just an amazing show and its no wonder its been on for so long and in my opinion keeps getting better. Minus Tony and Cheryl this is my favorite pro cast.
Love Tom, love Erin, love CAI, Len,and Bruno, love the Chmerkovskiy’s, love Peta, love Sharna, love Kym, love Emma, love Sasha.. Love them all. What a great season it’s looking to be.
SIMONE ALL THE WAY!!!
If Charo is the same in private as she is when she’s “on,” I think she and Keo are going to be a train wreck. Best with Charo will be Tom Bergeron.
I’m interested to see what Chris Kattan can do. If he can harness his physical versatility I think he could be good. I think he and Witney will get along well.
I’m most excited for Sasha and Emma. I hope they both do well.
This season is Simone’s to lose! And I’m ALL for her winning it seeing as how she’s paired with Sasha. I’d feel the SAME WAY if Mark was her partner! Sasha is a doll…was happy to take over for Derek with Nastia when Henry played a diva…and we see where THAT got him! Bye Bye HB on DWTS!! LOL. Henry turned into an egotistical maniac when made Pro in S17. Too bad!