Below is Dancing With The Stars Julianne Hough on the red carpet at the American Music Awards. What a stunning dress. Click on the pics to see more….
What a doll as always! Last night, Julianne Hough FOX’s Cause For Paws: An All-Star Dog Spectacular at The Barker Hanger in Santa Monica, California. You can view more pictures at Getty Images.
Bethany Mota released a new Vlog. She chronicles her time on Dancing With The Stars. She and Derek also sing. This is just precious as can be….
For lots more with these two, see Pure Derek Hough.
Wow. The last week. The second to last numbers post until March. Yay!! I will hopefully be able to whip up a numbers post on Monday night after those scores have come in and will take into account whichever screwy way they decide to count the votes.
Anyway, their convenient ranking of the contestants the other night makes it harder to call than you might think. I’ve been of the opinion for quite some time that Janel is the low vote getter of the people left standing (hell, maybe she got less votes than Tommy, but who knows). But the scores are equally important and the question is: is she getting enough votes to prevent Sadie, Bethany and Alfonso covering the spread? That’s the big question.
Between the very young fanbase of Bethany (less likely to vote) and the broad appeal of Sadie and Alfonso, is Janel’s score enough?? Well, it will be an interesting Monday night. Maybe. What I mean by that is – when will they eliminate the fourth place person, Monday night or Tuesday? Last season, according to Wiki, they eliminated James on Monday night after all the dances. Bill Engvall was eliminated on Monday night. Aly was eliminated on TUESDAY. However, Aly’s season was the last one where there was a regular Tuesday night show. So, it should be Monday night – but the producers of this show have a tendency to change things around to suit their purposes.
But for right now, we’re going on the assumption of a Monday night elimination, which makes these scores pretty important.
Well, as you can see the percentages are pretty close together, which means not a lot of votes will be needed for someone to get beat.
See, this is why it’s tough. There hasn’t been a real bottom two all season. Janel and Sadie have been the last woman standing on a couple of occasions –sometimes that means something and sometimes it doesn’t. It never means anything during the semi-final and finals nights, so that leaves Sadie and Janel each with one instance of being the last person called safe. Betsey was in the bottom two and was eliminated two weeks later. Jonathan was last to be called safe and was eliminated two weeks later. Michael was last to be called safe and was eliminated four weeks later (thanks to goofy eliminations). Tommy was last to be called safe and was eliminated two weeks later. Janel was last to be called safe four weeks ago and was handed bogus immunity two weeks later, and was wildly overscored the two weeks after that. Interesting. Sadie was last to be called safe the last two weeks, but as I said, it doesn’t usually mean anything in the semi-final. That may be true for the quarter final as well, but I can’t remember and I’m too lazy to go look it up.
So, does this mean that either Sadie or Janel are going to be eliminated Monday night? Well, no, not really. We don’t really know if jeopardy means anything in a given season until that season is completely done. But, we’re pretty close right now. Based on this knowledge, and the fact that he’s awesome, I’m going to bet that Alfonso is safe on Monday night.
That leaves us with the three ladies. Now, I think it’s fairly clear that Bethany has the largest actual following from BEFORE DWTS. And I kind of feel like Sadie’s gotten the lion’s share of the average viewer. Which kinda leaves Janel out in the cold.
Sure, I would like to see Janel eliminated, but that’s just to hack off Val. Really, if you’ve made it to the finale, there’s winning and losing. Unless you’re holding the trophy at the end, you lost – does it matter what place you got? Not really. All that just to say that I don’t really care if Janel gets fourth or third. And to also say that if Bethany isn’t holding the MBT at the end (and she won’t be), who cares ifshe gets fourth or third or second??
All that to also say that I’m not really sure who it’s going to be on Monday night. My instinct is that Alfonso and Sadie will be the last two standing. Let’s look at the voting requirements:
Now, it could come down to Sadie and Janel or Bethany and Janel. But look at those vote requirements. I think that Sadie beats all three of them with the possible exception of Alfonso. Then Alfonso beats both Bethany and Janel. Then Bethany beats Janel. Now, that’s the very short version, but if you followed it, that means Janel is eliminated.
BUT, it’s entirely possible that Sadie only beats Janel in with the above scores. Doesn’t matter, right, because it’s likely that Alfonso beats Bethany and Janel and Bethany beats Janel, which means Janel goes home. But what if Sadie isn’t beating Janel, since that more than 10k could be a stretch??
I’m confusing myself now. Simpler version – how is Janel eliminated. If ALL of the following happen:
- Sadie gets 11k more votes per million votes cast than Janel, AND;
- Alfonso gets 8,300 more votes per million votes cast than Janel, AND;
- Bethany gets 5,500 more votes per million votes cast than Janel.
See, those are not huge numbers, but the number between Sadie and Janel does worry me a tiny bit. How is Sadie eliminated?? If ALL of the following happen:
- Sadie fails to get the 11k more votes per million votes cast than Janel, AND;
- Sadie fails to get 5,500 more votes per million votes cast than Bethany, AND;
- Sadie fails to get 2,800 more votes per million votes cast than Alfonso.
Finally, how is Bethany eliminated?? If ALL of the following happen:
- Sadie gets 5,500 more votes per million votes cast than Bethany, AND;
- Alfonso gets 2,800 more votes per million votes cast than Bethany, AND;
- Bethany fails to get 5,500 more votes per million votes cast than Janel.
Now do you see why it’s so hard? None of those numbers are huge. In looking at all three combinations, it strikes me that, initially, it looks like eliminating Janel is the hardest thing to do. But then look at Beth and Sadie – it seems like Janel has an easier road, but when you look at Sadie’s set, it seems to me that she could beat Alfonso and Bethany with those numbers, but it’s also a bit hard. Then you look at Bethany and it doesn’t seem like it would be hard for her to beat Janel even if Sadie and Alfonso are beating her.
That is why I keep coming back to Janel. Sadie might not beat Janel, but she beats Bethany (theoretically) so she’s safe. Sadie might beat Bethany, but I think Bethany beats Janel so SHE’S safe. And that leaves Janel out in the cold.
But remember, I only have to be wrong by a TINY bit for someone else (either Bethany or Sadie) to go home.
At the end of the night, I think Janel will be eliminated. If not Janel ,then Bethany. Third choice is Sadie.
ETA: In re-reading what I wrote last night when I was exhausted from traveling, I felt I needed to make a couple things clear and add a note. First – while I think it will come down to Janel and one of the other girls, they may not SHOW that. IF Janel is safe on Monday night, expect to see her called safe first and see Bethany and Sadie standing next to each other under the red light of doom. Either Bethany or Sadie COULD be ahead of Janel in the finish, but if they are really interested in pimping Janel to the trophy, they will call her safe first. It’s a subtle form of manipulation.
As for the note? Well, I wasn’t really clear in the point that while I think Bethany had the largest fanbase coming into the show, that fanbase is typically one that is less inclined to vote and could easily be offset by the general public, who I think are voting for Alfonso and Sadie. That is why I think that Bethany won’t do better than 3rd place. I’d be happy to be wrong.
TMZ is reporting Janel Parrish has been missing rehearsals for Dancing With The Stars this past week and that Val is “freaking out”. Could this ruin her chances at a Mirror ball?
Janel Parrish is pulling double duty on “Pretty Little Liars” AND “Dancing with the Stars” — and TMZ has learned she’s spread herself so thin, she’s alienated castmates on both shows.
DWTS sources tell us … Janel’s pro dance partner, Val Chmerkovskiy is freaking out … because she’s missed two days of critical dance rehearsals due to long days of filming on PLL.
We’re told … Val believes he and Janel have a real shot at winning the trophy — the finals are Monday and Tuesday — but thinks her PLL schedule is sabotaging their chances.
For the full story, see TMZ.
This is so cool. This week, One Direction’s Liam Payne visited Mark Ballas and Sadie Robertson in rehearsals for Dancing With The Stars. I hope we get to see more of this footage in their package on Monday.
Dancing With The Stars Pros Dance At At Goldie Hawn’s Inaugural ‘Love In For Kids’ Benefit – HQ Photos
Several pros from Dancing With The Stars performed at Goldie Hawn’s Inaugural ‘Love In For Kids’ Benefit last night…Derek Hough, Sharna Burgess, Sasha Farer, Lindsay Arnold, Keo Motsepe, Jenna Johnson, and Emma Slater to name a few. You can see loads of pictures at Getty Images. Below are just a few. If you’d like to see more pics and some video, see this post at Pure Derek Hough. What a night and HAPPY 69th birthday to Goldie Hawn!!!
Some crazy stuff going on this week. Janel and Sadie have Samba while Alfonso and Bethany have Jive. They added 30 seconds to EACH of the jives so Beth and Alfonso have to do additional choreo. Sound fair?? HELL no. Supposedly it was because they were so short the first time.
If you scroll to the bottom of the post, you’ll see a photo from someone at rehearsals saying that Alfonso has a slow motion tap sequence. Wonder where he got that idea from. Derek should be flattered with all the borrowing going on. Also note that Alfonso is the first person to reuse a freestyle song – Katherine first used it in season 14.
A super mario brothers freestyle?? Gotta be Mark and Sadie. That said, we’re not sure if Revolution is Beth’s or Sadie’s song. Only somewhat sure. The whole Super Mario thing has got to be Mark, based on what Derek said.
Alfonso and Witney
Jive (Song: “3-6-9″ by Cupid feat. B.o.B )
Freestyle (Song: “Sing, Sing, Sing (With a Swing)” by Benny Goodman )
Janel and Val
Samba (Song: “La Vida Es Un Carnaval” by Celia Cruz )
Freestyle (Song: “I’m Gonna Be (500 Miles)” by Sleeping At Last )
Sadie and Mark
Samba (Song: “Hunter” by Pharrell Williams )
Freestyle (Song: Theme from Super Mario Brothers )
Bethany and Derek
Jive (Song: “Shake It Off” by Taylor Swift )
Freestyle (Song: “Revolution” by Diplo )
Dance party time coming soon!
Here are some other extras too from DWTS All Access;
Just a few Dancing With The Stars TV Heads Up:
-As we reported to you previously, be sure to watch the American Music Awards on Sunday night. Dancing With The Stars Judge Julianne Hough will be presenting an award. Also “Move Live On Tour”‘s Nika Kljun is dancing….though not sure in what performance(s)?
-Julianne Hough will also be guesting on the Queen Latifah Show on Monday.
-Lastly, Melissa Rycroft is taking viewers inside the final rehearsals for Dancing With The Stars on Monday on Good Morning America. Candace Cameron Bure will weigh in on Monday night’s dances on Tuesday’s show. Then on Wednesday, Good Morning America will hold a party for the final contestants as they have in previous weeks.
ETA: The finalists will also be on The View on Wednesday.