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SPOILERS!! DWTS Season 15, Week 8 – Who Got the Boot??

Blah blah….white space for the retweeters so they don’t accidentally spoil it…blah blah….the couples picked styles/themes for each other and the only person with a chance Derek. He of the Jungle Jazz Samba. I smell a 50’s Paso in the offing.  I hope. :-) Kelly is screwed, along with a few others. Anyway…Whooooo Hooooo – Drinks are on the house!!

We lost two couples tonight and they are….

Kirstie and Maks – Seventh Place

Gilles and Peta – Sixth Place

How did the ladies of PureDWTS do??

Heidi:  My guess was Kirstie in 7th place with Kelly in 6th, with Gilles as my second choice for 6th and Emmitt at the outside.

Courtney: Guessed Kirstie in 7th, with Gilles in 6th with Melissa at a possible in the bottom 3.

Vogue:  Had Gilles in 7th place and Gilles in 6th place, with Emmitt at the outside chance.

NOTE: Once again, Tom said NOT NECESSARILY THE BOTTOM TWO – so once again we have no clue of the actual standings. DWTS is trying to preserve some Drama.

Next week?? THREE dances. I’ll let Courtney fill you in. :-)

 

November 13, 2012 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

DWTS All Stars, Week 8 – Dancing by the Numbers

If you want to look at the numbers from last week before they added in two more dances, take a look at DBTN Week 7.

I’m not even going to discuss the judging tonight – it was awful from the opening dance all the way to the end. Len and his horrible comment to Shawn – I think maybe he heard Derek say “f#$k you” with his choreo or something.  People who got perfect scores shouldn’t have while others were excessively punished.  I feel bad for Apolo’s trio going after Shawn cuz he seemed pretty tame after.  I love Emmitt, but a 30 on his trio?? No way. Len’s treatment of Gilles (aka Good) is inexplicable.  And that V. Waltz from Kelly?? WHAT?? Crack is wack, ya’ll. Ridiculous. Oh, look, I talked all about the judging after I said I wouldn’t. :-)   That’s cuz it’s taking the enjoyment out of the show for me.  Anyway, on with the show:

The Judges Scores and Percentages

Bye Bye Kirstie. I don’t think there’s any way she beats that spread. She was in the bottom two previously, when the spread was much smaller.  Since it’s a double elimination, she needs TWO of the following to happen, to avoid going home:

–          Kirstie needs 19,550 more votes per million votes cast than Apolo, OR;

–          Kirstie needs 20,320 more votes per million votes cast than Gilles, OR;

–          Kirstie needs 21,100 more votes per million votes cast than Emmitt or Kelly, OR;

–          Kirstie needs 22,670 more votes per million votes cast than Shawn, OR;

–          Kirstie needs 31,250 more votes per million votes cast than Melissa.

I’m sorry, Kirstie fans. I do wish I could say I thought she was staying. Unfortunately, I think she’s the only sure thing of the night. I would much rather Gilles and Kelly leave before her, but I don’t see that happening. Read more..

I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

Dancing with the Stars All Star Season 15 Trio Week Music

Time again for the list of Dancing with the Stars music from the All Star Season. This week the music was for the trio dances. If you’re looking for past week’s music we have the full list of Dancing with the Stars music.

Shawn & Derek danced a Viennese Waltz to the song “Angel” Angel - Closer - The Best of Sarah McLachlan (Deluxe Version)—Sarah McLachlan
Shawn & Derek and Mark Ballas danced a Samba to the song “Jungle Jazz” Jungle jazz - Les tambours du Bronx: Live (Live)—Les Tambours du Bronx
Apolo & Karina danced a Tango to the song “Holding Out for a Hero” Holding Out for a Hero - Footloose (15th Anniversary Collectors' Edition)—Bonnie Tyler
Apolo & Karina and Sasha Farber danced a Jive to the song “Greased Lightnin'” Greased Lightnin' - Grease (Soundtrack from the Motion Picture)—from Grease
Kirstie & Makss danced a Viennese Waltz to the song “Hallelujah” Hallelujah - The Essential Leonard Cohen—Leonard Cohen
Kirstie & Maks and Tristan MacManus danced a Paso Doble to the song “Bring Me to Life” Bring Me to Life - Fallen—Evanescence
Kelly & Val danced a Viennese Waltz to the song “I’ll Be” I'll Be - Rhino Hi-Five: Edwin McCain - EP—Edwin McCain
Kelly & Val and Louis van Amstel danced a Jive to the song “Animal” Animal - Habits (Bonus Track Version)—Neon Trees
Gilles & Peta danced a Quickstep to the song “Danger Zone” Danger Zone - Top Gun (Original Motion Picture Soundtrack) [Special Expanded Edition]—Kenny Loggins
Gilles & Peta and Chelsie Hightower danced a Salsa to the song “Rebelión” Rebelión - Greatest Salsa Classics of Colombia, Vol. 1-—Joe Arroyo
Emmitt & Cheryl danced a Viennese Waltz to the song “Love Letters” Love Letters - Greatest Hits—Ketty Lester
Emmitt & Cheryl and Kym Johnson danced a Salsa to the song “Mr. Saxobeat” Mr. Saxobeat - Saxobeats—Alexandra Stan
Melissa & Tony danced a Quickstep to the song “Boogie Woogie Bugle Boy” Boogie Woogie Bugle Boy (Single) - 20th Century Masters - The Millennium Collection: The Best of the Andrews Sisters—The Andrew Sisters
Melissa & Tony and Henry Byalikov danced a Paso Doble to the song “Rumour Has It” Rumour Has It - 21—Adele

November 12, 2012 I Written By

Better known as Charlie.

DWTS Season 15, Week 7 – Dancing by the Numbers

As everyone knows by now, no one went home this week. But in case you want to know how the judges scores are going to affect who ultimately goes home, I thought I would run the numbers for the week. After the Week 8 dances, I’ll run the numbers again and you can compare.

Here are the Week 7 scores and percentages:

As you can see, Melissa appears to be safely at the top of the leader board. So was Sabrina. The difference this week is that there is a MUCH larger spread between the top and the bottom. Unfortunately for Melissa (and others) there are two more dance scores to be added to each celeb before anyone is eliminated, which will tighten the margins and make it easier for someone to go home.  When Sabrina went home, there was only 6.5 points between the top and the bottom. Right now there are 10 points between Kirstie and Melissa – but that is likely to change.

I think it likely that Shawn and Apolo are safe – of course we can’t be sure, but that’s what my instincts are saying. I’m also inclined to believe that Emmitt is safe. But, this is where predicting who goes home gets extremely difficult…almost impossible…to call.

Looking at the list of the celebrities that are left, I’m inclined to think that Melissa is the one in most danger when you aren’t looking at the scores and the margins. Just looking at the list, she seems (all other things being equal) like the one most likely to get the boot. But she’s at the top of the leader board. So, what would it take for her to actually leave??  ALL of the following would have to happen for Melissa to be eliminated:

–          Kirstie would have to get 45,500 more votes per million votes cast, AND;

–          Apolo would have to get 24,800 more votes per million votes cast, AND;

–          Gilles would have to get 22,800 more votes per million votes cast, AND;

–          Emmitt would have to get 18,600 more votes per million votes cast, AND;

–          Kelly would have to get 12,400 more votes per million votes cast, AND;

–          Shawn would have to get 4,200 more votes per million votes cast.

Read more..

November 8, 2012 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

DWTS 15, Week 8: And the Trios Are…

The couples got to pick the 3rd members of their trio dances last night after the show, and they could chose between eliminated pros from this season, or any of the members of the troupe – apparently the “2nd celeb” idea got scrapped (thank you, 8 lb, 10 oz baby Jesus).  The couple with the lowest cumulative score got to pick first.  So without further adieu, here are your trios for week 8:

Kirstie & Maks + Tristan MacManus

Kelly & Val + Louis Van Amstel

Emmitt & Cheryl + Kym Johnson

Apolo & Karina + Sasha Farber

Melissa & Tony + Henry Byalikov

Gilles & Peta + Chelsie Hightower

Shawn & Derek + Mark Ballas

We don’t know everyone’s dance yet, but I can tell you at least one of the trios is a jive, and at least one is a salsa.  Personally, I think some of these choices were a little puzzling…not sure I would have picked the same people, myself.  What do you guys think? Discuss :-D

November 6, 2012 I Written By

Ultrasound sales specialist by day, semi-knowledgeable DWTS fan by night...with a smattering of hair & makeup enthusiast, occasional model, and crazy cat lady peppered in to make things REALLY interesting ;-) I might pee my pants in happiness if Donnie Wahlberg ever does DWTS - or if they ever use "Sunglasses at Night" as a paso doble. Check out some of my other work at pureamericasgottalent.com!

Dancing with the Stars All Star Season 15 Fusion Week Music

Time again for the list of Dancing with the Stars music from the All Star Season. This week the music was to the fusion dances. If you’re looking for past week’s music we have the full list of Dancing with the Stars music.

Apolo & Karina danced a Cha-Cha-Cha and a Paso Doble to the song “Scream” Scream - Looking 4 Myself (Deluxe Version)—Usher
Emmitt & Cheryl danced a Rumba and a Samba to the song “Fine By Me” Fine By Me - Andy Grammer—Andy Grammer
Kirstie & Maks danced a Quickstep and a Samba to the song “Sir Duke” Sir Duke - Stevie Wonder: The Definitive Collection—Stevie Wonder
Kelly & Val danced a Foxtrot and a Cha-Cha-Cha to the song “Don’t Stop” Don't Stop - Holy Smoke—Gin Wigmore
Melissa & Tony danced a Tango and a Cha-Cha-Cha to the song “Die Young” Die Young - Die Young - Single—Ke$ha
Shawn & Mark (Derek) danced a Tango and a Paso Doble to the song “Livin’ On A Prayer” Livin' On a Prayer - Cross Road—Bon Jovi
Gilles & Peta danced a Argentine Tango and a Samba to the song “When I Get You Alone” When I Get You Alone - A Beautiful World—Robin Thicke
Kirstie & Maks, Gilles & Peta, Apolo & Karina, Emmitt & Cheryl, Shawn & Mark, Kelly & Val, and Melissa & Tony danced a Swing Marathon to the song “Do Your Thing” Do Your Thing - The Singles—Basement Jaxx

November 5, 2012 I Written By

Better known as Charlie.

Has Dancing with the Stars Jumped the Shark?

After almost every elimination, I get someone sending a message on the Pure DWTS contact form about how they’re never going to watch DWTS again. Many think that we’re the producers of DWTS, which I can assure you were are not! Most of these messages are easily ignored since it’s natural that fans of certain stars and pros are angry that they’ve been sent home. In most cases, those people end up coming back and watching DWTS again.

This season those messages have come at a much bigger rate than ever before. Most of the messages have revolved around Bristol Palin on the show (and sticking around) and the departure of Sabrina (which many thought was too early). The sheer volume has me wondering about the impact these events have had on DWTS. However, more disturbing has been the content of the messages. Usually you can just see the underlying anger about a specific incident. The messages this season have focused more on the show in general.

Certainly the ratings are down this season, but that could be caused by a ton of different X factors and Voices. However, I’ll be interested to see if this is a trend that continues in future seasons (yes, the ratings are still far from the show being cancelled).

With all of this in mind, I ask the question, has Dancing with the Stars “Jumped the Shark”? You can vote in the widget below (Click on Yes or No to vote):

For those not familiar with the term Jump the Shark, here’s the wikipedia description:

Jumping the shark is an idiom created by Jon Hein that is used to describe the moment in the evolution of a television show when it begins a decline in quality that is beyond recovery. The phrase is also used to refer to a particular scene, episode, or aspect of a show in which the writers use some type of “gimmick” in a desperate attempt to keep viewers’ interest.

In its initial usage, it referred to the point in a television program’s history when the program had outlived its freshness and viewers had begun to feel that the show’s writers were out of new ideas, often after great effort was made to revive interest in the show by the writers, producers, or network.

I’m looking forward to seeing the results of the poll and your thoughts in the comments.

November 2, 2012 I Written By

Better known as Charlie.

DWTS Season 15, Week 6 – A Dancing by the Numbers Retrospective on Sabrina Bryan

So, what happened to Sabrina is pretty easy to explain. Everyone covered the spread.  Period. She was at the top of the leaderboard and didn’t need to get MORE votes than anyone else, she just needed to get enough votes to prevent them from catching up to her.

The table below shows Sabrina versus each of the other dancers, the percentage between them and then the number of votes per million votes cast that that individual needs to bypass Sabrina and stay safe.

Ultimately, every single dancer got at least one more than that number of votes per million votes cast than Sabrina and Sabrina was, therefore, eliminated.  Looking at the numbers, above, you can see that it wouldn’t be really hard for anyone other than Kelly to get the votes.  Those are small damn numbers. And if Sabrina isn’t getting many votes, just how hard is it for Kelly? Spare me the “Power of the soap fan” spiel. That’s nuts – if ya’ll were that powerful Soap’s audiences wouldn’t be shrinking and they wouldn’t be getting cancelled left and right. And Kelly wasn’t the only person who beat Sabrina – EVERYONE did. Which means she just wasn’t getting the votes.  This says nothing, really, about Kelly and everything about Sabrina. Read more..

November 1, 2012 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

Dancing with the Stars Season 15 Stats Class: Week 6′s Elimination – Sabrina Bryan

Ok… I am not happy… I mean Sabrina was actually growing and doing better and better. She was actually opening up and she has such an engaging personality it is like, “what the hell?” But then again TPTB probably have so much invested in Gilles and Kelly that Sabrina got the short end of the stick…

Ah well… what can you do? I know it has been a while since I did one of these… but in all honesty it is getting towards that point in the season where the comparison statistics may actually look decent. Don’t believe me? Let’s look at the chart where it compares the predicted scores with the actuals between Sabrina’s original Season 5 and the current Season 15:


Confused? Yeah I was too… but before I break the above down even further… let’s look at the data between Season 5 and Season 15:


There… now that you have the data let’s go back to the charts:
Read more..

I Written By

My life can be summed up in the following two quotes: 1) "I am married to engineering and am its faithful wife by day, but at night my wanderlust takes hold and the arts becomes my jealous paramour." and... 2) "Engineering is my safety net. Writing is my passion. Acting is my escape when the other two become too much." So where does dancing fit in? Pretty much anywhere at this point... =)

SPOILERS!! DWTS Season 15, Week 6 – Who Got the Boot??

Heh. Funny story.  Courtney and I were TOTALLY convinced that the Berge was lying and no one was going home tonight.  We both thought of it and tweeted it at about the same time. The Berge was just acting too funny and there was too much inconsistent stuff being said. His explanation for no elimination next week totally doesn’t fly – makes no sense at all. We were seeing lots of discomfort from him and Brooke both. We were both in denial up until Tommy said someone had the lowest combined total.  I was in denial even after that…forgetting that it wasn’t April Fools.

Guess that was just because Sabrina was getting eliminated this season the same week she was the first time around. Yep, Sabrina has hit the road. Which kinda makes me irritated – I said at the beginning of the season that there was no reason for her to go farther this season than she did originally with Mark  – not in an all star season. But, I took comfort in her high score EVEN THOUGH the spread was not large AT ALL. I bought into the same crap that I get annoyed with some of you for spouting. That is – the spread means zilch if you aren’t getting the votes.  It does NOT mean that Kelly was getting a ton of votes – it could easily mean that Sabrina doesn’t have a fanbase at all, to speak of.  Since this is the second time this has happened to Sabrina, I think that’s the safer bet.

So how did we do?? Well, we all sucked. :-) I could leave it at that and call it a night, but….nah.

Heidi: Predicted Kelly, second choice Kirstie

Courtney: Kelly, Second choice Kirstie

Vogue: Gilles, Emmitt as the second choice

Why the hell couldn’t Vogue have been right. Then most of us on this blog would be happy as little clams.

NOTE: Tom clearly stated that Apolo was “not necessarily the bottom two”.  Which means that he probably wasn’t but isn’t getting the votes they want him to.  I’m going to slap the crap out of the first person who asks if Apolo was the bottom two.

October 30, 2012 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)