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Dancing with the Stars: The Jeopardy Theory

Every season, readers get very confused by the concepts of “bottom two” versus “jeopardy”. If you don’t listen carefully to what Tom and Brooke (now Erin) say, it’s easy to get confused. If a couple is in the bottom two, it means that they, along with the eliminated couple, had the lowest combined score. The combined score is determined by viewer votes and judges scores. The formula is relatively simple: they take a couple’s score and divide it by the total points handed out on a given night to get their share of the judges scores. They do the same with the viewer votes; they divide a couple’s number of votes by the total number of votes cast and come up with their share of the votes. They then add the two numbers together; the couple with the lowest combined total is then sent home.  You can see many examples of this in my series of posts called “Dancing by the Numbers”.

When the show is airing, there are two ways of getting to an elimination, by putting three couples in jeopardy (oh, the drama) and then saving one, and then one of the remaining two goes home. And then there is the straight up identification of the “bottom two” couples. Tom will say “the bottom two” if this is the case. If neither Tom nor Brooke (now Erin) says “these are the bottom two” then we don’t actually know if the two people standing at the end are really the low combined score getters. There are multiple reasons why they like do this. The main reason, of course, is DRAMA. How they love their drama. They like to make the show exciting and if the low scorer was immediately sent home every week, what fun would that be? This past week, you’ll note that Tom and Erin made it clear that Cody and Witney were “not necessarily” the bottom two.

The question that is asked every season is: does “jeopardy” (aka, being the last couple called safe) have any real meaning for the couples put there??  The answer is yes, of course. The problem is determining what that meaning is at the time. That is very difficult to do, although we’ve gotten pretty good at figuring it out every season.  You always have to remember a few key things:

  • The producers want to keep the show exciting, and jeopardy is a part of that;
  • The producers often have a reason why they want to keep a particular couple around longer and motivating fan bases to vote harder can be accomplished by “jeopardy” if they think the votes are too low;
  • Drama, drama, drama!! How exciting is it when the high scorer of the night is standing next to the low scorer of the night and you don’t know who’s going to survive – and the producers fool you into thinking that the low person is for sure going home…and then they don’t?

Yeah, I don’t think it’s really that exciting at this point in the show’s history, but I’ve long said that the producers have lost touch with their audience. :-)

Now, since I’m the biggest nerd of a blogger on this site, I wondered if there was any kind of pattern to the “jeopardy” and the subsequent eliminations. So I made tables of seasons 11 through 17 to try and figure it out. Hindsight is 20/20 – but it can inform how you watch the show going forward.  The answer, as you may have guessed, is that yes there is something of a pattern. Sometimes. And it’s an easy one to see when you’re looking back – but still impossible to be sure of when you’re watching the show in real time. :-) That is unlikely to change. Read more..

March 26, 2014 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

Popular Cruising Reviews Dancing With The Stars At Sea Cruise, Videos With DWTS Pros

Be sure to see Popular Cruising’s reviews of the recent Holland America Dancing With The Stars At Sea Cruise below. They cover everything from the complimentary dance classes, the guest dance competition, pro judging, audience voting, production and fashion shows, comedic interludes, and more. In the coverage below you can see Dancing With The Stars pros and alumni Sabrina Bryan, Joey Fatone, Carson Kressley, Kym Johnson, Derek Hough, Emma Slater, Tristan MacManus, and Sharna Burgess. Lots of fun and laughs. Thanks to Linz for the heads up!!

January 30, 2014 I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.

Dance Pros Continue To Light Up Holland America’s Dancing With The Stars At Sea Cruise (New Photos)

The pros from Dancing With The Stars continue to light up Holland America’s Dancing With The Stars At Sea Cruise. You can view new pictures of yesterday and last night’s events at Popular Cruising Facebook. Also, Chris Cruises Facebook has new pictures and video coverage posted. Lastly, don’t miss viewing this post as a reader from Pure Derek Hough is on the cruise. She took some cool pics of Derek Hough, Emma Slater, and Sharna Burgess. Too fun!! Photos below courtesy of Popular Cruising, @ChrisCruises and @CruiseCurrents…

January 16, 2014 I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.

Update On Holland America’s Dancing With The Stars At Sea Cruise

DWTSatSeaCruise2014

Hey All! Pictured above is Emma Slater, Derek Hough, and Sharna Burgess on the judging panel for Holland America’s Dancing With The Stars cruise now taking place in the Caribbean. If you’d like to see more pictures visit and be watching Chris Owen’s Pinterest page. Also, Chris has given an update in a blog. Below is a take for what he wrote about the Dancing With The Stars pros on board. Be sure to read the link for more.

The ship’s entertainers were on hand, showcasing various venues around the ship to give guests an idea of what to expect, and were well received. Based on the night’s preview performances, there is much to look forward to as the ship makes its way through the Caribbean itinerary. Still, headlining tonight’s show were the 15 finalists competing for the coveted mirror ball trophy, one from each ship in the Holland America line.

They came from Florida to California to compete and one by one, television personality Carson Kressley introduced each of them as passengers began choosing favorites in what would be an integral part of the experience. It was just a preview of what was yet to come.

On the ship but absent from the night’s performance were singer Joey Fatone from Orlando (who I met at Port Everglades, during curbside luggage check-in), dancers Tristan MacManus, Kym Johnson, Sharna Burgess and Emma Slater along and actress Sabrina Bryan. But it was Derek Hough, the Emmy® Award-winning dancing professional best known for his role on the hit ABC television show “Dancing with the Stars, that drew the biggest round of applause from the crowd as Kressley announced each star on board.

Too fun! Be watching this link as he may update us with more soon!! If you’d like to see more of Derek, visit Pure Derek Hough as we are featuring some new video of him dancing on the cruise.

January 14, 2014 I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.

Holland America Announces More Dancing With The Stars At Sea Cruises Coming In 2014

Gear up! If you weren’t able to sail on the upcoming Dancing With The Stars At Sea Cruise in January, you can do so on another date. Holland America has renewed their passenger-favorite program for a second year. Below are some new dates. Be sure to see this link for more info if interested. Note how Kym Johnson, Tristan MacManus, Carson Kressley, and Sabrina Bryan are on top to dance so far….

This renewal also means Holland America will have a few more sailings that feature the dancers and celebrities from the ABC hit TV show Dancing with the Stars. While the details are still becoming available, winner Kym Johnson is scheduled to appear, as is fan favorite Tristan MacManus. Celebrities scheduled to appear are Carson Kressley and Sabrina Bryan. The dates of these cruises are as follows:

•January 5, 2014, ms Nieuw Amsterdam, 7-Day Eastern Caribbean
•June 14, 2014, ms Zuiderdam, 7-Day Alaska (roundtrip Vancouver)
•June 21, 2014, ms Zuiderdam, 7-Day Alaska (roundtrip Vancouver)
•July 26, 2104 ms Westerdam, 7-Day Alaska (roundtrip Seattle)
•August 2, 2014, ms Westerdam, 7-Day Alaska (roundtrip Seattle)
•November 29, 2014, ms Westerdam, 7-Day Eastern Caribbean

– See more at: CrusieWeb

December 22, 2013 I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.

Dancing With The Stars At Sea “Champions Cruise” New Promo

Just a little teaser for the new Holland America cruise coming up with On The Red Carpet….

To read more details and how you can book a trip on this cruise, visit Market Watch.

December 14, 2013 I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.

PureDWTS Tribute: Julia Ivleva

Remember this gorgeous waltz that Jonathan & Anna danced in tribute to their cancer-stricken friend, Julia, back in season 14?

Sadly, Anna reported on her Twitter today that Julia passed away this morning, after a long & courageous battle with lung cancer.  She remembered her friend poignantly:

A wonderful strong talented and beautiful person left us today... Julia Ivleva ,i will miss you greatly, your spirit ,wit, honesty and charm
@atrebunskaya
anna trebunskaya

Julia’s passing touched me rather personally, as I had the pleasure of watching Julia and her husband, Igor, dance at one of the first ballroom competitions I attended, almost ten years ago.  I was struck by how powerful they were on the floor, and their showdances were always the most creative and engaging.  I feel blessed to have been present to witness the debut of one of the greatest showdances in ballroom history – when Igor & Julia proved that you can dance ballroom to any music…even Nirvana!

And a few years later, they again proved that rock & ballroom can mix perfectly, when they did this beautiful, vulnerable foxtrot to quite possibly my favorite song of all-time:

We here at Pure send our heartfelt condolences out to Julia’s friends and family during this sad time.  Rest in peace, Julia.

 

April 5, 2013 I Written By

Ultrasound sales specialist by day, semi-knowledgeable DWTS fan by night...with a smattering of hair & makeup enthusiast, occasional model, and crazy cat lady peppered in to make things REALLY interesting ;-) I might pee my pants in happiness if Donnie Wahlberg ever does DWTS - or if they ever use "Sunglasses at Night" as a paso doble. Check out some of my other work at pureamericasgottalent.com!

Dancing With The Stars All Stars: Las Vegas Odds Going Into Week 3

Once again, the odds makers in Las Vegas are placing their bets for who will win the Dancing With The Stars All Stars Season. Going into Week 3, Sports Bovada is reporting an even tight race for 1st place between Emmitt and Apolo. Note how Shawn has made a move up the board to fighting Gilles for the 3rd position. Also, take note for how the odds makers had it completely wrong on Joey last week….

New Las Vegas Odds going into Week 3:

Emmitt Smith 2/1
Apolo Anton Ono 3/1
Gilles Marini 5/1
Shawn Johnson 5/1
Helio Castroneves 9/1
Sabrina Bryan 10/1
Kelly Monaco 22/1
Kirstie Alley 22/1
Melissa Rycroft 25/1
Drew Lachey 30/1
Bristol Palin 75/1

Read more..

October 5, 2012 I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.

Dancing With The Stars Season 15: Las Vegas Odds Going Into Week 2

The odds makers are placing their bets again for who will win the Dancing With The Stars All Stars at Sports Bovada. As you can see, they’ve got Emmitt and Apolo neck in neck in first and second place. They’ve put Melissa and Bristol tied for last…

Emmitt Smith 3/2
Apolo Anton Ono 7/2
Gilles Marini 11/2
Helio Castroneves 11/2
Shawn Johnson 8/1
Joey Fatone 15/1
Kelly Monaco 20/1
Kirstie Alley 20/1
Sabrina Bryan 25/1
Drew Lachey 30/1
Bristol Palin 50/1
Melissa Rycroft 50/1

So, do the odds makers have it right or wrong?

In my opinion, they probably have it right on the top two currently, but, they are under estimating Shawn Johnson. She should be higher, while Helio should be lower. I also think they are totally wrong for putting Melissa Rycroft in last place. I think she should be placed in the middle somewhere. I also think Kelly is going to make a strong showing and should be placed higher. Let’s get Miss Heidi’s and Court’s thoughts and be sure to tell us what you think in the comment section too.

Heidi: Totally don’t buy Emmitt in the winning position. I don’t think he’s got that kind of juice. I still think this is going to come down to Apolo, Gilles and Shawn, with Apolo winning. That said…Gilles could find himself replaced with Emmitt if he doesn’t lighten up. While he is beautiful to look at, I’m not finding him charming or fun this season AT ALL.  And as William Levy can tell you, good looks are only good for third place in a regular season. In this one?? Maybe not so much. Lucky for him he’s likely going to get some “help” since he’s a card carrying member of the ABC family. Literally. :-)  The bottom?? I’m thinking it should be Bristol and Drew, but the reality probably IS Drew and Melissa.  If they keep doing a real bottom two, we’ll soon find out. :-)

Courtney: I’m not convinced at this point that Emmitt is gonna walk away with that trophy – and definitely not with odds that good. I don’t think one good dance in week one is indicative of much right now, considering that most of the couples did pretty well – aside from Pam, no one really did terribly this week.  I’m waiting for a dance like to jive to come along so we can really see what Emmitt’s made of – we know he’s got a great personality, now the question is: can he hang with the youngin’s? Because he is one of the older contestants this season, and like Kirstie, I think he may struggle with endurance.  Still puzzled as to why they have Helio so high.  I would put Apolo & Gilles at about even odds right now, but if Gilles’ whining about injuries, phone numbers, etc. continues, I would expect Apolo to begin to edge him out.  And really & truly, at this point I’d put Drew at the bottom – because he clearly is lacking in the votes department, and I’m not so sure that’s going to improve in the coming week.

September 28, 2012 I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.

Dancing with the Stars Make-up Crew Wins 2012 Emmy Award (Photo)

Give it up for the make-up crew for Dancing With The Stars! Saturday at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards, they won for “OUTSTANDING MAKE UP FOR A MULTI CAMERA SERIES”. You can see more pics of the make-up crew winning their Emmy at Dancing With The Stars Make-up at their facebook page.

Buddy TV and Awards Circuit have complete lists of the winners at the 2012 Creative Arts Emmys. The remaining Emmys will be awarded at the Primetime Emmy Awards September 23rd at 7:00pm ET on ABC. You can review everyone who was nominated from Dancing With The Stars for this years Emmy Awards in a previous post here.

September 16, 2012 I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.