Blah blah All-Star Season blah blah. 🙂 That’s months away yet and I don’t find myself interested in it. Yet. I’m sure that will change. Sooner or later. I’m still thinking about the season that ended a mere two weeks ago. Because that’s who I am. 🙂
So, in looking at the way the show turned out, I saw a few people discussing what William’s REAL voting block was like. Some had a tendency to say “Oh, Katherine must have been killing it” or “Maybe William didn’t have it all along and he was getting by on margins” – well, being the nerd that I am, I just have to go back and LOOK and see if there are any conclusions to be drawn.
The final scores ended up being very close, with only one point separating Donald and William from Katherine. In order to win, Donald or William needed 3,740 more votes per million votes cast to get by Katherine. Obviously, Donald got those votes because he ended up beating her. William, on the other hand, didn’t get those votes because he came in third place. Pretty simple, right?
That’s not to say that William WASN’T getting more votes than Katherine, because he could have been – he just couldn’t cover the spread. I’m inclined to believe that William was pretty solidly in third place (and no better) all along – because of the pimping or in spite of the pimping, take your pick. Why do I think this?? Well, 3,740 is chump change when it comes to votes, but he couldn’t get past Katherine. While Katherine was a beautiful dancers, she was quite over hyped in the latter weeks as well (by the judges) – but she and Mark together were also very likeable.
The previous week, Katherine, William and Donald all had to get past Maria by the following margins:
– Katherine needed just over 13k per million votes cast to get past Maria, AND;
– Donald needed 8,700 votes per million votes cast to get past Maria, AND;
– William needed 4,350 votes per million votes cast to get past Maria
They all did that and Maria went home – so it seems to me that she was fourth place all along. Those aren’t huge numbers. However, there IS an argument to be made that Katherine was helped A LOT by her “back spasm” and the fact that people still think someone is safe with the high score. Sure, that could have helped Katherine…and maybe it did. It’s hard to say for sure. But it seems to me that if people got lax on voting for Maria because she had the high score, it would have been William in trouble and not Katherine. Because at the time it mattered the most, and with no sympathy vote in play, Willy couldn’t get past Katherine. For that reason, I think the winner, 2nd place and 3rd place were pretty solid. Read more..
