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SPOILERS!!! DWTS Season 14, Week 7 – Who Got the Boot??

Thank god, the dance duels are OVER!!  Pretty sure that what went down tonight was NOT what the producers had in mind. Two good dancers up against each other, while the lesser dancer remains.

That’s right, it was Jaleel versus Roshon doing the Rumba….and that was the half I got right in my numbers post. :-)  But there is no predicting the judges and they actually ALL voted to save Roshon.  Question is – Will Melissa fall out in the double elimination next week with Roshon, or will it take out Maria instead?? Or one of the favorites??

What did we predict?? Well…

Heidi: I predicted Roshon would dance against Jaleel in the duel and would lose. My second choice was Melissa versus Jaleel with Jaleel winning.

Courtney: Put Jaleel versus Melissa in the duel with Melissa going home; outside chance of Jaleel versus Roshon.

Vogue: Said it was Jaleel’s time to go.

Technically, even though I called the bottom two right, VOGUE was the only one who called the loser. :-)

 

May 1, 2012 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

DWTS Season 14, Week 7 – Dancing by the Numbers

I’m the only one in my family that is into DWTS. This season, my little sister decided to start watching because she knows I work on two websites that are related to it. She’s taken to texting me during the show, but we have little to no discussion about it on a regular basis. But you can tell we’re from the same family. :-) Here is a direct quote from my little sister regarding the team dances:

Please mention on your websites that the gratuitous shirtlessness is getting ridiculous and kind of insulting – as if they take off their shirts and we silly women would be dumb enough to vote for that reason alone. Pathetic manipulation pisses me off. Just dance, stupid.

And that pretty much sums up the team dances. She and I neither live in the same town, nor talk on twitter. She wasn’t even a fan of DWTS before this season. Team Tango was so superior to Team Paso that I can’t even believe there was only one point between them. Mark, Derek and Kym’s fingerprints were all over that…saw some of Derek/Kym’s standard moves for teams with a few new nuances that seemed like Mark. Have no idea if Chelsie is in there or not, but it’s clear that all four of them worked in harmony – with the blessing of their celeb partners. Mark can’t get Katherine to do something, so Derek gives it a try. Nice team work. Team Paso, on the other hand, seems to have gotten caught up in their own hype – and frankly, kudos to the men (William and Donald) who made at least token protests against going shirtless. How about you choreograph the damn dance AND pay attention to your partners??? It was sloppy, it borrowed from last season’s team Paso…it just wasn’t as good as it was scored. You know, I have no problem with shirtless men – Derek never did it before his Lambada with Joanna but has done it occasionally after that; maybe once or twice a season. Never really minded when Maks did it, even though I likely made several sarcastic comments about it. :-) Dmitry?? Always has his shirt way open – Always – he’s very proud. Yes, I do tend to mock that. But last night it seemed like their WHOLE entire goal was to get the shirts off those men, in hopes that “us stupid wimmen” would just fall over, enraptured. Ummm…no. It was SO predictable that it annoyed me.

Anyway, I was rather shocked that Katherine did the rumba that I expected but was scored rather appropriately. Shocking. :-) Major props to her and Mark for their lovely reaction to Maria and Derek’s dance and scores – I love seeing stuff like that. It’s a shame the dance duel works against that sort of camaraderie.  I am in agreement with Courtney when she says that some couples (Melissa and Maks in particular) got totally screwed by the music.  Derek and Maria worked very well within their musical framework, but I don’t see a way that Maks could do the same for his dance.   Don’t know what the hell was going on during Roshon’s dance, but I don’t feel he was totally underscored this week…but who can say when several seconds were lost with a view of the giant mirror ball?

Let’s look at the couples and their percentages of the total:

The Judges Scores and Percentages

Place Celebrity Score Percentage
1. Maria 57 15.53
2. Katherine 54 14.71
3. William 53 14.44
3. Donald 53 14.44
5. Roshon 52 14.17
6. Jaleel 51 13.90
7. Melissa 47 12.81

Read more..

I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

DWTS Season 14, Week 6 – Dancing by the Numbers

Boy, what a crap ass night. And yet, extremely predictable. I have to wonder if Katherine just isn’t getting the votes because she was the biggest example of over scoring last night, by far. Unless you like Vanilla Sambas. I restrict my vanilla to COFFEE, thank you. :-) William was too, but he actually got critiqued. Mark and Maks go back to their old ways…Donald and Roshon are, once again, under scored for the benefit of the favored children…it was an all around disappointing night.

I have to laugh at anyone who believes that Derek is favored – judges kinda made a fool of you, didn’t they. LOL. Yep, Maria is in trouble tonight. I think she might pull it out, but she is the least well known of the non-judge’s pets of this season. Weellll…

Let’s look at the couples and their percentages of the total:

The Judges Scores and Percentages

Place Celebrity Score Percentage
1. Katherine 39 15.12
2. Jaleel 37 14.34
3. William 36 13.95
4. Donald 34 13.18
5. Maria 30 11.63
5. Melissa 30 11.63
7. Roshon 28 10.85
8. Gladys 24 9.30

Gladys is, once again, at the bottom of the leader board. The question is….does she have the juice to pull it out tonight?  Last week, Gavin and Melissa were both below her in scores, but Gavin and Jaleel were in the bottom two. Melissa only needed 4,500 (chump change) votes to pull ahead of Gladys and 13,400 to pull ahead of Jaleel. Gladys only needed 8,900 votes per million votes cast last week for Jaleel to then fall into the bottom two – this week it’s a lot more and she doesn’t have the protection of Melissa and Gavin being below her. What has to happen for Gladys to stick for another week?? She has to stay out of the bottom two for one thing. For that to happen, she needs TWO of the following things:

-          Gladys needs to get 15,500 more votes per million votes cast than Roshon, OR;

-          Gladys needs to get 23,260 more votes per million votes cast than either Melissa or Maria, OR;

-          Gladys needs to get 38,760 more votes per million votes cast than Donald, OR;

-          Gladys needs to get 46,520 more votes per million votes cast then William, OR;

-          Gladys needs to get 50,400 more votes per million votes cast than Jaleel, OR;

-          Gladys needs to get 58,150 more votes per million votes cast than Katherine.

Clearly, Katherine is going nowhere. Again I wonder if she’s not getting the votes because she’s not that much better than Donald.  Now, Gladys can get past Roshon (and this is likely why we have the dance duel, cuz I think it would be easy), but whether she can get past Maria and Melissa is a mystery that will be solved tonight. They have insulated Jaleel, our other bottom two dweller, pretty well.  Will he end up in the bottom two again? Read on.

Roshon is next on our list – and on a night when I thought he danced better than William and Katherine both. Roshon has been in the bottom two…and on judges scores alone, he’s in the bottom two again. But is he when it comes to the combined total?? Based on the judges scores, and assuming that Gladys gets the votes she needs, Roshon needs TWO of the following in order to be safe:

-          Roshon needs to get 7,760 more votes per million votes cast than either Melissa or Maria, OR;

-          Roshon needs to get 23,260 more votes per million votes cast than Donald, OR;

-          Roshon needs to get 31,010 more votes per million votes cast then William, OR;

-          Roshon needs to get 34,890 more votes per million votes cast than Jaleel, OR;

-          Roshon needs to get 42,650 more votes per million votes cast than Katherine.

Gotta say, I’m not really sure what’s going to happen here. Roshon has fallen into the bottom two before, when tied with Maria and four points ahead of Melissa. Now, he’s a couple points below both of them. So, have the Roshon fans mustered enough votes to make up a defict where there wasn’t one before?? I kinda doubt it, but you never know. Roshon got hosed so his fans might have really gotten it together. Read more..

April 24, 2012 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

SPOILERS!!! DWTS Season 14, Week 5 – Who Got the Boot??

Dang, my number post is looking pretty good right now. :-) Eh, don’t get used to it. I’ll probably blow it next week.

Anyway, after the obligatory chatter so that I don’t accidentally spoil anyone, Gavin and Jaleel did the dance duel and unfortunately, Jaleel was the clear winner…and the judges saved him.

What did we predict?? Well…

Heidi: I predicted Gavin would go with Melissa as an outside chance. However, I was reasonably confident that Roshon or Jaleel would be in the bottom two with Gavin, but that either one would beat him.

Courtney: Put Melissa at the bottom of her Power Rankings, thinking she might go home, but had Gavin as a possibility as well.

Vogue: Said that it would be Gavin and Gladys in the bottom two and that Gladys would lose.

And the winner is…well, no one, really. I’m totally bummed that Gavin went home and Jaleel is still there. However, my early prediction would be Jaleel and Roshon in the bottom two next week. As for Jaleel’s numbers, I’ll likely cover that in next weeks “Dancing by the Numbers” post, unless someone is dying for it now.

April 17, 2012 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

DWTS Season 14, Week 6 – A “Surprise” Double Elimination??

Eh, it’s only a surprise if you haven’t been paying attention to me the last few weeks. I’ve been saying all along they have to have one to get to where they need to be in week 10 – unless they plan on going 11 weeks, which has only been done once before. Anyway, Robin Leach’s Vegas Deluxe claims the double elimination is next week:

Tonight, the program institutes the new dance-off policy to tackle fan popularity voting, and it will be the judges who end the run for one of the celebrity teams. Next week: A surprise double elimination on the same terms!

I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

DWTS Season 14, Week 5 – Dancing by the Numbers

I have an over whelming urge to speak in an Irish accent and say “Holy Mary, over score them din yeh?”   Maybe it was the wine. Or Tristan wearing green.  Or the very obvious overscoring of the “good” dancers to keep them away from the dance duel.  I could get behind that, I guess, if Len hadn’t given Donald an 8 while giving Willy a 9.  In what frackin’ universe, Len??  Frankly, Donald and Katherine were the only ones worthy of tens and Katherine got one too many in my book. Her legs were SO soft, just like I expected them to be. Ah well, if it keeps her out of the dance duel then I guess it served it’s purpose.

But I have to wonder…if you give Katherine two 10′s up against Maria being dropped on her face, William busting his ankle and Melissa’s concussion??? AND Roshon being in the bottom two last week??  Um…uh oh? I sure as hell hope people are voting for her, cuz I like her and she brought back “good” Marky.  I would be a bit worried that people would assume she’s safe…if not for the seriously huge margin. Anyway…

Let’s look at the couples and their percentages of the total:

The Judges Scores and Percentages

Place Celebrity Score Percentage
1. Katherine  29 12.95
2. William  29 12.95
2. Donald 27 12.05
4. Maria 27 12.05
5. Roshon 26 11.61
6. Jaleel 24 10.71
6. Gladys 22 9.82
6. Melissa 21 9.38
9. Gavin 19 8.48

Now THAT is a spread. :-)  Even if it’s a faux spread.

Read more..

I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

SPOILERS!!! DWTS Season 14, Week 4 – Who Got the Boot??

Well, Tom warned us it was a shocking elimination, that’s for sure.  I predicted they would call Gavin safe very early. Just sayin’. :-) That’s the only thing I got right tonight, but it’s something.

Eliminated in the fourth week?  Sherri and Val. Shocker. Not from a number standpoint…from a popularity standpoint.

Here are our predictions for who was going home:

Heidi: After a good bit of waffeling, I predicted Jaleel going home with either Melissa or Gladys in the bottom two with him.

Courtney: Had Gavin in her bottom spot in the power rankings, along with Melissa.

John: Called Jaleel on Twitter…AFTER I posted my numbers. Cheater cheater pumpkin eater. :-D

We were ALL wrong.

Anyway, Roshon in the bottom two and Gladys safe…do you know how many votes Gladys had to get?? An assload more than Roshon did, that’s for sure. To be precise, 27,500 votes more per million votes cast. Now that doesn’t necessarily mean Gladys was getting a ton of votes…it might just mean that that Roshon was getting none.  I may just do a post on this elimination so that people understand what it took.

I would be lying if I said I wasn’t hoping for a different person to be eliminated. I’m not a Sherri fan, but she LOVED this show and everything about it…she appreciated every moment and was obviously happy every week. She is what this show is all about.

I’m unhappy.  I’m imagine I will be unhappy most weeks from here on out. :-(

 

April 10, 2012 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

DWTS Season 14, Week 4 – Dancing by the Numbers

Well, well, well….as predicted, the real judges came back to life and gave a few of our couples a little dash of reality. Sherri and William being most notable. Of course, next week is Latin week so I expect William will regain something of his status, since it plays to his strenghts. Sherri too, for that matter.  If both are still around next week…and there is no guarantee.  Didn’t seem to me that William was getting as much love from the audience this week either.  We’ll see.  The benefit of this REAL scoring is that Gavin isn’t at the bottom of the score board and we know he’s been in the real bottom two the last two weeks…so now we will REALLY see who the other weak links are. :-)  I also get the sense that Gavin is gaining in popularity – I LOLed at his “Absolutely not” in answer to Brooke’s question about if he did enough to stay out of the bottom two. I can’t be the only one who is finding him totally endearing.

Let’s look at the couples and their percentages of the total:

The Judges Scores and Percentages

Place Celebrity Score Percentage
1. Donald  27 11.59
2. Maria  26 11.16
2. Roshon 26 11.16
4. Katherine 24 10.30
5. Gavin 23 9.87
6. Melissa 22 9.44
6. William 22 9.44
6. Jaleel 22 9.44
9. Sherri 21 9.01
10. Gladys 20 8.58

Despite what some fans were claiming on twitter, we actually have a real live spread this week between the high and low scores.  Now, our bottom position is Gladys…and I just don’t have a feel for how she’s doing with the voters. She is sooo amazing and sweet…but her dance was a bit of a train wreck. So what does Gladys need in order to stick around? She needs ONE of the following things:

-          Gladys needs 4,300 more votes per million votes cast than Sherri, OR;

-          Gladys needs 8,600 more votes per million votes cast than EITHER William, Jaleel or Melissa, OR;

-          Gladys needs 12,880 more votes per million votes cast than Gavin, OR;

-          Gladys needs 17,170 more votes per million votes cast than Katherine, OR;

-          Gladys needs 25,760 more votes per million votes cast than either Maria or Roshon, OR;

-          Gladys needs 30,050 more votes per million votes cast than Donald.

Read more..

I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

SPOILERS!!! DWTS Season 14, Week 3 – Who Got the Boot??

Hold on to your hats, I’ve got a lot of complaining to do. Wait for it. :-) First though…

Anyway, our second elimination is: Jack and Anna (sob)

Our mini scorecard reads as follows:

Heidi: I had a lot of trouble deciding, waffling between the bottom 5, but I finally decided on Gavin numerically…but I had a suspicion about Jaleel.

Courtney: Had trouble as well, but said Gavin as well, with Jack or Gladys in the possible next position.

Again they do a real live bottom two, with Gavin in the safe position of the bottom – what is UP with that??

But worst thing of all possible things…we get three weeks of the judges deciding who goes home out of the bottom two scorers. This is the biggest load of bull in the history of the show, worse than the winner take all cha cha. That was, at least, a one time thing. But now, for the next three weeks, the two low combined scorers will dance off in front of the judges and then the judges decide who is safe. So, even if William or Jaleel aren’t getting any votes or they dance like crap on the night, the will likely stick around…possibly over someone who danced very well. You better hope your favorite doesn’t end up in the bottom two against Katherine or William (or Sherri).

You know? Let the show WORK without freakin’ tinkering with it!! It works quite well. But one of their favorites isn’t getting the votes and they want to make sure he (or she) sticks around for at least three more weeks. At least if Derek and Maria go out the regular way, I will know that it’s the way the show works. It’s in the rules, that’s how it’s always been. But if Maria ends up in the bottom two against William and the piece of meat stays just due to the vagina vote?? That will piss. me. off. Is your favorite Sherri or Melissa or Gladys or Gavin?? Forget it. If, as I suspect, William or Katherine isn’t getting the votes, you guys are screwed.

The thing is, who ever they consider their favorite could be the low scorer (combined judges score and viewer votes) by a significant margin, yet will stay over someone who actually did quite well on the night and is doing well with the viewers. Someone like Sherri. Or Melissa.

My suggestion?? Vote like you’ve never voted before. If William and Katherine both end up in the bottom (unlikely due to judges scores on the front end) then Katherine will stay. MAYBE. Jesus.

April 3, 2012 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

DWTS Season 14, Week 3 – Dancing by the Numbers

What do you get when you have a five way tie at the bottom of the leaderboard?  A big fat mess, that’s what. :-)  Jaysus, the over scoring continues. I thought Sherri, Jaleel and Gladys were all over scored for sure. Katherine was as well – knock it off with the two 10’s already. She was great and beautiful (and she made me very weepy), but how can you dance so much of a waltz out of hold and still get a 29?? ANYONE else would have gotten dinged for that big time.  Donald (love him) starts off with what would have been called a lift if Derek or Maks had done it…and CAI decides she’s on vacay as the lift police. Figures. But on the upside – finally CAI decides to critique William. About damn time. Keep up the good work. The tongue bathes are ridiculous and that 10 was so not deserved.

I saw quite a few people saying they would be surprised if there was more than 10k votes between the top scorer and the bottom rung – Nah, there was more than that. Try 18k – a pretty good number, but not massive. Combine that smallish spread with SERIOUS voting issues, a real bottom two last week, fake crying this week and you got one unpredictable situation.

Yes, if you are a Derek or Maks fan, you know that voting was pure hell last night. Web site was continually saying that I used all my votes when I hadn’t even cast one – this was after an hour or two of “bad gateway” messages – meaning their servers were getting hammered, most likely. And this was at the BEGINNING of the show.  Same issue with the phones; call and get the message that you’ve used all your calls from this phone number …on the first call. Again, right after Derek and Maria danced. I saw that Maks fans were having the same issues with the online voting, so I’m assuming that was an issue across the board. So, the passionate fanbases will rule the day, more so than usual. You had to be seriously patient and/or determined to vote last night.

Let’s look at the couples and their percentages of the total:

The Judges Scores and Percentages

Place Celebrity Score Percentage
1. Katherine 29 10.36
2. William 28 10.00
3. Maria 27 9.64
4. Donald 26 9.29
5. Jaleel 25 8.93
5. Roshon 25 8.93
7. Sherri 24 8.57
7. Jack 24 8.57
7. Gladys 24 8.57
7. Gavin 24 8.57
7. Melissa 24 8.57

 
Read more..

I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)