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Dancing with the Stars – Season 11 Vegas Odds: Who will win?

Despite some very close scoring on the third episode of Dancing With The Stars, the bookmakers in Las Vegas are now favoring ‘Dirty Dancing’ star Jennifer Grey as the dancer to beat despite her nerves getting the best of her this past Monday a little and her and Derek’s lower scores. Here is what the Las Vegas Odds are showing as of right now. Note how Brandy has fallen on the list. Is this an over-reaction despite suggestions in the media that she is ‘not popular with the general public in the US’? Same with Mike Sorrentino who seems to be winning the hearts of many of us?

Option     Win Odds
Jennifer Grey     +100
Rick Fox     +300
Kurt Warner     +500
Audrina Patridge     +900
Kyle Massey     +1200
Brandy     +1400
Bristol Palin     +1800
Mike Sorrentino     +3300
Florence Henderson     +6600

sources: OLBG Sports, USA Players

October 8, 2010 I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.

DWTS11 Week 3 Power Rankings

Let me just preface these rankings with this warning: I’m suffering from, quite possibly, the worst bout of hayfever I’ve had in years, and I think the judges smoked a whole lotta something strong before taking to the table tonight, because the scoring was just WHACK.  Translation: I’m kinda miserable and probably going to be doing some bitching & moaning.  Capeesh? ;-)

1.) Audrina & Tony – RIDICULOUSLY overscored, in my opinion, but that score will likely make them untouchable this week.  It was a very nice, pretty waltz, but I don’t think it was worthy of two 9′s.  Audrina is still pretty tentative in her movement and seems to get this vacant stare from time to time that really keeps her from connecting 100% to the dance.  I give them props for doing a decent job of telling a story (on a night where I think a lot of the couples seem to forget the whole TELL A STORY part…), and Audrina really does seem to be a sweet girl who gets along well with her partner.  But I think she’s running the risk of becoming unmemorable unless she really starts to shake things up a bit.  These two got a good running order position (midpoint of the show), a great score, and are still riding the coattails of the whole leg waxing gag…they’re safe.

2.) Jennifer & Derek – Man, all that speculation over what song they were gonna use – only to have them dance to a minor hit that really didn’t have anything to do with teachers & students! But this was still totally adorable, and I gotta be honest – I actually think this samba was better than the one Nicole did.  Don’t know if it was the choreography, the theme, or Jen’s damn good execution, but even with the mistake I thought it was a really strong performance.  Loved that they redid it on the fly – and redid it perfectly ;-) Interested to see if they get rumba or Argentine tango next week – I’m sure they’ll knock either one out of the park, but I think I’d rather see them challenged a bit more with the tango, since they’ve already done one really romantic dance (their Viennese waltz).  Good running order, good score (although I think they were STILL underscored by a point), and Jennifer’s developing quite a following on her own.  Carry on, Jenougher ;-)

3.) Brandy & Maks – Oh man, I’m putting this out there now: this time tomorrow people will be talking “smack-gate”.  I personally couldn’t care much less if he slaps Brandy’s butt or hands – as long as Brandy’s ok with it, more power to him.  It seemed to work, as Brandy was back on her game this week and seemed comfortable and on-beat with their samba this week.  I think Jennifer’s technique was stronger, but Brandy definitely gave her a run for her money – she was holding her on in this one, and I actually really liked the whole Bodyguard theme.  One glaring instance of crack smokage by the judges tonight – what didn’t they get about the storyline? Maks was there, doing what bodyguards do – surveying the perimeter and being stoic.  What the hell did they want him to do, walk out in front of her before every step and slap some obsessed fans’ hands out of the way? Jeebus.  ANYWHO, I still think their combined popularity and decent score will keep them safe for many weeks to come – as long as they can keep up the momentum.

4.) Kurt & Anna – Ok, I think this may have been my favorite performance of the night :-) Just made me smile and go “Awwww!” from the first step to the last – Kurt is really just the sweetest, calmest, most charming guy ever.  If The Sitch is the lovable dork, then Kurt is the teddy bear of the show – the bit with his twin girls just made me melt.  And dude – he improved MAJORLY this week! I was afraid that he’d revert back to his nervous awkwardness from the first week, since he had a ballroom dance this week – but he must’ve really buckled down and worked with Anna, because I thought this was just lovely.  And I found myself shouting obscenities at the TV when Bruno got a smug look on his face and threw up the “7″ paddle.  I’m really starting to hate that guy.  Still a good score, and a vast improvement – the only thing that worries me is their running order.  Why the hell do they keep getting shoved to 2nd & 3rd position? It’s bad news bears territory…but luckily for them, I think there are still couples who are weaker and not as well liked that need to go home before Kurt even touches the danger zone (no pun intended ;-))

5.) Rick & Cheryl – One of the couples I had a bit of a beef with, due to the fact that they really didn’t do much to convey their storyline (seriously? Loser in a bar just gets hit on by a hot chick out of the blue and dances a sexy dance, despite losing an NBA championship?), but at least they made up for it with some pretty good dancing.  Rick still continues to wow me with his ability to tackle very fine movements despite his height, and the ass shakin’ was not too shabby, hehe.  I think I preferred his jive to this samba, but I’m wondering what he’s gonna pull out next week – I think he’s gonna be better off with the tango, but I’m getting the sinking feeling he might get the rumba instead.  Hmmm.  Anywho, this season’s ladies’ man got the pimp spot and a pretty good score, so he ain’t goin’ anywhere this week.

6.) Kyle & Lacey – Ok, another couple I have a beef with, but for a different reason.  So apparently you can now demand a better song if you don’t like the one you’re dealt??? I thought it was a bit of a cop-out on their part – I think a good choreographer (and an open-minded partner!) can make any song work for them, given enough effort.  That said – this was a pretty good waltz.  Kyle continues to be the actor, really getting into the character of each dance; his technique seems to be improving a TEENSY bit, but I daresay the judges are becoming progressively less swayed by his charisma and are beginning to notice his footwork more.  Luckily, they had a good score and a cute storyline, so they should be good – but Lacey, a warning: you have GOT to focus on Kyle’s technique.  The energy you two generate is only going to carry you so far!

7.) The Situation & Karina – I gotta hand it to the Sitch – I feel like the poor guy is really giving it his all, and very well might turn out to be the “little engine that could” this season.  He’s a terribly awkward mover, yes; but I do notice a bit of improvement each week, and at least this week he managed to stay on time.  And props to them for dealing with the crappiest song assignment of the night – take heed, Kyle & Lacey! – and managing to make something oddly entertaining out of it.  The one thing that worries me is that he actually seemed to let nerves get the better of him tonight – I almost like him better when he’s a bit more of a trainwreck, but at least he’s laughing and smiling.  Maybe I’m being optimistic, but I think he’ll be okay again this week – he seems to be gaining more supporters with each goofy comment, and the fact that they keep putting him towards the end of the show seems like an encouraging sign.  :-)

8.) Margaret & Louis – Y’know, these two always seem to start out strong…and then abandon good dancing altogether and generally seem to shoot themselves in the foot for the other 2/3 of the dance.  What a freaking disaster.  How many actual samba steps were in this one? And how many of them did Margaret actually do on time? Forget a storyline – there wasn’t one.  And while I admire them for standing up for their cause – I’m not sure this was the best way to do it, and I’m not sure how well-received it’s going to be.  However, these two seem to be stayin’ alive so far, so they must have a pretty strong voting fanbase, so I don’t think these two will be leaving us this week, despite that trainwreck of a samba.  But man, as we weed out some of the less popular dancers, they better be ready to work if they want to stick around.

9.) Bristol & Mark – I actually felt really, really bad for Bristol this week – I felt like she got raked across the coals for a dance that wasn’t really all that bad and wasn’t necessarily her fault for being mediocre.  Was this a super electrifying foxtrot? No, but it wasn’t painful to watch either, and she stayed on time and did manage to convey some emotion.  I’m a bit irked with Mark, though, because Len’s complaint that the dance was “too contemporary” seems to be something that’s really more his fault – wasn’t a fan of his who little dance solo at the beginning.  Yes, she needs to come out of her shell, but really – I can think of 2 other acts tonight that I thought were overall worse, and I actually think she’s a better dancer than the Situation.  That being said – she could be in trouble.  I’m not quite sure how much of a voting fanbase she has, but I think her continued presence is the result of a combo of decent scores and decent voting…and now that the scores have slipped, I’m not sure the votes can compensate for it.  Guess we’ll have to wait and see…

10.) Florence & Corky – Snooze, barf, cringe, snooze again.  Repeat! When I’m not comparing watching these two move in slo-mo to watching grass grow (the latter is more entertaining, IMO), I’m upchucking my Claritin watching them do gimmicky crap like kissing.  I didn’t think the dance told a story, I didn’t think there was any real technique or improvement from last week, I didn’t even think the choreo was good – and these two are dancing in the crap spot AGAIN, so I’m thinking they could be the next to go.  Or maybe I’m hoping they’ll be the next to go, because they’ve really just been plain weird this season.  Arrrgghhh…who knows.  I have to pick someone to go home, and I think they’re the most likely candidates.  Sorry Mrs. Brady.

So on the whole - did you guys love or hate storytelling week? Have any favorite/least favorite performances? Any bets on whether Boltongate has died down enough for Michael to perform this week without a heckling from Bruno? ;-) Cure me of my hayfever by hollering at me! :-D

October 4, 2010 I Written By

Ultrasound sales specialist by day, semi-knowledgeable DWTS fan by night...with a smattering of hair & makeup enthusiast, occasional model, and crazy cat lady peppered in to make things REALLY interesting ;-) I might pee my pants in happiness if Donnie Wahlberg ever does DWTS - or if they ever use "Sunglasses at Night" as a paso doble. Check out some of my other work at pureamericasgottalent.com!

DWTS 11 Stat Class: Week 3 (Storytelling Night)

Tonight is the first “themed” night of the show… each dance is required to tell a ‘story’…

How do you think they would do? Thanks to Heidi for provided who is dancing what for this week.

SAMBA
Jennifer & Derek
- Derek & Jennie Garth (Season 5/Week 5): 25/30
- Derek & Shannon Elizabeth (Season 6/Week 5): 23/30
- Derek & Brooke Burke (Season 7/Week 4): 26/30
- Derek & Lil Kim (Season 8/Week 3): 25/30
- Derek & Joanna Krupe (Season 9/Week 3): 23/30
- Derek & Nicole Scherzinger (Season 10/Week 6): 26/30
Prediction: 24/30

Rick & Cheryl
- Cheryl & Drew Lachey (Season 2/Week 5): 27/30
- Cheryl & Emmitt Smith (Season 3/Week 5): 27/30
- Cheryl & Ian Ziering (Season 4/Week 5): 24/30
- Cheryl & Cristian de la Fuente (Season 6/Week 7): 21/30
- Cheryl & Maurice Greene (Season 7/Week 4): 20/30
- Cheryl & Gilles Marini (Season 8/Week 3): 27/30
- Cheryl & Tom DeLay (Season 9/Week 3): 15/30
- Cheryl & Chad Ochocinco (Season 10/Week 9): 25/30
Prediction: 23/30

Margaret & Louis
- Louis & Lisa Rinna (Season 2/Week 5): 25/30
- Louis & Monique Coleman (Season 3/Week 6): 23/30
- Louis & Kelly Osbourne (Season 9/Week 3): 20/30
Prediction: 20/30

WALTZ
Kyle & Lacey
- Lacey & Steve-O (Season 8/Week 1): 17/30
Since there isn’t enough data… let’s look at other Disney stars…
- Louis & Monique Coleman (Season 3/Week 4): 24/30
Hmm… still not enough info…. other teens?
- Mark & Shawn Johnson (Season 8/Week 1): 23/30
Prediction: 21/30

Florence & Corky
Since this is Corky’s first time w/ the Waltz… how did other actresses do?
- Maksim & Tia Carrere (Season 2/Week 1): 20/30
- Nick & Tatum O’Neal (Season 2/Week 1): 23/30
- Mark & Melissa (Season 9/Week 6): 20/30
- Damian & Pamela Anderson (Season 10/Week 7): 24/30
Prediction: 21/30

Audrina & Tony
- Tony & Stacy Keibler (Season 2/Week 1): 22/30
- Tony & Melissa Rycroft (Season 8/Week 1): 23/30
Hmm… what about other reality stars?
- Louis & Trista Sutter (Season 1/Week 1): 14/30
- Lacey & Steve-O (Season 8/Week 1): 17/30
Prediction: 21/30

FOXTROT
Kurt & Anna
- Anna & Jerry Rice (Season 2/Week 4): 24/30
- Anna & Steve Guttenberg (Season 6/Week 1): 18/30
- Anna & Chuck Liddell (Season 9/Week 1): 16/30
- Anna & Evan Lysacek (Season 10/Week 9): 29/30
Prediction: 21/30

Mike & Karina
- Karina & Mario Lopez (Season 3/Week 7): 29/30
- Karina & Billy Ray Cyrus (Season 4/Week 8): 18/30
- Karina & Mario (Season 6/Week 7): 24/30
- Karina & Rocco DiSpirito (Season 7/Week 1): 14/30
- Karina & Aaron Carter (Season 9/Week 8): 23/30
Prediction: 21/30

Bristol & Mark
- Mark & Sabrina Bryan (Season 5/Week 6): 25/30
- Mark & Kristi Yamaguchi (Season 6/Week 1): 27/30
- Mark & Kim Kardashian (Season 7/Week 1): 19/30
- Mark & Shawn Johnson (Season 8/Week 3): 27/30
Prediction: 21/30

So how off do you think I’m going to be this week? Stay tuned and find out tonight! :D

I Written By

My life can be summed up in the following two quotes: 1) "I am married to engineering and am its faithful wife by day, but at night my wanderlust takes hold and the arts becomes my jealous paramour." and... 2) "Engineering is my safety net. Writing is my passion. Acting is my escape when the other two become too much." So where does dancing fit in? Pretty much anywhere at this point... =)

More Week 2 Media, DWTS Season 11

Oops. Thought I posted this one yesterday. Working on too many things at one time, apparently.

Maks and Brandy on Access Hollywood – thanks Vogue. What I am finding interesting is how interviewers spend as much or more time talking to Maks and Derek and a few of the other pros as they do the celebrities that come on DWTS. Frankly, some of the pros are much more well known than their “star” partners are. I dig it. They’re the reason I watch the show. But watch Maks’ body language at the beginning of this video – he doesn’t really want to be talking about this, but he lets it all hang out anyway. :-) I love how Brandy reacts to Maks.

Derek and Jennifer behind the scenes at Ellen. Is it my imagination, or is Jennifer flirting with Derek?? :-)

ET is doing a Paparazzi Roundup?? Oookay.

October 3, 2010 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

DWTS11 Week 2 Power Rankings

Anyone else feel like this was “redux” week? As I was mentioning to Heidi on Twitter, there were several costumes, songs, and even routines that felt a bit recycled to me from previous seasons – I’m sure some of you noticed them as well.  But I won’t go into detail, because we’ll save it for the Cheesecake Awards & perhaps an edition of “Who Wore it Better?” ;-)

All dittoing aside, another great night of dancing, and I’m still astonished at how no one really & truly sucks this season…well, except for Bolton :-P ON WITH THE RANKINGS!!!

1.) Jennifer & Derek - My god, I am still in awe of how great a body this woman has at her age.  And at how well she moves! This jive was sharp, sassy, and totally adorable – Jen definitely kept up with Derek’s choreography well, and it was of course choreography that was very well-suited to each beat of the music.  She did seem to run out of steam a bit in the middle, but I can’t blame her in the slightest…poor woman must’ve been feeling faint, because it looked like someone had given her something to eat off-camera that she was still swallowing when they got their scores.  It looks like Jen is quickly becoming the sentimental favorite this season, but one really nice thing about Jen is that she also CAN ACTUALLY DANCE :-D These two seem totally safe this week – if the booing after they got their scores (which were still the highest of the week, but I agree – they should’ve been a point or two higher) is any indicator, there are a lot of fans in Jen’s camp, and they’re bound and determined to keep their girl in!

2.) Audrina & Tony – 2nd highest score of the week, and a hilarious bit about Tony having to wax his legs – plus a really well-choreographed quickstep that Audrina actually pulled off well.  I gotta give Tony props – this was some great quickstep choreography.  Very nice balance of basic steps and flashier tricks.  Audrina definitely improved this week, and seemed to be a bit more comfortable moving her body this time. Still seems a bit tentative with her movements (and still not a lot of facial expressions), which I’m hoping continues to improve week after week.  And DAMN – Audrina has got some wicked abs.  I noticed them last week, but something about her dress this week just really drew my eyes to them. Great performance, great score, and great comedy.  People will remember them, and memorability (is that a word? Call me Mama Palin ;-) ) equals votes.  These two should be safe.

3.) Kyle & Lacey – There were two male contestants that had the hens in my office all a-twitter (and not actually on Twitter – half of them don’t even know what it is) last week – and Kyle was one of them.  Can’t blame them – this kid is an absolute RIOT out on that floor.  I always find myself so amused by him, his facial expressions, and the gusto with which he attacks each step.  Is his technique impeccable? Hell no, but then again I don’t think any of Lacey’s partners have been praised heavily for their technique – if there’s one pro that can help their partner get by solely on showmanship, it’s Lacey.  Luckily, though, Kyle does have some degree of skill…some skills I hope he continues to develop as the show progresses, because I have a feeling the judges may grow a bit weary of his sometime-sloppy (but very enthusiastic!) approach.  Pretty sure their presence in the bottom 2 last week was a complete ruse, and these two will be one of the first announced as safe this week – especially with some very weak scores by other contestants lurking out there…

4.) Rick & Cheryl – This man continues to astound me, not only with that GORGEOUS megawatt smile of his (mmmm :-D) but also by his busting of every single stereotype there is on the show about very tall men.  That jive was good, PERIOD.  Not just “good for someone that’s 6-foot-7″ – he was light, he was crisp, he was on-time, and he was having a great time.  It was a delight to watch – both he and Kurt are the two guys who give me warm fuzzies everytime they dance, because they seem like the two that are just so daggone happy to be there that they could get the lowest score of the week and still thank the judges for the opportunity to dance.  I actually Rick & Cheryl were underscored a bit (Heidi concurs), but 21 is still a solid score, especially with the points spread so wide this week (I’ll leave it to my cohort to elaborate).  They also have the boon of going first, which always helps.

5.) Bristol & Mark – If you had told me in the preseason that I’d be ranking these two this high, I would have laughed quite heartily before offering you a great deal on some swampland in Florida :-) But something about Bristol seems very endearing and likeable, and a part of me is really wanting to see her do well on the show.  This quickstep was pretty damn simple, yes, and probably overscored a bit; but Bristol seemed to roll with the punches (from Mark’s nose, hehe) quite well this week, and came across as very classy in this dance.  She held her own and stayed on time. Loved her dress – thought she looked really pretty this week, in a very age-appropriate, understated way.  Also seemed to love the way that she seemed to quietly laugh and shake her head like “Oh, mom” whenever Mama Palin talked.  The simple fact that they got the coveted pimp spot this week tells me that they may be pulling in far more votes than we initially thought they were – I’m calling these two as safe for at least the next 2 weeks, especially if Bristol continues to improve.

6.) Brandy & Maks – Erm.  Little bit of a stutter from these two this week – I don’t think the jive was really Brandy’s dance, as she definitely seemed to struggle to keep up and they did get off-time in a few spots.  The parts where she was in control (like her solo, which I’m not sure was a very good choice choreographically – judges didn’t seem to like it), this girl looked great, and seemed like she was having the time of her life; unfortunately, those seemed outnumbered by the parts where she looked bewildered and out of breath.  Had to chuckle a bit when Brandy pointed the finger at Maks for some iffy choreo, but also have to respect him for owning it – as opposed to throwing a shirt ;-) I think Brandy may one of the rare ladies that actually does better in the ballroom dances than the Latin ones, so hopefully she can recuperate with a foxtrot next week.  I’m thinking Maks’ fanbase (which, if my office is any indicator, seems to have grown exponentially since last week!) will keep these two safe for awhile, but hopefully Brandy will improve - because with a competition this tight, it will turn out to be the battle of the fanbases.

7.) Kurt & Anna – Ahhh, my little ray of redheaded sunshine and her equally as lovable partner J Seriously – could this guy be any more adorable, and just an all-around class act? I actually really liked this jive too – Kurt kept up, his moves were clean, and he seemed to have a lot of fun with it.  LOVED Anna’s costume! Wasn’t quite as tacky as I had hoped, but oh well – I’ll take good dancing over tacky themes if I can get it ;-) This was a vast improvement over last week.  Kurt will likely have the NFL vote behind him for at least a few more weeks, and possibly more – if he improves from week-to-week like he did this time, he could actually make it to the semifinals.  Team Evanna from last season seems to also be heavily throwing their support behind Team Kurtanna (poor Anna, there just aren’t a whole lot of creative team names to be made with a name like hers!), so these two will likely be safe as we weed out some of the less-skilled, less popular celebs.

8.) The Situation & Karina - I’ve got him this high solely because everyone seems to think he’s a riot, and look forward to hearing the crazy stuff he says each week.  I really have to shake my head & chuckle a bit about the Sitch – for as much machismo and swagger as this guy throws around, he is completely INEPT when it comes to dancing – and he knows it, which is actually kind of endearing.  Gotta give him props for effort – even if that effort doesn’t translate to a whole lot of success on the floor.  This was pretty damn shuffly and out of step, but I did enjoy some of the more athletic parts – the little catch at the end was pretty cool.  One thing that was very interesting to me – the Sitch seems to almost have the opposite problem of many of the guys on the show, in that he holds his frame too high as opposed to letting it crumble.  Anywho, these two got a decent spot in the running order, and I think he’s still got the novelty factor on his side – but he will need to improve FAST in order to keep up with the Joneses in this competition.  Interested to see his paso doble – I feel like it could be a turning point for him.

9.) Florence & Corky – Sorry, but I am just not feeling these two AT ALL.  Blah. They do nothing for me – this routine was pretty damn boring, and it seemed like they were moving painfully slow for a quickstep.  Ill-received comedy – blech.  Uncomfortable shuffling and hauling Flo around the floor – blech.  Corky is kinda disappointing me this season with his choreo - can’t believe I’m saying this, but I actually preferred some of the stuff he gave Cloris to some of the stuff he’s giving Flo.  At least she seems to have reigned in some of the awkward behavior this week.  These two could possibly be in trouble, due to a bad running order position (the dreaded #2) and a relatively low score.  But I think they’ll barely make it in under the wire, due to some REEEALLLY low scoring from certain others…

10.) Margaret & Louis – Props to Louis for not going for the slapstick comedy this week, but unfortunately this seemed rather unmemorable to me.  I actually have to disagree with both Louis & Carrie Ann – Marge’s facial expressions would’ve improved this dance, which otherwise seemed just…blah.  Yes, Marge did keep up pretty well, but she was pretty heavy on her feet and the choreo wasn’t super hard. Overall, kinda low energy.  I think they could be in more danger this week than last week, due to sheer boredom on the part of the voters, but if their near-miss last week was any indicator, they may have more fans than we think.  Likely in the bottom two; but could get ousted if there’s a miracle pulled off by…

11.) Michael & Chelsie - To quote my good friend Brian, who was texting me during the show: “It’s rare when I actually feel embarassed for someone, but that did it.” Ooh wee – this was painful to watch.  I could tell Chelsie had thrown in the towel when she proposed that Michael come out of a doghouse at the beginning of their routine.  Self-fulfilling prophecy, perhaps? I’m not sure he’s even TRYING at this point…the odd semi-fight with Chelsie just made him seem kinda uptight to me, and I don’t even feel like he’s moving during his performances.  My mom is convinced he’s deliberately trying to get sent home.  I don’t think it was the WORST jive I’ve ever seen on the show (Master P’s will forever be the worst in my eyes), but it’s damn near close.  Without doing the detailed math (I’ll leave that to Heidi), these two are gonna have to pull off a voting miracle in order to overcome the ridiculous point spread – and while I think Michael still may make women want to doff their undergarmets, I’m not sure its enough to counteract such a terrible score.  I’m actually kinda hoping these two go home – it’s hard for me to watch Michael looked pained out on the floor, and it’s hard for me to see Chelsie have to put up with it.  Sayonara, Bolton.

Ok folks, what say you? Will Michael make it out of the doghouse to foxtrot next week? Will Marge & Louis’ cautious routine be their undoing? Will Jenougher get the encore – can they even make it through a repeat performance? Will the Cheesecake Awards be epic? Let me answer that last one: YES. :-D

September 27, 2010 I Written By

Ultrasound sales specialist by day, semi-knowledgeable DWTS fan by night...with a smattering of hair & makeup enthusiast, occasional model, and crazy cat lady peppered in to make things REALLY interesting ;-) I might pee my pants in happiness if Donnie Wahlberg ever does DWTS - or if they ever use "Sunglasses at Night" as a paso doble. Check out some of my other work at pureamericasgottalent.com!

DWTS 11 Stat Class – Week 2

One week has come and gone… and with it a celeb. The Hoff, it seems, couldn’t cut the rug. And I was so hoping that he would stick around a bit longer. Ah well.

From the judges’ comments of last Monday’s show, we know that the Jive or the Quickstep would be performed this week. But who is dancing what? Well considering it is only the second week, I’m going to go out on a limb and say that whoever did the Viennese Waltz last week will perform the Jive this week, and those that performed the ChaCha last week will have the Quickstep this week…

QUICKSTEP
Florence Henderson & Corky Ballas
Since Corky has yet to show his prowess with the Quickstep, we are going to attempt to use data from more “mature” actresses.
- Tony & Jane Seymour (Season 5/Week 7): 24/30
- Fabian & Marlee Matlin (Season 6/Week 2): 24/30
- Damian & Pamela Anderson (Season 10/Week 5): 21/30
Predicted Score: 20/30

Kyle Massey & Lacey Schwimmer
- Lacey & Lance Bass (Season 7/Week 1): 21/30
- Lacey & Mark Decascos (Season 9/Week 2): 21/30
With so little information… how did the other Disney related folks do?
- Louis & Monique Coleman (Season 3/Week 7): 27/30
- Mark & Sabrina Bryan (Season 5/Week 2): 23/30
- Julianne & Cody Linley (Season 7/Week 1): 23/30
Predicted Score: 22/30

Bristol Palin & Mark Ballas
- Mark & Sabrina Bryan (Season 5/Week 2): 23/30
- Mark & Kristi Yamaguchi (Season 6/Week 8): 29/30
- Mark & Shawn Johnson (Season 8/Week 9): 27/30
Again, with so little info, let’s so how some of the “celebs” in the “others” group have fared…
- Kym & Penn Jilette (Season 6/Week 2): 17/30
- Karina & Steve Wozniak (Season 8/Week 2): 17/30
Predicted Score: 21/30

Audrina Patridge & Tony Dovolani
- Tony & Stacy Keibler (Season 2/Week 7): 27/30
- Tony & Jane Seymour (Season 5/Week 7): 24/30
- Tony & Marissa Jaret Winokur (Season 6/Week 2): 21/30
- Tony & Susan Lucci (Season 7/Week 1): 22/30
- Tony & Melissa Rycroft (Season 8/Week 10): 28/30
- Tony & Kathy Ireland (Season 9/Week 2): 18/30
Predicted score: 23/30

Mike Sorrentino & Karina Smirnoff
- Karina & Mario Lopez (Season 3/Week 2): 21/30
- Karina & Billy Ray Cyrus (Season 4/Week 2): 21/30
- Karina & Floyd Mayweather Jr (Season 5/Week 2): 18/30
- Karina & Mario (Season 6/Week 2): 26/30
- Karina & Steve Wozniak (Season 8/Week 2): 17/30
- Karina & Aaron Carter (Season 9/Week 2): 27/30
Predicted score: 22/30

JIVE
Michael Bolton & Chelsie Hightower
- Chelsie & Ty Murray (Season 8/Week 6): 18/30
- Chelsie & Louie Vito (Season 9/Week 2): 19/30
- Chelsie & Jake Pavelka (Season 10/Week 2): 20/30
To help with predicting this score… let’s look at more “mature” singers/entertainers…
- Kym & Donny Osmond (Season 9/Week 2): 25/30
Predicted score: 19/30

Margaret Cho & Louis van Amstel
- Louis & Lisa Rinna (Season 2/Week 3): 15/30
- Louis & Monique Coleman (Season 3/Week 3): 27/30
- Louis & Kelly Osbourne (Season 9/Week 8): 26/30
- Louis & Niecy Nash (Season 10/Week 5): 18/30
Predicted score: 20/30

Rick Fox & Cheryl Burke
- Cheryl & Drew lachey (Season 2/Week 3): 27/30
- Cheryl & Emmitt Smith (Season 3/Week 6): 25/30
- Cheryl & Ian Ziering (Season 4/Week 3): 24/30
- Cheryl & Cristian de la Fuente (Season 6/Week 3): 25/30
- Cheryl & Maurice Greene (Season 7/Week 3): 24/30
- Cheryl & Gilles Marini (Season 8/Week 6): 26/30
- Cheryl & Chad Ochocinco (Season 10/Week 8): 24/30
Predicted score: 24/30

Jennifer Grey & Derek Hough
- Derek & Jennie Garth (Season 5/Week 8): 24/30
- Derek & Shannon Elizabeth (Season 6/Week 3): 24/30
- Derek & Brooke Burke (Season 7/Week 9): 21/30
- Derek & Lil Kim (Season 8/Week 6): 28/30
- Derek & Joanna Krupa (Season 9/Week 2): 20/30
- Derek & Nicole Scherzinger (Season 10/Week 2): 28/30
Predicted score: 24/30

Brandy & Maksim Chmerkovskiy
- Maksim & Willa Ford (Season 3/Week 3): 22/30
- Maksim & Laila Ali (Season 4/Week 8): 26/30
- Maksim & Mel B (Season 5/Week 3): 27/30
- Maksim & Erin Andrews (Season 10/Week 5): 22/30
Predicted score: 23/30

Kurt Warner & Anna Trebunskaya
- Anna & Jerry Rice (Season 2/Week 3): 19/30
- Anna & Evan Lysacek (Season 10/Week 2): 24/30
Let’s add in the other NFLers… =D
- Cheryl & Emmitt Smith (Season 3/Week 6): 25/30
- Edyta & Jason Taylor (Season 6/Week 3): 23/30
- Kym & Warren Sapp (Season 7/Week 8): 26/30
- Edyta & Lawrence Taylor (Season 8/Week 6): 22/30
- Cheryl & Chad Ochocinco (Season 10/Week 8): 24/30
Predicted score: 22/30

So how did I do? Stay tuned for the show tonight and find out!

I Written By

My life can be summed up in the following two quotes: 1) "I am married to engineering and am its faithful wife by day, but at night my wanderlust takes hold and the arts becomes my jealous paramour." and... 2) "Engineering is my safety net. Writing is my passion. Acting is my escape when the other two become too much." So where does dancing fit in? Pretty much anywhere at this point... =)

DWTS 11 Week 1 Power Rankings

WOW.  I don’t think I’ve ever been this dazzled by the first show of the season! Honestly, while there were some big surprises, both good and bad (Kyle for the former, Margaret for the latter), the playing field really does seem like the most level it’s ever been – those that didn’t score as high still seem to have potential for improvement, and those that scored well seem like they will continue to do well.  I’m really, REALLY pumped to see how this season shapes up :-D But on with the rankings!

1.) Jennifer & Derek – It’s been quite some time since a dance on DWTS got me a little misty-eyed – and this one definitely did.  I will admit, I initially kinda groaned when I heard that they were doing a song from Dirty Dancing – I believe my out loud words were “Wow, how original of them.” But it really did work for them, and the vulnerability and connection that Jennifer had to the dance were what really sold it for me.  It really was as if Jennifer were waltzing with a shade of Patrick when she was floating around the floor with Derek – and homegirl is GOOD.  Few minor stutters here and there, but overall very fluid and nice to watch.  And man – both Derek & Maks managed to create some SEXY Viennese waltzes tonight! I loved the little bit at the beginning with the dress straps…reminded me of the movie when Johnny & Baby dirty dance in the cabin before hitting the sheets, and the strands of lights were like Kellerman’s all over again.  Overall, I think these two slightly edged out Brandy & Maks for the top spot – they got the better running order position, and a slightly higher score.  Plus I think voters will really feel for Jennifer, and that will spur them to vote.  Really, really excited to see more from these two.

2.) Brandy & Maks – I kid you not – I literally got to a point in the middle of their waltz when I was like “Damn, Maks is hot!” These are words that have never before passed my lips, but man – that waltz was at the same time both romantic & seductive, and both Maks and Brandy showed a lovely vulnerability which really drew me in.  I’m loving this kinder, gentler, calmer Maks…I’m not quite sure what happened in the off-season, but whatever it is, I’m a-likin’ it ;-) Brandy is just an absolute doll – very likeable. I really do feel like she’s there to work, while still enjoying herself – and the girl can move well, so I really do think she may be Maks’ best shot at the trophy so far (yes, even better than Mel B.!).  Nice, fluid waltz, but what I think I liked the most is that Maks really did load it up with a lot of nuts & bolts Viennese steps – no fussing with props or clothes, just really good dancing infused with a good amount of emotion.  I hope he continues to create dances like these this season, because if he can keep it up – I really do see these two winning.  They had a pretty good running order position (top of the 2nd hour) and a solid score, so I don’t see these two being in any danger of going home tomorrow…thank goodness, because I’m really excited to see more from them as well!

3.) Rick & Cheryl – I just cannot get over how good these two look together.  Seriously – they look like a United Colors of Benetton ad or something.  Just BEAUTIFUL.  And to the naysayers who said Rick’s height was going to be an issue – the man had far better posture than a lot of the average height men I’ve seen on DWTS, and if there’s anyone on the show that can really cope with a height difference well – it’s definitely Cheryl.  These two will be definite competition for both Brandy & Maks and Jennifer & Derek this season, especially if Rick can do as well in the Latin dances as he does in the ballroom ones.  Only one complaint (and it actually has nothing to do with Rick or Cheryl): who the hell said that Rick & Cheryl’s music was “This Ain’t a Love Song”? That’s one lyric in the great “Cryin’” by Aerosmith, silly gooses! :-P Anywho, they didn’t have a great running order position, but they’re only one point away from both Brandy & Maks and Kyle & Lacey, and if all the ladies in America go as gaga over Rick as Carrie Ann the Cougar did…well, then we’re going to be seeing a lot more of Rick ;-)

4.) Kyle & Lacey – This kid was the biggest surprise of the night for me.  I was seriously expecting this kid to really stink – but man, he’s pretty damn good, and he oozes personality from every pore. Definitely wins my showmanship award for the evening…he’s FEARLESS.  Reminds me of Warren Sapp and how much of a performer he was from the get-go: not afraid to make mistakes, but totally committed and totally having fun.  Lacey was being Lacey – very in-your-face choreography, lots of attitude both on and off the floor – but it did seem to pay off for them, and maybe it was Lacey’s spunk that spurred Kyle to do so well. They were definitely fun to watch. However, I do have 3 concerns about this couple: one, Kyle still has a pretty small fanbase – one that pales in comparison to some of the voting powerhouses this season.  Two, he’s extremely entertaining, but I’m not sure his technique is as good as Brandy’s, Jennifer’s, or Rick’s – I daresay he got a bit sloppy at times tonight.  Three – I’m honestly a little worried that the combination of he, Lacey, and their collective abundance of energy may just put people off after awhile.  I’m hoping that they can reign it in a bit for the ballroom dances, because if Kyle’s natural ability at the Latin dances carries over to it, he could very well bump Rick out of the finale.  I think these two will be safe this week – despite a crappy running order, and a small fanbase, there were fortunately (for him) other couples that really didn’t do well this week, while he held his own.

5.) David & Kym – Again, I reiterate: do I think the Hoff is a great dancer? HELL TO THE NO.  But if my suspicions are correct about America, they will latch onto the biggest hot mess they can find on the show and keep him/her around for awhile.  And I definitely think the hot mess of the evening was none other than the Hoff – that cha-cha was honestly painful to watch, at times.  He almost moves rather…I don’t know, geriatrically? Kinda hunched over and low-energy, and it reminded me of Buzz last season.  It was ok for Buzz; but it’s rather off-putting on a much younger man like David.  But he is a ham, and people like hamminess.  Thank goodness for Kym’s patience and choreography that minimized David’s sloppiness – and for looking SMOKIN’ HOT.  Both Heidi & I admitted girl crushes on her over Twitter tonight.  Great costume, great hair – Kym was the sex bomb in this dance, not David! I daresay their scores won’t be what’s keeping them in this week, but rather David’s massive fanbase, coupled with the coveted pimp spot will render them safe for next week. 

6.) Audrina & Tony – Audrina was no real surprise for me – she was about as good as I had predicted she’d be.  Pretty, sweet girl with a great body, but a definite awkward mover who’s not quite comfortable moving her body yet.  Wish I had more to say, but unfortunately this pair was very middle of the road for me this week – not great, but not bad, and so early in the show that I’m having a hard time remembering a lot of their routine.  I’ll have to rewatch it later to really get a feel for Audrina. I do remember a lot of blank, petrified stares from Audrina though – hopefully something that will diminish as the competition wears on.  I think these two are safe based solely on the fact that they went first, and that there are other couples who did much worse than they did.

7.) Florence & Corky – Is it just me, or was Florence just kinda acting bizarre tonight? Definitely not the demure Flo I remember from The Surreal Life on VH1 a few years back…I can’t help but feel like she’s trying to channel Cloris’ wild antics in order to be more memorable.  It just feels awkward to me.  Was a little disappointed with this cha-cha – felt very robotic and stuttery to me, and I feel like Flo could’ve handled some more meat & potatoes cha-cha steps.  Corky seems downright tame this season. Not gonna lie – I kinda miss crazy, attention fiend Corky a little bit.  I’m left just feeling kinda weird about this couple – I didn’t really like them, but I think they’ll do better if they stick around longer.  I think the “geriatric” vote will come through for them this week – but man, I really hope they step their game up, because this was just odd.

8.) Bristol & Mark – I really do have to give Bristol props – she may not be a performer, but she got out there, gave it an honest try, and actually seemed to enjoy herself while she was at it.  And really – she wasn’t the worst cha-cha of the evening.  Miles ahead of Kate, in my opinion. Was really surprised at how well she seemed to get along with Mark – he’s so extroverted and she seems very shy, so I was surprised that they seemed to meet somewhere in the middle and mesh well.  She is terribly shy, but I do feel like part of the voting population is gonna sympathize with her, and may even start to like her.  Luckily, she’s got Mark’s fanbase on her side, and again, she’s got the virtue of having several couples that did much worse than she did. She oughta be around next week, and I’m actually kinda looking forward to watching her.

9.) Kurt & Anna – Yes, this was a very awkward, shuffly waltz.  But for what Kurt lacks in ability, he seriously makes up for in charm – I feel like he’s the nicest guy on the show this season, and he’s articulate and calm when he’s speaking.  Just a wonderful energy from Kurt…now let’s hope Anna can just polish the technique part! I really do think Kurt’s nerves got the best of him tonight, and he will likely be much better if he sticks around next week (I think he will).  And he and Anna just look really good together…another very well-matched couple, physically.  Running order didn’t really do them any favors, but I do think they were (fortunately for them) overscored a bit, which should keep them safe…that and the powerhouse NFL fanbase.

10.) The Situation & Karina – Ok, this was a good cha-cha – for only having 5 days to rehearse it. If he had performed the same thing after 3 weeks of practice, I would have labeled him the worst of the night.  I’m still on the fence as to whether people are going to categorize him as “cocky” or just “charismatic”, but one thing’s for sure – he’s pretty entertaining off the floor.  Loved the banter with Karina in practice, as well as with Len at the judges table.  I really do think he could get much better, given enough time to actually learn a dance – I’m sure nerves were a contributing factor for him as well this evening.  And I really do think he and Karina are a good match – he seems to respect her, and she thinks he’s funny without putting up with too much goofing around. These two could be in the bottom 2, but since certain couples really didn’t do so well this week, I could see one of them getting sent home over him. 

11.) Michael & Chelsie – Poor Michael – just a terribly awkward mover, and nerves really seemed to get to him.  I’m afraid I have to scold Chelsie a bit for more or less dancing around him – then again, I’m not sure he could do much more than just “be there” for her as she spun around.  I think the biggest problem Michael’s gonna have is that he’s not the most personable guy…he kinda came off as a bit cold and introverted when Brooke was interviewing him, and he seems to have a very dry sense of humor, which I personally enjoy, but voters might not like.  Do I think he deserves to be the one going home tomorrow? No, but he could be.  If he does stick around, I hope he’s able to pull out a bit more personality, because I don’t think his dance skills (or lack thereof) are going to take him very far in this competition.

12.) Margaret & Louis – These two started out decently strong…and then totally blew it.  Louis, Louis, Louis – why oh why did you throw legit dancing out the window and resort to slapstick humor this early in the competition?! One of my cardinal rules of DWTS: don’t buck the establishment really early on in the competition – just play by the rules and do well for the first 3 weeks or so, and then you can go ahead with the rule breaking and “mucking about”.  This wasn’t a Viennese waltz; this was one big tacky wardrobe malfunction.  Kinda disappointed in Louis for selling Margaret short in the choreo department.  Low score, bad running order, routine that just kinda confused people…I think these two are almost guaranteed to head home tomorrow.

And with that, the first performance show of the year is over! Who do you think is gonna get the encore? Who’s safe? Who’s headed home? Talk to me, people! :-D

September 20, 2010 I Written By

Ultrasound sales specialist by day, semi-knowledgeable DWTS fan by night...with a smattering of hair & makeup enthusiast, occasional model, and crazy cat lady peppered in to make things REALLY interesting ;-) I might pee my pants in happiness if Donnie Wahlberg ever does DWTS - or if they ever use "Sunglasses at Night" as a paso doble. Check out some of my other work at pureamericasgottalent.com!

DWTS Season 11 – Changes, As Per Usual

I saw this article a few days ago, but work has been such a nightmare that I’ve not had as much time to post random bits I find. Then I nearly forgot about it!! But then we were just discussing in the comments how every single season the producers feel this inexplicable need to tinker. Tinker, tinker, tinker. Pretty sure this comes from a press release, but The Examiner doesn’t provide a link – for that reason, take it with a tiny grain of salt…or hope it’s not true?? I dunno, some of these might be interesting. And at least by putting them out there NOW, no one can cry that their favorite is being conspired against. :-) From The Examiner:

Other than its new cast of diverse celebrities, ABC has announced even more changes for the new season of Dancing With the Stars. “We’re trying to make the show more like a real ballroom dance competition,” says executive producer Conrad Green. So, how does ABC plan on shaking up a show that scored monster ratings last season? Here’s a look at what’s new for season eleven of Dancing With the Stars:

• Rock Night: This new themed night will feature classic rock and roll. All of the teams will dance to the tunes of classic rockers, like The Rolling Stones, The Beatles, The Eagles, Elvis Pressley, Queen, Chicago and others.
• A Striped-down Acoustic Night: The audience will be seated on the dance floor to make it a more intimate setting.
• Instant Choreography Challenge: The couples will practice their assigned style of dance all week, but they won’t get their music until 20 minutes before they have to go out and perform.

I think we all know where the “Acoustic Night” came from – I certainly hope they are compensating Derek and Chelsie appropriately. :-) I’m all for it – I think their Paso was very powerful for it’s stripped down feel. But can everyone pull it off??

Classic Rock?? No big deal. Now, the Choreography Challenge could either be interesting or a disaster. Some pros seem to ignore the music anyway, but others are very musical. It could negatively impact them.

ETA: Carrie Ann confirms the changes and adds an additional one (which I hate) on The Insider (Video on the site – Thanks to Jennifer):

In addition, Carrie Ann, Len Goodman and Bruno Tonioli will be joined by a fourth judge this season when some of the favorite contestants from the past will join the judging panel. No one is confirmed yet, but the “DWTS” judge says she would like to see Drew Lachey, Emmitt Smith and Jerry Springer, among others, return.

What do you all think??

September 17, 2010 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

First Meeting Footage!! DWTS Season 11

And it is AWESOME.  You can read their write up at TV Squad.com – thanks to Voguerista for the heads up on this one!  Hilarious!!

I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

Miscellaneous Media – September 16, 2010

Maks and Brandy on ET – I sure like Brandy. She might even get me to be more positive about Maks. :-)

Tony and Audrina on Lopez Tonight – I dunno people, she’s like Joanna part deux. Can she make it to the final four??

Kurt and Anna on one of the local ABC affiliates. Joker reported clearly doesn’t see dancing as a sport.

Bwahahahahaha….this guy might actually entertain me way more than annoy me. :-)

Karina and the Sitch

Chelsie/Michael and Kurt/Anna on Entertainment Tonight

Rick and Cheryl – he looks pretty good. He and Kurt both look a tad stiff, but I bet that goes away.

Margaret seems cool. Don’t know how she’ll do as a dancer though.

September 16, 2010 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)