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DWTS Season 15 Las Vegas Odds Going Into Week 6: Agree or Disagree?

What a difference a week of dances make on Dancing With The Stars again. The Odds Makers at Sports Bovada have placed their bets again. First, check out Shawn Johnson! In all of the time I’ve been writing these odds up have I ever seen such strong odds favoring someone and rightfully so. Shawn is off the hook. Emmitt Smith has risen up the ladder to second place again. Apolo and Kelly have both fallen some. Note too how the odds makers are even more convinced this week that Kirstie Alley is going home which I still think they are wrong about. Same with Sabrina. I think it should be Kelly at the bottom this week.

Shawn Johnson 1/1
Emmitt Smith 7/2
Gilles Marini 9/2
Apolo Anton Ono 6/1
Kelly Monaco 10/1
Melissa Rycroft 33/1
Sabrina Bryan 50/1
Kirstie Alley 75/1

Last week’s Las Vegas Odds going into Week 5 to compare:

Shawn Johnson 7/5
Apolo Anton Ono 4/1
Emmitt Smith 4/1
Kelly Monaco 5/1
Gilles Marini 6/1
Melissa Rycroft 25/1
Sabrina Bryan 50/1
Kirstie Alley 66/1

So, what do you think? Are the odds makers in Las Vegas wrong or right this time? Let’s get Miss Heidi’s and Courtney’s thoughts….

Courtney: These oddsmakers seem to get far too influenced by the ups and downs of each week.  I think it takes at least 2 weeks of really good (or really bad) performances to see a pattern that could genuinely affect the odds.  I also think the split performance nights may have negatively affected certain individuals while helping others – Emmitt may have had the most memorable individual performance of the first night, but it pales in comparison to every routine we saw on Tuesday night; yet he got so hyped and overscored on Monday night (and everyone on Tuesday night, with the exception of Sabrina, got low-balled) that it gives the impression that he’s a legitimate frontrunner, and he rises back to 2nd place - which I highly doubt.  Likewise, 3 of the 4 couples that danced on Tuesday night seemed to get lowballed, and I think that negatively affected their odds – even though I think it was kind of obvious they had the superior dances.  And then there’s Shawn – what exactly did she do this week that suddenly made her a sure thing? Like Vogue, I also think they may be underestimating the rebound effect of Kirstie’s fans – even if a couple is ultimately destined for the chopping block, they often seem to experience a surge in votes the week after they’re in the bottom 2.  I think that could happen for Kirstie this week…and I think the most likely candidates to take her place in the bottom 2 are Kelly & Melissa.  But who knows – this season is weird.  It makes my head spin :-P

Heidi: Um, no. I’m still of the opinion that Apolo will ultimately edge out Shawn.  And I think he will definitely edge out Gilles. I was going to say that I think they have the bottom three all wrong, but then I remember these are odds to WIN. I think Emmitt and Kelly are both too high, Sabrina a touch too low. If the standings remain the same this week, I think Kirstie beats Kelly. Courtney’s right, though – this season is CRAZY. I think the closest things to a “sure thing” are Apolo and Shawn – and if the judges keep on with the crack, I could change my mind about both.  The rest? I hope like hell Gilles is a “shocking” elimination but that’s about it. I would hate to be an odds maker because it’s too hard to call the finale. Maybe that’s why the called Shawn even money – the rest are too fluid and uncertain.

October 26, 2012 I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.

Dancing with the Stars Season 15, Week 6 – Who’s Dancing What…and When??

Country week!!  Not my favorite genre – and apparently Shawn loves it. It’s an Iowa thing?

I’m told that the scoring has been changed up again. :::rolls eyes:::  Now you can apparently get 2, 4, or 6 points for your solo in the group dance – before it was just 2 extra bonus points.  Let me guess…Gilles, Sabrina and….should be Shawn, but will it be?? Possibly Melissa. Whoever needs the most help with the votes. You heard it here first. :-)  And no, we don’t know what the rest of the couples get, if anything.

ETA: I LOVE me some Blake Shelton. But not because of country music, but because of his bromance with Adam Levine. :-)  A little birdie told me that Gilles showed up late to team dance rehearsal in a rhinestone cowboy vest & chaps…because he must be the center of attention, and show everyone else up. At all times. Courtney co-opted my standard response to anything Gilles on this one and said: “F@#ker.” Those of you who follow me on twitter know this is my saying for Gilles. ;-) On the other end of the spectrum is Derek, who apparently did an entire interview during the rehearsal in a southern accent, cracking Shawn up the whole time.

ETA2: Gee, let me guess – a faux tractor with Gilles doing hip thrusts on top, waving a cowboy hat, while Peta gyrates somewhere in the background. :::rolls eyes:::  Anyone wanna bet there is a tractor and a vest involved?? Cuz we gotta have a spectacle so we can have the “best ever Cha Cha unlike that Shawn who can only do tricks.” (end sarcasm…for now)

ETA3: Someone tell me if Sabrina has a good song or not – don’t think I’ve ever heard of it.

ETA4: Somebody make note of this auspicious day, because I, Courtney, am completely speechless.  Apparently the DWTS Instagram is correct & Gilles does have Shania Twain – which makes no sense whatsoever to me because the song is “Man! I Feel Like a Woman”.  Is Gilles going to be cross-dressing for his cha-cha? I’ve already heard the choreography is pretty low-brow – once again, he & Peta are going for the raunch, and they’ll probably get 10′s for it.  At least I’ve heard that Shawn & Derek’s cha-cha is fairly cute & Western-y.  I may need to self-medicate before Monday’s show… Read more..

I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

DWTS Season 15, Week 5 – Dancing by the Numbers

This week, this particular post doesn’t mean a hill of beans because, as I’m sure you’ve all figured out by now, there was no elimination. But I’ve had a few requests for it so you can see how your favorites are doing. EVERYTHING could change on Monday night and I have some confidence that it will. I predict Sabrina stays in first place to get her past this particular week – and maybe past the following week. I think that Kirstie and Kelly – and maybe Melissa – are the next designated people who are considered disposable by the producers/judges.

Yes. Heidi is having a very cynical week. :-)

Anyway, let’s take a look at the numbers for this week:

The Judges Scores and Percentages

Oh dear, everyone favorite over the top showmance which gets more forced by the day is in serious trouble. At least, this week. You’ll notice that everyone but Kirstie has at least a percentage point lead on her. That translates to more votes than I would be comfortable with if I were them – roughly 10,000. What does Kelly have to do to stick around beyond this pretend elimination week? ONE of the following:

-          Kelly needs to get 2,250 more votes per million votes cast than Kirstie, OR;

-           Kelly needs to get 10,150 more votes per million votes cast than Emmitt, OR;

-          Kelly needs to get 11,250 more votes per million votes cast than Shawn, Apolo, Melissa or Gilles, OR;

-          Kelly needs to get 15,750 more votes per million votes cast than Sabrina.

Kelly has been relatively protected up to now by people with either much lower scores or fanbase issues of their own. But that protection is largely gone this week. Lots of people would be tempted to say that Kirstie is going to go because she was in the bottom two last week with Bristol. But Kirstie beat the spread on Bristol that was about three times the spread between her and Kelly. This is the part of the all star season where it gets really hard, cuz I’m really not sure if Kelly’s got juice or not. I’m inclined to say “not” – when compared to Kirstie. And I don’t think there is anyone else she can catch. Don’t give me crap about Soap fanbases – soaps are being cancelled left and right. Not to mention that it’s all relative – someone has to go, so you have to consider if other fanbases are bigger or more passionate.

But let’s assume that Kelly finds a miraculous way to safety. What does Kirstie needs need in order to stick around??  She needs ONE of the following:

-          Kirstie needs to get 7,900 more votes per million votes cast than Emmitt, OR;

-          Kirstie needs to get 11,250 more votes per million votes cast than Shawn, Apolo, Melissa or Gilles, OR;

-          Kirstie needs to get 13,500 more votes per million votes cast than Sabrina.

Based on those numbers, if there was an elimination this week I think it easily comes down to Kelly and Kirstie. I think the only other two people in potential danger would be Melissa and Sabrina – but the margins are too great this week. I think. We won’t really know until it happens. The path forward from here is really not clear. Emmitt has been fading into the woodwork lately, so it’s possible he’s in the lower tier as well.

But, when asked to make a guess, my guess is that Kelly would go home. If not her, Kirstie. Next week, we add a ton of points and everything can change. In any case, you can be sure the margins get smaller.

 

October 25, 2012 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

DWTS Judge Carrie Anne Inaba Talks Of Chemistry Some More On KTLA (Video)

Judge Carrie Ann Inaba went on KTLA today to discuss the fall from her chair on Dancing With The Stars this past week. She also discussed some of the contestants “chemistry”. She says Gilles and Peta could win the competition because of their chemistry, sexiness, etc.. She also says Derek and Shawn have a “chemistry” in a different “electrifying” and “magical” way. She also goes on again about Karina and Apolo and how they lack chemistry and how they haven’t found their “common point” yet. She ends the interview talking about her pet causes and how she’s auctioning two tickets for the Dancing With The Stars finale. More in detail below.
Read more..

I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.

The Costumes And Make-up: Who had the best look for DWTS 15 Week 5?

The Dancing With The Stars Make-up Team has released some behind the scenes photos of the cast getting ready for the shows this past week. Above is Shawn Johnson, Karina Smirnoff, and Peta Murgatroyd. To see more pics of the cast, see Dancing With The Stars Make-up’s official facebook page. I always enjoy the close-up of their EYES and how they do their make-up.

As for the costumes, who did you think had the prettiest or coolest costumes this week? I think I loved Kirstie’s long black flowing dress the most. But, what about Shawn and Derek? They looked stunning. I also liked Kelly’s 80′s vibe black corset dress and jewelry. I loved Karina’s red dress as well. She talked of how she designed it at Instyle.

“When I designed the costume, I wanted it to look like a silk nightgown,” Smirnoff told InStyle.com. “I wanted to match the dress, the hair and the makeup to what the song and dance make you feel—fun and sexy with some funk and sass! It was such a great, soft and seductive look—I loved it!”

It was perfect and I liked the red with Apolo’s leopard shirt. Let us know what you think in comments.

I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.

Shirley Ballas, Louis Van Amstel, And Sabrina Bryan Critique Dancing With The Stars Week 5′s Dances

Dancing champion Shirley Ballas was a guest on After Buzz to critique this past week’s dances from a “professional” perspective. As some of you pointed out in comments, she feels much like we do. For starters, she felt Tony and Melissa’s individual dance could have used more difficult choreography, passion, and chemistry. Louis Van Amstel and Sabrina were interviewed and joined in to critique the dances as well from a “dancing” perspective. Louis thinks Tony should push Melissa more too. As for Derek and Shawn, Shirley says Derek is “creative beyond belief”, but, he and Shawn’s dance missed a few technical elements. She has some choice words to describe Gilles Marini which aren’t far from our own this season. He’s too “self absorbed” and not as “sincere” in his dancing like he should be. Lots more below on each couple including Shirley’s thoughts on who she thinks will be in the Finale: Shawn and Derek, Louis and Sabrina, Emmitt and Cheryl, or possibly Apolo and Karina if they can get their chemistry in check. This interview is 45 minutes long, but, so well worth a listen when you get a chance. Let us know what you think and if you agree with Shirley? Can I just say? SHIRLEY SHOULD BE A JUDGE! I’d love to see her more involved with the show every week somehow and even possibly replace Carrie Anne!! Can you imagine?

I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.

PureDWTS POLL: Team Gangnam or Team Call Me Maybe? Which was the best? VOTE

Annie Barrett of EW wrote up a piece on Dancing With The Stars last night! She’s a hoot always and seems to always voice what the fans generally think without minsing words. Did she do the same again? Read on to see….

Congrats to Team ‘Gangnam Style’ — a.k.a. American Psy — for delivering what was in many ways the best and worst group dance Planet Mirrorballus has ever seen. Mostly worst! It was the best if you love tepid messes and things that make no sense, which obviously I do because it’s season 15 and I’m still sitting here in my fringed boots typing about an alternate universe. Like Kelly Monaco said, “Sometimes… trainwrecks are fun to watch.”

Somehow this group f(l)ail earned Kelly, Kirstie, Emmitt, and Not-At-All-Powerful Captain Gilles three 9s, probably because if the judges had scored it fairly the entire leaderboard would have been messed up. I’m fine with that. I might even award them all 9s myself provided I’d never have to see Gilles peering into Peta’s crotch, Kirstie and Maks’ “mat exercises,” and Bruno sniffing O Captain His Captain’s lointowel ever, ever again. EWWWW.com.

LOL! She’s too funny!! I still can’t believe the judges would give Team Gangham “9′s”? :-?

So, we’re curious on some Poll numbers for the fans favorite TEAM DANCE? No, Polls aren’t always accurate, but, our Polls at PureDWTS seem to be pretty close. So, what do you think: Team Gangnam or Team Call Me Maybe? Which Team Dance did you think was the best this week? Note: this isn’t a Poll for who your favorite dancers are. Try to keep them out of it and only vote on the dances themselves? If you need to watch or relive the dances again, you can do so at the end of this post!

Thanks so much for your vote! Be sure to tell us how you voted in comments too if you like!

October 24, 2012 I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.

DWTS 15, Week 5 Power Rankings – Part II

So now that we’ve seen everybody dance both their team dance & individual dance, I can finally start to get a snapshot of where things stand heading into week 6.  As I promised in part I, I’ve really just taken my commentary on last night’s dances, copied & pasted it here, and added any additional notes I found pertinent to go along with my commentary on tonight’s dances.  I know many of you have already read the spoilers we posted last night for tonight’s show, so there aren’t probably any huge revelations for you; for those that haven’t, I doubt there are any huge revelations for you, either…it became pretty clear to me that they put the stronger individual performances on Tuesday night and the weaker ones on Monday night, perhaps in an effort to increase viewership for Tuesday night’s show.  As for the team dance – I think you guys can probably guess where I stand ;-) And the other thing that became quite evident after tonight? They are really doing their damndest to protect Gilles and ensure he sticks around.  Gilles gets the high score of night 1; 3 of the 4 couples on night 2 get the same (2.5 points lower than Gilles’) score, and the one person that even comes close still falls .5 points short of Gilles, despite dancing one of the most beautiful waltzes I’ve ever seen on the show.  The message is clear: protect the whiny, egotistical Frenchmen at all costs.  Gag me.

Speaking of week 6 – it is country week, and each couple is doing an individual unlearned dance and a group dance.  The group dance will not be scored, except the couple that does the move that impresses the judges the most will get two bonus points – which is practically nothing, in the great scheme of things, since we’re taking all of the points from this week and all of the points from next week and adding them together.  It’s gonna be a fanbase battle royale…hope you guys voted hard!

1.) Sabrina & Louis – I was skeptical about Sabrina being able to carry off such a soft, romantic dance, since she seems to hit everything so hard – but this was actually quite lovely.  She showed a lot of control and some of her lines were just beautiful – at a couple moments, I honestly thought she would fit right in on a dance floor filled with American Smooth professionals.  I even believed adoring looks she was giving Louis – and while I agree that vulnerability may not be Sabrina’s strong suit, I thought she absolutely showed it tonight in this waltz.  Funny how you call her out on it, Carrie Ann, and then give her a 10 anyway.  If you aren’t gonna nut up, then you gots to SHUT UP.  Loved the theme, loved the choreography, loved the execution – and love that someone from Team Call Me Maybe was able to give Gilles a run for his money in the individual dance round :-)

2.) Gilles & Peta – Well, guess I can’t really get too mad at the overscoring of this one, since it’s kind of become par for the course this season.  I actually thought Gilles had some really nice lines in this rumba – he was actually extending both his arms and his legs nicely.  But my big problem was that I still felt like Peta was doing all the work…and it got a little repetitive.  To concur with Len, I got tired of the leg extensions and displays of flexibility really quickly, and it seemed to slow everything down just a little too much.  It was a time-waster in an already shortened routine.  It seemed like the first part (the a cappella part) was nice, and then once the crescendo hit with the instruments it was all overwrought emotion from there on out.  I would have probably given it a 28, tops, because I felt like there just wasn’t as much content as there should have been.  29.5 is an awfully cushy score. Adding in after Tuesday night’s show: I wasn’t so upset about this score last night, but now I am, considering that Shawn & Derek did what I would consider to be a FAR superior rumba, both in terms of technique & performance, got reamed by the judges, and ended up 2.5 points less than Gilles.  The pimping is obvious now, and TPTB (and Gilles himself) seem hellbent on changing the name of the show to “Dancing with Gilles Marini!…and some other people”.  But I do feel a bit vindicated knowing that Gilles’ magnum opus of a team freestyle got called out for being a ridiculous mess and got 2.5 points less than Team Call Me Maybe…that really must chap his ass, as does the fact that Sabrina is now at the top of the leaderboard ;-) Read more..

October 23, 2012 I Written By

Ultrasound sales specialist by day, semi-knowledgeable DWTS fan by night...with a smattering of hair & makeup enthusiast, occasional model, and crazy cat lady peppered in to make things REALLY interesting ;-) I might pee my pants in happiness if Donnie Wahlberg ever does DWTS - or if they ever use "Sunglasses at Night" as a paso doble. Check out some of my other work at pureamericasgottalent.com!

Dancing With The Stars 15 Week 5 Dancer Confessionals Released By ABC

These are always fun and this one is no different!

ADDING: And here is Part 2. Karina and Apolo are sad when they shouldn’t be:

I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.

PureDWTS 15 Week 5 – Interviews After The Dance Part 2

We’ve got some more interviews to share! Below Melissa and Tony talk with Access Hollywood about her injury and how it happened. In her words, “It’s gross and technical”. She’s so cute. Poor Tony too! Thank goodness she’s ok.

Here they are with Extra as well talking on the same. Melissa also said she and Tony have the Viennese Waltz next week. Tony plans to choreograph around her neck issues. Also, Gilles and Peta talk about Carrie Ann’s fall. Kirstie talks about the wall she hit last week.

And that is all for now…I think? 8O

I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.