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DWTS Season 12, The Finale – Dancing by the Numbers

You know, this series is WAY easier when there are only three couples left. :-) Well, easier to write, not necessarily easier to predict.

Surprisingly, the judges didn’t really make it easier at all. With Hines and Chelsea tied, and Kirstie only 5 points back, it’s a horse race between Chelsea and Kirstie for second place. In my opinion. :-) You guys will be arguing for weeks over whether Kirstie was overscored, or underscored – same for Chelsea and Hines – but I actually didn’t have too much trouble with the scoring. I think Chelsea’s freestyle was over scored by 3 points or so – that just wasn’t good. Sorry, Kanenballers. Kirstie? I loved her freestyle just for what it was at this point in HER life. The woman is nearly FORTY years older than Chelsea. I would bet that 40 years is more than most of us here have in actual age. :-) Just amazing. And that’s one of the odd things about this show. You pit a 60 year old actress against a 23 year old actress and a 30-something athlete and you expect comparable dancing or fair?? Come on, now. It’s just not going to work. Surprisingly, the most “fair” finale I can remember is when it was Evan, Nicole and Erin – all about the same age and fitness level, and all three had experiences that benefited them going into the show.

Anyway, as I’ve said ad nauseum, I don’t have a problem with the judges ranking them – they’re entitled to do that, when they’re not on crack. They’ve ranked for the last two seasons now. Hell, they SHOULD rank the contestants – that’s like, their JOB. There is no way that all of them dance equally well. But that begs the question….how do you rank when the contestants are so vastly different?? Sure, Chelsea is (usually) technically better (don’t think that was true at all last night), but HINES is a true performer AND a decent dancer. He gets done dancing and I CLAP. I am entertained. Who’s to say that’s less important than technique? Besides Kanenballers. :-) I think at the end of the day, I probably would have done what they did, although perhaps I would have given Kirstie a couple tens – she’s 60 and she’s competing, after all. So, barring some over scoring of Chelsea and a bit of underscoring of Kirstie, I got no problems. Of course, I recognize also that with this group the over and under scoring probably won’t make a difference. I could be wrong. :-)

At the close of Monday night’s show, this is where we ended up:

The Judges Scores and Percentages

Place Celebrity Score Percentage
1. Chelsea 59 34.3
2. Hines 59 34.3
3. Kirstie 54 31.4

As you can see, a 5 point judges score spread translates to a 2.91 percent spread. That in turn means what? Well, for Kirstie to take second over Chelsea, she needs 29,070 more votes per million votes cast – after these two dances, anyway. It’s difficult to say, but I think that’s doable. Right at this moment, in order to WIN, Kirstie needs that many more votes that BOTH Hines and Chelsea. Not impossible, I don’t think, but difficult to beat Hines. Hines, of course, only needs ONE more vote than Chelsea to win and he needs Kirstie not to get that 29k more than him. That’s how he wins. Right now. :-)

But that’s not the end of the story. The one remaining question that seems to be rolling around out there is this: does the 3rd and final dance happen before or AFTER someone is eliminated?? No idea. If they ALL do their favorite dance and score them about the same as they did last night, it has virtually no impact. If they give Hines and Chelsea each a 30, and then give Kirstie a 27, they only increase the number of votes she needs to almost 31k – less than 2 thousand per one million votes. Chump change, actually. I’m thinking 2k votes for Kirstie isn’t that hard, but what about the initial 29k?? That is less clear. I think she can do it – she seems to have a tremendous amount of support. In order to win the show at that point, Kirstie would have to get that number of votes more that BOTH Hines and Chelsea.

What about Hines? Well, right now (and if he scores the same as Chelsea tonight), he only needs ONE more vote per million votes cast to beat Chelsea and take first place, provided that Kirstie doesn’t blow both of them out of the water.

What happens if the judges rank them like they have in the past? Well, let’s say they give Chelsea the 30, Hines a 28 and Kirstie a 26. That would mean that Kirstie needs the following to WIN:

- She would need about 35,200 more votes per million votes cast to beat Chelsea, AND;
- She would need about 27,400 more votes per million votes cast to beat Hines.

In the above scoring scenario, what does Hines need to WIN the show?? He needs BOTH of the following to happen:

- He would need about 7,900 more votes per million votes cast than Chelsea, AND;
- He needs for Kirstie to NOT get 27,400 more votes per million votes cast than him.

As you can see, we’re dealing in pretty big numbers here EXCEPT for what it takes for Hines to beat Chelsea or Chelsea to beat Hines. Could be ONE vote, could be 8k. If all three of them dance their favorite dance, and it shakes out similar to how it did last night, I see Hines winning. As for who will take 2nd and 3rd – I have NO idea. I am very tempted to say that Kirstie will beat Chelsea, but that is a good number of votes. By having fewer dances this season, they actually inflate the spread a bit – that nearly 30k is going to be tough. I will be really interested in the outcome, for sure.

Scenario number TWO is the one where they eliminate one of the couples (3rd place) and THEN have the remaining two dance their favorite dance. For the sake of argument, first we’ll hypothesize that Kirstie takes 3rd and doesn’t dance again. Let’s also say that they give Chelsea a 30 and Hines a 28. For Hines to WIN in this scenario he needs 8,700 more votes per million votes cast than Chelsea. See, eliminating Kirsties 26 points means a lower overall total which translates to a slightly bigger spread and more votes for Hines. But not a huge number by any stretch. I would be shocked if he doesn’t win in this scenario.

Frankly, I’ll be very shocked if Chelsea wins in any of these scenarios, but it’s always possible that we over estimate Hines’ fanbase and the Steeler Nation. I sure hope someone told them how to vote. But I would also wager that he has the overall “independent” vote – which I think is far and away the larger voting block. I think if Hines somehow ends up in third place, that is Chelsea’s best chance at winning because Kirstie would still have to make up anywhere from 29k to 35k.

More interesting is what happens if, in Scenario Two, Kirstie beats Chelsea and Chelsea lands in 3rd place. That would mean that Kirstie got 35,200 more votes per million cast than Chelsea did – a very large number. If she can get that many more than Chelsea, can she beat Hines?? And that should be the question on everyone’s mind if Scenario Number 2 goes down. I’m going to wager that this is Hines’ game to lose.

Only a few more hours till we find out! :-)

May 24, 2011 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

DWTS Season 12 – Will Maksim Chmerkovskiy Return To Dancing With The Stars Next Season?

I hate even thinking about Maks not returning next Season. :( But, according to TV Squad via AOL, it’s a big possibility. Right now, Maks is drained which is understandable. He’s been working non-stop this past year. It sounds like he may want to try some more acting too which Kirstie is encouraging. More below and at the link.

“I don’t know,” he shared. “It takes a lot out of you. When you invest that much of you into something that’s supposed to be just work you [can] get misinterpreted. I don’t know [if I'm coming back]. We’ll see. Right now, I’m drained.”

Chmerkovskiy, who joined the show in Season 2, has taken a break from ‘DWTS’ before, sitting out Season 6 back in 2008.

His current partner Kirstie Alley thinks Chmerkovskiy could have a bright future ahead of him as an actor.

“He’s got good qualities,” she said. “He’s handsome, he’s got a good voice and he’s funny. He’s got other qualities … he’s broody, he’s deep. All the bad boy actors are like that. He could be a really great actor if he wanted to act.”

Chmerkovskiy is mulling over his options for professional opportunities. “I have a great team of people behind me,” he said. “They know how to make me do the right thing. It’s going to be up to them.”

Chmerkovskiy plans to open a Los Angeles area dance studio soon. He’s one of the co-founders of the Dance With Me Studios, which has locations in Ridgefield, NJ, Manhattan, NY and Long Island, NY. “We’re finalizing the deal [for the Los Angeles location] and it’s going to be an amazing gorgeous place.”

The Ukrainian-born Chmerkovskiy would also love to take some time off to visit his family. “I haven’t seen my home since August,” he said. “I want to make sure I do stuff for me because it seems to me that I do a lot of things for others.”

Although Chmerkovskiy said plans to listen to his career advisers, he added that, in the end, “I’ll do what’s right for me.”

So, what do you think? Will Maks be back? The show won’t be the same without him in my opinion….just like with Derek this Season. :( What’s more, I remember a lot of Maks fans saying they were glad Derek didn’t return for Season 12 and saying the most rude things all in order for a win for Maks. Well, now, I have to wonder how that karma is going to feel when the shoe is on the other foot?

Heidi’s Note: Karma…she is a beyotch. ;-) I’ve really been enjoying Maks this season, but if he needs a season off to recharge, then he should do that rather than going back to being…well, old Maks. I like current Maks. Thanks Kirstie. :-)

I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.

DWTS 12 Finals – Interview Roundup After The First Two Dances (Videos)

Wow, what a night!! Let’s get right to the interviews after the show. George Pennacchio of KTLA gets right to the heart of the matter and doesn’t fail us again. He dissects the dances (especially the freestyle) as well as asking our dancing couples about tonight’s dances where they each will dance again and the judges will then rank them. Let’s not forget this contest is not over.

First up, Chelsea remarks how the Freestyle was the most challenging dance of the Season and she is worried since they are the “underdogs”. They have no idea what will happen tonight. Mark says she was the best partner. She worked so hard. Chelsea also talks about the mistakes she made lastnight and that she was shocked to get 10′s in the Freestyle (so was I).

Hines said Kym had a vision with a band theme with their Freestyle. They even had an area highschool help them. Even though Kim’s neck hurt, they both felt comfortable with all the special lifts they did. Hines said this has been such a wonderful ride and he can’t believe he made it this far. They are excited to dance their favorite dance again tonight hoping to get their scores higher.

George thought Maks and Kirstie’s Freestyle was the “most daring” and “interesting” of the night. He loved it. Kirstie says she’s been daring her whole life and she wanted Maks to push her from the beginning. She wanted to do everything any dancer would do. They also discuss how they were hoping to get 10′s last night. But, they had fun. They talk how they have one more chance tonight to dance. Kirstie wants to start a revolution. Maks says Kirstie is a winner no matter what. Her story is remarkable. (they are so bittersweet)

Access Hollywood also interview our couples. Below is Mark and Chelsea again talking about the intensity of their lifts and the risk factor. They talk of how they worked the lights on their feet and hands.

Hines and Kym talk about all of their lifts and “ripping out the guns”. They talk of how close the competition is and how it will come down to the fans. They can’t wait to dance again tonight and this won’t be the end of their relationship. They talk of how they were inspired for the Freestyle.

Kirstie forewarned us last week that she was going to do some “aerials” and that’s just what she did. Her and Maks go through their rehearsals. Kirstie also mentions how wound up she gets whenever someone mentions “age” in the way Carrie Ann mentioned after their dance and she is right. Maks says Kirstie is “young and amazing”. He talks about their complete journey. Maks is so sweet. He says he can’t top this partnership. The question is asked if he is coming back next Season and he is not sure.

Stay tuned to this space. We may have more videos to add later!! ;)

I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.

DWTS 2011 – Pros Karina Smirnoff and Dmitry Chaplin Predict The Winner Of Season 12 Dancing With The Stars

E Online asks pros Karina Smirnoff and Dmitry Chaplin who they think will win the coveted Mirror Ball. Karina thinks the winner is hard to predict, but, she thinks it might be between Chelsea and Hines. Dmitry weighs in with his thoughts too. He thinks the winner will be Mark and Chelsea because of Mark’s choreography. He says everything rides on the Freestyle. More below. We’re inching closer to showtime. :) Read more..

May 23, 2011 I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.

Pure DWTS 12 Finals – Ryan Seacrest Interviews The 3 Remaining Couples On Their Dancing Strategies and More

Chelsea, Hines and Kirstie phoned Ryan Seacrest on his radio show this morning to talk about their Dancing With The Stars strategies and more. Chelsea was at the studio early today. She wants to bring it all to the freestyle tonight. Hines says he just doesn’t want to drop Kym which will be his biggest trick. Kirstie says she’s really had to dig in and work hard. She and Maks will be friends for an eternity. They are “Soul Friends” (the best kind). All this and more below.

PLEASE DON’T FORGET TO VOTE FOR YOUR FAVORITE EVERYONE AND AS MUCH AS POSSIBLE!!

Thanks to Lori. She sent the links to me above about the same time as I was making this post. Thanks to all of you who have sent things all Season. I want you to know how much we’ve appreciated all of your help! You all ROCK!xxx

I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.

Dancing With The Stars 12 – Brooke Burke Says Everything Is Riding On The Freestyle Tonight

I can’t embed the video, but, People.com has a new interview up with Brooke where she breaks down each couple for the Finale tonight. She says everything is riding on the “Freestyle”. Here is a take below, but, be sure to watch the video at the link.

Ward, paired with Kim Johnson, is “infectious, he’s lovable, he’s emotionally connected, he’s got rhythm, he’s fun to watch,” says Burke. In addition, he’s got a big fan base that should help him out.

Kane, meanwhile, is “just adorable” and “a phenomenal dancer, technically,” says Burke. The Disney star also has the advantage of being paired with Mark Ballas, who’s known for his strong choreography.

As for Alley, who is paired with Maksim Chmerkovskiy: “What’s not to love?” asks Burke. “She is brave and brutally honest. She surprised everybody. She’s got incredible rhythm. Nobody had any idea she’d be such a great dancer. She gets better every show.”

I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.

DWTS Season 12 Finals – Mark Ballas: “A magician never reveals his tricks!”

Mark has written a new blog at USA Today! He has been sick this week, but, it hasn’t stopped them from rehearsing. A lot of people have asked him about he and Chelsea’s Freestyle. He says he is known for his “creative and off-the-wall choreography”. He also calls himself a “magician” and that he will “never reveal his tricks”. Details below and at the link. He also has a special wish for his birthday (which happens to be Tuesday). Picture above is a picture Chelsea took during camera blocking yesterday of the Mirror Balls.

While this week was not as hectic as last week since we have one less dance to learn, it’s still been a long week. We’ll be on stage in less than a day, but every second counts. We have three dances to nail down and make performance-ready. Of course, the scrutiny of both the judges and the fans will be at its highest of the season, so we need to have our best dances of the season.

A lot of people have been asking me what’s in store for our Freestyle Dance. I’m known for my creative and off-the-wall choreography, and I think my partners and I have done some pretty fun freestyles in the past. You want some inside info on our freestyle? Too bad! A magician never reveals his tricks! You’ll have to tune in on Monday with 25 million of your closest friends.

Immediately after the finale on Tuesday, Chelsea and I get on a plane with the other two couples, bound for New York City. We land at 5:30 in the morning and go straight to Good Morning America and then on to Live With Regis and Kelly. If this is anything like last season, there won’t be much rest on the plane. All three of the couples were so amped up on adrenaline from the exciting finish that we rolled into GMA with red eyes and morning breath, having gotten only an hour of sleep or so.

I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.

DWTS 12 Finals – Hines Ward: “I don’t think Dancing With The Stars is ever going to see a routine like this” (Video)

In a new interview with ET On-Line, Kym Johnson says she’s feeling much better from her neck injury last week. She didn’t even wear her neck brace for rehearsals (on the day of this interview). Kym says they are planning some special lifts and tricks that will be just as effective as the one which hurt her neck for their Freestyle. On the Freestyle, Hines comments that he doesn’t think Dancing With The Stars is ever going to see a routine like this. More below. Watch them dance too. They look great.

Also, HERE is a special gift from Hines to all his fans in thanking them for their support. It’s a cool digital swag of he and Kym (wallpaper for pc and SmartPhone).

I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.

DWTS12 – Good Morning America Goes Behind The Scenes Of The Last Dancing With The Stars Rehearsals

Cameron Mathison of Good Morning America goes behind the scenes to see and interview each of our three remaining couples in rehearsals. He says all three are in “fine form, but, nervous”. This is so good as you can actually see them practicing for tonight on stage. Be sure to watch it!!! It’s a great teaser for tonight! (love Maks laying on Kirstie’s lap!)

I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.

DWTS Season 12 Finals – The Las Vegas Odds Before Showtime

It’s the “quiet before the Dancing With The Stars storm”. Get ready as these last three dancing couples are not going out without a bang. That is for sure. So, what do the odds makers in Las Vegas think? Nothing new really. Once again, they have Hines in a pretty solid first position. Chelsea is not too far away in second with Kirstie just a point behind. I truly think this is anyone’s ball game and anything can happen. Let’s throw the dice and let this final contest begin. :)

1. Hines Ward 1/2

2. Chelsea Kane 3/1

3. Kirstie Alley 4/1

Source: SportsBoDog

May 22, 2011 I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.