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DWTS Season 14, Week 6 – Dancing by the Numbers

Boy, what a crap ass night. And yet, extremely predictable. I have to wonder if Katherine just isn’t getting the votes because she was the biggest example of over scoring last night, by far. Unless you like Vanilla Sambas. I restrict my vanilla to COFFEE, thank you. :-) William was too, but he actually got critiqued. Mark and Maks go back to their old ways…Donald and Roshon are, once again, under scored for the benefit of the favored children…it was an all around disappointing night.

I have to laugh at anyone who believes that Derek is favored – judges kinda made a fool of you, didn’t they. LOL. Yep, Maria is in trouble tonight. I think she might pull it out, but she is the least well known of the non-judge’s pets of this season. Weellll…

Let’s look at the couples and their percentages of the total:

The Judges Scores and Percentages

Place Celebrity Score Percentage
1. Katherine 39 15.12
2. Jaleel 37 14.34
3. William 36 13.95
4. Donald 34 13.18
5. Maria 30 11.63
5. Melissa 30 11.63
7. Roshon 28 10.85
8. Gladys 24 9.30

Gladys is, once again, at the bottom of the leader board. The question is….does she have the juice to pull it out tonight?  Last week, Gavin and Melissa were both below her in scores, but Gavin and Jaleel were in the bottom two. Melissa only needed 4,500 (chump change) votes to pull ahead of Gladys and 13,400 to pull ahead of Jaleel. Gladys only needed 8,900 votes per million votes cast last week for Jaleel to then fall into the bottom two – this week it’s a lot more and she doesn’t have the protection of Melissa and Gavin being below her. What has to happen for Gladys to stick for another week?? She has to stay out of the bottom two for one thing. For that to happen, she needs TWO of the following things:

-          Gladys needs to get 15,500 more votes per million votes cast than Roshon, OR;

-          Gladys needs to get 23,260 more votes per million votes cast than either Melissa or Maria, OR;

-          Gladys needs to get 38,760 more votes per million votes cast than Donald, OR;

-          Gladys needs to get 46,520 more votes per million votes cast then William, OR;

-          Gladys needs to get 50,400 more votes per million votes cast than Jaleel, OR;

-          Gladys needs to get 58,150 more votes per million votes cast than Katherine.

Clearly, Katherine is going nowhere. Again I wonder if she’s not getting the votes because she’s not that much better than Donald.  Now, Gladys can get past Roshon (and this is likely why we have the dance duel, cuz I think it would be easy), but whether she can get past Maria and Melissa is a mystery that will be solved tonight. They have insulated Jaleel, our other bottom two dweller, pretty well.  Will he end up in the bottom two again? Read on.

Roshon is next on our list – and on a night when I thought he danced better than William and Katherine both. Roshon has been in the bottom two…and on judges scores alone, he’s in the bottom two again. But is he when it comes to the combined total?? Based on the judges scores, and assuming that Gladys gets the votes she needs, Roshon needs TWO of the following in order to be safe:

-          Roshon needs to get 7,760 more votes per million votes cast than either Melissa or Maria, OR;

-          Roshon needs to get 23,260 more votes per million votes cast than Donald, OR;

-          Roshon needs to get 31,010 more votes per million votes cast then William, OR;

-          Roshon needs to get 34,890 more votes per million votes cast than Jaleel, OR;

-          Roshon needs to get 42,650 more votes per million votes cast than Katherine.

Gotta say, I’m not really sure what’s going to happen here. Roshon has fallen into the bottom two before, when tied with Maria and four points ahead of Melissa. Now, he’s a couple points below both of them. So, have the Roshon fans mustered enough votes to make up a defict where there wasn’t one before?? I kinda doubt it, but you never know. Roshon got hosed so his fans might have really gotten it together. Read more..

April 24, 2012 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

Louis Van Amstel And Tristan MacManus Write On DWTS14 Week 6, ET Interview

In Part 2 of our media postings today, Louis Van Amstel reviews the night at ABC. He thought William ‘should have been out earlier and Donald should have stayed longer’ in the Marathon Dance. Louis would have given it to Katherine or Donald. Below are some of his thoughts on the individual dances. See if you don’t agree and be sure to read more at the link. I think Louis pretty much pegs it again and puts it all into words I couldn’t find. Don’t forget that Louis will be dancing again tonight in a Pro number.

Maria Menounos and Derek Hough’s Foxtrot. That’s a fast foxtrot. Maria did a great job. It’s a shame about the little mishap on the stairs. Great frame, very good posture and as a couple they moved nicely and smoothly across the floor. I do feel Maria is quite stiff and needs to loosen up if she wants to go to the finals. In the hold, Maria is solid, but when Derek lets her go she looks pretty tight and insecure. I agree with Len’s first part “In hold,” but “NOT in hold.” It wasn’t as great. As a matter of fact, that’s where Maria lost her footing. I agree with Carrie Ann’s score – three “8′s” in my book.

Roshon Fagan and Chelsie Hightower’s Rumba. This was a very solid performance by Roshon. He looked very comfortable in this routine, awesome arm lines. The momentum in one of the turns caused a very slight lift. Roshon attacked this Rumba a little hard sometimes which sacrificed some of the tenderness and sensuality that is so important for the Rumba. It was very age appropriate though. Carrie Ann, wow, now you’re going to be the lift police after so many other competitors did lifts before and you didn’t mention anything. Even though the judges had a weird way of criticizing Roshon, I do agree with them. The judges could have been a little less aggressive about it. The scores are low-ish. I’d say the scores should have been the same as Maria, three “8′s.” (In my opinion, Maria should have gotten three “8′s.”)

Katherine Jenkins and Mark Ballas’ Samba. This was another beautiful performance by Katherine. She just doesn’t have a bad movement in her body. There were a lot of great technical elements in that routine, with a good, solid bounce. I’m going to be a little more critical of Katherine right now (In my opinion, in comparison, she’s already better than anyone else). Katherine can finish her legs off better when closing her feet and when doing a Latin dance she should express it differently from her ballroom dances. Everything is always “pretty.” I sometimes want to see the differences — sultry, hot, rough, sweet, bitchy, sensitive. She can show more variety. I like what Carrie Ann said, although I would have liked to see a bit more ‘In your face’. A little over-scored. Three “9′s,” in my opinion, but since Maria got such high scores two “10s” are deserved in comparison.

Donald Driver and Peta Murgatroyd’s Foxtrot. Is Donald really a football player? He’s not a dancer? Donald totally impressed me again tonight with his dance. It had great Foxtrot content. He had a great frame and let’s not even get started on Donald’s charisma. It was strong when it needed to be and soft when the time was right. Awesome job, especially knowing he’s not a performer, dancer, singer, actor at all — and yet he does it all with ease. And another great costume! I totally agree with Bruno. That was cute, Len! I agree with Len that Donald can do more. Get your freestyle music! Well deserved scores. If they would have given one “10,” I would have agreed.

ET interviewed the couples on their dances. Gladys is happy. Roshon is a little down (can’t say as I blame him!). Melissa wasn’t happy with her and Maks’ package. Lots more below. It’s so good to see Steve Jones of the X Factor again.

Lastly, Tristan has a great new blog up at Entertainment Weekly explaining he and Gladys’ dances. Here is a little excerpt. See if you don’t agree with some of the things he said too about the judges?

On the “My Girl” rumba: We were hoping for a faster dance but the rumba’s what we got. We got a great song, and we got to dance to the Temptations. I was annoyed by some of the comments the judges made. They put me in a fierce bad mood afterwards. What Bruno said about wanting a more steamy dance — I thought that was stupid. It wasn’t about being steamy and hot, and no one wants to see me steamy with Gladys.

I don’t think it was appropriate. They said, well maybe you’re not the best dancer, and things needed to be more steamy. Being steamy doesn’t make anyone a better dance either, does it? That’s just a gimmick. I think a lot of it is about performance. That’s what really annoyed me. It was a tribute to Motown and that’s what we did. So the way we took the rumba was that the passionate side and the love that you’re supposed to portray in rumba, that was directed towards Motown. It should have been marked on the dance and not marked on flamboyance.

Chelsie and Roshon were underscored immensely for what they’d done. I thought they were great, know what I mean? There just needs to be consistency somewhere and there definitely needs to be a bit of common sense in places as well. So as much as people are saying about Len, he’s this and he’s that — he knew that the appropriateness of what should have happened tonight, and Bruno and Carrie Ann should have known that as well.

On that purple suit: The funny thing was, I wanted to try to put Gladys in as many colors as possible, and she really liked purple. The Temps wore purple all the time. So that’s how I stole that costume. If you put in “The Temptations My Girl” it goes to the song on YouTube [embedded below] — you can see even from the movie that they have purple suits. The whole look itself was, again, part of the tribute. My look was David Ruffin’s, the lead singer on this song. That was the look that he had, they were his glasses and stuff.

Ok, that is all for now. Here’s to tonight’s results. I’m curious to see if two of the contestants will be eliminated? I hope not. Also, stay tuned to Heidi’s Numbers post coming up a little later with her predictions which are always fascinating and entertaining as well!! ;)

I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.

PureDWTS14 Week 6 Media After The Dance, Some Dances For Classical Week Revealed

Let’s get right to the On The Red Carpet interviews with George Pennacchio and see how the couples felt about their dances and the night. Let’s also see if George finds out anything about next week’s dances as well….

First up, Chelsie and Roshon! George tells them they has his favorite dance last night. They said no matter what, they had a good time. Roshon said he tried to do the best he could. For Classical Week, Chelsie wants to clean it up and really get Roshon moving if they make it. Roshon wants to keep it mixed up and entertaining.

Derek and Maria talk of how the Marathon dance messed up their scores. Maria took full responsibility. These two have the Paso Doble if they make it to Classical Week. They gave them a song for next week, but Derek said it’s “so not right” and wants another. For right now, he just wants to concentrate on the “Dance Duel” for tonight if they have to do it. He wants to be sure they are loaded and have the bullets ready to go.

Gladys is so pleased with last night. She had the best time and she felt like they had a great dance. She doesn’t care about numbers. It’s not what is the most important thing. They are looking forward to the Dance Duel if they have to do it. They opened the show last night and they will close it tonight if they have to. If they make it for Classical week, they will do something “classic” and show another side.

Melissa “really enjoyed” herself last night and feels inspired to keep going. Maks would like to dance to 90′s R & B if he could choose a theme, but, he loved Motown Week. They talk of how the show is determined to make him the bad guy. Maks won’t reveal anything for classical week if they make it.

Read more..

I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.

DWTS 14 Week 6 Power Rankings

Tonight is one of those nights where it physically HURTS to rank. Literally, I’ve got a headache, I’m tired, kinda cranky, and overall? Kinda sad…I may have ranted and raved on Twitter, but when it comes down to it, I care about this show, and to see it become such a 3-ring circus of blatant favoritism, calculated scoring, and machinations by the judges and folks in charge? I’m just really disappointed.

And unfortunately, I think the judges may have all but sealed the fate of at least one of the couples – and if there’s a double elimination like we’ve been hearing (and I’m pretty sure there will be – they’ve gotta whittle down to an even number of couples for the team dances next week), I’m fairly certain that we’re going to lose at least one really talented couple that doesn’t deserve to get sent home yet. And if by some miracle I’m wrong – then we’re probably still going to lose two big fan favorites. It sucks whatever way you cut it, I’m afraid. :-(

ETA: Yes, I know now that I added wrong, and Maria & Derek are tied with 30 points. Doesn’t change my rankings, but I acknowledge the error…too bad I’m too tired & the site is being too moody for me to fix it :-)

1.) Katherine & Mark – Let me start off by saying this: I don’t think Katherine’s a bad dancer. Technically, she’s quite good…lacks a bit in showmanship sometimes, I’m afraid, but she’s a good dancer and I do think she deserves to stick around. But WHY oh WHYYYYY did they insist on overscoring her so blatantly??? Her samba was cute and fun, and she never got off time or misstepped…but I also never really got the impression that she was 100% in the dance, and for the first time since week 1, I actually saw the “deer in the head lights” look in her eyes again, like she was constantly teetering on the brink of messing up. It actually reminded me a lot of Chelsea’s quickstep at this time last year – technically sound, and probably 70% there in terms of showmanship, but somehow a bit…cautious. Apprehensive. Safe. Mundane. Vanilla. Take your pick…all were terms I saw being tossed around on Twitter in reference to her samba, and I have to agree. I think our reader Will actually best summed it up: “It sorta made me think of a lovely, middle class, white couple trying to ‘get down & funky’.” It wasn’t bad, and it was a valiant effort – but it was a tad awkward. I would have thought more along the lines of a 26, definitely not a 29. As for the dance marathon – sorry, but I have to call complete bull on this one. I have nothing against Katherine, but the girl was barely moving out there – every time the camera panned to her, she seemed to stuttering a bit, and looking to Mark to tell her what exactly to do. IMO, the person that wins the marathon should be someone that is constantly dancing full-throttle, giving it 100%, and always moving…like Roshon. Not someone who can only eek out chunks and spurts of good dancing. My only theory for her almost-perfect score tonight? She’s just not getting the votes…and some of you can pooh-pooh me and call me a conspiracy theorist all you want, but I cannot in good conscience say that she cumulatively danced better than everyone else tonight, and deserved the scores she got. I think both of her other 29-scoring performances (her waltz and Argentine tango), were far superior to this samba. But apparently she needed shielding from the bottom two, and based on the spread I’m seeing, I think the judges succeeded in doing just that.

2.) Jaleel & Kym – Ok, I’ve gotta hand it to Jaleel – after a few kinda “off” weeks, I think he really redeemed himself this week – that cha-cha was high-energy, on-point, and entertaining. But 29-worthy??? Ai ai ai…these judges were trying to give me a coronary, I swear. It was the strongest performance of the night for me, but I don’t think I would have given it more than a 28, tops – still a little bit of wobbling & “happy feet” going on here and there, and I feel like he still kinda looks to Kym to give him a visual cue of what to do from time to time. As for the dance marathon – he & Kym seemed to be doing the same lift every time the camera panned to them, so based on that, I guess they did pretty good…but see, that’s the thing about the marathon that I absolutely HATE: the production staff is controlling what we get to see, so for all we know, Jaleel may have been killing it out there, while Katherine was just kicking it in the proverbial shins…but because the camera footage we saw was so limited, TPTB can claim plausible deniability, and say that Katherine was really the better dancer based on the entirety of her performance in the marathon. But of course, it’s an entirety we’ll never see, and we just have to trust that the judges made the right decision. Well I, for one, do not trust the judges :-) But alas, I can’t really say for sure whether or not Jaleel did fantastic in the marathon – but he did look like he was having a good time, and I thought what he & Kym were doing was at least more inspired than what Willy Boy & Cheryl were doing. So where does that leave Jaleel this week? Likely far from the bottom 2 or 3, given the spread, and the likely boost in votes he’ll get from being in the bottom 2 last week.

3.) William & Cheryl – I’ve gotten to the point with these two where I don’t even want to say anything about them anymore, because I feel like I’m just repeating the same stuff over and over again, and there are still some Kool-Aid drinking wackos that refuse to believe any of it…but I do think I saw a glimmer of hope this week, because at least 2 of the judges seemed to be a bit more critical of these two this week. Yes, I will say that William had some pretty good hip action in his rumba – but once again, he barely moved out of place, and once again, Cheryl danced around him. Let me be clear: a dance where the man barely moves out of a 2-foot radius for the bulk of the dance is not something I can truly label as “good”. Yes, he was “there” for her, but beyond that, I don’t feel like he really did much. And I agree with Len – it got a little too raunchy. Hell, it’s been too raunchy for awhile now – I’m tired of the flash and trash and I want to see William truly DANCE. Want me to believe that he’s a legitmately good dancer who deserves such ridiculously high scores week after week? Then challenge Cheryl to not get all breathy in William’s face or rub herself all over him like a cat on a scratching post, and make her really TEACH him. As for the marathon? Pffft. Since when is sliding around on the floor with your shirt open “Motown”? Or even particularly creative? Once again…flash & trash. But he’s sufficiently shielded from the bottom 2 once again, so he lives to dance another week. But I daresay it won’t be a cakewalk to the finale for him…more on that later this week ;-)

4.) Donald & Peta – I doubt these two are in any big danger of going home this week (Donald’s just too damn lovable, and a good dancer!), but amidst all the “ado” surrounding Katherine, William, & Jaleel, I feel like Donald actually got a bit lost in the shuffle. His foxtrot was fun, clean, and entertaining, but maybe lacked a bit of the panache that made Katherine & Jaleel such standouts (and the fakey-fake hype that keeps William in the forefront). As for the marathon, I kinda had the same problem with Donald that I did with Jaleel – I just didn’t see much of him to judge on, and the parts I did see looked like the same sequence of steps repeated from his cha-cha. And I can’t really blame any of the pros for recycling choreo from their stars’ previous cha-chas…there was just too much going on this week, and there shouldn’t have been a marathon dance to begin with. So consequently, I think I was left just kinda content with Donald this week, rather than blown out of the water. Hope he gets a good dance next week, so he can slide back into the top spot…

5.) Melissa & Maks – I gotta say – Melissa actually really impressed me this week. This was the most relaxed I’ve ever seen her out on the floor, and as a result, I think her performance value & technique really improved. Very pretty, pleasant Viennese waltz. Did it blow me away? No, but I enjoyed it nonetheless. In the marathon? Once again, I’m limited by what they decided to show us, and while Melissa looked like she was having a lot of fun and really trying, I did catch a few moments where she & Maks looked like they were stalling for a second before busting their next move. As I said before, I like marathon dancers who are constantly moving, so based on that, I think these two should have gone out at least before Roshon, who I never saw stop moving. So where does that leave Melissa for tomorrow? Well she has yet to be in the bottom 2, while there are folks left who have been there before; and this week, she has a bit more of a points cushion than she’s had in previous weeks. While I do think she’ll be in the bottom 2 sooner rather than later (unless she suddenly starts getting 10′s), I think she’s safe this week, based on those below her.

6.) Maria & Derek – Like Donald & Peta, I think these two may have gotten a little lost in the shuffle this week, too, but unlike Donald & Peta, I’m a little nervous for these two. First off, I have to say – I think they got dealt a bit of a crap hand when they were the only couple that got Martha as their music. Now while I love Martha, I can’t lie – it was downright PAINFUL listening to her sing this week. Her voice is just not what it used to be, and she seemed to be really struggling tonight. Consequently, I actually think Maria & Derek could have been legitimately distracted when trying to dance to “Jimmy Mack” – hell, I know I was! At one point, when they were doing their choreography on the stairs and got a bit out of synch, it actually looked like Martha caught them off-guard…like they weren’t planning on her being that close, and consequently had to adjust their spacing to accomodate it. Aside from the minor synchronization snafu and just the overall poor quality of their music, I actually really liked their foxtrot – just a fun, pleasant walk in the park :-) Now as for the marathon…hmmmm. I actually have to agree with them being tapped out 2nd – Maria looked like she was dancing pretty cautiously, and they seemed to be doing the same sequence of cha-cha steps in hold over and over again. I haven’t done a very good job of keeping up with Twitter or any of the interviews Vogue has posted in the past few days (*guilty face*) due to my ongoing internet issues, but I guess Maria is still injured/sick? Which I guess could explain why she was so tentative in the marathon dance. Can’t say I blame her, if that was the case. But here’s the pickle they’re in: they’re currently wedged between the lowest scorer (Gladys) and the only previous appearance in the bottom 2 that is likely to show up there again this week (Roshon), and there’s a possible double elim this week – so if they eliminate the lowest combined scorer and make the next two couples duel, I think there’s a decent chance they could end up in the duel…unless they manage to overtake Melissa & Maks, the next couple up from Roshon. And I think it’s possible they could overtake Melissa & Maks…but it will depend on whose fanbase is more passionate. Both Derek & Maks have power voters, and as a tv host, Maria might appeal to the same demographic as Melissa – it could be a pretty even match. But my gut tells me that Melissa is likely gonna edge Maria out this week, and Maria will (dramatically, of course!) fall into the duel…after one kinda off-week. But I think she’ll ultimately be safe…

7.) Roshon & Chelsie – Ok, I give up: what exactly do the judges have against Roshon??? This poor kid got raked across the coals tonight for a rumba that I didn’t think was all that bad – on the contrary, I actually was really impressed with both his hip action and the gorgeous way he extended his arms. By far the strongest rumba of the night, even if there were “too many syncopations” (sorry, but I can’t blame Chelsie for throwing a lot of them in – that song was sooooo slow and boring). Underscored by at least 2 points, IMO…he should have gotten an 8 from Carrie Ann and a 9 from Bruno, based on their comments. Now the marathon – ugh. This guy was movin’ & shakin’ and busting all sorts of Motown moves while other couples seemed to just kinda muddle through – yet he still is the 3rd person tapped out. What gives??? Were they docking him because they weren’t doing lifts? Psssh…the fact that the got tapped out so quickly just further illustrates for me that the judges want him gone. And lord knows why, because I do think this kid can legitimately dance. But alas, I think the scoring probably did Team Rochee in this week – while he did manage to get a greater margin of votes last week to stay out of the bottom 2, I think he was bolstered by his appearance in the bottom 2 in the previous week (and Jaleel’s missteps the previous few weeks…), and likely won’t have that same boost this week to keep him safe. However, he’s still got an okayish margin over Gladys, but I think she’s got a decent amount of voters behind her, so I can’t really state with confidence which one will go straight home and which will end up in the duel – and once again, that is only if there is a double elim tomorrow night, and it plays out similarly to the double elim in season 9. I’ve waffled back & forth since the show ended about 2 hours ago, but I ultimately think Roshon will end up in the duel – and if it’s against Maria, it could be pretty close on who gets saved…as in 2 judges for one couple and one dissenting judge. But I just get the feeling that the judges are kinda done with Roshon, so it will ultimately be the other couple (probably Maria) that gets the stay of execution while Roshon is sent packing. Sad face :-(

8.) Gladys & Tristan – Gladys was just so stinkin’ cute tonight :-) She may not have had the strongest dance, and she may have forgotten a good chunk of her choreography…but she just looked like she was having so much fun, and was giving it an honest try. It was a very cute, very “Motown-appropriate” rumba – loved the little nods and “Pip skills” Tristan threw in. Marathon? Meh…I guess I can’t say I was too surprised she got tapped out first, as I think she’s the weakest dancer left in terms of physical limitations. Poor Gladys just can’t move at 67 the same way most of the other contestants move in their 20′s, 30′s, & 40′s – but man, she’s impressed the hell out of me, the way she’s come out every week and given each dancer her all, and done it with a smile. I think she’ll definitely be leaving on a high note, and will be a contestant I won’t soon forget :-)

*sigh* So waffling back & forth and some internet issues nothwithstanding, I think I’m going to lock my predicitions in as Gladys going straight home, and Roshon getting beat by Maria in the dance duel. But if it happens to be Melissa in the duel with Roshon? He may get a stay of execution. And if Roshon (and/or Gladys) manages to avoid the bottom 2 altogether? All bets are off :-P So what do you guys think?

April 23, 2012 I Written By

Ultrasound sales specialist by day, semi-knowledgeable DWTS fan by night...with a smattering of hair & makeup enthusiast, occasional model, and crazy cat lady peppered in to make things REALLY interesting ;-) I might pee my pants in happiness if Donnie Wahlberg ever does DWTS - or if they ever use "Sunglasses at Night" as a paso doble. Check out some of my other work at pureamericasgottalent.com!

DWTS Season 14 Stats Class – Week 6 (Motown Week)

Motown Week? How much you wanna bet that this is honor of Gladys Knight being part of the cast? Just throwing it out there. =) In any case… ONWARDS!

As a REMINDER we are in Week 5, which means that the data that the following predicted scores are based off of, are from the middle third of the previous seasons. If you’re wondering what this means see the following breakdown:
- First “Third”: Weeks 1 through 4
- Middle “Third”: Weeks 4 through 7
- Last “Third”: Weeks 7 through 10

This is to keep the progression as accurate as possible. So if there is a dance that happened in a previous season but in a later week (like Week 9), it wouldn’t make sense to consider it in the predicted scores because the skill level is different between Week 5 and Week 9.

I’m gunning for accuracy here people… well as accurate as subjectivity can be.

GLADYS KNIGHT
Dance: Jive
Average Scores:
- Age: 21.000
- Occupation: 23.000
- Professional Partner: 21.000
Predicted Score / Rank: 22 / 8th
Comments: We don’t know for sure that Gladys has the Jive, but I do find it odd that she is given the Jive and the Dance Duel is also the Jive. Is this in anticipation that she’d be in the “bottom two” and as thus to help her pass the Dance Duel TPTB’s gave her the same dance? We’ll never know for sure until the show, so enough speculation for now. Since the numbers do indicate her to be at the bottom of the pack… this is just re-enforcing what could be true. Without any data of previous celebrities in a similar situation, we can only speculate, but personally I think the score is fairly spot on.

DONALD DRIVER
Dance: Foxtrot
Average Scores:
- Age: 25.077
- Occupation: 22.667
- Professional Partner: N/A
Predicted Score / Rank: 24 / 7th
Comments: Donald is dealt the Foxtrot, and gets to prove that he can be a debonair gentleman… ooo la la! Season 3′s Warren Sapp is the only other NFLer that has done the Foxtrot midway through the season and he got a 21, the difference between Warren and Donald though (in my opinion) is that Warren was more of an “everyman” dancer, while Donald’s got some game as well as that winning personality. So having a higher score than Warren makes sense to me, but I’m hoping for higher.

Read more..

I Written By

My life can be summed up in the following two quotes: 1) "I am married to engineering and am its faithful wife by day, but at night my wanderlust takes hold and the arts becomes my jealous paramour." and... 2) "Engineering is my safety net. Writing is my passion. Acting is my escape when the other two become too much." So where does dancing fit in? Pretty much anywhere at this point... =)

Dance Junkies TV DWTS Pre-Party With Stuart Brazell, Rib Hills, And Val Chmerkovskiy

The lovely Stuart Brazell of Dance Junkies TV breaks down Latin Week on Dancing With The Stars with Rib Hills and Val Chmerkovskiy. The bits on Maks and Derek are especially interesting and a hoot!! Val is a charmer as always!

UPDATE: And here is Part 2 with Val, Rib, and Stuart breaking down Latin night last week….

Stay tuned! They loved all of the questions we submitted for Val. There is a more personal interview coming at the end of the week!

I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.

DWTS Season 14, Week 6 – Who’s Dancing What…and when?

Another crazy mix of dances this week, all done to the Motown theme. I’m very curious to see how they pull this off.  Some or all of the couples will be dancing to the actual Motown legend who sang their song originally – Derek mentioned that they were dancing to the original artist, and Maks and Melissa did as well.  Below is my guess on the dance order…I’ll rearrange as we get more info.

ETA: Katherine’s dance order per a Katherine fan twitter account that apparently  has a good track record (per sheery in the comments). They sure like to stick her right in the middle of the show don’t they? Isn’t that like every week now?? I find this to be rather strange, actually. If she was a big draw they would have her in the pimp spot at least ONCE.  

ETA 2: Gee, I’m so shocked that Willy is dancing last before the marathon. Um, NOT. Well, on the bright side, he’ll have no rest time. How much you wanna bet he wins the marathon anyway?

ETA 3: Maria and Derek dancing first out of the gate. Which means she should be well rested by the time the marathon comes around.  Provided she’s not still sick.

ETA 4: Finally they give Melissa a slot in the second hour…unfortunately, it’s awfully close to the marathon.  I called Roshon, miracle of miracles. :-)

ETA 5: Perhaps Conrad has been reading our site again, because they’ve moved Gladys to position number ONE since it’s Motown night. :-)  Derek and Maria move to number two. And Derek reveals Gladys dance for her – according to him it’s rumba.

Gladys and Tristan – Rumba; Dancing 1st
Voting # 1-800-868-3411

Maria and Derek – Foxtrot; Dancing 2nd (Song: Jimmy Mack by Martha Reeves)
Voting # 1-800-868-3401

Roshon and Chelsie – Rumba; Dancing 3rd
Voting # 1-800-868-3405

Katherine and Mark – Samba; Dancing 4th
Voting # 1-800-868-3410

Donald and Peta – Foxtrot; Dancing 5th
Voting # 1-800-868-3403

Melissa and Maks – V. Waltz; Dancing 6th (Song: Ooh Baby Baby by Smokey Robinson and the Miracles)
Voting # 1-800-868-3407

Jaleel and Kym – Cha Cha Cha; Dancing 7th
Voting # 1-800-868-3412

William and Cheryl – Rumba; Dancing 8th
Voting # 1-800-868-3408

MOTOWN MARATHON - We haven’t heard too much about this one, but I have to assume that it will function the same way that marathons have worked in the past – that is, each couple dances in their own spot until four couples are left, then they have free rein of the floor.  You get tapped on the shoulder  to be eliminated from the dance.  The couple left dancing at the end gets 10 points added to their score, second place nine points and so on down the line.  This is the way the previous three marathons have worked – Derek has won twice, Maks has won once…somehow I don’t think either Derek or Maks is going to win this one.  :-)  According to the ABC press release, this dance will end the performance show, just like it has in the past.  But what, exactly, are “classic moves” from the Motown Era, though??

Dance Duel – this week the dance duel is the Jive….which I personally believe is cruel and unusual punishment on top of the cruel and unusual punishment that is the dance duel itself.

The press release makes no mention of a double elimination, but the Vegas Deluxe article did claim it was a “surprise” – so don’t be surprised if Tom drops that little bomb at the beginning of the show.  :-)

April 22, 2012 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

DWTS Make-Up Team Releases More Behind The Scenes Photos From Week 5

Yesterday, the Make-up team for Dancing With The Stars released some more “behind the scenes” photos from Week 5. If only we could be a fly on a wall as they go through the process of getting ready for the show, hmm? Below are just a few of the new pictures. You can view all 109 pics from this fun album here. I just wish they had some pictures of Derek, Maria, Tristan, Mark, William, and more of the troupe members? Maybe next time?

I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.

DWTS Season 14, Week 5 – How Did We Get THAT Bottom Two??

Back by a little demand, I’ve written a little retrospective on how Jaleel and Gavin ended up in the bottom two…or more accurately, how Gladys and Melissa *didn’t* end up in the duel.  Again, I tend to believe that it’s not that Melissa and Gladys are getting a ton of votes, but they are getting a good number of votes and Jaleel was getting very little votes. In other words, a combination of factors. Gavin is pretty obvious, I think. His score was low enough that he just couldn’t beat the margin. Of course, it’s possible he beat Jaleel…but we’ll never know for sure.

Anyway, Melissa needed roughly 13,400 more votes per million votes cast to beat the margin between her and Jaleel and clearly, she got it.  This I would expect, since Jaleel doesn’t seem to be coming across well to ANYONE, not to mention that she, like others before her, is a TV icon.  I doubt very much she has the fanbase of Kirstie Alley or Jennifer Grey, but she still does have one. She’s also pretty personable and she’s bringing out a good side of Maks.  I didn’t find this surprising in the least.

Gladys?? The woman was third from the bottom – there was no way that Gavin was catching her.  He had a 19 and she had a 22. Here’s what happened for Gladys to be safe; BOTH of the following:

-          Gavin didn’t get 13,400 more votes per million votes cast than Her, AND;

-          Gladys got roughly 8,950 more votes per million votes cast than Jaleel.

Really, it’s that simple. Note that this says nothing about how Melissa is doing against Gladys, because we don’t actually know.   For Jaleel to end up in the bottom two with Gavin, BOTH of the following happened:

-          Melissa got 13,400 more votes per million votes cast than Jaleel did, AND;

-          Gladys got 8,950 more votes per million votes cast than Jaleel did, AND;

Again, this is not terribly surprising to me. We still have no clue about how Gladys and Melissa are doing compared to each other, OR compared to the rest of the celebs, with the possible exception of Roshon.

What about Roshon? How did he escape the bottom two this time after being in the bottom two the week before??  Well, this is where it gets interesting.  At least to me. When Roshon was in the bottom two with Sherri it meant that all of the following happened:

-              Gladys got at least 25,752 more votes per million votes cast than Roshon, AND;

-              William, Jaleel and Melissa ALL got at least 17,167 more votes per million votes than Roshon, AND;

-              Gavin got at least 12,875 more votes per  million votes cast than Roshon, AND;

-              Katherine got at least 8,583 more votes per million votes cast than Roshon, AND;

-              Maria got at least ONE more vote per million votes cast than Roshon.

This past week, Jaleel clearly didn’t cover the spread between him and Roshon, and the spread this past week was 8,930 more votes per million votes cast.  So the spread between them was cut in half and Jaleel is no longer beating Roshon.  So the question is, is Roshon’s stock rising or is Jaleel’s falling. Or is it both? I think that Roshon got a bump from being in the bottom two with Sherri…but I also think that Jaleel is wearing out his welcome.  Jaleel also got a whole bunch of media love this week, from GMA to Wendy Williams to The View. Will it work?? Beats me.

Also keep in mind that this week Gavin needed 31,500 more votes per million votes cast to stay over Roshon. You’ll note, above, when Roshon was in the bottom two the spread between him and Gavin was only 12,875 votes per million votes cast, which Gavin beat to put Roshon in the bottom 2.  So, while the tendency some would have would be to say, “Wow, we did it!! We voted enough to save Roshon,” I would respond and say…not necessarily.  Gavin could have still been getting more votes than Roshon, just not enough more.  He couldn’t beat the spread.

Look at it this way – Roshon gets 40,000 votes, Gavin gets 53,000 votes and Jaleel gets 48,000 votes.  Gladys gets 57,000 votes and Melissa gets 61,000 votes.  Who goes home??  Roshon is the low vote getter, right? But he’s not even in the bottom two in this group.  In this scenario, Gavin and Jaleel are the bottom two (with Gavin going home sans dance duel) – and Gladys and Melissa’s vote totals aren’t that much better, but they are beating the spread needed to beat Jaleel, and Jaleel wasn’t getting the votes to beat Roshon. This is why the bottom two is so misleading. You can easily be the low vote getter and still be safe – it depends on the judges score.

If that sort of scenario continues to play out, and Roshon keeps getting higher scores than Melissa and Gladys, but is lower in voting…he can force Gladys and Melissa into the bottom two by virtue of them not being able to cover the spread.  Roshon’s 40k votes versus Gladys 57k and Melissa’s 61k with similar scores?? Means that one of them is in the bottom two with Jaleel next week.  But ONLY if the votes are similar in scale to what I’ve written above. We don’t know that’s the case – both Gladys and Melissa could be getting more votes than the top four dancers. We’ll find out this week, I imagine.  If there is a double elimination, a real bottom THREE will have to be revealed…so it won’t just be Jaleel and Roshon.  Who will the third person be??

Clear as mud??  :-)

April 21, 2012 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

ABC Releases DWTS Press Release For Next Week’s Entertainment, Dances, and More!

ABC MediaNet has released an official press statement for the entertainment for next week’s Dancing With The Stars. “Motown Legends” Smokey Robinson, The Temptations, and Martha Reeves will all be performing Monday night as well as Australia’s hot pop group, “Human Nature”. Heads up “Boyz II Men” fans! They will be performing on the Results show Tuesday Night. Below are more details including info on the couples dances and the following week’s “Classical” theme. Note how Dancing With The Stars pros Dmitry, Val, Louis, and Anna will all be returning to dance again. It’s going to be a fun week! Lots on tap! ADDING Important Note: Also (as @ElmariL was just reminding me at twitter), don’t forget and be forewarned there is a possible “Surprise” Double Elimination as our Miss Heidi reported in a previous post.

“Episode 1406 & 1406A” – This week’s episode of “Dancing with the Stars” presents a Motown special with live performances from Motown legends Smokey Robinson, The Temptations and Martha Reeves throughout the evening. The legends kick off the show, performing an unforgettable live Motown medley accompanied by the Troupe. For the first time ever, each artist will perform with the talented “DWTS” band and musical director Harold Wheeler before each of the remaining eight couples begin their competitive dance. During a special performance with dancers Anna Trebunskaya and Val Chmerkovskiy, Smokey Robinson will perform his No.1 hit song, “Tears of a Clown.” Also joining in on the excitement is vocal group Human Nature, performing some of Motown’s most popular hits throughout the evening. And to finish the show we will feature a special Motown Dance Marathon, where the couples will be showing off their classic dance moves from the Motown era, MONDAY, APRIL 23 (8:00-10:01 p.m., ET) on ABC.

During Tuesday’s show, Best-selling R&B group of all-time Boyz II Men returns to the ballroom with an incredible performance of their latest single, “One More Dance,” off their landmark 20th anniversary album,” Twenty.” Their performance will be accompanied by Dmitry Chaplin and Anna Trebunskaya. The show will open with an amazing number from the Troupe, Val Chmerkovskiy, Peta Murgatroyd, Louis Van Amstel and Snejana Petrova, featuring a medley of Motown hit songs. This week’s “AT&T’s Spotlight Performance” spotlights the beautiful story of Michaela DePrince. And this week’s “Macy’s Stars of Dance” performance is the long awaited television debut of the hottest new contemporary dance company in America, Shaping Sound. The dance performance is choreographed by and features Travis Wall, Nick Lazzarini and Teddy Forance. The performance is a special preview of the following week’s Classical theme with an arrangement recorded by Aston, a classical group from Sydney, Australia, that create symphonic masterpieces out of pop music. The Dance Duel continues, and this week the bottom two couples will dance the Jive to the same song at the same time as the judges decide who the next eliminated couple will be, TUESDAY, APRIL 24 (9:00-10:01 p.m., ET) on ABC.

You can read the full press release at ABC MediaNet.

April 20, 2012 I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.