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DWTS Season 19, Week 10: Dancing by the Numbers!

Wow. The last week. The second to last numbers post until March. Yay!! I will hopefully be able to whip up a numbers post on Monday night after those scores have come in and will take into account whichever screwy way they decide to count the votes.

Anyway, their convenient ranking of the contestants the other night makes it harder to call than you might think. I’ve been of the opinion for quite some time that Janel is the low vote getter of the people left standing (hell, maybe she got less votes than Tommy, but who knows). But the scores are equally important and the question is: is she getting enough votes to prevent Sadie, Bethany and Alfonso covering the spread? That’s the big question.

Between the very young fanbase of Bethany (less likely to vote) and the broad appeal of Sadie and Alfonso, is Janel’s score enough?? Well, it will be an interesting Monday night. Maybe. What I mean by that is – when will they eliminate the fourth place person, Monday night or Tuesday? Last season, according to Wiki, they eliminated James on Monday night after all the dances. Bill Engvall was eliminated on Monday night. Aly was eliminated on TUESDAY. However, Aly’s season was the last one where there was a regular Tuesday night show.  So, it should be Monday night – but the producers of this show have a tendency to change things around to suit their purposes.

But for right now, we’re going on the assumption of a Monday night elimination, which makes these scores pretty important.

S19 Wk10 Table 1

Well, as you can see the percentages are pretty close together, which means not a lot of votes will be needed for someone to get beat.

See, this is why it’s tough. There hasn’t been a real bottom two all season. Janel and Sadie have been the last woman standing on a couple of occasions –sometimes that means something and sometimes it doesn’t.  It never means anything during the semi-final and finals nights, so that leaves Sadie and Janel each with one instance of being the last person called safe.  Betsey was in the bottom two and was eliminated two weeks later. Jonathan was last to be called safe and was eliminated two weeks later. Michael was last to be called safe and was eliminated four weeks later (thanks to goofy eliminations). Tommy was last to be called safe and was eliminated two weeks later.  Janel was last to be called safe four weeks ago and was handed bogus immunity two weeks later, and was wildly overscored the two weeks after that. Interesting.  Sadie was last to be called safe the last two weeks, but as I said, it doesn’t usually mean anything in the semi-final. That may be true for the quarter final as well, but I can’t remember and I’m too lazy to go look it up.

So, does this mean that either Sadie or Janel are going to be eliminated Monday night? Well, no, not really. We don’t really know if jeopardy means anything in a given season until that season is completely done. But, we’re pretty close right now.  Based on this knowledge, and the fact that he’s awesome, I’m going to bet that Alfonso is safe on Monday night.

That leaves us with the three ladies. Now, I think it’s fairly clear that Bethany has the largest actual following from BEFORE DWTS. And I kind of feel like Sadie’s gotten the lion’s share of the average viewer. Which kinda leaves Janel out in the cold.

Sure, I would like to see Janel eliminated, but that’s just to hack off Val. Really, if you’ve made it to the finale, there’s winning and losing. Unless you’re holding the trophy at the end, you lost – does it matter what place you got? Not really. All that just to say that I don’t really care if Janel gets fourth or third. And to also say that if Bethany isn’t holding the MBT at the end (and she won’t be), who cares ifshe gets fourth or third or second??

All that to also say that I’m not really sure who it’s going to be on Monday night. My instinct is that Alfonso and Sadie will be the last two standing. Let’s look at the voting requirements:

S19 Wk10 Table 2

Now, it could come down to Sadie and Janel or Bethany and Janel. But look at those vote requirements. I think that Sadie beats all three of them with the possible exception of Alfonso. Then Alfonso beats both Bethany and Janel. Then Bethany beats Janel. Now, that’s the very short version, but if you followed it, that means Janel is eliminated.

BUT, it’s entirely possible that Sadie only beats Janel in with the above scores. Doesn’t matter, right, because it’s likely that Alfonso beats Bethany and Janel and Bethany beats Janel, which means Janel goes home. But what if Sadie isn’t beating Janel, since that more than 10k could be a stretch??

I’m confusing myself now. Simpler version – how is Janel eliminated. If ALL of the following happen:

  • Sadie gets 11k more votes per million votes cast than Janel, AND;
  • Alfonso gets 8,300 more votes per million votes cast than Janel, AND;
  • Bethany gets 5,500 more votes per million votes cast than Janel.

See, those are not huge numbers, but the number between Sadie and Janel does worry me a tiny bit. How is Sadie eliminated?? If ALL of the following happen:

  • Sadie fails to get the 11k more votes per million votes cast than Janel, AND;
  • Sadie fails to get 5,500 more votes per million votes cast than Bethany, AND;
  • Sadie fails to get 2,800 more votes per million votes cast than Alfonso.

Finally, how is Bethany eliminated?? If ALL of the following happen:

  • Sadie gets 5,500 more votes per million votes cast than Bethany, AND;
  • Alfonso gets 2,800 more votes per million votes cast than Bethany, AND;
  • Bethany fails to get 5,500 more votes per million votes cast than Janel.

Now do you see why it’s so hard? None of those numbers are huge. In looking at all three combinations, it strikes me that, initially, it looks like eliminating Janel is the hardest thing to do. But then look at Beth and Sadie – it seems like Janel has an easier road, but when you look at Sadie’s set, it seems to me that she could beat Alfonso and Bethany with those numbers, but it’s also a bit hard. Then you look at Bethany and it doesn’t seem like it would be hard for her to beat Janel even if Sadie and Alfonso are beating her.

That is why I keep coming back to Janel. Sadie might not beat Janel, but she beats Bethany (theoretically) so she’s safe. Sadie might beat Bethany, but I think Bethany beats Janel so SHE’S safe. And that leaves Janel out in the cold.

But remember, I only have to be wrong by a TINY bit for someone else (either Bethany or Sadie) to go home.

At the end of the night, I think Janel will be eliminated. If not Janel ,then Bethany. Third choice is Sadie.

ETA: In re-reading what I wrote last night when I was exhausted from traveling, I felt I needed to make a couple things clear and add a note. First – while I think it will come down to Janel and one of the other girls, they may not SHOW that. IF Janel is safe on Monday night, expect to see her called safe first and see Bethany and Sadie standing next to each other under the red light of doom. Either Bethany or Sadie COULD be ahead of Janel in the finish, but if they are really interested in pimping Janel to the trophy, they will call her safe first. It’s a subtle form of manipulation.

As for the note? Well, I wasn’t really clear in the point that while I think Bethany had the largest fanbase coming into the show, that fanbase is typically one that is less inclined to vote and could easily be offset by the general public,  who I think are voting for Alfonso and Sadie. That is why I think that Bethany won’t do better than 3rd place. I’d be happy to be wrong. :-)

November 22, 2014 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

TMZ Reporting Janel Parrish Has Spread Herself Too Thin, Missing DWTS Rehearsals

TMZ is reporting Janel Parrish has been missing rehearsals for Dancing With The Stars this past week and that Val is “freaking out”. Could this ruin her chances at a Mirror ball?

Janel Parrish is pulling double duty on “Pretty Little Liars” AND “Dancing with the Stars” — and TMZ has learned she’s spread herself so thin, she’s alienated castmates on both shows.

DWTS sources tell us … Janel’s pro dance partner, Val Chmerkovskiy is freaking out … because she’s missed two days of critical dance rehearsals due to long days of filming on PLL.

We’re told … Val believes he and Janel have a real shot at winning the trophy — the finals are Monday and Tuesday — but thinks her PLL schedule is sabotaging their chances.

For the full story, see TMZ.

I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.

Dancing with the Stars Season 19, THE FINALE – Who’s Dancing What….and When? (Song Spoilers)

Some crazy stuff going on this week. Janel and Sadie have Samba while Alfonso and Bethany have Jive. They added 30 seconds to EACH of the jives so Beth and Alfonso have to do additional choreo. Sound fair?? HELL no. Supposedly it was because they were so short the first time.

If you scroll to the bottom of the post, you’ll see a photo from someone at rehearsals saying that Alfonso has a slow motion tap sequence. Wonder where he got that idea from. Derek should be flattered with all the borrowing going on. ;-) Also note that Alfonso is the first person to reuse a freestyle song – Katherine first used it in season 14.

A super mario brothers freestyle?? Gotta be Mark and Sadie. :-) That said, we’re not sure if Revolution is Beth’s or Sadie’s song. Only somewhat sure. The whole Super Mario thing has got to be Mark, based on what Derek said.

Alfonso and Witney
Jive (Song: “3-6-9″ by Cupid feat. B.o.B )
Freestyle (Song: “Sing, Sing, Sing (With a Swing)” by Benny Goodman )
Vote: 1-800-868-3401

Janel and  Val
Samba (Song: “La Vida Es Un Carnaval” by Celia Cruz )
Freestyle (Song: “I’m Gonna Be (500 Miles)” by Sleeping At Last )
Vote: 1-800-868-3405

Sadie and Mark
Samba (Song: “Hunter” by Pharrell Williams )
Freestyle (Song: Theme from Super Mario Brothers )
Vote: 1-800-868-3411

Bethany and Derek
Jive (Song: “Shake It Off” by Taylor Swift )
Freestyle (Song: “Revolution” by Diplo )
Vote: 1-800-868-3403

November 21, 2014 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

ABC Releases Dancing With The Stars Season 19 Finale Promo

Dance party time coming soon!

Here are some other extras too from DWTS All Access;

I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.

Dancing With The Stars Season 19 Finale TV Heads Up

Just a few Dancing With The Stars TV Heads Up:

-As we reported to you previously, be sure to watch the American Music Awards on Sunday night. Dancing With The Stars Judge Julianne Hough will be presenting an award. Also “Move Live On Tour”‘s Nika Kljun is dancing….though not sure in what performance(s)?

-Julianne Hough will also be guesting on the Queen Latifah Show on Monday.

-Lastly, Melissa Rycroft is taking viewers inside the final rehearsals for Dancing With The Stars on Monday on Good Morning America. Candace Cameron Bure will weigh in on Monday night’s dances on Tuesday’s show. Then on Wednesday, Good Morning America will hold a party for the final contestants as they have in previous weeks.

ETA: The finalists will also be on The View on Wednesday.

I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.

The Judges Go Inside Rehearsals For The DWTS Season 19 Finale – Videos

So fun! Check these out. Thanks to OK! Magazine. Read more..

I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.

ABC Releases Show Details For Dancing With The Stars Season 19 Two Night Finale

Here ya go. Read carefully. From Broadway World via Abc:

Episode 1911 & 1911A” – After ten weeks of competitive dancing spanning a variety of styles from the Cha Cha to the Quickstep to the Viennese Waltz and more, Alfonso Ribeiro & Witney Carson, Bethany Mota & Derek Hough, Janel Parrish & Valentin Chmerkovskiy and Sadie Robertson & Mark Ballas remain in the competition, but only one couple will be crowned “Dancing with The Stars” Season 19 champion. Will the injured frontrunner Alfonso Ribeiro break the two-and-a-half-year reign of women winning the Mirrorball? Or will Bethany Mota and record five-time winner Derek Hough bring home the trophy? With the four couples all receiving perfect scores from the judges this season, it is anyone’s game. In the two-part finale, all will have one last opportunity to impress the judges and viewers beginning on MONDAY, NOVEMBER 24 (8:00-10:00 p.m., ET) and concluding with the Season Finale, TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 25 (9:00-11:00 p.m., ET) on the ABC Television Network.

On MONDAY, NOVEMBER 24 (8:00-10:00 p.m., ET), the four remaining couples will compete in two exciting rounds of dance. In the first round, each couple will take on the “Judges Pick” and perform a dance they previously performed this season that the judges have selected. In the second round, the couples take on the biggest competitive dance of the season, a Freestyle routine featuring special effects, additional dancers and unexpected surprises. The night continues by celebrating the new, contemporary spin on the classic show “Annie,” coming to movie theaters December 19th. “Annie” stars Oscar®-winner Jamie Foxx, Cameron Diaz, Rose Byrne, and the youngest performer to ever be nominated for a Best Actress Academy Award®, Quvenzhané Wallis, as Annie. Talented young dancers will join Wallis to perform a dance to “It’s The Hard-Knock Life,” choreographed by Mandy Moore. Then, at the end of night, one couple will be eliminated based on the previous weeks’ viewer votes combined with the judges’ scores from the previous Monday night.

The Season Finale on TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 25 kicks off with “Dancing with the Stars: Road to the Finals” (8:00-9:00 p.m., ET). This one-hour special chronicles the journey of the three remaining couples revealing never-before-seen moments, director’s cut-style commentary on their past dances and the judges give their expert opinions on what to expect in the two-hour grand finale. The night continues with the Season Finale on TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 25 (9:00-11:00 p.m., ET). The show is packed with exciting surprises and kicks off with a high-energy all cast performance featuring a reunion of all 13 of this season’s couples, the judges and hosts. Then, as decided on by a Twitter vote, one of the four finalists will perform their Freestyle dance as an encore. Pop superstar MEGHAN TRAINOR will perform a medley of her catchy hit single “All About That Bass” and newest release “Lips Are Moving.” Additionally, viewers will be treated to encore performances by Randy Couture and Karina Smirnoff to “The Way You Look Tonight,” Betsey Johnson and Tony Dovolani to “Material Girl,” Jonathan Bennett and Allison Holker featuring tWitch to “Back In Time,” Antonio Sabato Jr. and Cheryl Burke to “Tonight (I’m Loving You),” Michael Waltrip and Emma Slater to “Born to be Wild,” Lea Thompson and Artem Chigvintsev to “Maneater,” and Tommy Chong and Peta Murgatroyd to “Drop It Like It’s Hot.” Additionally, the finale will feature musical performances by NICK JONAS, singing his hit single “Jealous,” and Grammy®-winning artist JENNIFER HUDSON and GORGON CITY, performing “Go All Night.” Then, with less than 24 hours to prepare, the three remaining couples will Fuse two contrasting dance styles that they’ve performed this season into a new routine they’ll perform for judges’ points. At the end of the night, the public vote from Monday night will be combined with the judges’ scores from both nights to crown the Season 19 Champion.

More at Broadway World via Abc.

November 20, 2014 I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.

Numerology and Astrology Predictions For The Finals Of Dancing With The Stars Season 19

What a labor of love this project has been for both Dona and I for three weeks now. We’ve loved every fascinating minute, but, this season is just so tight. Never before in our time doing these kind of predictions have we been so conflicted for who will win Dancing With The Stars. About the time we would make up our minds, then something would tell us something different. Though give it up for Dona and her Numerology Predictions for Dancing With The Stars Semi-Finals!! Do you remember how she predicted Janel and Val had 26.5 points, Bethany and Derek had 25.5, Alfonso and Witney had 25, Sadie and Mark had 24, and Tommy and Peta had 22? Well, that turned out to be the exact order for their scoring this past Monday night on Dancing With The Stars. Cool, eh?? :D

So, now it’s time for Dona to make her Numerology Predictions for the Finals. Below you will find her new studies. Also included after her studies is my new Astrology findings. That’s not all. We’ve also included a ‘Dancing With The Stars Astrological Mirror ball Scorecard’ and more interesting facts. Buckle up tight and read on. Hope you enjoy…

“Duality City” by donamadrina

Man, oh man! The semi-finals were exciting, weren’t they? And as the numbers showed last week, our beloved Tommy left the competition. Now, however, this competition has become tight, tighter, and tightest. We’ve got some really good dancers left. Honestly, from here on out, folks, it’s anybody’s game! Yes, it is. You will see why below, but with the information presented here, the fans of each remaining couple should feel — hopeful.

Normally, in numerology, when it’s just too close to call, which is called having “too much duality,” you don’t even want to try to predict anything. But, hey, this is the Dancing With the Stars Finale we’re talking about, and we’re all vested in one couple or another, right? So, even though there is quite a bit of duality, and the numbers are not as clear-cut as in prior seasons, let’s take a stab at it, shall we? If you’re willing, we’ll get started. Oh, but wait! If you didn’t get a chance to read last’s week post, you may want to start there, as there is quite a bit of introductory information that I will not be repeating here.

Some of you have said that this numerology is fascinating, but all so confusing. Let me help you. I don’t expect that you are going to internalize all the information presented below in just one reading. Really, I don’t! ☺ But here’s a tip for understanding as we go. Just look at who has the most yellow in the charts, and/or secondly, the most blue? Simple. Does that help? Hope so! Below is what those Read more..

I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.

PureDWTS Season 19 Week 10 Poem: “Plugging Into The Semi-Finals”

Give it up for Lois!! Here she is with another one of her fabulous poems…

My Poem for Week 10

A darkened ballroom, ticks counting down on the clock!
The switch was flipped, lights shining bright as the sun!

DANCING WITH THE STARS was:

PLUGGING INTO THE SEMI-FINALS!

AN ELECTRIFYING, ENERGIZING EVENING OF DANCE!

PLUGGING INTO THE SEMI-FINALS, the ballroom dazzling, a’glow
AN ELECTRIFYING, ENERGIZING EVENING OF DANCE, grand show

The dancing pairs were given a challenge, two dances it would be
A plugged version, an unplugged version, talent would be the key

The ballroom shook with applause, Tom and Erin issuing the call
Time to plug in the dances, time to begin the grand dancing ball

Each dancing pair shook off their nerves, their feet ready to dance
The audience far and wide ready to see who had the best chance

BETHANY AND DEREK

PLUGGING INTO I WANT YOU BACK
SAMBA – WITH ASSIST FROM SASHA FARBER

Snappy moves, two guys in love with a girl, full of heart
A Central Park Promenade, light, fluffy, like cotton candy

UNPLUGGING INTO I WANT YOU BACK
CONTEMPORARY

A picture frame filled with the simplicity of dance
Like a painting coming alive, modern masterpiece

JANEL AND VAL

PLUGGING INTO BLAME
PASO DOBLE – WITH AN ASSIST FROM MAKSIM CHMERKOVSKIY

Fierce, full on powerful attack, fabulous, as one, force of nature
Crisp as a starched white shirt, powerful, pulsating beats

UNPLUGGING INTO BLAME
ARGENTINE TANGO
WITH TIME FOR THREE – FEATURING A VALENTIN VIOLIN

Connection by a concerto, vibrant, vivacious, gift of dance
Dynamic interpretation, putting the oo in mood, intimate

ALFONSO AND WITNEY

PLUGGING INTO LOVE RUNS OUT
ARGENTINE TANGO

Full of spirit, speed, strength, smoke and fire, fight
Artistry from the Prince of Buenos Aires, glory lasts forever

UNPLUGGING INTO LOVE RUNS OUT
CONTEMPORARY – WITH CHRISTINA GRIMMIE

Poetry in motion, fluid lines, drama, passion, intensity, being free
Partners on the same page, two instruments playing same tune

SADIE AND MARK

PLUGGING INTO PROBLEM
QUICKSTEP

Floaty, flirty, fast stepping, full of speedy feet, detail oriented
Sadie – a shining light, brilliant, bit of Hip Hop and Charleston

UNPLUGGING INTO PROBLEM
ARGENTINE TANGO – WITH NOAH GUTHRIE

Guitar prop, sensational, staccato movements, classy, poised
True to Sadie, powerful, challenging choreography, a connection

TOMMY AND PETA

PLUGGING INTO TAINTED LOVE
JAZZ

Red hot, fiery flame of flirtation, great entertainment
Peta – human defibrillator – MVP of Season 19

UNPLUGGING INTO TAINTED LOVE
RUMBA

Balletic, sweet, endearing, graceful gallantry, magical
Touching, honestly felt between the master and muse

PLUGGING INTO THE SEMI FINALS, two dances were energized and electrified
AN ELECTRIFYING, ENERGIZING EVENING OF DANCE, greatness personified!

Written By Lois A Troutman, November 19, 2014

A DANCING PAIR, TOMMY AND PETA TOOK THEIR FINAL BOW!
AMERICA’S HERO GAVE US A DAZZLING TREAT, WE SAID WOW!

THE TWO-NIGHT SPECTACLE NEXT WEEK, HOW CAN IT BE!
EPIC, EXTRAORDINARY DANCES, FREESTYLES WE WILL SEE!

November 19, 2014 I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.

Afterbuzz TV And Mandy Moore Review The DWTS19 Semi-Finals

Below is the new Afterbuzz TV show. This time Mandy Moore joins the gang to review the Dancing With The Stars Semi-Finals. First up, Mandy clears up how she’s not just helping one couple for the Finale, but, she’s been helping all of the couples all season with her advice since she is the “Performance Producer” for the show (Hmmm….say what you will, but, I still don’t think it’s right that she’s helping to choreograph one couple’s dance for the Finale).

I also loved what the panel said on Allison Holker at the end and how she is an “animal”. I agree with Jake when he said people like Allison, Witney, and Derek, etc. are and have helped to shape the show into more than just “ballroom” dancing. I hope Allison gets another shot at being a pro too.

Lot’s of content to think about again below with their opinions. Let us know what you think….

I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.