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DWTS Season 19, Week 10: Dancing by the Numbers!

Wow. The last week. The second to last numbers post until March. Yay!! I will hopefully be able to whip up a numbers post on Monday night after those scores have come in and will take into account whichever screwy way they decide to count the votes.

Anyway, their convenient ranking of the contestants the other night makes it harder to call than you might think. I’ve been of the opinion for quite some time that Janel is the low vote getter of the people left standing (hell, maybe she got less votes than Tommy, but who knows). But the scores are equally important and the question is: is she getting enough votes to prevent Sadie, Bethany and Alfonso covering the spread? That’s the big question.

Between the very young fanbase of Bethany (less likely to vote) and the broad appeal of Sadie and Alfonso, is Janel’s score enough?? Well, it will be an interesting Monday night. Maybe. What I mean by that is – when will they eliminate the fourth place person, Monday night or Tuesday? Last season, according to Wiki, they eliminated James on Monday night after all the dances. Bill Engvall was eliminated on Monday night. Aly was eliminated on TUESDAY. However, Aly’s season was the last one where there was a regular Tuesday night show.  So, it should be Monday night – but the producers of this show have a tendency to change things around to suit their purposes.

But for right now, we’re going on the assumption of a Monday night elimination, which makes these scores pretty important.

S19 Wk10 Table 1

Well, as you can see the percentages are pretty close together, which means not a lot of votes will be needed for someone to get beat.

See, this is why it’s tough. There hasn’t been a real bottom two all season. Janel and Sadie have been the last woman standing on a couple of occasions –sometimes that means something and sometimes it doesn’t.  It never means anything during the semi-final and finals nights, so that leaves Sadie and Janel each with one instance of being the last person called safe.  Betsey was in the bottom two and was eliminated two weeks later. Jonathan was last to be called safe and was eliminated two weeks later. Michael was last to be called safe and was eliminated four weeks later (thanks to goofy eliminations). Tommy was last to be called safe and was eliminated two weeks later.  Janel was last to be called safe four weeks ago and was handed bogus immunity two weeks later, and was wildly overscored the two weeks after that. Interesting.  Sadie was last to be called safe the last two weeks, but as I said, it doesn’t usually mean anything in the semi-final. That may be true for the quarter final as well, but I can’t remember and I’m too lazy to go look it up.

So, does this mean that either Sadie or Janel are going to be eliminated Monday night? Well, no, not really. We don’t really know if jeopardy means anything in a given season until that season is completely done. But, we’re pretty close right now.  Based on this knowledge, and the fact that he’s awesome, I’m going to bet that Alfonso is safe on Monday night.

That leaves us with the three ladies. Now, I think it’s fairly clear that Bethany has the largest actual following from BEFORE DWTS. And I kind of feel like Sadie’s gotten the lion’s share of the average viewer. Which kinda leaves Janel out in the cold.

Sure, I would like to see Janel eliminated, but that’s just to hack off Val. Really, if you’ve made it to the finale, there’s winning and losing. Unless you’re holding the trophy at the end, you lost – does it matter what place you got? Not really. All that just to say that I don’t really care if Janel gets fourth or third. And to also say that if Bethany isn’t holding the MBT at the end (and she won’t be), who cares ifshe gets fourth or third or second??

All that to also say that I’m not really sure who it’s going to be on Monday night. My instinct is that Alfonso and Sadie will be the last two standing. Let’s look at the voting requirements:

S19 Wk10 Table 2

Now, it could come down to Sadie and Janel or Bethany and Janel. But look at those vote requirements. I think that Sadie beats all three of them with the possible exception of Alfonso. Then Alfonso beats both Bethany and Janel. Then Bethany beats Janel. Now, that’s the very short version, but if you followed it, that means Janel is eliminated.

BUT, it’s entirely possible that Sadie only beats Janel in with the above scores. Doesn’t matter, right, because it’s likely that Alfonso beats Bethany and Janel and Bethany beats Janel, which means Janel goes home. But what if Sadie isn’t beating Janel, since that more than 10k could be a stretch??

I’m confusing myself now. Simpler version – how is Janel eliminated. If ALL of the following happen:

  • Sadie gets 11k more votes per million votes cast than Janel, AND;
  • Alfonso gets 8,300 more votes per million votes cast than Janel, AND;
  • Bethany gets 5,500 more votes per million votes cast than Janel.

See, those are not huge numbers, but the number between Sadie and Janel does worry me a tiny bit. How is Sadie eliminated?? If ALL of the following happen:

  • Sadie fails to get the 11k more votes per million votes cast than Janel, AND;
  • Sadie fails to get 5,500 more votes per million votes cast than Bethany, AND;
  • Sadie fails to get 2,800 more votes per million votes cast than Alfonso.

Finally, how is Bethany eliminated?? If ALL of the following happen:

  • Sadie gets 5,500 more votes per million votes cast than Bethany, AND;
  • Alfonso gets 2,800 more votes per million votes cast than Bethany, AND;
  • Bethany fails to get 5,500 more votes per million votes cast than Janel.

Now do you see why it’s so hard? None of those numbers are huge. In looking at all three combinations, it strikes me that, initially, it looks like eliminating Janel is the hardest thing to do. But then look at Beth and Sadie – it seems like Janel has an easier road, but when you look at Sadie’s set, it seems to me that she could beat Alfonso and Bethany with those numbers, but it’s also a bit hard. Then you look at Bethany and it doesn’t seem like it would be hard for her to beat Janel even if Sadie and Alfonso are beating her.

That is why I keep coming back to Janel. Sadie might not beat Janel, but she beats Bethany (theoretically) so she’s safe. Sadie might beat Bethany, but I think Bethany beats Janel so SHE’S safe. And that leaves Janel out in the cold.

But remember, I only have to be wrong by a TINY bit for someone else (either Bethany or Sadie) to go home.

At the end of the night, I think Janel will be eliminated. If not Janel ,then Bethany. Third choice is Sadie.

ETA: In re-reading what I wrote last night when I was exhausted from traveling, I felt I needed to make a couple things clear and add a note. First – while I think it will come down to Janel and one of the other girls, they may not SHOW that. IF Janel is safe on Monday night, expect to see her called safe first and see Bethany and Sadie standing next to each other under the red light of doom. Either Bethany or Sadie COULD be ahead of Janel in the finish, but if they are really interested in pimping Janel to the trophy, they will call her safe first. It’s a subtle form of manipulation.

As for the note? Well, I wasn’t really clear in the point that while I think Bethany had the largest fanbase coming into the show, that fanbase is typically one that is less inclined to vote and could easily be offset by the general public,  who I think are voting for Alfonso and Sadie. That is why I think that Bethany won’t do better than 3rd place. I’d be happy to be wrong. :-)

November 22, 2014 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

Dancing with the Stars Season 19, THE FINALE – Who’s Dancing What….and When? (Song Spoilers)

Some crazy stuff going on this week. Janel and Sadie have Samba while Alfonso and Bethany have Jive. They added 30 seconds to EACH of the jives so Beth and Alfonso have to do additional choreo. Sound fair?? HELL no. Supposedly it was because they were so short the first time.

If you scroll to the bottom of the post, you’ll see a photo from someone at rehearsals saying that Alfonso has a slow motion tap sequence. Wonder where he got that idea from. Derek should be flattered with all the borrowing going on. ;-) Also note that Alfonso is the first person to reuse a freestyle song – Katherine first used it in season 14.

A super mario brothers freestyle?? Gotta be Mark and Sadie. :-) That said, we’re not sure if Revolution is Beth’s or Sadie’s song. Only somewhat sure. The whole Super Mario thing has got to be Mark, based on what Derek said.

Alfonso and Witney
Jive (Song: “3-6-9″ by Cupid feat. B.o.B )
Freestyle (Song: “Sing, Sing, Sing (With a Swing)” by Benny Goodman )
Vote: 1-800-868-3401

Janel and  Val
Samba (Song: “La Vida Es Un Carnaval” by Celia Cruz )
Freestyle (Song: “I’m Gonna Be (500 Miles)” by Sleeping At Last )
Vote: 1-800-868-3405

Sadie and Mark
Samba (Song: “Hunter” by Pharrell Williams )
Freestyle (Song: Theme from Super Mario Brothers )
Vote: 1-800-868-3411

Bethany and Derek
Jive (Song: “Shake It Off” by Taylor Swift )
Freestyle (Song: “Revolution” by Diplo )
Vote: 1-800-868-3403

November 21, 2014 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

DWTS Season 19 Week 10!! Let’s discuss tonight’s show! (Spoilers)

Once again, comment to your hearts contents, as long as you remember the show night rules.

  1. Our server gets totally hosed when people sit at their computer and click “refresh” constantly. Post a comment, then walk away for five minutes so that others have a chance…and so that Courtney and I can actually post on the site. :-)
  2. THIS SITE IS NOT TWITTER. Do not post like you are on twitter. You get one warning and then I put you in time out. :-) We need context and content. Believe it or not there are a lot of people who don’t watch the east coast feed of the show, so they don’t know what the hell you’re talking about when you post a comment that says, “Boy, that sucked.”  If you want to say “____ and ____’s dance was not good at all, crappy choreo” that’s fine. That would be context. It is good. :-D  Remember, if you post five one liners in five minutes, you’ve broken rule number 1. ;-)

 

:::sigh::: Monday night football means I’m watching a live stream. Thanks, Titans.

Cutest opening goes to Sadie and Mark. :-)

Boy, Sadie had me worried as she was all up in her own head, but man, she pulled it OUT. Great quickstep!!

For both Sadie and Bethany, CAI manages to sound disappointed when they do well. Ugh. And the underscoring continues. Seriously?? Why?

Damn, Tommy Chong, I don’t even know what that was supposed to be, but I agree with the roar of the crowd! Think he’s going home, though, just listening to what the judges are saying.

Two weeks in a row in the crappy spot for Beth and Derek. Kinda worried about this treatment, I must say. They’re still in “Pimp Janel at all costs” mode.

Derek and Beth’s Samba was super cute!! Lots of content! The song is awful though for the Samba – and they’re going to get totally hosed for it. CAI just hates the two young girls. Len of course didn’t like the fluffing about.

I can live with 9’s but I think they’re grading the song and the feel more than the actual dancing. Bad song for a Samba.

Okay, Janel got a bit out of sync and stumbled at one point, but I doubt it will be noted. But she did get a more appropriate song. CAI is definitely on the Janel train. Me, not so much. LOL to Len and his comment about Maks. Truer words were never spoken.

Honestly don’t get the raves – I thought it was a bit dull. But then I’m clearly not a Janel fan.

A perfect score? Really?? This is absurd. There just wasn’t much to that dance. Either she’s going home…or she’s going on tour and they need her to get close to winning. Seriously pushing her through to the top three. As of right now she’s 3 and 4 points ahead of Sadie and Bethany, respectively. I’m thinking the judges want either Beth or Sadie in the final – not both. Bastards.

Alfonso did a great job for having back pain. Hell, he did better than Janel, IMO. WTF, Julianne?? I think she’s sitting to close to CAI – didn’t understand what she said at all.

Damn, I’m a huge Sadie fan but I did not like that AT. The guitar was way too distracting and she messed up quite a few steps in the beginning. Got to agree with Len. It was a little too soft too.

Great job from Tommy and Peta! Wow. I’m really impressed. And he’s at 76!! Loved it.

LOL to Tom taking a shot at Val and Maks. Hehehehe….

Holy shit, Tommy got 9’s!! I guess he’s going home. Damn.

New Christmas wish – that Derek doesn’t do this show next season. This show doesn’t actually deserve him any more. It doesn’t deserve Mark either, for that matter.

Bethany’s package made me a bit weepy. Kids are so damn mean.

That was lovely. She’ll get hosed. Again, CAI sounds upset that she actually danced well. Idiot.

Happy to be wrong – perfect score for Beth. About to be totally ruined by another perfect score for the chosen one.

Much better dance for Val and Janel than the first one but still not perfect. It felt sloppy to me…and it was too short with Val playing the violin. Agreed with CAI for a change on the ungraceful part – too many lifts that she came out of roughly.

But I have to say that the unplugged is VERY hard for an Argentine Tango. Best one I’ve ever seen was Derek and Jennifer. I didn’t see anything in this dance that had never been done before, either.

Two 10s for Janel is, once again, ridiculous. But she’s only two points ahead of Bethany. That’s doable. Unless they’ve underplayed Beth so much that she’s not getting the votes. Sadie?? Could have a problem, but I think she’s beating Beth and Janel in votes, so I guess we’ll see.

Again, Alfonso does really well but you can tell he’s injured, I think. But still a great job. Whitney is really impressing me a lot this season.

And, as expected, Tommy and Peta are eliminated. They broke my heart by calling Janel safe first. :-)

November 17, 2014 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

Dancing with the Stars Season 19, Week 10 – Who’s Dancing What….and When? (Song Spoilers)

Only two more weeks and I’m on vacay from DWTS for a bit. Turkey, champagne, stuffing, beer….lord, I can’t wait. :-) I’m going to read books, play video games, watch TV….ahhh. And all I want for Christmas is for Janel to be eliminated SOON. I don’t expect to get my one wish, but you can’t get them if you don’t make them. :-)

Alfonso and Witney (Song: “Love Runs Out” by One Republic )
Argentine Tango
Contemporary
Vote: 1-800-868-3401

Tommy and Peta (Song: “Tainted Love” by Soft Cell and Hannah Peel )
Jazz
Rumba
Vote: 1-800-868-3413

Janel and  Val (Song: “Blame” by Calvin Harris )
Paso Doble
Argentine Tango
Vote: 1-800-868-3405

Sadie and Mark (Song: “Problem” by Arianna Grande )
Quickstep
Argentine Tango
Vote: 1-800-868-3411

Bethany and Derek (Song: “I Want You Back” by the Jackson Five and The Civil Wars)
Samba
Contemporary
Vote: 1-800-868-3403

November 16, 2014 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

DWTS Season 19, Week 9: Dancing by the Numbers!

Okay, we’re finally to the point of the competition where things could get interesting. But probably not. Yet. :-) Why? Well, we find out once and for all if Tommy’s fanbase is all that.

I’m not going to talk much about the scoring this past week – I think I’ve made my feelings abundantly clear. Whole lotta work going on to make sure that Tommy doesn’t go to the finals – and that Janel DOES go to the finals. Could say the same for Sadie, I guess, since she clearly forgot the choreo and if we complain about mistakes being overlooked for one contestant, I guess we have to do the same for the other. Thing is, I can’t get too worked up about Sadie because she forgot – you wouldn’t have known if you were watching just her and not Emma. It wasn’t a flub as much as an ad lib, if that makes any sense. I can actually believe, in her case, that the judges didn’t see it. They clearly did see in Janel’s case – and didn’t care.

Anyway, still peeved but moving on. Really tough row to hoe this week for Tommy. I’ll be very curious to see if he makes it or not. Let’s take a look at the scores.

Week 9 Table 1

Miniscule points between the top four – huge points between first and last place. And I really can’t argue with it too much. Love Tommy and Peta very much – but he’s not the dancer that the others are and he knows it.

But what does he have to do to stay?

Week 9 Table 2

It will take a minute, here, to explain why if Tommy is killing it in votes it will be Janel who suffers. I think. :-) The next lowest person is Sadie, but…

Week 9 Table 3

As you can see, Sadie only needs 2,400 more votes per million votes cast to beat Bethany. I have no idea if she’s managing that or not. I think she’s getting a ton of votes, but it all depends on if Bethany’s Motavators are all voting. If they are…well, still hard to say.  But it doesn’t matter. Why? Because I would wager that both girls are beating Janel handily. There’s tiny margins once you get higher than Tommy on the leaderboard. Here’s Bethany’s chart:

Week 9 Table 4

Now, Sadie only needs 9,400 votes per million votes cast to beat Janel or Alfonso. Don’t know if she’s managing it with Alfonso, but I would bet she is beating Janel. That’s why it doesn’t matter if she’s beating Bethany at this point – she’s beating Janel (I believe) and I think that Bethany is also beating Janel, since she only needs roughly 7,010 more votes per million votes cast.

Alfonso only needs ONE more vote per million votes cast to beat Janel and do I think he’s getting that? Of course.

So, what I think that all means is that Sadie is beating Janel, Bethany is beating Janel and Alfonso is beating Janel – which means it could well come down to Janel and Tommy as the bottom two.

So, who will go home? Well, I think Tommy will because as much as I think he is raking in votes, he would have to get nearly 47k more votes per million votes cast to beat Janel. That’s a lot of votes.

Before anyone asks, yes it has been done before. Kurt Warner got about that many (49k?) to send Audrina Patridge (who was at or near the top of the leaderboard) home in week 6 of Season 11.  There have been a few instances of contestants overcoming big numbers of votes to stick around.  As I said at the time, it was not just that they were getting lots of votes, but that the person eliminated was getting few. Audrina (as Courtney and I predicted a couple week before she was eliminated) was one of those and for a long while, I believed Janel was one of those. Is she still? Well, usually this level of pimpage doesn’t work. But sometimes a gullible audience just now turning into the season buys it. But it’s always possible that they like the other contestants better. I will say that this is the first season in a while that I wasn’t SURE who would win. But I am pretty sure it will be neither Tommy nor Janel. Beyond that, the finish order is a toss up. Eveything will hinge on the scores.

So, I’m pretty sure that the wacky scoring this week did the trick and Tommy will sail off into the night. He’s had a great run and he’s given me a new appreciation for Peta. If it’s anyone other than him or Janel I will be mildly surprised, but not shocked. Three young girls with correspondingly young fanbases and you just never know what those kids are doing. :-)

 

November 13, 2014 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

DWTS Season 19 Week 9!! Let’s discuss tonight’s show! (Spoilers)

Once again, comment to your hearts contents, as long as you remember the show night rules.

  1. Our server gets totally hosed when people sit at their computer and click “refresh” constantly. Post a comment, then walk away for five minutes so that others have a chance…and so that Courtney and I can actually post on the site. :-)
  2. THIS SITE IS NOT TWITTER. Do not post like you are on twitter. You get one warning and then I put you in time out. :-) We need context and content. Believe it or not there are a lot of people who don’t watch the east coast feed of the show, so they don’t know what the hell you’re talking about when you post a comment that says, “Boy, that sucked.”  If you want to say “____ and ____’s dance was not good at all, crappy choreo” that’s fine. That would be context. It is good. :-D  Remember, if you post five one liners in five minutes, you’ve broken rule number 1. ;-)

 

And Tommy and Peta have made it to the Semi-Final. Oh Dear.

I have to believe this means Lea is going home – but you just never know.

Alfonso’s foxtrot was just delightful. Wonderful. Loved it. OMG, CAI – you pretty much suck. Are you kidding me??

Okay, I thought Alfonso was slightly underscored, but I would have to watch it again.

Oh, yeah, I def want to see Janel and Val kiss because it’s so unique and different. :::rolls eyes:::

Lordy, Tommy was lookin pretty good in the package…

I just love tommy. He got tired about halfway through, but that wasn’t horrible.

Lea is still to delicate. Very pretty – perhaps too pretty. Not raunchy enough.

Fierce?? I don’t think so. But the score is probably about right.

Something felt strange about Beth’s dance – loved it, but something was weird. Perhaps it’s just so absurdly SHORT. They all are. Len was in Austria?? LOL. I sense 9’s across the board.

And what the hell? Derek is working some seriously ungroomed scruff. I’m okay with this.

So, Vajanel gets the pimp spot and everyone is getting 9’s or lower. Interesting.

Sadie is too cute. I swear. There were a few instances where her long limbs got a bit in the way, but it was a very cute dance. Loved it.

And Len likes it too – but thought it could have been tighter. I don’t disagree with that.

8’s?? Seriously? Good lord, if Janel had done that dance she would have gotten straight 10s. And yay, are they going last cuz they’re gonna kiss?? gag.

Janel is getting the “You did awesome” edit.

Ridiculously long time of them not dancing in an already shortened routine. And she just seriously stumbled, and got dragged by Val.

Okay, Julianne, you are on SERIOUS crack. REALLY? The fix is either all the way in or Janel is going home. She didn’t start dancing for a LONG time!! And Val dragged her at one point!! Best dance of the night??? Does anyone still think she’s not being pimped??? This is absolutely the most ridiculous thing I have ever seen. They noted an actual MISTAKE!!

Bethany – no mistakes got 9’s. Sadie – no actual mistakes and got 8’s. Alfonso, no mistakes, got 9’s. Absolutely ridiculous.

Alfonso just did a perfect Paso. Let’s see if he actually rates a perfect score. That was amazing. Whitney is turning into one hell of a choreographer.

Now they got something right. You want to tell me that Janel’s quickstep was only two points down from that?? As if.

Tommy makes me laugh so hard. That was just so silly and funny. But I’d be lying if I said I wasn’t scared he might break something.

Lea’s Trio was massively improved over her first dance, IMO. Well done for her.

Wow. That was intense. I dug it.

Let me guess…a kiss and a mistake get 10’s yet a pretty flawless AT will get all 9’s. A dance with noted mistakes gets called best dance of the night by CAI and she nitpicks a superior (in every way) dance.

Wow…that was some beautiful choreography from Mark. Sadie had an obvious mistake at the end but she covered it well. She better get a great score, if Janel can fuck up and get 10’s.

Yes, I AM going to harp on that for the rest of the night. It was disgraceful.

Okay, we’re doing some serious story boarding here. Two dances with VERY obvious mistakes have been scored as good or higher than dances with no actual errors. I adore Sadie – and she’s been underscored all season long, so I can forgive that a bit more. But man. This is getting ridiculous. Bethany must be killing it in the votes.

Again. Julianne says there was not a lot of content but she doesn’t care. COME ON!! Judge the damn show!! Either she’s going home, or they are desperate for her to get to the finale over Tommy. This is beyond ridiculous.

So, a woman who did a dance that had an obvious mistake and a dance that was lacking in content is at the top of the leader board with Alfonso? Yeah, that’s fair.

SPOILERS –

As everyone predicted, Lea is the one to go home this week.

I am furious. That is all.

November 10, 2014 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

Dancing with the Stars Season 19, Week 8 – Who’s Dancing What….and When? (Song Spoilers)

Heh. Almost forgot about this post. Not that it matters since everything is  out there anyway.

I got some of the info on the dances from various videos, some from Wiki – if you see anything wrong, let me know. I was traveling a large part of the week, as was Courtney, as a result we lost track a bit. :-) There were a few days where I didn’t know which end was up.

I will say that it will be interesting to see how Janel will do with the quickstep, where the frame is so important. She’s gotten away with not having to worry about that overly much – and straight up said that was why she was glad she got contemporary. I think Beth will be fine and I have a feeling Alfonso will be back at the top of the leaderboard – we’ll see. Lea’s dances are why I’m afraid that even if she does make it through this week, she won’t make the finale. Samba? Yikes. Paso maybe better for her. I also expect a lot from Sadie’s Jive. Again, we’ll see.

ETA: So, Alfonso is going first – I think he safely can, with no issues.

ETA2: Not sure on which versions of those songs are being used, so I guessed. :-)

Alfonso and Witney
Foxtrot
Paso Doble with Lindsay Arnold (Song: Turn Down for What by DJ Snake and Lil Jon )
Dancing 1st
Vote: 1-800-868-3401

Tommy and Peta
Viennese Waltz
Samba with Sharna Burgess
Vote: 1-800-868-3413

Janel and  Val
Quickstep
Salsa with Keo Motsepe
Vote: 1-800-868-3405

Lea and Artem
Samba
Paso Doble with Henry Byalikov (Song: Black Betty by Ram Jam )
Vote: 1-800-868-3407

Sadie and Mark
Jive
Foxtrot with Emma Slater
Vote: 1-800-868-3411

Bethany and Derek
Viennese Waltz
Argentine Tango with Tony Dovolani
Vote: 1-800-868-3403

November 9, 2014 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

DWTS Season 19, Week 8: Dancing by the Numbers!

So…

Where to start?

Yes, I do think that the scores were determined in advance by the judges because they wanted to keep Janel safe for another two weeks. Did they know it was necessary? Does it matter? I’m not sure the judges know, but at the end of the day, they underscored Sadie, in particular, relative to Janel. Janel’s dance was good, but if it was a dance worthy of a perfect score, so was Sadie’s and Alfonso’s – and Bethany’s for that matter.  But perhaps those three don’t need the help, eh?

By giving Janel 43 points last week, they’ve essentially sent her all the way to the semi-finals based on one less than perfect dance. Saved her for last week AND this coming week. This way, it is likely they get their preferred finale of Alfonso, Sadie, Bethany and Janel – sucks to be Lea and Tommy, barring someone not getting the votes we think they are. The semi-final scoring will tell the tale. If Janel suddenly isn’t all that great, it means she ain’t getting the vote (like we suspect) – after all, the judges want to be RIGHT. They want their preferred finale, but in the end they want their scores to be close to how the votes are going. Pride.

Anyway, I can’t even work up any righteous indignation about this anymore. It’s so predictable. Young actress works for ABC = Semi-final, whether she deserves it or not. And really, she is dancing better than Lea right now – I just don’t *LIKE* her. Not only do I get stealth mean girl vibe, but that gross showmance she had going on with Val was just annoying after a season centered on an over the top showmance.  Yuck.

But, on to the scores. Who’s got what and how much damage did the judges do this past week? Read more..

November 8, 2014 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

DWTS Season 19 Week 8!! Let’s discuss tonight’s show! (Spoilers)

Is it really week 8?? Dang, where has the season gone…

Once again, comment to your hearts contents, as long as you remember the show night rules.

  1. Our server gets totally hosed when people sit at their computer and click “refresh” constantly. Post a comment, then walk away for five minutes so that others have a chance…and so that Courtney and I can actually post on the site. :-)
  2. THIS SITE IS NOT TWITTER. Do not post like you are on twitter. You get one warning and then I put you in time out. :-) We need context and content. Believe it or not there are a lot of people who don’t watch the east coast feed of the show, so they don’t know what the hell you’re talking about when you post a comment that says, “Boy, that sucked.”  If you want to say “____ and ____’s dance was not good at all, crappy choreo” that’s fine. That would be context. It is good. :-D  Remember, if you post five one liners in five minutes, you’ve broken rule number 1. ;-)

 

Another reason to hate immunity – no opening number. BOOOOO!!

All Access says Beth and Derek are dancing last.

Am I the only one that found Lea to be a bit weak?? I sure do wish…well, never mind. Agree with Len – she’s way too safe.

Interesting hints on All Access – sounds like Alfonso could go either way. Disaster or a 40.

Ahhh….poor Emma and Mike. Emma’s got to be great at back leading. And she looks amazing tonight.

Good dance by Val and Janel – but then it should be, shouldn’t it? I saw a couple little bobbles, but she’ll get a perfect score anyway.

Don’t get too excited – If Beth or Alfonso get a perfect score (and according to Lacey either one could), they beat out Janel by cumulative score. Don’t think anyone else has a shot.

Tommy? Sorry, kinda missed that one, but the judges seem to love him.

Mark and Sadie – poor Mark. Can’t say I blame him. But he did say that Derek was the one who was in touch with the meaning of life and how to live it – and I hope he can learn from him just a little. He shouldn’t give the judges the satisfaction of knowing their bullshit got to him.

As for tonight’s dance – loved it! Way, WAY better than Janel’s contemporary, although she’ll get hosed on the scores. CAI already nitpicking – where was she when Janel was dancing??

Not that it matters, but Sadie should have gotten a perfect score if Janel earned one. But I think Janel beats Sadie in cumulative points anyway.

Wow!! Loved Alfonso’s dance!! Very fun.

And this is why having contemporary up against Salsa’s and Cha Cha’s on a night where immunity is in play is a crock of shit. Bethany’s dance was so far superior to Janel’s in difficulty and naturalness of performance it’s not even funny. Required steps and movements versus do what ever the hell you want – faux cry for a perfect score.

Well, at least we don’t get to hear sanctimonious Val. If my memory is correct, Alfonso picks first, Sadie second.

Alfonso picks Lea and Lea picks Jive – Alfonso just KILLED it. Lea’s not doing to badly either.

Guessing Sadie picks Beth and Beth picks rumba.

I can understand Artem’s strategy. Kinda glad that Derek and Beth don’t have to pick (most likely).

What kinda crack is Carrie Ann on?

Alfonso wins. Sadie picks Beth as predicted. Derek, in a surprise, picks a dance they haven’t done before. What kinda crack is HE on? :-D

Hmmm…that was the clash of the titans. I agree with that. But I think I would have given it to Sadie. It shouldn’t matter, regardless, as I don’t think either of them are at risk next week.

So, it’s added to *tonight’s* score?? How does that help them for tonight? It helps them for next week, so it wipes out Janel’s lead. So…how is this fair? Shouldn’t it have been added to last weeks score to help them tonight??

Okay, so I heard Emma say that Janel/Val have 43 points – so they were given the three points. Interesting how that has NEVER happened in previous seasons with immunity dances.

The twitter vote is interesting. Sadie/Beth were almost tied 48/52. Alfonso KILLED Lea with 85%. And Tommy killed Michael with 72 percent. If that’s reflective of the voting (which it probably isn’t), – interesting.

They were called safe in the order this show may end:
Alfonso
Bethany
Sadie
Lea

Tommy and Michael were the last two standing.

Michael was eliminated. Will miss Emma very much.

How did we do?

Courtney: Michael will go

Heidi: Michael will go

Vogue: Michael will go

November 3, 2014 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

Dancing with the Stars Season 19, Week 8 – Who’s Dancing What….and When? (Song Spoilers)

Well, this week is somewhat confusing – or it was – but thanks to Derek’s blog I think we have a slightly better than vague understanding of what’s going on. :-D  So, each couple will dance their assigned dance – they dynamic duo – shown below. After that, the person with the high score is “immune” from elimination tomorrow night. The person in second place gets to choose who they want to dance against and that couple gets to choose the style of dance.  The winner of the dance off gets…3 points??  Where did I get that from, as I don’t think it was Derek. Somewhere on this site most likely and I”m sure someone will correct me if I’m wrong.

Put on yer tin foil hats, kids – who wants to take bets on who’s going to get that precious immunity?  While I am certainly one to think that they manipulate the hell out of this show to serve some (often barely) hidden agenda, the plain fact is that the last two times they did this immunity thing, it was won by Amber and Kellie – both went on to win the show, so clearly they were not in much danger.  But then, you have to look back at the “winner take all cha cha” which was just another form of immunity that they handed to Chelsea – someone we had been predicting was on her way out for a week or two prior to that. So, I guess it depends on what the true agenda is – save a family member (Chelsea, Janel) or just to screw around and make the show more complicated than it has to be? I guess we have to wait and see.  Lord knows, the two women that we’ve been speculating could be in trouble certainly got dance styles very much in their favor. AGAIN, in Janel’s case.

Janel and  Val – Contemporary, Romeo and Juliette
Vote: 1-800-868-3405

Bethany and Derek – Salsa, Lucy and Ricky Riccardo
Vote: 1-800-868-3403

Alfonso and Witney – Cha Cha Cha, Batman and Robin (WTF?)
Vote: 1-800-868-3401

Lea and Artem – Jazz, Bonnie and Clyde
Vote: 1-800-868-3407

Michael and Emma – Foxtrot, Tarzan and Jane
Vote: 1-800-868-3409

Tommy and Peta – Paso Doble, Johnny and June Cash
Vote: 1-800-868-3413

Sadie and Mark – Contemporary, Adam and Eve Song:
“Uninvited” by Alanis Morrisette
More here.
Vote: 1-800-868-3411

Those dancers not immune will dance one of the following:
Cha Cha Cha
Jive
Rumba
Read more..

November 2, 2014 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)