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Dancing with the Stars: The Jeopardy Theory

Every season, readers get very confused by the concepts of “bottom two” versus “jeopardy”. If you don’t listen carefully to what Tom and Brooke (now Erin) say, it’s easy to get confused. If a couple is in the bottom two, it means that they, along with the eliminated couple, had the lowest combined score. The combined score is determined by viewer votes and judges scores. The formula is relatively simple: they take a couple’s score and divide it by the total points handed out on a given night to get their share of the judges scores. They do the same with the viewer votes; they divide a couple’s number of votes by the total number of votes cast and come up with their share of the votes. They then add the two numbers together; the couple with the lowest combined total is then sent home.  You can see many examples of this in my series of posts called “Dancing by the Numbers”.

When the show is airing, there are two ways of getting to an elimination, by putting three couples in jeopardy (oh, the drama) and then saving one, and then one of the remaining two goes home. And then there is the straight up identification of the “bottom two” couples. Tom will say “the bottom two” if this is the case. If neither Tom nor Brooke (now Erin) says “these are the bottom two” then we don’t actually know if the two people standing at the end are really the low combined score getters. There are multiple reasons why they like do this. The main reason, of course, is DRAMA. How they love their drama. They like to make the show exciting and if the low scorer was immediately sent home every week, what fun would that be? This past week, you’ll note that Tom and Erin made it clear that Cody and Witney were “not necessarily” the bottom two.

The question that is asked every season is: does “jeopardy” (aka, being the last couple called safe) have any real meaning for the couples put there??  The answer is yes, of course. The problem is determining what that meaning is at the time. That is very difficult to do, although we’ve gotten pretty good at figuring it out every season.  You always have to remember a few key things:

  • The producers want to keep the show exciting, and jeopardy is a part of that;
  • The producers often have a reason why they want to keep a particular couple around longer and motivating fan bases to vote harder can be accomplished by “jeopardy” if they think the votes are too low;
  • Drama, drama, drama!! How exciting is it when the high scorer of the night is standing next to the low scorer of the night and you don’t know who’s going to survive – and the producers fool you into thinking that the low person is for sure going home…and then they don’t?

Yeah, I don’t think it’s really that exciting at this point in the show’s history, but I’ve long said that the producers have lost touch with their audience. :-)

Now, since I’m the biggest nerd of a blogger on this site, I wondered if there was any kind of pattern to the “jeopardy” and the subsequent eliminations. So I made tables of seasons 11 through 17 to try and figure it out. Hindsight is 20/20 – but it can inform how you watch the show going forward.  The answer, as you may have guessed, is that yes there is something of a pattern. Sometimes. And it’s an easy one to see when you’re looking back – but still impossible to be sure of when you’re watching the show in real time. :-) That is unlikely to change. Read more..

March 26, 2014 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

Dancing with the Stars Season 18 – PRO WATCH!!

It’s that time of year once again, boys and girls – time for Pro Watch. :-)  It will be very interesting to see what happens this year, after they let go of the band. That was a huge cost savings to them. The question is: are they looking to save even more money (say goodbye to Derek and possibly Cheryl) or have they saved so much that they can afford the popular, long term pros that have kept people coming back to this show season after season? I personally think that they will do what they can to hold on to Derek – he’s an Emmy winner and that’s very helpful to the show’s cache. I think they will also do their best to hold on to Cheryl, Karina and Mark. I’m GUESSING that Val and Tristan are still locked into contracts that are beneficial to ABC so they aren’t in question as long as they find a partner for them.  As always, I could be wrong. :-) Read more..

February 4, 2014 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

Pure DWTS Questionnaire Looking Back On 2013: What are your “favorite” and ‘best of” thoughts?

Hi Everyone!! We thought it might be fun to look back on the last two seasons of Dancing With The Stars (Season 16 and Season 17) to get your “favorite” and ‘best of” thoughts. As always, answer to your best ability or for whatever comes to mind first in the comments section. Also, try to answer with only one choice, but, you can name a few honorable mentions if it’s too difficult to choose only one. Ok, here ya go….

1. Taking into account the last two seasons of Dancing With The Stars in 2013, who do you think deserves an award for Top Female Pro?

2. From the last two seasons of Dancing With The Stars in 2013, who do you think deserves an award for Top Male Pro?

3. Now taking your top two picks from above, which pro deserves the Vanguard Professional Dancer Award for 2013?

4. The Best Dancing With The Stars Troupe Members in 2013 were __________________ and ___________________. (Try to name only two)

5. Taking into account the last two seasons of Dancing With The Stars in 2013, who were your top 3 favorite couples? Rate them in order as well.

6. The celebrity dancer to surprise me the most in 2013 was ________________________.

7. The celebrity dancer to tug on my heart strings the most in 2013 was _________________________.

8. The Most “Entertaining” Celebrity Dancer of 2013 was ________________________.

9. The “Best” Celebrity Dancer of 2013 was _________________________.

Good luck and see you in comments! As always, thanks for your fun participation and here’s to Dancing With The Stars in 2014. ;) xxx

January 7, 2014 I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.

Dancing With The Stars Among Nielson’s TV Ratings Annual Top 10

And it even beat out American Idol and the NFL regular season. Below is more from Newsday via Nielson’s. To read the full article, be sure to see the link.

Interesting bit of news from Nielsen’s annual Top Ten list, just released this morning: “Dancing with the Stars” edged out “American Idol” as TV’s most viewed unscripted show last season. “NCIS” remained TV’s top draw overall.

1 NBC SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL NBC… 7.4 21,734,000

2 SUNDAY NIGHT NFL PRE-KICK NBC 5.3 …15,708,000

3 THE OT FOX 5.0 14…,753,000

4 NCIS CBS 5.0 14…,692,000

5 DANCING WITH THE STARS ABC 4.7 …13,862,000

6 NFL REGULAR SEASON L ESPN 4.6… 13,446,000

7 AMERICAN IDOL-WEDNESDAY FOX 4.6 …13,384,000

8 BIG BANG THEORY, THE CBS 4.5… 13,217,000

9 AMERICAN IDOL-THURSDAY FOX 4.5 …13,136,000

10 DANCING W/STARS RESULTS ABC 4.5… 12,890,000

December 17, 2013 I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.

More “Never Seen Before” DWTS Media, Derek Hough Edgier Than Ever In New Photo Shoot, And More

Derek-and-Amber-Freestyle-57

Be sure you head to Pure Derek Hough when you get a chance!! Miss Heidi has been working hard in her spare time making screencaps, videos, and more of Dancing With The Stars Season 17 Champs Derek Hough and Amber Riley. As you can see above, the “hot guy” caps are my fave. :D

Thanks for a rare find from Linz, Pure Derek Hough is also featuring some BTS video of camera blocking. It features all of the dancers getting ready for the finale including some footage that what wasn’t featured on GMA.

Also, you can preview a glimpse into the new issue of Annex Man Magazine which is featuring a new photo shoot with Derek….and let’s just say, I’ve never seen Derek be so edgy. The creativity behind this shoot is very Lady Gaga/Madonna/Vampire like in some of the pics. Way cool and high fashion at it’s finest. More at this link if interested!!

December 11, 2013 I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.

“Never Seen Before” Backstage Footage of Dancing With The Stars Season 17 Premiere

JC Rubio of AfterBuzz TV has posted some “never seen before” backstage footage from the premiere of Dancing With The Stars Season 17. This is fun! Check it out!

I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.

PureDWTS New Valerie Harper UP Movie To Premiere In January, Health Update

Hey, for those interested, a new Valerie Harper movie called “The Town That Came A-Courtin’” will be premiering on the UP channel at 7:00pm on January 19th, 2014. If you’d like to read about it, see IMDB.com. You can also see a poster at this link.

Also, after Thanksgiving, People posted an interview with Tristan MacManus and Valerie Harper that was filmed after the finale of Dancing With The Stars. She gave an update on her health. I loved when she said, “What’s to complain about?” Note too that she’s planning to celebrate the holidays with her family and she’s not planning to look back, but, only looking forward. Below is more. She’s so amazing and so inspirational.

As she looks forward to celebrating the holidays with her family – something that she wasn’t sure she’d live to see – Harper is savoring every day, telling PEOPLE, “I’m not looking back. I’m only looking forward.”

December 10, 2013 I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.

Dancing With The Stars TV Ratings: Finale Earns 6-Month Highs For ABC And More

Good news for TV Ratings for Dancing With The Stars. Our show moved up from 8th place during semi-finals week to 5th and 6th place during it’s Finale week. The viewership numbers may be a little down from last fall’s Season 15 Finale of 16.7 million, but, it was neck and neck with Season 16 finale ratings.

Below is more of the overall Primetime tv ratings and viewership numbers from the Star Tribune via Nielson’s TV ratings for November 25th to December 1st:

1. NFL Football Thanksgiving Special: Pittsburgh at Baltimore, NBC, 21.07 million.

2. “60 Minutes,” CBS, 18.09 million.

3. NFL Football: NY Giants at Washington, NBC, 17.75 million.

4. NFL Thursday Post-Game, Oakland at Dallas, CBS, 17.47 million.

5. “Dancing With the Stars Special” (Tuesday), ABC, 14.75 million.

6. “Dancing With the Stars,” ABC, 14.61 million.

7. NFL Football: San Francisco at Washington, ESPN, 13.16 million.

8. NFL Thanksgiving Pre-Kick, NBC, 12.67 million.

9. “NCIS: Los Angeles,” CBS, 12.32 million.

10. “The Walking Dead,” AMC, 12.05 million.

11. “Person of Interest,” CBS, 11.89 million.

12. NFL Pre-Kick, NBC, 11.71 million.

13. “The Voice,” NBC, 11.52 million.

14. “Castle,” ABC, 11.41 million.

15. “Rudolph the Red-Nose Reindeer,” CBS, 11.31 million.

ABC Media Net is also reporting these ratings and numbers….

ABC’s Monday Finale of “Dancing with the Stars” is the Top Entertainment Show And Outdraws NBC’s “The Voice” by its Largest Margin of the Season

Hitting a Season High, ABC is the Most-Watched Net on the Sweep’s Final Tuesday, With the “Dancing” Season Finale Finishing as the Night’s Dominant No. 1 TV Show

The “Dancing with the Stars” Finale Earns 6-Month Highs for ABC in its Time Period

Monday:

“Dancing with the Stars” (8:00-10:01 p.m. – 14.6 million and 2.2/6 in AD18-49):

Building its numbers on night 1 of its 2-night season finale, ABC’s “Dancing with the Stars” was Monday’s most-watched entertainment show for the 5th week in a row. Bill Engvall was the next celebrity dancer eliminated from the competition. Growing week to week in Total Viewers (+6%) and Adults 18-49 (+10%), “DWTS” drew its biggest audience since its season premiere and scored a 9-week high with young adults – since 9/16/13 and 9/23/13, respectively.

Tuesday:

ABC finished as the dominant most-watched TV network on the final Tuesday of the November Sweep (+1.2 million over second-place CBS – 13.0 million vs. 11.8 million) and ranked No. 1 in Adults 18-49 (2.5/7-tied w/CBS). ABC’s “Dancing with the Stars” finale stood as Tuesday’s most-watched TV show by 20% over runner-up CBS’ “NCIS: LA” (14.8 million vs. 12.3 million from 9:00-10:00 p.m.) and “S.H.I.E.L.D.” was night’s No. 1 scripted series in Adults 18-49.

“Dancing with the Stars” (9:01-11:00 p.m. – 14.8 million and 2.4/7 in AD18-49):

From 9:00-11:00 p.m., the season finale of “Dancing with the Stars” made ABC the No. 1 network in the 2-hour time period with Total Viewers and key Women (W18-49/W25-54), while ranking as the top broadcaster with Kids 2-11. Dominating its final half-hour from 10:30-11:00 p.m., as Amber Riley won the coveted Mirror Ball Trophy, “Dancing” delivered 15.6 million viewers and a 2.6/8 in Adults 18-49 to lead its nearest competition (CBS’ “Person of Interest” = 11.8 million and 2.1/6) by 3.8 million viewers and by 24% in young adults.

Let’s see if Heidi has something to add….

Heidi: Well, the “rank” means very little when it comes to ratings. Throw 15 football games up there and knock it out of the top 10 and that won’t hurt it as long as the same or more people are watching the show, if you know what I mean. The important points to come out of the above are that it is still beating the Voice in total viewer numbers AND it’s still growing week to week. Six percent growth from the semi-finals to the finals is nothing to sneeze at, for sure (take note, Maks fans).  The finale (results show) was down from the all star season…but what do you expect when people get OUT of the habit of watching DWTS on Tuesday night??  Not to mention that the ALL Star Season was a bit of an anomaly.  I think the producers were on crack when they thought that the ratings for that season were down because no one wants to see great dancing. Bull. Your show is aging, and TV viewership is falling across the board. You can’t look at it in a vacuum.  All TV continues to sink in viewer number – except probably cable.  People have more choices now.  Looking at it very simply…this is where the Rank plays a part. How can DWTS STILL be Top 10 show while still falling in ratings season after season?? Simple…because ALL TV is falling season after season. If DWTS were the only show with declining viewer numbers, it would have fallen out of the Top 10 by now.

Heidi Still: And for those who insist that a particular guest judge – be it Julianne OR Maks – has a dramatic impact on ratings…guess again. Here are the total viewers each week:

September 16 – 16.01
September 23 – 13.4
September 30 – 13.1
October 7 – 13
October 14 – 12.99
October 21 – 13.35
October 28 - 13.28
November 4 - 13.72
November 11 - 12.57 (pre-empted in Boston and Charlotte = 3% of the US Market)
November 18 – 13.8
November 25 – 14.2

As you can see, the season starts out very high and then drops consistently until week 5, when it starts inching it’s way back up again. If not for November 11th, it would show fairly consistent growth from a mid season low to the season finale. From what I can see, the only thing having a major impact on ratings was the pre-empting in Boston and Charlotte. Everything else falls on a very nice curve – very similar to curves shown when I graphed previous seasons. It appears that the theory that people want to watch bad dancing may not be true. How else do you explain that people tune in to the first show, then fall out until past the halfway point??

December 5, 2013 I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.

Stuart Brazell Interviews Dancing With The Stars Mark Ballas In Extra Spreecast

Awwww, it’s so fun to see Stuart Brazell again. In the spreecast for Extra below, she interviews Mark Ballas. Fans asked some cool questions too. They ask him about his career, Dancing With The Stars Season 17, the new format, who he wished he could have danced with besides Christina and more. Check it out if interested. Also, if the chat doesn’t work below, see this link.

December 4, 2013 I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.

Exclusive “Behind The Scenes” Footage Of Dancing With The Stars Finale By JC Rubio TV

Be sure to read about some “backstage” details of the Dancing With The Stars finale at JC Rubio’s official site here. Below is some video too. This is too fun. THANKS JC!!

December 3, 2013 I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.