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Dancing with the Stars Season 15: Comparing the Cast to the Polls (from June)

Back in early-June I had a couple of polls up that asked who your favorite male and female stars were

Since the first week just completed I figured we take a look back and see how many of your favorites are actually in the cast of Season 15…

First off let’s look at the guys:


Well only four of the six male celebrities were some of your favorites from those early polls. Emmitt Smith and Helio Castroneves never even made this Top 12.

Now for the gals:


Interesting, of the seven women that is in the Season 15 cast, two were not in the original polls: Pamela Anderson and Bristol Palin.

What does this mean?

Well I was curious and as thus decided to cross reference with my prediction analysis of who would be eliminated when and I came with a few interesting conclusions. Below is a cross-reference table between the scores prediction post for Week 1 and the elimination predictions:

CELEBRITY
SCORE PREDICTION PLACEMENT
ELIMINATION PREDICTION PLACEMENT
Emmitt
11th
3rd
Bristol
10th
6th
Helio
6th
11th
Pamela
12th
13th

For some reason I have a sneaky suspicion that a few of these stars are being set up as elimination fodder in the guise of being an “All-Star”. Yeah, I know… TPTB are always trying to set up storylines in an effort to propel others…

Right now, Pamela was the most obvious as elimination fodder…. if the first four eliminations include at least two of the above… if not three… well let’s say I wouldn’t be surprised.

September 26, 2012 I Written By

My life can be summed up in the following two quotes: 1) "I am married to engineering and am its faithful wife by day, but at night my wanderlust takes hold and the arts becomes my jealous paramour." and... 2) "Engineering is my safety net. Writing is my passion. Acting is my escape when the other two become too much." So where does dancing fit in? Pretty much anywhere at this point... =)

Dancing with the Stars Season 15: Season Premiere (Week 1) Predictions!

UPDATE: So I updated the table to include the Actual Scores from Monday’s Premiere of Season 15… Interesting things happening here. The main thing though is that these predicted scores never take into account any kind of under or over scoring in any capacity… so really just take them with a grain of salt. :)

A quick glance between the below table and my elimination predictions… I am looking at Pamela Anderson to have the dubious honor of being the first to go this season. With either Melissa or Kirstie as possibilities.

Many thanks to Heidi for finding out who is dancing what for the season premiere.

Let’s look at the below table before I start explaining what I did differently this time around:

 
RANKING
PREDICTION
ORIGINAL SCORES
ACTUAL SCORES
COUPLE DANCE
AGE
JOB
PRO
RANK
SCORE
WEEK
DANCE
AVE
RANK
SCORE
Emmitt / Cheryl Cha-Cha
12
10
4
11
19
24
24
1
24.5
Gilles / Peta Foxtrot
6
5
8
7
20
24
29
26.5
2
24
Sabrina / Louis Cha-Cha
4
2
11
4
20
26
26
3
22.5
Shawn / Derek Foxtrot
2
1
 
2
23
23
27
25
4
22
Apolo / Karina Cha-Cha
9
6
10
9
20
21
21
4
22
Helio / Chelsie Foxtrot
6
8
3
6
20
22
22
6
21.5
Drew / Anna Foxtrot
6
 
6
8
20
24
26
25
6
21.5
Kelly / Val Cha-Cha
9
11
 
13
18
10
25
17.5
6
21.5
Melissa / Tony Foxtrot
2
7
5
3
21
23
27
25
9
21
Joey / Kym Cha-Cha
9
3
9
5
20
24
24
10
20.5
Bristol / Mark Cha-Cha
4
12
2
10
19
18
18
11
19.5
Kirstie / Maksim Foxtrot
1
4
1
1
23
23
23
23
12
19
Pamela / Tristan Cha-Cha
12
9
7
12
19
21
21
13
17

When I started running the numbers for the season premiere of Dancing with the Stars… and predicting the scores I came across a few anomalies that I thought would amuse you guys:
– No Band Member has ever done the Foxtrot in the first four weeks (first “third”) of any season
– Derek Hough has never done the Foxtrot before in the first four weeks (first “third”) of any season

Interesting conundrum… no?
Read more..

September 24, 2012 I Written By

My life can be summed up in the following two quotes: 1) "I am married to engineering and am its faithful wife by day, but at night my wanderlust takes hold and the arts becomes my jealous paramour." and... 2) "Engineering is my safety net. Writing is my passion. Acting is my escape when the other two become too much." So where does dancing fit in? Pretty much anywhere at this point... =)

Dancing with the Stars Season 15: Predicted Eliminations w/ Professional Partners (Entire Cast)

UPDATE: Due to a glitch in the original spreadsheet some of the below rankings were incorrect… after double and triple checking the numbers the below predictions are correct in accordance to the spreadsheet… I apologize for any confusion this may cause.

Via today’s announcement we could finally put up a full table with all the stars and how the numbers say they would be eliminated. What I will do is first I will have a table of the Season 15 cast with their categorical breakdowns via professional partner, their current age group, and the occupation they are most known for up to this point.

Then there will be a second table that would show not only how the celebrity stack up in each individual category but what the overall final ranking would be in accordance to the numbers. If you remember from my previous post I highly doubt the rankings are going to change much.

CELEBRITY INDIVIDUAL CATEGORIES

CELEBRITY PROFESSIONAL PARTNER OCCUPATION AGE FINAL RANK
Shawn Johnson Derek Hough Olympian 20s 1st
Apolo Anton Ohno Karina Smirnoff Olympian 30s 2nd
Emmitt Smith Cheryl Burke NFL 40s 3rd
Joey Fatone Kym Johnson Band Member 30s 4th
Sabrina Bryan Louis van Amstel Disney 20s 6th 5th
Bristol Palin Mark Ballas Other 20s 8th 6th
Gilles Marini Peta Murgatroyd Actor 30s 5th 7th
Drew Lachey Anna Trebunskaya Band Member 30s 7th 8th
Kirstie Alley Maks Chmerkovskiy Actress 60s 12th 9th
Melissa Rycroft Tony Dovolani Reality TV Star 20s 13th 10th
Hélio Castroneves Chelsie Hightower Athlete 30s 11th
Kelly Monaco Val Chmerkovskiy Soap Opera Star 30s 9th 12th
Pamela Anderson Tristan MacManus Actress 40s 10th 13th

CELEBRITY INDIVIDUAL CATEGORIES RANKINGS

CELEBRITY PROFESSIONAL PARTNER OCCUPATION AGE FINAL RANK
Shawn Johnson 1st 2nd 1st 1st
Apolo Anton Ohno 8th 6th 2nd 5th 2nd
Emmitt Smith 2nd 1st 12th 3rd
Joey Fatone 7th 5th 4th 5th 5th 4th
Sabrina Bryan 10th 6th 4th 1st 6th 5th
Bristol Palin 3rd 13th 1st 8th 6th
Gilles Marini 4th 8th 8th 5th 5th 7th
Drew Lachey 12th 4th 5th 5th 7th 8th
Kirstie Alley 4th 9th 11th 12th 9th
Melissa Rycroft 12th 11th 12th 1st 13th 10th
Hélio Castroneves 9th 11th 5th 11th
Kelly Monaco 13th 7th 5th 9th 12th
Pamela Anderson 7th 9th 12th 10th 13th

Enjoy!

August 27, 2012 I Written By

My life can be summed up in the following two quotes: 1) "I am married to engineering and am its faithful wife by day, but at night my wanderlust takes hold and the arts becomes my jealous paramour." and... 2) "Engineering is my safety net. Writing is my passion. Acting is my escape when the other two become too much." So where does dancing fit in? Pretty much anywhere at this point... =)

Dancing with the Stars Season 15: Predicted Eliminations w/ Professional Partners

Thanks to yesterday’s live blog post by Heidi of the announcements of the partnerships on Dancing with the Stars Season 15, I can now provide the predicted eliminations with the professional partners as opposed to previously where the partnerships were not announced.

If you have forgotten, in a previous post I have ranked the announced celebrities in accordance to their normalized averages via their ages at the time of their original season and their occupations and how they would have fared if we were able to clone their professional partner if one professional dancer had multiple celebrities.

And then I had another table that updated their ages to Season 15 and kept their occupations for which they are known for but at that time without the professional partner. So in the below table is a comparison of how each of the celebrities had fared without knowing whom their professional partners are and after the announcement from Monday:

CELEBRITY OCCUPATION AGE RANK w/o PRO S15 PRO PARTNER RANK w/ PRO
Shawn Johnson Olympian 20s 1st Derek Hough 1st
Apolo Anton Ohno Olympian 30s 2nd Karina Smirnoff 2nd
Emmitt Smith NFL 40s 5th Cheryl Burke 3rd
Joey Fatone Band Member 30s 4th Kym Johnson 4th
Gilles Marini Actor 30s 6th Peta Murgatroyd 5th
Drew Lachey Band Member 30s 3rd Anna Trebunskaya 6th
Bristol Palin Other 20s 11th Mark Ballas 7th
Kelly Monaco Soap Opera Star 30s 7th Val Chmerkovskiy 8th
Pamela Anderson Actress 40s 12th Tristan MacManus 9th
Hélio Castroneves Athlete 30s 8th Chelsie Hightower 10th
Kirstie Alley Actress 60s 10th Maks Chmerkovskiy 11th
Melissa Rycroft Reality TV Star 20s 9th Tony Dovolani 12th

In generalizations it would appear that the professional partner does not change how the celebrity would do on the show, however when you really compare the two different rankings there are some significant jumps.

For example Emmitt Smith jumping from 5th place without Cheryl Burke to 3rd when paired with her. Drew Lachey was originally slated for 3rd place before we found out his professional partner who (as we found out) turned out to be Anna Trebunskaya and it dropped him to 6th place.

Bristol Palin’s ranking jumped from 11th without her professional partner, Mark Ballas, who moved her up to 7th place. A similar jump up in placement happened for Pamela Anderson when she is paired with Tristan MacManus.

This is what the numbers show me… and hopefully over the coming weeks the numbers would reveal if in previous seasons there was warped scoring for the celebrities or not…

August 14, 2012 I Written By

My life can be summed up in the following two quotes: 1) "I am married to engineering and am its faithful wife by day, but at night my wanderlust takes hold and the arts becomes my jealous paramour." and... 2) "Engineering is my safety net. Writing is my passion. Acting is my escape when the other two become too much." So where does dancing fit in? Pretty much anywhere at this point... =)

Dancing with the Stars Season 15: Who would you choose as the 13th Celebrity?

According to ABC: they have announced 12 celebrities for DWTS All Stars while allowing the fans to choose the 13th celebrity to be on the show.

One thing I noticed is that all three choices are part of the DWTS Live Show in Vegas.

Let’s hear who Pure DWTS readers think will be the final star on Dancing with the Stars Season 15:

July 27, 2012 I Written By

My life can be summed up in the following two quotes: 1) "I am married to engineering and am its faithful wife by day, but at night my wanderlust takes hold and the arts becomes my jealous paramour." and... 2) "Engineering is my safety net. Writing is my passion. Acting is my escape when the other two become too much." So where does dancing fit in? Pretty much anywhere at this point... =)

Dancing with the Stars Season 15: Predicted Eliminations w/o Professional Partners

So now that we know who most of the cast is I decided to whip up a quick breakdown of how the Season 15 cast would fare against one another now.

However, then I started thinking: How cool would it be to see how they would have fared against one another with the professional partners that they had before? Yes, I know that there are duplicates here and there but if you were able to clone those pros… how would the “All Star” cast fare? Well let’s find out!

CELEBRITY PROFESSIONAL ORIGINAL RANK NEW RANK
Apolo Anton Ohno Julianne Hough Winner Winner
Shawn Johnson Mark Ballas Winner 2nd
Drew Lachey Cheryl Burke Winner 3rd
Gilles Marini Cheryl Burke 2nd 4th
Hélio Castroneves Julianne Hough Winner 5th
Emmitt Smith Cheryl Burke Winner 6th
Joey Fatone Kym Johnson 2nd 7th
Bristol Palin Mark Ballas 3rd 8th
Kelley Monaco Alec Mazo Winner 9th
Melissa Rycroft Tony Dovolani 3rd 10th
Kirstie Alley Maksim Chmerkovskiy 2nd 11th
Pamela Anderson Damian Whitewood 6th 12th
VOTABLE CELEBRITIES
Sabrina Bryan Mark Ballas 7th 3rd (before Drew)
Carson Kressley Anna Trebunskaya 8th 12th (before Pamela)
Kyle Massey Lacey Schwimmer 2nd 4th (before Gilles)

An interesting breakdown to be sure… granted probably not accurate but what can you do? On the other hand this is with the assumption that everyone was with their original partner but that’s not going to happen, not by a long shot. So with the information that we do know about the celebrities (occupation, current age) how would they fare on the season? Read more..

I Written By

My life can be summed up in the following two quotes: 1) "I am married to engineering and am its faithful wife by day, but at night my wanderlust takes hold and the arts becomes my jealous paramour." and... 2) "Engineering is my safety net. Writing is my passion. Acting is my escape when the other two become too much." So where does dancing fit in? Pretty much anywhere at this point... =)

DWTS Season 15: Cast Announcement

Has anyone seen this yet?

According to the Dancing with the Stars Facebook Feed:

Dance alert! The new cast of Dancing with the Stars: All-Stars will be announced on Friday, July 27! Are you ready for this?!

Considering that is the day of the Opening Ceremonies on NBC how much do you wanna bet that ABC is trying to lure viewers to seeing the cast announcement.

Thanks to reader Kristin it is also on the official Twitter Feed:

Dance alert! The new cast of Dancing with the Stars: All-Stars will be announced on Friday, July 27! Are you ready for this?! ‪#DWTS

This is Vogue with an update: According to The Hollywood Reporter, the announcement will take place during the Television Critics Association summer press tour. Here is more…

The network, which hasn’t officially set its fall premiere dates yet, will debut the ensemble of previous DWTS competitors during its presentation at the Television Critics Association summer press tour.

Previously, announcements for DWTS have come just three weeks shy of the premiere and been televised during Good Morning America or the network’s primetime programming block. The move also signals that the cast will have more time to prepare for the competition — or, less likely, an August premiere.

July 16, 2012 I Written By

My life can be summed up in the following two quotes: 1) "I am married to engineering and am its faithful wife by day, but at night my wanderlust takes hold and the arts becomes my jealous paramour." and... 2) "Engineering is my safety net. Writing is my passion. Acting is my escape when the other two become too much." So where does dancing fit in? Pretty much anywhere at this point... =)

DWTS Season 15: “All-Star” Possible Pairings

After last two weeks of polls
Choosing favorite star from every season, then choosing your top twelve
Choosing the top twelve professional dancers

Below are the pairings that I could put together based on the fact that they were together originally.
– Jennifer Grey / Derek Hough
– Sabrina Bryan / Mark Ballas
– Joey Fatone / Kym Johnson
– Apolo Anton Ohno / Julianne Hough
– Kyle Massey / Lacey Schwimmer
– Ralph Macchio / Karina Smirnoff

Below are the polls for the professional dancers w/ multiple celebrities:



Here are the “floating” celebrities and professional dancers that have yet to be paired up:
– Peta Murgatroyd
– Chelsie Hightower
– Tristan MacManus
– Val Chmerkovskiy
– Dmitry Chaplin
– Gilles Marini
– Kelly Osbourne

Once you guys have chosen the pairings that you prefer to see with their original partner then all the other floaters would be polled together for you to choose and we will see how the faux-season will come up. Don’t worry, the polls won’t last… :)

June 11, 2012 I Written By

My life can be summed up in the following two quotes: 1) "I am married to engineering and am its faithful wife by day, but at night my wanderlust takes hold and the arts becomes my jealous paramour." and... 2) "Engineering is my safety net. Writing is my passion. Acting is my escape when the other two become too much." So where does dancing fit in? Pretty much anywhere at this point... =)

DWTS Season 15: “All-Star” Season – Pick your Stars!

In case you missed it, last week I posted all the celebrities that have graced Dancing with the Stars with their presence and asked you – the reader – to choose your favorite star from every season. In that post you were only allowed to choose one celebrity per season.

Earlier this week there was a post asking you to pick six male and six female professional dancers that you would love to see back for Season 15. Since there were a lot of requests for the inclusion of the DWTS Troupe dancers, stick around for Friday to see what I have planned. But back to the celebrities:

I have compiled all the stars that have received the top votes in their respective seasons and put them all into two polls: Men and Women. Now you can pick up to twelve stars (up to six male and six female celebrities) that you would love to see come back for Season 15 of Dancing with the Stars.

Since the past several seasons have been twelve couples, I figured it would be best to see who you would choose for your Six Favorite Male Celebrities and Six Favorite Female Celebrities from across the seasons.

Note: I know it has been said that Mario Lopez is most likely not going to do Season 15 because he is too busy, but since this is just what the fans want… and he has been a popular celebrity, he’s still part of the poll. :)

Enjoy!
Read more..

June 6, 2012 I Written By

My life can be summed up in the following two quotes: 1) "I am married to engineering and am its faithful wife by day, but at night my wanderlust takes hold and the arts becomes my jealous paramour." and... 2) "Engineering is my safety net. Writing is my passion. Acting is my escape when the other two become too much." So where does dancing fit in? Pretty much anywhere at this point... =)

DWTS Season 15: “All-Star” Season – Pick your Pros!

You didn’t think I’d forget about the professional dancers, now did you?

In case you’ve missed it… last week, there was a post with polls asking you – the reader – to choose one star per season that you’d love to see come back for the “All Star” Season of Dancing with the Stars (aka Season 15). There have been a lot of pros that have come and gone throughout the seasons, so now is your chance to pick the twelve pros that you’d love to see come back.

I have included pros that have only been on the show for one season, those that have left the show for greener pastures (Alec Mazo, Edyta Sliwinska and Julianne Hough). So anything goes here.

Why twelve professional dancers? For the past several seasons the show have had either eleven or twelve couples… so I figured this season should include twelve couples as well. :) I suppose we’ll see.

Enjoy!
Read more..

June 4, 2012 I Written By

My life can be summed up in the following two quotes: 1) "I am married to engineering and am its faithful wife by day, but at night my wanderlust takes hold and the arts becomes my jealous paramour." and... 2) "Engineering is my safety net. Writing is my passion. Acting is my escape when the other two become too much." So where does dancing fit in? Pretty much anywhere at this point... =)