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DWTS Season 12, Week 3 – Dancing by the Numbers

Oy veh. Another crazy night of scoring. As much as I love Petra as a person, and like Kendra too, you can’t tell me that their dances were that many points better than Ralph or Chris, or even Chelsea. It’s weeks like this where I have to wonder if the judges are trying really, really hard to manipulate who’s going home. Why do I say that? Well…gee, let’s take a look at the scoring. It seems clear, to me. The question is, will it work? :-)

The Judges Scores and Percentages

Place Celebrity Score Percentage
1. Hines 25 11.68
2. Petra 25 11.68
3. Chelsea 23 10.75
4. Kendra 23 10.75
5. Ralph 21 9.81
6. Kirstie 21 9.81
7. Chris 21 9.81
8. Romeo 20 9.35
9. Sugar Ray 20 9.35
10. Wendy 15 7.01

As you can see, Wendy is scored WAY below the other contestants – she’s five points below the next celebrities! That is 23,365 votes per million votes cast! I don’t disagree with that at all. It’s the scoring of the other contestants where things get hinky. :-) Specifically, Petra and Kendra – overscored, as much as I like both of them. Anyway…

I think that Kirstie Alley’s likely the safest of them all after watching Maks get injured and then soldiering through so brilliantly. Way to Go!! Maks looked to be in pretty serious pain and even at the end of the show he was favoring the one leg and not putting weight on it. I hope like hell he’s not badly hurt, but I worry. Usually the pros on this show don’t let it show as much as Maks did, which makes me think he was really hurting. I’ve got my fingers and toes crossed for him and Kirstie that he’s not hurt too badly. Regardless, I think they are safe.

I also think that Hines, Ralph, Chris and Chelsea are also safe, not so much on the scoring, but on my perception of their popularity combined with the voting. Hines, Ralph and Chris in particular seem like they would be very popular. Hines and Ralph for sure, Chris possibly less so. Chelsea is likely the fourth of the four, but she’s got some time to ramp up the competition. Keep in mind that my analysis has less to do with actual dance ability, but more the scoring combined with my feel at the end of the night for who is connecting with the audience. Of course, the overscoring of Petra and Kendra play into this as well.

Does anyone honestly think that Kendra was 2 points better than Ralph and Chris? How about Petra being 2 points better than Chelsea and 4 points better than Ralph, Chris and Kirstie?? Seriously. Even if you are a die hard fan of Dmitry and Petra…4 points? Don’t get me wrong – I adore Petra. I think she might be an angel. Someone whose outside matches her inside perfectly. And her dance wasn’t bad, or terribly flawed – just not as good, emotionally or technically, as the others. There is no way in HELL that she should have outscored the people she did by as much as she did. Not to mention the fact that her feet came off the floor at least 3 times and Carrie Ann was conveniently blind. I can see missing one lift…but three?? The conspiracy theorist in me is screaming right about now.

Look at the scoring – you’ve got Kendra and Petra who are two not horrible but not great dancers scoring higher than those that I consider to be more entertaining and better dancers, and you’ve got Wendy way down at 15 points. Now, if you think Kendra and Petra are overscored, but others scored about right, it certainly appears that the judges are protecting Kendra and Petra from Wendy’s voting fanbase – giving them a bit of a safety net that Kirstie, Ralph, Hines and Chris may not need. Honestly, I can’t figure any other reason that Petra and Kendra end up towards the top of the pack. I think they are trying to set Wendy up to leave. I don’t have a problem with that, per se, but I do kinda have a problem with them propping up dancers just to keep them around. They did that last season and we all remember what happened there. :-)

As it stands right now, Wendy would need about 47k votes per million votes cast to beat Petra and about 37.5k votes per million cast to beat Kendra. If Petra and Kendra were scored down at 21 with Kirstie, Ralph and Chris, Wendy would only need 28k plus votes to stay over one of them. And if the stories about her fanbase are to be believed, then she could probably do it. But those extra points provide them some protection – an 19k vote cushion if you will. :-)

So, now, it appears more likely that Wendy, Ray or Romeo is the one in danger. For Wendy to stay she would need to do one of the following:
– Get 23,400 more votes per million votes cast than Ray, or;
– Get 23,400 more votes per million votes cast than Romeo, OR;
– Get 28,100 more votes per million votes cast than either Kirstie, Ralph or Chris
– And so on with the other contestants upwards of 37,400 votes…

Honestly, I think it’s Wendy’s time to go. I hear too much complaining about her on twitter and in the comments here. Her fanbase would have to be massive and I think tonight we will find out. IF Wendy manages to stay, then it may be Romeo – based solely on his age and the likelihood that his fanbases is a voting one.

We find out tonight!!

April 5, 2011 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

DWTS 2011 – The Dancing With The Stars Cast After The Results Show Week 2 (Videos)

PopTVDotCom has a fun video up of some the cast out on the town after the results show. Check out what Tom Bergeron’s says about the “Deer Hunting Lights” and the “Velcro suit”. LOL. Maks is a hoot too for what he says on making babies with Kirstie.

Edit To Add: Here are a couple of more videos of the stars after the show being interviewed by the paparazzi. These are good too!

March 30, 2011 I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.

DWTS Season 12, Week 2 – Dancing by the Numbers

Well, a little bit of a shake up on the leader board – the top three and the bottom two remain the same, but a bit of juggling in the middle. Last week, Chelsea was solidly in 4th place, but she has fallen to 6th place due to out of the box choreography by Mark – as predicted in the comments by yours truly. It didn’t help her that others upped their game. Great dance, not enough Jive – where have I heard that before? :-) At least Len’s a tiny bit consistent – although he let that monkey thing go last season. Still haven’t gotten over that. Where was I…?

The Judges Scores and Percentages

Place Celebrity Score Percentage
1. Ralph 45 10.61
2. Hines 44 10.38
3. Kirstie 43 10.14
4. Chris 42 9.91
5. Romeo 42 9.91
6. Chelsea 39 9.2
7. Kendra 37 8.73
8. Petra 36 8.49
9. Sugar Ray 34 8.25
10. Wendy 31 7.31
11. Mike 30 7.08

What did I love? As I said before, I thought that Chelsea and Mark’s dance was a great dance but somewhat lacking in Jive content…but my faves are currently the Top 3. I’m afraid I have a mad crush on Ralph AND Hines and I wanna be Kirstie when I grow up. Way to go, girl – lay a big wet one on the goofy Russian. :-) Seriously, there is no one I dislike on this cast at all (for now, anyway) and I actually enjoyed most of them for one reason or another.

Hee…someone owes me a drink. Mark did have polka dots (his tie, her panties) and short pants. :-) It was different than his norm, but they were still present. Loved Chelsea’s outfit, though, which is VERY unusual for Mark’s Jive costumes. :-)

Chris jumps up to fourth place!! What an improvement on all fronts – love his British accent too. :-) Speaking of accents, how much do I love Kym Johnson?? Talking street with Hines in that little girl Aussie accent. :-) Kendra also improved and I thought she looked lovely – and I felt for her tonight. She did go a long way though to busting out of that stereotype the show (and Louis) have been trying to stick her in. Wendy also improved, but Tony put in too much crap at the beginning – took too long for the dance to get started.

Who’s going home?? Well, I’m going to say that Ralph, Hines, Kirstie and Chelsea are safe, no problem. Chelsea got raked by Len which generally means her and Mark’s fans will go insane with the voting. Ralph, Hines and Kirstie just have too much of a spread from Mike to be in any danger at all. Barring shock of shocks, of course.

The person in the greatest danger is, of course, Mike – he of the gorgeous smile.  He improved this week a lot, but he suffers from being relatively unknown. His strength is that he has Lacey as a partner and she’s pretty popular…and he’s gorgeous and funny.  What does he have to do to stick around?  Well, he needs about 2,360 more votes per million votes cast to stay over Wendy. Is this likely? Not really, judging by what people say about Wendy’s fanbase.

So who else could go if Mike gets votes and Wendy does as well?  Well, I think Petra is in a lot more danger than either Sugar Ray or Wendy. It’s the Audrina syndrome all over again, although Audrina was a much better dancer.  Petra, beautiful and sweet, just gets lost in a sea of bigger personalities and her dance was not nearly as good as the judges made it out to be. Her Jive made me think of Shannon Elizabeth – but Dmitry is a lot quieter than Derek. Don’t get me wrong – I love Petra. But I worry for her. What would it take for Petra to leave over the bottom three?? ALL of the following must happen for Petra to leave:

Mike gets 14155 more votes per million votes cast; and

Wendy gets 11800 more votes per million votes cast; and

Ray gets 4728 more votes per million votes cast.

Will this happen? Nah, probably not. :-) I think Wendy and Ray can get the votes, but I don’t think Mike can muster it up – at least not that much.  He’s just not well known enough, IMO, to get upwards of 14k more votes than her.

Sooooo….I think this is a fairly easy call: Bye Mike, I will miss your gorgeous smile. :-)

March 29, 2011 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

DWTS Season 12 Week 2- The Couples Reactions After Their Dance (Videos)

We have some fun interviews after the show from ABC in Los Angeles to share with you with the couples reactions to their second dances and more. This interviewer has to be one of my favorites. He doesn’t ask dumb questions and he seems to really know the show. He seems like a true fan as much as we are. So, let’s get right to it.

Here’s a recap;

Mike and Lacey felt better about their performance. They hope they can continue and build on it, but, Mike’s afraid tonight will be his last night.;

Kirstie wasn’t as pleased with her performance. She thought she could do better. Her and Maks also talk about their spontaneous kiss when asked about it and get embarrassed. They can’t stop laughing. It’s so cute.

Chris is getting more comfortable on the show. They had so much fun and met their goals. Cheryl mentions what an even competition it is this year.

Kym praises Hines for doing so well last night. She’s so proud to have him as a partner. He says he’s going to keep working as hard as he can and doing whatever she says.

Romeo wanted to tackle the criticism from last week and it made him work that much harder. Chelsie was so pleased when Len said they had the best dance of the night.

Petra says she’s having the most fun. She just wants to keep ‘living in the moment’ and ‘dance with a purpose’ as long as she can.

Mark and Chelsea talk about ‘taking a chance’ and they have no regrets even after the judges disapproving of their dance. Mark said their performance felt powerful and really good. He also thinks the judges should have scolded him and not Chelsea. They should have given her the score she deserved. The pop song they gave him inspired him to design the choreography. (after hearing his side, I can definitely understand how he was inspired now)

Kendra wasn’t satisfied with their dance. They plan to keep working hard and Louis says it’s ok to screw up and she needs to get over her fears. Next week he wants to show people how hot her legs are. 8O

Karina couldn’t be more pleased with having Ralph as a partner. He understands her even when she doesn’t speak. Ralph says she pushed him and he is glad and wants to keep being challenged to do his very very best.

Sugar Ray wants to keep working on his technique and getting better. Anna talks about how important it is to “feel” everything he’s learning and the scores will come.

Wendy defends her dance last week and feels she’s been moving in the right direction from the start. But, it’s been a challenge with how busy she is. Tony says we wouldn’t believe how much Wendy has improved since they met and that’s what matters.

Shew! What a night!! I don’t want to see any of them go yet. :(

I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.