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Dancing With The Stars 12 – Costumers And Stylists ‘Get Personal’ For Week 3

What a week it was for beautiful costuming. In my opinion, Randall Christensen and his crew outdid themselves. He explains how he was inspired for making some of the costumes even more personal to match their stories at Stylist. Note how Kirstie is nursing an injury.

Petra Nemcova: The long-legged Czech supermodel, who barely survived the 2004 Indian Ocean tsunami, vaulted to the top of the leader board, performing a soulful waltz she dedicated to child survivors of natural disasters.

For her top-scoring waltz, Christensen created a dreamy costume that featured an inventive dual-textured bra top. One side was encrusted with Aurora Borealis crystals, while the other was painstakingly hand-ruched. Layers of sheer, pale-blue chiffon gave the frock an ethereal quality. Nemcova and professional partner Dmitry Chaplin “had visions of Petra standing in the clouds so the light-blue fabric was the natural choice to signify an angel above the sky.”

Nemcova is the founder of the Happy Hearts Fund, which builds schools and shelters for children impacted by cataclysmic events.

Kirstie Alley: Despite crashing on the ballroom floor with injured partner Maksim Chmerkovskiy, Alley’s pale-gray rumba costume — and near flawless recovery — kept her looking good. The former “Cheers” actress worked closely with Christensen to conceive the design for her floaty dress to outfit a performance inspired by the “agony and ecstasy” of losing her mother in a drunk-driving-related car accident within days of getting her first major movie role, in “Star Trek II: The Wrath of Khan.”

“The fluted jersey panels added the sense of speed to her movements while accentuating her hip action, whereas the chiffon overlay softened her every move,” Christensen explains.

Meanwhile, our friends at PopEater report Alley is also nursing an injury.

Hines Ward: The NFL wide receiver scored big again with a sexy samba and, yes, the banana yellow of the trim of his black, sleeveless shirt and partner Kym Johnson’s buoyant two-piece bedazzled ensemble was Ward’s nod to Pittsburgh Steelers nation. “Hines not only nailed it, he showed how much fun he is having with that look and performance,” says Christensen.

Kendra Wilkinson: For her “prelude to the bedroom” rumba, Christensen trimmed the red, silk-bed-sheet-inspired overlay of her bedazzled leotard after a weekend fitting to show off her phenomenal legs, back and hips. Red is a color Wilkinson rarely wears, but “there was just enough blue in it to show off her eyes.”

Chelsea Kane: After their quirky jive was lampooned last week by the judges, the Disney star and partner Mark Ballas asked Christensen for a more traditional ballroom look, “just to show their commitment to winning.” Tradition came in the form of a bedazzled bra top and super-short, gold-fringe mini. “Chelsea was all about a hot, flirty, beaded costume, and we just went from there,” he said.

Melanie Mills, head make-up artist for the show, gave Hollywood Life some backstage secrets on the celebrities and the grueling process they go through as well to get ready for showtime.

Petra Nemcova is “so elegant, so sweet, so kind, just lovely. She’s a fabulous beauty but very humble.”

Kirstie Alley is “a fun, crazy gal. She’s hilarious and a hoot to be around and have fun with.”

Wendy Williams is “sophisticated but fun, and has a lot to say about everything! She loves her makeup and wants it piled on. One cute thing about her is as the makeup starts to get completed she almost starts to purr, she gets so excited! She’s been taking fun pictures of herself through process and Tweeting them–she loves the process.”

Kendra Wilkinson is “so cool and really down to earth. She’s a tomboy. She’s really nice and loves her baby and her husband, and has really been missing her baby lately. Her husband [Hank Baskett] is so cute, too– he comes in and they’re just adorable together. She’s really into the competition and wants to win!”

Melanie explains the grueling process of getting dancers ready for the competition: “They all get three to four hours of hair and makeup every day– half go into hair for an hour and half go into makeup, and they’re practicing in between.”

Why all the hair and makeup? Since the outfits are so wild (glitter and bright colors!), Melanie explains that “you have to balance the outfits– if you don’t have makeup on you look absolutely naked.” To keep the process fun, Melanie creates a festive atmosphere in the makeup trailer: “We have music pumping, we’re dancing– we create a fun environment in there!”

Melanie also explained how she did Kendra and Wendy’s make-up in more detail to In-Style.

Since Wilkinson was dancing the romantic rumba, Mills kept her makeup soft and sultry. “We toned down the over-the-top diva look that we’ve been doing the last few weeks and instead went for a soft bedroom eye,” she told us. Mills swept amber shadow from Anastasia’s Illumin8 Complex eye shadow palette No. 5 ($40, sephora.com) across the entire lid, and then rimmed her eyes with black pencil and finished with tons of lifting mascara. A few dabs of highlighter on the star’s cheekbones and chin warmed her complexion and added a touch of light, as seen on Mills’ face chart (inset). See Wendy Williams’ look after the jump!

Wendy Williams had a different inspiration. “Wendy Williams’ look for the Foxtrot was inspired by Jessica Rabbit,” Mills said. By layering brown shadow on the lid, the makeup artist kept the look innocent, while shimmery black shadow underneath the lower lashline and along the crease added a smudgy, sexy appeal.

What an outstanding effort by everyone behind the scenes. No tables were left unturned and Petra gets my vote for the best costume. Who gets yours?

Picture above of Kirstie from the Dancing With The Stars Make-up Facebook page. Visit the link to see more.

April 6, 2011 I Written By

"Dance is the hidden language of the soul" ~ Martha Graham. That's what DWTS makes me think of every Monday night. To read more about me and my other interests, see Lisa Kay Photography. You can also follow me at Voguerista Twitter & Voguerista Soundcloud.

DWTS Season 12, Week 3 – Dancing by the Numbers

Oy veh. Another crazy night of scoring. As much as I love Petra as a person, and like Kendra too, you can’t tell me that their dances were that many points better than Ralph or Chris, or even Chelsea. It’s weeks like this where I have to wonder if the judges are trying really, really hard to manipulate who’s going home. Why do I say that? Well…gee, let’s take a look at the scoring. It seems clear, to me. The question is, will it work? 🙂

The Judges Scores and Percentages

Place Celebrity Score Percentage
1. Hines 25 11.68
2. Petra 25 11.68
3. Chelsea 23 10.75
4. Kendra 23 10.75
5. Ralph 21 9.81
6. Kirstie 21 9.81
7. Chris 21 9.81
8. Romeo 20 9.35
9. Sugar Ray 20 9.35
10. Wendy 15 7.01

As you can see, Wendy is scored WAY below the other contestants – she’s five points below the next celebrities! That is 23,365 votes per million votes cast! I don’t disagree with that at all. It’s the scoring of the other contestants where things get hinky. 🙂 Specifically, Petra and Kendra – overscored, as much as I like both of them. Anyway…

I think that Kirstie Alley’s likely the safest of them all after watching Maks get injured and then soldiering through so brilliantly. Way to Go!! Maks looked to be in pretty serious pain and even at the end of the show he was favoring the one leg and not putting weight on it. I hope like hell he’s not badly hurt, but I worry. Usually the pros on this show don’t let it show as much as Maks did, which makes me think he was really hurting. I’ve got my fingers and toes crossed for him and Kirstie that he’s not hurt too badly. Regardless, I think they are safe.

I also think that Hines, Ralph, Chris and Chelsea are also safe, not so much on the scoring, but on my perception of their popularity combined with the voting. Hines, Ralph and Chris in particular seem like they would be very popular. Hines and Ralph for sure, Chris possibly less so. Chelsea is likely the fourth of the four, but she’s got some time to ramp up the competition. Keep in mind that my analysis has less to do with actual dance ability, but more the scoring combined with my feel at the end of the night for who is connecting with the audience. Of course, the overscoring of Petra and Kendra play into this as well.

Does anyone honestly think that Kendra was 2 points better than Ralph and Chris? How about Petra being 2 points better than Chelsea and 4 points better than Ralph, Chris and Kirstie?? Seriously. Even if you are a die hard fan of Dmitry and Petra…4 points? Don’t get me wrong – I adore Petra. I think she might be an angel. Someone whose outside matches her inside perfectly. And her dance wasn’t bad, or terribly flawed – just not as good, emotionally or technically, as the others. There is no way in HELL that she should have outscored the people she did by as much as she did. Not to mention the fact that her feet came off the floor at least 3 times and Carrie Ann was conveniently blind. I can see missing one lift…but three?? The conspiracy theorist in me is screaming right about now.

Look at the scoring – you’ve got Kendra and Petra who are two not horrible but not great dancers scoring higher than those that I consider to be more entertaining and better dancers, and you’ve got Wendy way down at 15 points. Now, if you think Kendra and Petra are overscored, but others scored about right, it certainly appears that the judges are protecting Kendra and Petra from Wendy’s voting fanbase – giving them a bit of a safety net that Kirstie, Ralph, Hines and Chris may not need. Honestly, I can’t figure any other reason that Petra and Kendra end up towards the top of the pack. I think they are trying to set Wendy up to leave. I don’t have a problem with that, per se, but I do kinda have a problem with them propping up dancers just to keep them around. They did that last season and we all remember what happened there. 🙂

As it stands right now, Wendy would need about 47k votes per million votes cast to beat Petra and about 37.5k votes per million cast to beat Kendra. If Petra and Kendra were scored down at 21 with Kirstie, Ralph and Chris, Wendy would only need 28k plus votes to stay over one of them. And if the stories about her fanbase are to be believed, then she could probably do it. But those extra points provide them some protection – an 19k vote cushion if you will. 🙂

So, now, it appears more likely that Wendy, Ray or Romeo is the one in danger. For Wendy to stay she would need to do one of the following:
– Get 23,400 more votes per million votes cast than Ray, or;
– Get 23,400 more votes per million votes cast than Romeo, OR;
– Get 28,100 more votes per million votes cast than either Kirstie, Ralph or Chris
– And so on with the other contestants upwards of 37,400 votes…

Honestly, I think it’s Wendy’s time to go. I hear too much complaining about her on twitter and in the comments here. Her fanbase would have to be massive and I think tonight we will find out. IF Wendy manages to stay, then it may be Romeo – based solely on his age and the likelihood that his fanbases is a voting one.

We find out tonight!!

April 5, 2011 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

DWTS Season 12, Week 3 – Who’s Dancing What…and When?

Okay, this could be one crazy week, for sure. 🙂 The celebs are telling a story that’s personal to them? Oh dear. This rarely bodes well. I can’t say that I’m a fan of this theme. But then, most of you know I’m not a fan of themes in general, although I did like the acoustic night that wasn’t. That will probably be the one they don’t do again. 🙂

Now, does someone want to explain to me why we get FIVE rumbas and a hodgepodge (tm Len) for the remaining dances?? What on earth? It’s only week 3, it’s not like they’re running out of dances. Someone clue me in here. I can’t even guess what is going on – at first I thought all the top dancers were getting rumba and everyone else was getting something that played to their strengths. But then I saw that Hines has Samba and Chelsea has Cha Cha – arguably dances that will play to their strengths. They included Kendra in with the rumbas, so that also shot that theory. So, are Ralph and Kirstie so dominating the voting that they were given the rumba, while Hines and Chelsea need a little help so they got more uptempo dances? Same principle applies to Ray? The waltz definitely benefits Petra better than a Samba or a Rumba would. The only explanation I can come up with for this random set up is that it’s not random at all and it’s a bit of deck stacking to level the playing field – or attempting to. After all they got SO much attention with “shocking” eliminations…lord, I’m such a cynic. 🙂 Hey…anyone got a better explanation?? Back in the day, 3 years ago, they had two dances and you did one or the other. 🙂

Ralph and Karina – Rumba
Voting Number: 1.800.VOTE4.08

Kenda and Louis – Rumba – Dancing 4th per Louis
Voting Number: 1.800.VOTE4.07

Chelsea and Mark – Cha Cha Cha
Voting Number: 1.800.VOTE4.01

Wendy and Tony – Foxtrot – Dancing 1st (Per Wendy’s twitter – Thanks Greg)
Voting Number: 1.800.VOTE4.02

Kirstie and Maks – Rumba- Dancing 9th, per Maks’ twitter
Voting Number: 1.800.VOTE4.11

Romeo and Chelsie – Rumba
Voting Number: 1.800.VOTE4.05

Chris and Cheryl – Rumba –Dancing 3rd per Cheryl’s twitter
Voting Number: 1.800.VOTE4.09

Hines and Kym – Samba
Voting Number: 1.800.VOTE4.03

Sugar Ray and Anna – Paso Doble – Dancing 8th Per Anna’s facebook (thanks Suzanne)
Voting Number: 1.800.VOTE4.06

Petra and Dmitry – Waltz
Voting Number: 1.800.VOTE4.04

Now for some girl bonding. 🙂

Chelsea has her eye on the prize…

April 3, 2011 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

DWTS 12 – Dancing With The Stars Backgrounds and Time Warps (Videos)

Good Morning America did a cool spread on the dancing couples before they hit the dance floor. It shows them were they just little to now….including some of our pros. Really cute.

On a related note, Len Goodman explains why all three judges are important with each of their backgrounds and how it makes the judging panel unique as a whole. He explains why he wants the couples to stick to the rules of Ballroom dancing versus all the modern-day theatrics. Carrie Ann and Bruno explain their dancing backgrounds before they did the show and what think is important when judging as well.

March 30, 2011 I Written By

"Dance is the hidden language of the soul" ~ Martha Graham. That's what DWTS makes me think of every Monday night. To read more about me and my other interests, see Lisa Kay Photography. You can also follow me at Voguerista Twitter & Voguerista Soundcloud.

DWTS 2011 – The Dancing With The Stars Cast After The Results Show Week 2 (Videos)

PopTVDotCom has a fun video up of some the cast out on the town after the results show. Check out what Tom Bergeron’s says about the “Deer Hunting Lights” and the “Velcro suit”. LOL. Maks is a hoot too for what he says on making babies with Kirstie.

Edit To Add: Here are a couple of more videos of the stars after the show being interviewed by the paparazzi. These are good too!

I Written By

"Dance is the hidden language of the soul" ~ Martha Graham. That's what DWTS makes me think of every Monday night. To read more about me and my other interests, see Lisa Kay Photography. You can also follow me at Voguerista Twitter & Voguerista Soundcloud.

Dancing With The Stars 2011 – Costume Designer Wanted To Interpret Icons Ginger Rogers, Veronica Lake, and Donna Reed

And I’d say he did just THAT! Stylist has a new article up for how Randall Christensen came up with the “retro” costuming this week. Here is take, but, be sure to read more at the link.

Kirstie Alley: Just two weeks into the competition, Christensen says he’s already altering dresses to make them smaller for the former “Fat Actress” star who has pledged to shed 40 pounds dancing. Such was the case with the sublime ballgown he designed in a peachy shade of Alley’s choosing. “Kirstie is a wonderful example of how hard work and dedication will pay off with a more sleek body,” he says. “Dancing just makes the body more toned, which forces the costumes to be taken in and in and in!”

Kendra Wilkinson: Christensen let Ginger Rogers inspire Wilkinson’s royal blue and fuchsia ballgown with elbow length hand-dyed gloves. Despite the Playmate’s fears of not seeming lady-like, “I actually think Kendra channeled some of that Old Hollywood glamor,” Christensen says. “Because of that she had a wonderful payoff this week.”

Ralph Macchio: Christensen’s team sewed more than 10,000 hematite crystals on the former “Karate Kid’s” bedazzzled jacket.

Petra Nemcova: The model, once again, played an active role in designing the red and yellow vintage-inspired dress and wide-brimmed hat that was a nod to Brinkley’s turn in ex-husband Billy Joel’s “Uptown Girl” music video. Nemcova ripped the dress skirt off mid-jive to reveal her model frame. “We had to have a hot and sexy skirt for the reveal and what’s hotter than a red mini-skirt with tons of beaded fringe?”

Below are some pictures of the Dancing With The Stars Hair Team getting Karina and Petra ready for Monday night.

So, if you had to pick your favorite costumes this week, which would they be? My faves were Kenda and Kym!!

I Written By

"Dance is the hidden language of the soul" ~ Martha Graham. That's what DWTS makes me think of every Monday night. To read more about me and my other interests, see Lisa Kay Photography. You can also follow me at Voguerista Twitter & Voguerista Soundcloud.

DWTS Season 12, Week 2 – Dancing by the Numbers

Well, a little bit of a shake up on the leader board – the top three and the bottom two remain the same, but a bit of juggling in the middle. Last week, Chelsea was solidly in 4th place, but she has fallen to 6th place due to out of the box choreography by Mark – as predicted in the comments by yours truly. It didn’t help her that others upped their game. Great dance, not enough Jive – where have I heard that before? 🙂 At least Len’s a tiny bit consistent – although he let that monkey thing go last season. Still haven’t gotten over that. Where was I…?

The Judges Scores and Percentages

Place Celebrity Score Percentage
1. Ralph 45 10.61
2. Hines 44 10.38
3. Kirstie 43 10.14
4. Chris 42 9.91
5. Romeo 42 9.91
6. Chelsea 39 9.2
7. Kendra 37 8.73
8. Petra 36 8.49
9. Sugar Ray 34 8.25
10. Wendy 31 7.31
11. Mike 30 7.08

What did I love? As I said before, I thought that Chelsea and Mark’s dance was a great dance but somewhat lacking in Jive content…but my faves are currently the Top 3. I’m afraid I have a mad crush on Ralph AND Hines and I wanna be Kirstie when I grow up. Way to go, girl – lay a big wet one on the goofy Russian. 🙂 Seriously, there is no one I dislike on this cast at all (for now, anyway) and I actually enjoyed most of them for one reason or another.

Hee…someone owes me a drink. Mark did have polka dots (his tie, her panties) and short pants. 🙂 It was different than his norm, but they were still present. Loved Chelsea’s outfit, though, which is VERY unusual for Mark’s Jive costumes. 🙂

Chris jumps up to fourth place!! What an improvement on all fronts – love his British accent too. 🙂 Speaking of accents, how much do I love Kym Johnson?? Talking street with Hines in that little girl Aussie accent. 🙂 Kendra also improved and I thought she looked lovely – and I felt for her tonight. She did go a long way though to busting out of that stereotype the show (and Louis) have been trying to stick her in. Wendy also improved, but Tony put in too much crap at the beginning – took too long for the dance to get started.

Who’s going home?? Well, I’m going to say that Ralph, Hines, Kirstie and Chelsea are safe, no problem. Chelsea got raked by Len which generally means her and Mark’s fans will go insane with the voting. Ralph, Hines and Kirstie just have too much of a spread from Mike to be in any danger at all. Barring shock of shocks, of course.

The person in the greatest danger is, of course, Mike – he of the gorgeous smile.  He improved this week a lot, but he suffers from being relatively unknown. His strength is that he has Lacey as a partner and she’s pretty popular…and he’s gorgeous and funny.  What does he have to do to stick around?  Well, he needs about 2,360 more votes per million votes cast to stay over Wendy. Is this likely? Not really, judging by what people say about Wendy’s fanbase.

So who else could go if Mike gets votes and Wendy does as well?  Well, I think Petra is in a lot more danger than either Sugar Ray or Wendy. It’s the Audrina syndrome all over again, although Audrina was a much better dancer.  Petra, beautiful and sweet, just gets lost in a sea of bigger personalities and her dance was not nearly as good as the judges made it out to be. Her Jive made me think of Shannon Elizabeth – but Dmitry is a lot quieter than Derek. Don’t get me wrong – I love Petra. But I worry for her. What would it take for Petra to leave over the bottom three?? ALL of the following must happen for Petra to leave:

Mike gets 14155 more votes per million votes cast; and

Wendy gets 11800 more votes per million votes cast; and

Ray gets 4728 more votes per million votes cast.

Will this happen? Nah, probably not. 🙂 I think Wendy and Ray can get the votes, but I don’t think Mike can muster it up – at least not that much.  He’s just not well known enough, IMO, to get upwards of 14k more votes than her.

Sooooo….I think this is a fairly easy call: Bye Mike, I will miss your gorgeous smile. 🙂

March 29, 2011 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

DWTS Season 12 Week 2- The Couples Reactions After Their Dance (Videos)

We have some fun interviews after the show from ABC in Los Angeles to share with you with the couples reactions to their second dances and more. This interviewer has to be one of my favorites. He doesn’t ask dumb questions and he seems to really know the show. He seems like a true fan as much as we are. So, let’s get right to it.

Here’s a recap;

Mike and Lacey felt better about their performance. They hope they can continue and build on it, but, Mike’s afraid tonight will be his last night.;

Kirstie wasn’t as pleased with her performance. She thought she could do better. Her and Maks also talk about their spontaneous kiss when asked about it and get embarrassed. They can’t stop laughing. It’s so cute.

Chris is getting more comfortable on the show. They had so much fun and met their goals. Cheryl mentions what an even competition it is this year.

Kym praises Hines for doing so well last night. She’s so proud to have him as a partner. He says he’s going to keep working as hard as he can and doing whatever she says.

Romeo wanted to tackle the criticism from last week and it made him work that much harder. Chelsie was so pleased when Len said they had the best dance of the night.

Petra says she’s having the most fun. She just wants to keep ‘living in the moment’ and ‘dance with a purpose’ as long as she can.

Mark and Chelsea talk about ‘taking a chance’ and they have no regrets even after the judges disapproving of their dance. Mark said their performance felt powerful and really good. He also thinks the judges should have scolded him and not Chelsea. They should have given her the score she deserved. The pop song they gave him inspired him to design the choreography. (after hearing his side, I can definitely understand how he was inspired now)

Kendra wasn’t satisfied with their dance. They plan to keep working hard and Louis says it’s ok to screw up and she needs to get over her fears. Next week he wants to show people how hot her legs are. 😯

Karina couldn’t be more pleased with having Ralph as a partner. He understands her even when she doesn’t speak. Ralph says she pushed him and he is glad and wants to keep being challenged to do his very very best.

Sugar Ray wants to keep working on his technique and getting better. Anna talks about how important it is to “feel” everything he’s learning and the scores will come.

Wendy defends her dance last week and feels she’s been moving in the right direction from the start. But, it’s been a challenge with how busy she is. Tony says we wouldn’t believe how much Wendy has improved since they met and that’s what matters.

Shew! What a night!! I don’t want to see any of them go yet. 🙁

I Written By

"Dance is the hidden language of the soul" ~ Martha Graham. That's what DWTS makes me think of every Monday night. To read more about me and my other interests, see Lisa Kay Photography. You can also follow me at Voguerista Twitter & Voguerista Soundcloud.

DWTS Season 12, Week 2 – Who’s Dancing What…and When?

From what I hear, our week 2 dances are the Quickstep and the Jive. Presumably, those who danced Foxtrot last week will be dancing Jive this week and those who had Cha Cha will be dancing Quickstep. Important to note – each couple keeps the same phone number throughout the competition and they will no longer coincide with dance order (if they did last week…I never checked). The only way we will know dance order is if the celebs or their pros tweet it over the next day or so. Check back here often, I’ll add info as it becomes available.

ETA: Programming Note – President Obama is scheduled to speak at 7:30 pm Eastern time (6:30 Central) and is supposedly going to be done in 30 minutes. This should not impact DWTS. If he goes over, the show is LIIIVE (tm Tom Bergeron) in the Eastern and Central time zones, so I think they can just delay the start of the show by however long he goes over. They delay programming all the time, I see no reason why they wouldn’t tonight.  It should have no impact whatsoever on the Mountain and Pacific time zones, unless they get the President on tape too. 🙂 UPDATE: According to Louis’ Twitter, he’s spoken to the producers and has been assured that the president’s speech will not go over time. Phew!

Ralph and Karina – Jive
Voting Number: 1.800.VOTE4.08

Kenda and Louis – Quickstep
Voting Number: 1.800.VOTE4.07 – dancing 2nd, per Louis’ Twitter.

Chelsea and Mark – Jive
Voting Number: 1.800.VOTE4.01
Poor Chelsea. LOL 🙂

[blackbirdpie url=”http://twitter.com/ChelseaKane/status/50715271178092546″]

Mike and Lacey – Jive
Voting Number: 1.800.VOTE4.10

Wendy and Tony – Quickstep
Voting Number: 1.800.VOTE4.02

Kirstie and Maks – Quickstep
Voting Number: 1.800.VOTE4.11

Romeo and Chelsie – Quickstep
Voting Number: 1.800.VOTE4.05

Chris and Cheryl – Quickstep
Voting Number: 1.800.VOTE4.09

Hines and Kym – Quickstep
Voting Number: 1.800.VOTE4.03

Sugar Ray and Anna – Jive
Voting Number: 1.800.VOTE4.06 – dancing 1st, per Anna’s Twitter.

Petra and Dmitry – Jive
Voting Number: 1.800.VOTE4.04

And we get a tiny hint about “The Troupe” from Peta:

[blackbirdpie url=”http://twitter.com/PetaMurgatroyd/status/52009331213869114″]

March 27, 2011 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

DWTS Season 12, Week 1 – Dancing by the Numbers

A new season, a whole new set of calculating and prognosticating. To anyone new to this site, this is one of the series that we’ve been carrying on for a few seasons now; if you want to read what the calculations were for previous seasons, you should be able to find them by searching “dancing by the numbers”. You can find last season’s starting here —> Dancing by the Numbers Season 11.

Anyway, what I do in this series is calculate the standings according to the rules of DWTS. The way DWTS works is, each dancer is given a score. That score is then divided by the total number of points awarded on that night; that is, all the couple’s scores added together. That yields a percentage for each couple which counts for HALF of their combined score, the audience vote being the other half. The audience vote is handled the same way; the total number of votes cast is divided into the number of votes for a given couple, yielding their percentage of the audience votes. The judges percentage is added to the audience percentage for a combined total score. The couple with the lowest combined score goes home.

Now, we’re talking about first week scores with no elimination in the first week. The couples get a chance to dance again before anyone is eliminated. As a result, this is just a “where we stand before Dance number 2” post – absolutely everything could change after the second dance. Consider this a practice post. 🙂

So, what are our Judges percentages??

Dancers Percentage of the Judges scores

Ralph = 11.54%
Kirstie = 11.06%
Hines = 10.10%
Chelsea = 10.10%
Chris = 9.13%
Romeo = 9.13%
Petra = 8.65%
Sugar Ray = 8.65%
Kendra = 8.65%
Wendy = 6.73%
Mike = 6.25%

Obviously, Mike and Wendy are in the most danger going into week 2. I think Wendy is likely safe based solely on being more well known than Mike is – which is a shame because I found Mike to be relatively funny and definitely cute. Wendy? I dunno, I felt bad for Tony (whether he deserves it or not 🙂 ) because she seems kinda like a mess already.

Barring disaster, Ralph, Kirstie, Hines and Chelsea are likely to be very, very safe. I’m going to guess that their week 2 dances won’t change that. What can change is the middle of the pack and the bottom of the pack; everyone is switching from latin to ballroom or vice versa and the change in style could have a severe impact on the weaker dancers. Of course, if any of the 4 I mentioned crash badly, they’ll be in trouble too – but they benefit from going into week 2 with fairly high scores.

For example, Mike as the low scorer is 3.85% away from Hines and Chelsea, who are tied for 3rd place. This equates to 38.5k votes. As a relative unknown, Mike is unlikely to catch either Hines or Chelsea. Same goes for Ralph and Kirstie.

As for Wendy, the difference between her and Mike is only 0.48%, which equates to 4,810 votes. This is practically equivalent to zero if we were talking about two celebrities who were on equal footing…but we’re not. We’ll have to wait and see how both Mike and Wendy do on dance number 2, but it’s hard for me to believe that Mike, a relative unknown, can make up that differential. Now, if he kicks butt on his next dance and Wendy doesn’t?? All bets are off. 🙂

On to Monday! I usually post my stats on Tuesday morning – check back here to see how we do. 🙂

I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)