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DWTS Stats Class – Week 7

“Ballroom Greats” Theme Night…? Er?

See Guilty Pleasure Night I totally agreed with, that was nice. Hell I wouldn’t mind a “One Hit Wonders” Night to bring back some good old fashioned memories, but puhlease!

ANYWAY! To the predictions

Ralph and Karina – Quickstep
– Age [40s]: 22.412
– Occupation [Actor]: 24.333
– Pro Partner: 21.143
Averaged Predicted Score: 22
Thoughts: Ok, I’m a little excited about this dance, mainly because I loved his Foxtrot in the opening week and the magic that came with it and I REALLY want to see that spark again. They captured the spark last week had it not been for the mishap, I’m hoping that the sparkle stays this week.

Kirstie and Maks – Jive
– Age [60s]: 21
– Occupation [Actress]: 21
– Pro Partner: 23.6
Averaged Predicted Score: 21
Thoughts: Umm, help? I don’t know if this is a very good choice for Kirstie considering how winded she has been after dancing. I’m worried, very very worried, but if anything she’s had time to build up some stamina along the way, so here’s hoping.

Romeo and Chelsie – Samba
– Age [20s]: 26.615
– Occupation [Singer]: 25.222
– Pro Partner: 22
Averaged Predicted Score: 24
Thoughts: Romeo is continuing his uphill climb on the leaderboard tying for first last week. Is he peaking too early or just right? Only time will tell.

Hines and Kym – Tango
– Age [30s]: 25.283
– Occupation [NFL]: 23.5
– Pro Partner: 24.8
Averaged Predicted Score: 24
Thoughts: Hines is probably one of the few celebrities that is pretty strong in both ballroom and latin dances. He’s that fantastic balance. I expect him to do decently well in the Tango, just how well? I don’t know

Chelsea and Mark – Paso Doble
– Age [20s]: 26.8
– Occupation [Disney]: 26
– Pro Partner: 28.6
Averaged Predicted Score: 27
Thoughts: Ok, I’ll admit it, she is grudgingly rubbing off on me and I don’t like it. But the numbers show that she is slowly climbing up the leaderboard as well. Still I prefer Romeo/Chelsie pairing over the Chelsea/Mark pairing. But considering this is a Quickstep I expect her scores to go sky high.

Kendra and Louis – Tango
– Age [20s]: 25.25
– Occupation [Reality TV]: 20.5
– Pro Partner: 24.25
Averaged Predicted Score: 23
Thoughts: I’m going to repeat what I said last week: Why the frack is she still around? Can’t we cut her out please? Like now? I’ve got nothing to say about her, she’s not improving in my opinion, and her comments come off as odd for me. So yeah, gone… like now… like last week. Now aside from all that, I’ll grudgingly admit, she seemed to have fun with her Samba last week, granted that table dance was a bit over the top, and she seemed far too comfortable up there, regardless, unless she gets over her phobia over the more elegant dances, I really don’t want to watch her.

May 1, 2011 I Written By

My life can be summed up in the following two quotes: 1) "I am married to engineering and am its faithful wife by day, but at night my wanderlust takes hold and the arts becomes my jealous paramour." and... 2) "Engineering is my safety net. Writing is my passion. Acting is my escape when the other two become too much." So where does dancing fit in? Pretty much anywhere at this point... =)

DWTS Stats Class – Week 6

Guilty Pleasures Night! The songs that we love to listen to and are ashamed to admit that we rather enjoy.

What is your guilty pleasure? I’ll name a couple of mine:
Backstreet Boys: Show Me the Meaning of Being Lonely Show Me the Meaning of Being Lonely - Millennium
Girls Aloud: Life Got Cold Life Got Cold - Sound of the Underground

Hmm… a wee melodramatic aren’t I?

Ok for something a wee upbeat:
Westlife: Uptown Girl Uptown Girl (Radio Edit) - Unbreakable - The Greatest Hits, Vol. 1

ANYWAY! Onwards!

Ralph and Karina – Paso Doble
– Age [40s]: 22.417
– Occupation [Actor]: 25.778
– Pro Partner: 24.4
Averaged Predicted Score: 24
Thoughts: Ralph hasn’t hit his stride like everyone thought and hoped he would. After such a strong showing in the first couple weeks something hasn’t clicked yet. Be it nerves or fatigue or something… in either case, unless something changes or clicks he might be out of the door sooner than most of us would like. Ralph tends to do better in dances that are a bit more “fun-loving” which is NOT the Paso Doble. Still it’d be interesting to see the passiong come out for this dance.

Kirstie and Maks – Samba
– Age [60s]: 20.25
– Occupation [Actress]: 21.333
– Pro Partner: 24
Averaged Predicted Score: 21
Thoughts: Kirstie is another one that had a strong showing at the beginning and then all of sudden just disappeared from the top. Despite some more than stellar performances. I really would love to see her break through, I’m not entirely sure if the Samba would be the dance to do it.

Romeo and Chelsie – Waltz
– Age [20s]: 23.444
– Occupation [Singer]: 24.571
– Pro Partner: 24
Averaged Predicted Score: 24
Thoughts: Romeo did it again, I couldn’t stop watching and rewatching the foxtrot. It would seem like he got over his aversion towards ballroom dances, but I’m going to hold my breath a little bit and see how he does with the Waltz.

Chris and Cheryl – Tango
– Age [40s]: 23.667
– Occupation [Athlete]: 24
– Pro Partner: 23.667
Averaged Predicted Score: 23
Thoughts: Chris is another celeb that’s been growing on me and he seems to be getting better in the ballroom dances. He did surprise me a bit on the Paso Doble so here’s hoping he could carry over that tension and passion onto the Tango.

Hines and Kym – Viennese Waltz
– Age [30s]: 24.355
– Occupation [NFL]: 24.5
– Pro Partner: 23.75
Averaged Predicted Score: 24
Thoughts: This guy’s infectious, I love him even more in the ballroom dances, particularly when he’s having fun. As long as he keeps it up, I’m not going to complain about him (I’m not talking about the scores… I blame the producers/judges for that one)

Chelsea and Mark – Quickstep
– Age [20s]: 25
– Occupation [Disney]: 23.75
– Pro Partner: 25.25
Averaged Predicted Score: 24
Thoughts: This couple rubs me the wrong way, despites some stellar scores. She’s doing all right, but I don’t think I could stand her for much longer… there isn’t enough of a balance if that makes any sense.

Kendra and Louis – Samba
– Age [20s]: 26.615
– Occupation [Reality TV]: 23.667
– Pro Partner: 21.5
Averaged Predicted Score: 23
Thoughts: Why the frack is she still around? Can’t we cut her out please? Like now? I’ve got nothing to say about her, she’s not improving in my opinion, and her comments come off as odd for me. So yeah, gone… like now… like last week.

April 24, 2011 I Written By

My life can be summed up in the following two quotes: 1) "I am married to engineering and am its faithful wife by day, but at night my wanderlust takes hold and the arts becomes my jealous paramour." and... 2) "Engineering is my safety net. Writing is my passion. Acting is my escape when the other two become too much." So where does dancing fit in? Pretty much anywhere at this point... =)

DWTS Stats Class – Week 5

Patriot Night! Is everyone wearing their reds, whites, and blues tonight?

I’m not either… But that doesn’t mean I’m not going to enjoy tonight’s dances… well as long as they are good… I hope.

Ralph and Karina – Samba
– Age [40s]: 20.765
– Occupation [Actor]: 24.625
– Pro Partner: 23
Predicted Score: 22
Thoughts: After Ralph’s high scoring opening number… his been middle of the pack thus far in accordance to the judges… the Samba isn’t exactly an easy dance technically-wise, especially the hip action. I’m thinking his score is going to go down a little here.

Kirstie and Maks – Foxtrot
– Age [60s]: 23.667
– Occupation [Actress]: 23.125
– Pro Partner: 23.714
Predicted Score: 23
Thoughts: Ok… so it’s been four weeks and Kirstie has had a mishap in two of the four dances. Particularly the SLOW dances (Rumba, Waltz), Foxtrot is more middle of the road speed… so I’m thinking that she’s not going to has a mishap this time around… and if she does, it’s probably because things come in threes.

Romeo and Chelsie – Foxtrot
– Age [20s]: 23
– Occupation [Singer]: 22.25
– Pro Partner: 21
Predicted Score: 22
Thoughts: Ok… I’m liking Romeo a bit more, as opposed to the judges. I want him to be a man in this dance, to frame Chelsie and give her that gentlemanly masculinity that he’s more than capable of portraying. If he does that then I expect to see him around for another week.

Chris and Cheryl – Viennese Waltz
– Age [40s]: 21.4
– Occupation [Athlete]: 26
– Pro Partner: 24.5
Predicted Score: 24
Thoughts: Chris has been growing on me over the weeks. But unfortunately he hasn’t been all that memorable either. Here’s hoping for something solid to pin him down on (no pun intended).

Petra and Dmitry – Quickstep
– Age [30s]: 24.026
– Occupation [Model]: 21.2
– Pro Partner: 23.5
Predicted Score: 22
Thoughts: The Quickstep is a foot placement heavy dance. And with Petra’s tendency of dancing off her feet rather than on it, I’m thinking the score SHOULD be lower, but will it be?

Hines and Kym – Rumba
– Age [30s]: 24.653
– Occupation [NFL]: 23.5
– Pro Partner: 23.667
Predicted Score: 23
Thoughts: Hines has been on a hell of an uphill climb these past few weeks. His personality is rather infectious, but will it come out during something as slow and romantic as the Rumba? I’m not entirely convinced, but I could be proven wrong.

Chelsea and Mark – Samba
– Age [20s]: 26.615
– Occupation [Disney]: 25
– Pro Partner: 23.75
Predicted Score: 25
Thoughts: The upbeat Samba tends to favor the young (not necessarily the young at heart). Chelsea has been getting decent marks thus far… She could do well here AND get away with crazy personality in the process… dammit.

Kendra and Louis – Foxtrot
– Age [20s]: 23
– Occupation [Reality TV]: 19.857
– Pro Partner: 23.188
Predicted Score: 22
Thoughts: I got nothing, she shouldn’t EVEN be around. Foxtrot is an elegant dance with a flair of a personality thrown in. If Kendra doesn’t embrace the elegance I want her OUT. That’s all I got to say.

April 18, 2011 I Written By

My life can be summed up in the following two quotes: 1) "I am married to engineering and am its faithful wife by day, but at night my wanderlust takes hold and the arts becomes my jealous paramour." and... 2) "Engineering is my safety net. Writing is my passion. Acting is my escape when the other two become too much." So where does dancing fit in? Pretty much anywhere at this point... =)

DWTS Stats Class – Week 4

Classical Week! With a full orchestra… and that gawdy staircase out of the way. What dances will our stars have to tackle for the week?

Ralph and Karina – Waltz
– Age [40s]: 21
– Occupation [Actor]: 27.25
– Pro Partner: 23.333
Predicted Score: 23
Thoughts: Is it just me or is Ralph “struggling” with the Latin dances as opposed to the Ballroom dance (Foxtrot). I’m looking for him to make his “come back” with the Waltz.

Kirstie and Maks – Waltz
– Age [60s]: 22
– Occupation [Actress]: 22.833
– Pro Partner: 25.4
Predicted Score: 23
Thoughts: Kirstie, to me, seems to do much better in the Latin dances than the Ballroom dance (Quickstep)… then again the Quickstep required a lot of energy, a lot of which Kirstie did not have towards the end. The Waltz is a bit more paced than the Quickstep, so this should work out more to her favor.

Romeo and Chelsie – Paso Doble
– Age [20s]: 27.7
– Occupation [Singer]: 22.75
– Pro Partner: N/A
Predicted Score: 25
Thoughts: Romeo needs to learn to be a man if he wants to dominate the Paso Doble. To me it seems like Romeo was just following Chelsie around like a little lap dog… ok… maybe not that extreme, but still. All kidding aside unless Romeo mans up… he may be next to bow out.

Chris and Cheryl – Paso Doble
– Age [40s]: 22.333
– Occupation [Athlete]: 27
– Pro Partner: 25.625
Predicted Score: 24
Thoughts: I LOVE LOVE LOVE Chris when he’s doing the ballroom dances, not so much with the Latin… With all the theoretical masculinity he has to throw around in the Wrestling ring… could he channel that into the Paso Doble?

Petra and Dmitry – Paso Doble
– Age [30s]: 25.406
– Occupation [Model]: 29
– Pro Partner: 30
Predicted Score: 28
Thoughts: oK… Dmitry hasn’t been on the show long enough for good data to be derived… same with models… so Petra is going to be breaking some boundaries here. Petra does well when it comes to slow sympatheic dances, but with something like the Paso Doble? I don’t know… I’m a bit skeptical

Hines and Kym – Paso Doble
– Age [30s]: 25.406
– Occupation [NFL]: 23
– Pro Partner: 23.333
Predicted Score: 23
Thoughts: Hines shines the most when he could infuse a bit of his personality into the dance. The Paso is a different animal and for some reason I just can’t see it happening… can you?

Chelsea and Mark – Viennese Waltz
– Age [20s]: 25.6
– Occupation [Disney]: 24.5
– Pro Partner: 21.5
Predicted Score: 23.867
Thoughts: So far Chelsea has been on a bit of an uphill climb… I’m thinking she’s going to peak too soon a la Sabrina Bryan… but who knows?

Sugar Ray & Anna – Viennese Waltz
– Age [50s]: 23
– Occupation [Boxer]: N/A
– Pro Partner: 23.333
Predicted Score: 23
Thoughts: Sugar Ray has been having problems with posture… as thus this is going to take some work for him to get up to form…

Kendra and Louis – Viennese Waltz
– Age [20s]: 25.6
– Occupation [Reality TV]: 21.5
– Pro Partner: 20.75
Predicted Score: 22
Thoughts: I don’t know about you guys, but I rather liked Kendra in the Quickstep… so I’m expecting her to do decently in the Viennese Waltz.

**NOTE: N/A – There is no prior data in this particular category

April 11, 2011 I Written By

My life can be summed up in the following two quotes: 1) "I am married to engineering and am its faithful wife by day, but at night my wanderlust takes hold and the arts becomes my jealous paramour." and... 2) "Engineering is my safety net. Writing is my passion. Acting is my escape when the other two become too much." So where does dancing fit in? Pretty much anywhere at this point... =)

DWTS Stats Class: Week 3

Another week another set of dances, though I actually expected to have two dances going on tonight per norm… apparently the producers are choosing to buck the trend and try something new.

I will just say right now that I’m not exactly thrilled, but I’m a bit of a purist. Anyway… I digress.

Thanks to Heidi’s post earlier on who was dancing what… here are the calculated predictions for tonight. I apologize for the tardiness, I was on an extended weekend trip at the east coast and recently arrived just a few hours ago… 😀

Ralph and Karina – Rumba
– Age [40s]: 19.409
– Occupation [Actor]: 24.667
– Pro Partner: 21.8
Predicted Score: 22
Thoughts: With the past two dances, Ralph has been able to surprise the judges and America with his ability to pick up dances. Could he make that three? Possibly, he’s pretty smooth on the dancefloor thus far, and Rumba’s a smooth dance, but it’s rather slow too.

Kendra and Louis – Rumba
– Age [20s]: 24.643
– Occupation [Reality TV]: 20.4
– Pro Partner: 21
Predicted Score: 22
Thoughts: As one could expect this is a dance that caters to the youth, as thus the expectation can be considered high for Kendra to meet expectations, except she seemed to have a nasty habit of being underwhelming, maybe the Rumba would help her strive for something more?

Kirstie and Maks – Rumba
– Age [60s]: 21.667
– Occupation [Actress]: 21.667
– Pro Partner: 26.2
Predicted Score: 23
Thoughts: What is there to say? She’s been great, gotta love her and she’s been a doll. It’s a slow dance, but it is also fairly hard on the bottle in other ways. But she’s been capable to pull out all the stops when necessary, could she do it again?

Romeo and Chelsie – Rumba
– Age [20s]: 24.643
– Occupation [Singer]: 23.75
– Pro Partner: 22
Predicted Score: 23
Thoughts: A young couple with a romantic dance? As long as it’s not as hammy as Marky Mark tends to be (shirtless last season anyone? *vomits*), I’ll be happy.

Chris and Cheryl – Rumba
– Age [40s]: 19.409
– Occupation [Athlete]: 21.5
– Pro Partner: 20.5
Predicted Score: 20
Thoughts: Chris was a heck of a surprise last week, I’m tempted to say that he could make it two for two, especially with Cheryl as his partner. Here’s hoping.

Chelsea and Mark – ChaCha
– Age [20s]: 21.778
– Occupation [Disney]: 22.333
– Pro Partner: 25
Predicted Score: 23
Thoughts: Wow, I forgot that Mark is fairly strong in the ChaCha, but considering that the Cha Cha is considered a flirty dance and well this is Mark afterall.

Sugar Ray & Anna – Paso Doble
– Age [50s]: 22.833
– Occupation [Boxer]: 22
– Pro Partner: 23.667
Predicted Score: 22
Thoughts: As a Boxer, they are constantly bouncing on their feet and hunched in. In the Paso Doble they have to expand and in some ways strut around the dance floor. Old habits die hard, and Anna’s got her work ahead of her to knock them out for Sugar Ray.

Petra and Dmitry – Waltz
– Age [30s]: 20.7
– Occupation [Model]: 21.667
– Pro Partner: 28
Predicted Score: 23
Thoughts: Am I really surprised that Petra, a model, gets a ballroom dance? Not just any ballroom dance, but the waltz? Something smooth and graceful for her to float across the floor. *Yawn*

Wendy and Tony – Foxtrot
– Age [40s]: 19.455
– Occupation [Host]: 23
– Pro Partner: 21.4
Predicted Score: 21
Thoughts: Wendy had trouble with dancing that required moving around quite a bit, and considering that her considerable assets tend to detract from the performance, here’s hoping that a dance that requires more smoothness than energy would help her out.

Hines and Kym – Samba
– Age [30s]: 23.385
– Occupation [NFL]: 21.2
– Pro Partner: 24.167
Predicted Score: 23
Thoughts: Hines has been another celeb that’s been surprising the judges and America with his infectious personality. With an upbeat dance like the Samba, that personality could shine through, but I’m not quite as convinced with the dance itself… but the numbers tell me otherwise.

April 4, 2011 I Written By

My life can be summed up in the following two quotes: 1) "I am married to engineering and am its faithful wife by day, but at night my wanderlust takes hold and the arts becomes my jealous paramour." and... 2) "Engineering is my safety net. Writing is my passion. Acting is my escape when the other two become too much." So where does dancing fit in? Pretty much anywhere at this point... =)

DWTS Stats Class: Week 2

So… for anyone that remembers, in previous seasons I attempted to predict scores for the Monday night performance show. Sometimes far off the mark and other times pretty darn close.

This season I’m going to try something vastly different.

Similar to how I placed the stars in the pre-season by breaking down the averages of the seasons to professional, occupation and age, I am going to try to use a similar method when trying to predict scores from week to week.

See here you have it, a (hopefully) much more simplistic way to understand my scoring prediction calculations… good luck!

Ralph and Karina – Jive
– Age [40s]: 18.5
– Occupation [Actor]: 23
– Pro Partner: 21
Predicted Score: 20
Thoughts: I don’t really agree with the score, knowing that he was able to pull of in the Foxtrot. But the Jive is a faster dance, and requires a lot of energy. So this tends to be cumbersome for older stars… let’s see how he pulls this off.

Kendra and Louis – Jive
– Age [20s]: 23.444
– Occupation [Reality TV]: 17.5
– Pro Partner: 19.5
Predicted Score: 20
Thoughts: I found it kind of odd that Louis hasn’t fared well with the Jive and his partners, then again, Reality TV stars don’t really fare well over all in dancing, however, she has youth behind her, that could help.

Chelsea and Mark – Jive
– Age [20s]: 23.444
– Occupation [Disney]: 25
– Pro Partner: 21
Predicted Score: 23
Thoughts: Easily one of the younger partnerships, the Jive caters to youth quite well, the question is how much would this pairing take that knowledge to their advantage? It’s Mark… if he goes campy, I quit… wait… it’s Mark… dammit.

Mike and Lacey – Jive
– Age [30s]: 22.043
– Occupation [Host]: 22
– Pro Partner: 28
Predicted Score: 24
Thoughts: Oddly enough, Lacey has never worked on the Jive with any of her partners prior to Week 6. So this could be interesting.

Sugar Ray & Anna – Jive
– Age [50s]: 20.333
– Occupation [Boxer]: 17
– Pro Partner: 21.333
Predicted Score: 19
Thoughts: Despite their quickness of feet in the ring, for some reason it could never transfer over to the dance floor. Could Sugar Ray buck the trend?

Petra and Dmitry – Jive
– Age [30s]: 22.043
– Occupation [Model]: 20.5
– Pro Partner: 27
Predicted Score: 23
Thoughts: Models always did seem out of sorts in the Jive, mainly because she is so tall and with long limbs. The only “tall” celebrity that I could think of that actually looked comfortable in the Jive? Evan Lysacek, but he was an athlete, Petra is not.

Wendy and Tony – Quickstep
– Age [40s]: 20.417
– Occupation [Host]: 22
– Pro Partner: 21
Predicted Score: 21
Thoughts: I firmly believe that the woman’s particular assets are going to be a hindrance versus a help… I mean seriously, since when is having big breasts a help? Ok… don’t answer that. All joking aside, I do believe they are going to be a hell of a hindrance especially with all the hopping around in the Quickstep, though the only thing worse than that? The Jive and THANK GOODNESS she’s not doing that.

Kirstie and Maks – Quickstep
– Age [60s]: 19.2
– Occupation [Actress]: 21.143
– Pro Partner: 23
Predicted Score: 21
Thoughts: Kirstie made a hell of a splash on the ChaCha, but the Quickstep is another animal and a lot faster. She seemed a little winded after the ChaCha last week. As long as she doesn’t pull a Marie, it should be fine and I hope last week wasn’t just a one dance wonder.

Romeo and Chelsie – Quickstep
– Age [20s]: 23.7
– Occupation [Singer]: 23.286
– Pro Partner: 20.5
Predicted Score: 22
Thoughts: Another young partnership that should take advantage of the energy that the Quickstep provides. However, Romeo could have trouble with posture, posture, posture… but considering he has sex appeal for days, does it really matter this early in the season?

Chris and Cheryl – Quickstep
– Age [40s]: 20.417
– Occupation [Athlete]: 20
– Pro Partner: 21.429
Predicted Score: 20
Thoughts: An athlete in their 40s? Ok, maybe not “athlete” per say, but close enough. In all honesty though, I don’t see the Quickstep being a dance that would come easily to him. I see a lower score than the calculation says, but meh… I’m not going to argue with numbers, are you?

Hines and Kym – Quickstep
– Age [30s]: 21.92
– Occupation [NFL]: 21.571
– Pro Partner: 20.5
Predicted Score: 21
Thoughts: Footballers shouldn’t have trouble with this dance, they’re suppose to be quick on their feet. Hines doesn’t have an excuse to score decently.

March 28, 2011 I Written By

My life can be summed up in the following two quotes: 1) "I am married to engineering and am its faithful wife by day, but at night my wanderlust takes hold and the arts becomes my jealous paramour." and... 2) "Engineering is my safety net. Writing is my passion. Acting is my escape when the other two become too much." So where does dancing fit in? Pretty much anywhere at this point... =)

DWTS 12 Stat Class: Who has the Edge?

So… before the start of last season I attempted to place the “stars” via a long series of calculations in hopes to predict who would leave when during the course of the season.

Needless to say, although I was off in some cases I was also spot on in other cases.

In case you have forgotten what factors I’ve used to calculate the placement of the stars here’s a bit of a refresher: DWTS Season 11 Stat Class

Now it would be interesting to note how the last season affecting the standings of each pro… so below is what the pro ranks are AFTER Season 11 followed by what they were PRIOR to Season 11:
1. 1.) Derek Hough – 7 Seasons
2. 2.) Julianne Hough – 5 Seasons
3. 4.) Lacey Schwimmer – 4 Seasons
4. 3.) Cheryl Burke – 10 Seasons
5. 7.) Dmitry Chaplin – 2 Seasons
6. 10.) Mark Ballas – 7 Seasons
7. 13.) Maksim Chmerkovskiy – 9 Seasons
8. 5.) Kym Johnson – 8 Seasons
9. 11.) Tony Dovolani – 10 Seasons
10. 14.) Anna Trebunskaya – 6 Seasons
11. 8.) Karina Smirnoff – 8 Seasons
12. 9.) Louis van Amstel – 7 Seasons
13. 6.) Chelsie Hightower – 4 Seasons
14. 12.) Corky Ballas – 2 Season
15. 15.) Edyta Sliwinska – 10 Seasons
16. 16.) Alec Mazo – 5 Seasons
17. 17.) Ashly Costa (nee DelGrosso) – 4 Seasons
18. 18.) Jonathan Roberts – 7 Seasons

As one could see, even if a pro does not participate in a season their overall rank is still affected based on those that are participating.

And for sake of completeness here is how the various age groups rank after Season 11:
1. Teens (below 20 years)
2. 20s (20 thru 29)
3. 30s (30 thru 39)
4. 60s (60 thru 69)
5. 40s (40 thru 49)
6. 70s (70 thru 79)
7. 50s (60 thru 69)
8. 80s (above 79 years)

Now it is important to note that the ages represent the age that a celeb is at while they are participating in the show. So if someone is 29 when they were on the show and is in their early-30s now the age group they are representing is that of their 20s.

And finally we have occupations. I tried to use the primary occupation that a celeb is most known for since we do have a lot of crossover celebrities. This category probably contains the most variables when attempting to calculate ranks:
1. NFL athlete
2. Olympian (one that has been to the Olympics AND medaled)
3. Band Member (ie 98 Degrees, Spice Girls, NKOTB, etc)
4. Disney (anyone that got their start w/ Disney, Billy Ray Cyrus is NOT part of this group)
5. Entertainer (ie Wayne Newton, Marie and Donny Osmond)
6. Soap Opera Star
7. Singer (Master P, Billy Ray Cyrus, Toni Braxton, Lil Kim, Aaron Carter, Michael Bolton)
8. Actor
9. Athlete (ie Helio, Monica Seles, Ty Murray, Chuck Liddell, Louie)
10. Host (ie Kenny Mayne, Jerry Springer, Lezza Gibbons, Brooke Burke, Erin Andrews)
11. Actress
12. NBA athlete
13. Boxer (ie Evander Holyfield, Laila Ali, Floyd Mayweather)
14. Reality TV Star
15. Other (anyone that does not fit in any other category)
16. Model
17. Comedian

Now that we know which celebs are part of Season 12, it is time to calculate and attempt to predict how they would place in the upcoming season.

For issues of time and ease of understanding I am only going notate which group each celeb fits per category and their rank, as well as their overall rank.

Age: 50s (Rank: 11)
Occupation: Boxer (Rank: 9)
Pro Partner: Anna Trebunskaya (Rank: 8 )
I really don’t know what to say about this. I mean Anna has done well recently, but for every high placement she has a low placement. Other than Laila Ali, Boxers typically do not rank high in their season despite the natural fast feet. But the first to go? I could see others more likely to fit that bill…

Age: 40s (Rank: 8 )
Occupation: Host (Rank: 6)
Pro Partner: Tony Dovolani (Rank: 7)
Female hosts tend to do better than male hosts in the overall standings, but that is also dependent on what they have come in with and if memory serves most of those female hosts has had some prior dance experience, be it ballet, contemporary, etc. Does Wendy have any of that? Not to my knowledge but things could change. Still, personally, I wouldn’t be terribly surprised to see her as one of the first to go.

Age: 40s (Rank: 8 )
Occupation: Actor (Rank: 4)
Pro Partner: Karina Smirnoff (Rank: 9)
Actors tend to do better than actresses, granted that’s mainly in part of the viewing demographic. However with other better eye candy on the horizon, does he really stand a chance?

Age: 20s (Rank: 1)
Occupation: Reality TV Star (Rank: 10)
Pro Partner: Louis van Amstel (Rank: 10)
Another bunny decides that she wanted to come out and play. Thank goodness her first dance isn’t the quickstep, else I may have to walk away do to some distraction or another. I mean, having a bounce is one thing, but bouncing all over the place is quite another. Still the ChaCHa isn’t exactly an improvement in the bounce department, unless Louis knows how to keep the puppies tame. Being young has its advantages, but that only goes so far.

Age: 60s (Rank: 7)
Occupation: Actress (Rank: 8 )
Pro Partner: Maksim Chmerkovskiy (Rank: 5)
Maksim has had his taste in the top three for a few seasons now, but Kristie is coming up in her age. To me she’s the most “known” but that is only because I loved the “Look Whose Talking” movie series with John Travolta. It will be interesting to see what she comes up with.

Age: 30s (Rank: 4)
Occupation: Model (Rank: 11)
Pro Partner: Dmitry Chaplin (Rank: 3)
Ah yes, the prettiest couple. I am a Dmitry ‘groupie’, so any chance that he could stay on the show longer is a happy day for me. But models tend to do poorly when it comes to placement beating out comedians! Ah well, I’m crossing my fingers.

Age: 20s (Rank: 1)
Occupation: Singer (Rank: 3)
Pro Partner: Chelsie Hightower (Rank: 11)
YES!!! You have no idea how excited I was to hear that they asked him to come on this season. He has GOT to be an improvement over his dad. His pro partner is arguably an improvement (for those that have forgotten, when he was originally asked to join, his partner was slated Ashly DelGrosso now Costa but he was replaced by his dad due to injury). So I am very interested to see how this would pan out.

Age: 40s (Rank: 8 )
Occupation: Athlete (Rank: 5)
Pro Partner: Cheryl Burke (Rank: 2)
As yes, Cheryl gets another athlete, there isn’t much to be said, because she knows how to get an athlete to work. So what’s the point?

Age: 30s (Rank: 4)
Occupation: Host (Rank: 6)
Pro Partner: Lacey Schwimmer (Rank: 1)
I don’t know him. Do you? I can’t comment on someone that I have no idea about, I’m sorry.

Age: 30s (Rank: 4)
Occupation: NFL athlete (Rank: 1)
Pro Partner: Kym Johnson (Rank: 6)
NFL players have a tendency to finish in the top half of the season celebs, with a good number of them finishing near the top three. Hines has his work cut out with him if he is expected to keep the NFL legacy alive. At least he isn’t a quarterback. *evil cackle*

Age: 20s (Rank: 1)
Occupation: Disney (Rank: 2)
Pro Partner: Mark Ballas (Rank: 4)
Don’t ask me how this happened. But it has happened again. In last year’s pre-season ranking I had Bristol Palin and Kyle Massey in the top three and look what happened! I am just saying that at this point, anything can happen.

And there you have it, the final odds as calculated by my normalized calculations derived from the last eleven seasons. Normally I wouldn’t agree with a good number of these ranks, but as it stands, numbers don’t lie and last year just reminded me of that. So let’s just sit back, relax, and see what’s going to happen this season.


March 20, 2011 I Written By

My life can be summed up in the following two quotes: 1) "I am married to engineering and am its faithful wife by day, but at night my wanderlust takes hold and the arts becomes my jealous paramour." and... 2) "Engineering is my safety net. Writing is my passion. Acting is my escape when the other two become too much." So where does dancing fit in? Pretty much anywhere at this point... =)

DWTS Season 10 – Finale Week Costuming

Randal Christensen had some “behind the seams dish” to dish about with Stylelist again. Here’s a take for what went on with the costumes for the finale nights. Be sure to read more at the link.

Bristol Palin and Mark Ballas: Christensen was amused when the teen activist tossed the tricked-out gorilla suit she wore earlier this season. “It served its purpose and was so last week,” he deadpans. “It was a funny moment and a fun jab at the last time they jived.” Besides, Christensen was more focused on the blinged-out blue jacket he designed for Ballas. “I was surprised we made it to the finale before he asked for it. He loves his bling-encrusted costumes.”

As for Palin’s sexy, lace freestyle booty short bodysuit, Christensen says the teen activist was in complete charge of her look. She asked for fringe to be added to the suit and loved her blinged-out boots and fishnet stockings. “It was fun seeing Bristol’s confidence grow each week,” says Christensen.

Kyle Massey and Lacey Schwimmer: The teen stars freestyle “Tootsie Roll” rapper medallion was hand-made by a crafty member of Christensen’s team who used gold foil lycra layered over plastic which was tacked on to keep Massey from chipping his teeth while he danced. Really! As for their bright-yellow sneakers: “We’re lucky we are in Hollywood where you can still find that kind of ’90’s thing around,” he says.

Jennifer Grey and Derek Hough: Hough was so pleased with Grey’s lattice-backed paso doble dress he twirled her around to praise Christensen’s design on national television. The compliment was, “quite thrilling actually” says the designer, whose concept for the gown was to keep it sophisticated but theatrical with the daringly low back. “The splash of garnet silk satin was especially effective when it was ripped off to be Derek’s matador cape,” he notes.

Grey made a deliberate decision not to imitate her signature “Dirty Dancing” finale performance instead dancing to “Mashed Potato” another song from the iconic film. “We were quite seriously paying homage to ‘Baby’ while trying to put a bit of originality into the costume,” says Christensen. And while Grey boasts “rock hard” abs at 50, Christensen added a panel of nude mesh to her hot pink two piece to “make sure she was comfortable.” Scattered crystals finished the look.

I loved Jennifer and Derek’s choices. Jennifer’s gold fringe costume had “Champion” written all over it from the get go. So, who had your favorite costumes for the finale?

Randall Christensen also dished on his favorite Finale costumes of all time on the show so far. See what costumes he picked in a cool slide gallery >>> HERE!

So, I wonder what Randall Christensen will have in store for DWTS Season 12? I wrap this post up with this little memory I don’t think we’ll ever soon forget. lol

Len Goodman to Kyle Massey: It was as though you were engulfed in a huge feather duster and you kept popping out here and there.

November 28, 2010 I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud. To view my photography site, see Lisa Kay Photography.

DWTS Finale for a Lackluster Season

I have to be honest and admit that this season has been a really lackluster season of Dancing with the Stars for me. I know that some people disagree and have loved the season, but for some reason I just could never get into this season in a big way. Of course, I’m sure the show doesn’t really care too much about me since the ratings have been off the charts this season. Although, I can’t help but wonder how much higher the ratings would have been if it wasn’t such a relatively boring season.

I should make the clarification that it’s still a great show. I wouldn’t have started this blog if I didn’t enjoy DWTS. The dancing is still fantastic to watch and for that I’ll continue to watch the show. However, on the other side of the reality TV mix, I haven’t enjoyed the characters on this season of DWTS.

It kind of reminds me of watching a basketball or football game for two teams that I don’t really care about. I enjoy the competition and the individual efforts, but it’s not nearly as fun when I don’t have a horse in the race. This season I haven’t found a horse that I could really get behind.

Let’s take a look at the final 3 story lines:

Kyle and Lacey – Ok, Kyle is a really likable character. He sure shocked the crap out of me when he was able to move the way he did. However, maybe he’s just a little bit goofy for me to really want to get behind him. Plus, Lacey’s approach to Kyle’s antics kind of turns me personally off to him and so it’s hard for me to support him. Plus, while he’s better at dancing performing than I thought, his dances are still pretty weak and so it’s hard for me to support such poor dancing ability. It’s not like he was Emmitt Smith that had a really incredible style that despite his lack of technique was fun to watch week after week.

Jennifer and Derek – I partially blame the producers for me not liking Jennifer as much as I should. They told the storyline of her injury and pain far too much. Is that her fault? Partially, but when you hear that she’s hurting that much it makes it harder for me to enjoy her dancing. I sit there wondering about how much pain she’s in instead of really enjoying the beauty of her movement and Derek’s choreography. I’m still shocked by her 50 year old physique, but that’s not enough for me to vote. Her dancing has been fantastic overall with only Brandy coming close to her technique. This said, I’m trying to remember if she’s ever had a really break out moment where I thought, she TOTALLY deserves to win because of that dance. Slow and steady might win the race, but if you want me to vote I prefer a bit of shock value.

Bristol and Mark – What can I say? She’s the worst dancer to ever make the finals of DWTS. I know some people love watching her dance and to each their own. It’s just not my thing. In fact, the most compelling reason for me to get behind Bristol is because of all the crazy people that have gone after her. I agree that she shouldn’t be in the finale, but America voted that way and so blame America, not Bristol. The funny thing is that all the Bristol haters might be the ones that propel her to the win. Many times on a reality TV show the people that hate a certain person incite all the Bristol fans to vote in extraordinary numbers. If I were a campaign strategists for the Bristol haters, I’d be telling them to share the story of “Jennifer deserves to win cause she’s a great dancer” as opposed to the story of hate that “Bristol shouldn’t win” just because. Either way, Bristol seems like a very nice girl to me and doesn’t deserve a lot of the negative things that people are saying about her. However, that’s not a reason for me to vote for her. In fact, that’s pretty much my feelings about voting for her mother too.

Is there a storyline that I’m missing here? Has there been something this season that really makes you want to vote? Maybe the vengeful Brandy fans will come out in big numbers tonight for them to vote. I’m just not that vengeful. Or maybe I am, but I wasn’t a huge Brandy fan either.

Either way, I still love the freestyle round. Let’s hope that doesn’t disappoint in tonight’s DWTS Finale.

Plus, let’s hope next season we have some really interesting story lines I can get behind. How about the return of Julianne and/or Edyta? Bringing those two back to the show would be a good place to start.

November 22, 2010 I Written By

Better known as Charlie.

DWTS Season 11, Week 9 – ‘Can DWTS right the ship’ Weekend Media Roundup

I wasn’t going to watch the final because I was so ticked over the unfairness of everything. But I am starting to look forward to it.

Can DWTS right the ship? Will Baby take the mirrorball? Will Kyle the underdog win it all? Or will Bristol (gasp) sink the whole show? TPTB (and the judges) have a chance to end the season with a positive bang – or not.

What else is on Monday and Tuesday nights anyway? I might find out come March. :) ~ PureDWTS Reader Laurie

LOL! I just loved that quote by Laurie yesterday and it says it all, doesn’t it?!! I still love this show despite the unfair eliminations, controversies, and whackiness this year.

And for all of the fans out there that are out there hating on the show and planning to boycott it now and never watch again since Maks got voted off or for whatever reasons (I can’t believe some of the tweets I’ve seen out there), this sure isn’t what Maks wants. Please listen to his words in this new interview on Access Hollywood. He still very much loves this show, he wants the best for it, and hopes to dance on it in the future. So, when you talk of boycotting it, do you realize you are hurting Maks, the other dancers, and future celebrities you might love to see dance when doing so? (Heidi’s Note: Better still watch, and vote for either Jennifer or Kyle and avoid a self fulfilling prophesy. Strategically, it would be safer to vote for whichever of them has the higher score, but take your pick.)

Here is another interview with Maks on The Insider discussing the voting system and the elimination. He hopes the system will be checked and more thought will be put into the show in the future for what’s best for it. I agree and I hope the producers will hear him and how many of us feel after what’s happened this Season.

The producer of Dancing With The Stars, Conrad Green, also speaks out on the voting system and Bristol. Here is what he told in a new interview.

ENTERTAINMENT WEEKLY: This week, there’s been a lot of outrage that it’s too easy to exploit the voting system at Do you have any plan in place to correct that?CONRAD GREEN: It’s already corrected, to be honest with you. It might appear that you can make up a thousand email addresses and send them in, but we have a number of security checks in place that go over all of the internet votes before they’re calculated. In this particular case, we can spot an IP address, and if one computer sends in a crazy amount of email votes, we just discard them. These things can happen for any of our contestants. It’s not like only Bristol’s fans could do that. It could just as easily be happening for Jennifer’s or for someone else’s. But either way, those excessive votes are not being counted.

Are you saying that it might look to people like their excessive votes are getting through, but because they’re using the same IP address the votes actually wouldn’t count?Exactly. And there’s a number of other security checks they can do. I’m not gonna reveal all of them, because it might encourage people to try to find a way around them. But there are tons of checks done by every one of our vendors — the phone people, the text people and the internet people. They do discard anything that looks suspicious. Sometimes people just can’t get through because the phone lines are busy; the local exchanges get overwhelmed. But that affects everyone equally. Unfortunately, it’s a huge country with a huge infrastructure, and those kinds of things are going to go wrong. Our servers have gone down on the internet during voting a lot. I’m very confident the votes that are getting through are valid.

Would you ever consider giving more weight to the judges’ scores in the future?You’ve watched the show for a long time, so you’ve seen every little brouhaha we’ve had along the way. With the amount of times people have screamed blue murder about the scores of the judges have given, do you really think the complaining would stop if the judges had the final say? What it comes down to is, we add the share of the judges’ scores each night to the audience’s votes. And if you look at the spread this week between Jennifer, who got 60, and Bristol who got 53, and the other two in between, I think the share Jennifer had of the judges’ vote was like only three and a half percent more than Bristol had. I think the share that Bristol had was only one and a half percent less than Brandy’s. So all Bristol had to do was get more than one and a half percent of the popular vote than Brandy, and then she’s through. That isn’t that surprising. I’m kind of mystified about why everyone is finding this such a bizarre thing to happen.

Do you think Bristol might win?Of course. She’s got the same chance as everyone else now. The slate has been wiped clean, every show. She’s improved every week. I think a lot of people are ignoring the fact that she’s actually a decent dancer. What I think is annoying people is that maybe she’s not as vivid a performer as some of the other dancers on the show. Kyle is quite a performer, but Bristol is probably in terms of technique a better dancer than Kyle. But she’ll never get credit for that. The thing is, when you look at her, she’s actually quite shy. Watching someone develop stage presence is actually quite fascinating to watch, and I think that’s why some people are rooting for her. You see her gradually unfolding and unfurling and all, as a performer. I can assure you that she’s really enjoying doing it. It’s not like she doesn’t want to be here. Far from it. I think she just feels uncomfortable with a lot of the things you see on our show — wearing tiny costumes, being over-the-top. She just feels slightly embarrassed doing it. She just doesn’t come from this world. I think that’s one of the things that’s absorbing about watching her.

So you think it’s just a case of America loving the underdog?
We have no way of knowing why people are voting for Bristol. If you look at it, young contestants on the show are always popular. Shawn Johnson won it. Kyle happens to be in the final as well, which everyone seems to have overlooked. You’ve got 19- and 20-year-olds in the show who have both made the final. People like young contestants, contestants who aren’t from the mainstream, who have got a tough story, who have come from no dance training. You’ll remember, this time last season, everyone was furious about Nicole being on the show because she’s got too much experience. There might be an element of her vote that’s from Republicans, but there might be an element of her vote she’s not getting because of Democrats. She was working at a dermatologist’s office in Alaska, whereas Jennifer Grey was in a movie beloved by millions of women around this country who are now our target audience. She hasn’t got any fan base to speak of. If there are a few Tea Party people getting behind her, how is that any different from Marie Osmond’s fans voting for her, or rodeo fans voting for Ty Murray, or Brandy’s fans — five million albums sold — who were voting for her? You could argue that [Bristol]‘s got no constituency. People are being melodramatic about this. If she was Kenny Mayne, yeah, that could be an issue. Or Kate Gosselin — with the quality of her dancing, that would be a bit bizarre. But she’s a good dancer, Bristol. I thought she did great on Monday. Here’s a 20-year-old girl who everyone’s screaming at. This should be the best week of her life. I really feel for this girl. Everyone’s acting like she’s getting together with Dick Cheney, trying to start an evil empire. It’s crazy. It’s a dancing competition. She’s a lovely girl. Give her a break!

A lot of fans are flipping out on the internet and insisting they’ll never watch the show again if Bristol wins. How do you respond to that?Unfortunately, people get pissed on this show. It’s the nature of it. Your favorite gets kicked off and you think it’s unfair. There’s a massive difference between “unfair” and “something else going on.” Life isn’t always fair. You could probably nominate the best dancer after only two shows — you might as well just stop the season right then. It’s about improvement, it’s about where people go. Bristol’s our most improved dancer. People threaten to leave the country if the next government wins the election. They tend not to. At the end of the day, they should be mobilizing their friends, getting their children to vote, talkimg about it in the office, you know? Make those calls. It’s a pretty easy process. It’s very easy to influence the results of this show if you’re passionate about it. The fans have always had a say in the past about who wins, and frequently someone wins who they don’t agree with. I haven’t always agreed with the person who’s won. Everyone has their favorites. That’s the nature of it. Get involved!

Heidi Adds: The article above is somewhat contradicted by what he says to Entertainment Tonight below, so, I’m inclined to think he’s referring to putting a stop to fake email addresses. He clearly doesn’t care about multiple valid emails – the site even implies you can do that.

Meanwhile “Dancing with the Stars” executive producer Conrad Green told the AP that there are security measures in place to detect abnormal activities like using fake email addresses, but that he doubts many people are doing it.

Green tells the AP that even if people could get around the voting rules, he says it’s still fair since fans of any of the dancers could do it. “I don’t think there’s any reason to believe our voting system is unfair,” Green told the news agency. “If someone really wants to sign up for a million e-mail addresses … well, so be it. But they could be doing that for Jennifer, they could be doing that for Kyle, they could be doing that for anyone.”

Speaking of Bristol, here is Brandy and Cheryl being interviewed on Access Hollywood at Us Weekly’s Hot Hollywood party about Bristol Palin’s chances to win, giving back, and if we’ll see Brandy on Tuesday night’s show.

Moving on to other news….and a little scary at that. According to Access Hollywood a Hazmat team was called into the “Dancing with the Stars’” offices on Friday evening after reps for the show received a package containing an unknown white powder substance. Thank goodness it turned out to be a harmless.

“An envelope containing an unknown substance was delivered to the ‘Dancing with the Stars’ production office on Friday evening,” a rep for ABC said in a statement to Access on Friday night. “Security and the Los Angeles Fire Department and Los Angeles Police Department were immediately notified. Measures were taken to secure the area and ensure the safety of personnel.”

After authorities arrived on the scene and investigated, they determined that the white powder was a harmless household item, the ABC rep added.

“Ultimately we were advised by the LAFD that the substance was determined to be talcum powder,” the rep’s statement concluded.

Ok, that wraps up this media post for your Saturday. Have a fun day for whatever you have planned out 😉

November 20, 2010 I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud. To view my photography site, see Lisa Kay Photography.