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DWTS Season 14 Stats Class: Pre-Season Elimination Predictions

Now that you’ve read / seen where everything ranks at the conclusion of Season 13, how does all that math apply to the Season 14 celebrities?

SHERRI SHEPHERD
Age: 40s
Occupation: Host
Professional Partner: Valentin Chmerkovskiy
Overall Rank: 12 ( 9 – 10 – 11 )
Comments: She’s been heavily promoting herself to get onto the show for the past few seasons (a la Florence Henderson). So this really came as no surprise when she was announced as part of the cast. Having a relatively “new” pro for a partner doesn’t help her much. Those that are known for hosting duties in recent memory have been all over the spectrum depending on the combination. But ABC loves the cross promotion, so with her being part of The View allows ABC to bring in Barbara Walters, Whoopi Goldberg, etc into the audience for Dancing with the Stars as a way to bring A-listers into the fold (a la David Arquette and Courtney Cox Arquette or Kirstie Alley with John Travolta). Granted the cross promotion only works for as long as she’s on the show… so we’ll see how long this lasts.
Conclusion: I don’t necessarily agree with the numbers but this also depends on how everyone else has done.

DONALD DRIVER
Age: 30s
Occupation: NFL
Professional Partner: Peta Murgatroyd
Overall Rank: 11 ( 3 – 1 – 12 )
Comments: NFL players typically do rather well on the show, how I have no idea, maybe because the guys are so bored when the NFL season is over that they turn onto Dancing with the Stars to see which NFL player will be on the show (they’ve been on nine of the thirteen seasons thus far). In the seasons that an NFL star was part of the cast they have placed either at the midway point or higher, how I cannot say… I swear I think the male demographic is much higher than people may at first believe it to be. Two of the winners were NFL stars (Emmitt Smith and Hines Ward). So I’ll be interested to see how far Donald goes in this particular season. Again having a relatively “new” pro doesn’t seem to help his numbers any.
Conclusion: This is another rank that I don’t necessarily agree with the numbers… I guess we’ll wait and see.

MARTINA NAVRATILOVA
Age: 50s
Occupation: Athlete (Tennis)
Professional Partner: Tony Dovolani
Overall Rank: 10 ( 11 – 9 – 9 )
Comments: Athletes – outside of the Olympians – don’t typically fare well and as a tennis player, she is placed firmly in the “athletes” category. The last time there was a tennis player in the cast it was Monica Seles in Season 6 with Jonathan Roberts and she didn’t last, leaving the season within the first couple of weeks. I’m not saying that Martina would follow the same path, because other athletes (Helio – racecar driver, Ty Murray – rodeo, Louie Vito – snowboarding, Hope Solo – Soccer) fared well… Now add Tony into the equation, who hasn’t had the best track record either (especilaly in recent seasons) and it still doesn’t look good. Her age group hasn’t fared well on the show (excepting Jennifer Grey and Donny Osmond)…
Conclusion: I’ll agree with her being ranked relatively low… just how low I don’t know.

JACK WAGNER
Age: 50s
Occupation: Soap Opera Actor
Professional Partner: Anna Trebunskaya
Overall Rank: 9 ( 11 – 3 – 10 )
Comments: I totally fangirled when I realized that he’s going to be on the show. Not because he was/is on a soap opera (The Bold and the Beautiful – one of my favorites) but because he played the title role of Dr Jekyll / Mr Hyde in Frank Wildhorn‘s musical production of Jekyll and Hyde (he did a FAR BETTER than David Hasselhoff), in fact I have a CD of him singing somewhere. In any case, yes, I totally fangirled and as thus I can’t really keep a very objective opinion about him but I’ll try. Soap Opera stars for some odd reason tend to fare well on Dancing with the Stars, frequently going past the midway point of the season (Aiden Turner being the exception). So for me I would rather put him in as an entertainer, but since most people would know him as a soap opera star… he’s stuck, which isn’t bad because soap opera stars tend to do reasonably well on this show for some reason (must be the eye candy).
Conclusion: So me being me and selfish I’m wanting to see him to go past the midway point of the show so I could drool enjoy his dancing

MELISSA GILBERT
Age: 40s
Occupation: Actress
Professional Partner: Maksim Chmerkovskiy
Overall Rank: 8 ( 9 – 12 – 4 )
Comments: Other than Laura Ingalls from the Little House on the Prairie series is there any other iconic roles that Melissa is known for? I know she’s been a fixture in made for tv movies for most of her life, but that doesn’t help someone that doesn’t really watch tv in general (aka moi). Nevertheless actresses in general don’t usually fare well on the show with less than one-third of all actresses going beyond the midway point of the competition… and they tended to be extremely iconic actresses in their adult lives (Jennifer Grey, Kirstie Alley, Jennie Garth, Jane Seymour, Pamela Anderson to name a few). Having Maksim as a partner can be a good thing since overall he has a stronger track record than most pros (outside of Denise Richards and Debi Mazar).
Conclusion: Honestly for me, she’s up the in air… I’m very much on the fence with her.

KATHERINE JENKINS
Age: 30s
Occupation: Singer (Opera)
Professional Partner: Mark Ballas
Overall Rank: 7 ( 3 – 4 – 7 )
Comments: Now if Katherine Jenkins was Vittorio Grigolo I would have jumped on the next plane to Los Angeles and stayed there for the duration of the show just to watch him. Fortunately for Vittorio and my wallet, he’s not going to be doing something like Dancing with the Stars anytime soon, which come to think of it I don’t know why Katherine would participate in the U.S. Dancing with the Stars as opposed to the U.K.’s Strictly Come Dancing… unless she’s trying to break into the U.S. music scene in some way. I mean Dancing with the Stars has been known to be the launch pad of rekindling dying careers, creating new ones, or salvaging careers, so it’s not exactly far off the mark to say that out of everyone in the cast this is probably more of a publicity stunt than anything else, maybe.
Conclusion: Overall she has a semi-decent ranking mix, she’s a bit of an unknown in general. So I’m going to withhold judgment and just say I hope to see her last for a while.

JALEEL WHITE
Age: 30s
Occupation: Actor
Professional Partner: Kym Johnson
Overall Rank: 6 ( 3 – 7 – 6 )
Comments: Ok, I’m a nerd, so I fangirled. In case you were living under a major rock in the 90s you should know of the iconic character Steve Urkel from Family Matters… or his alter ego: Stefan Urquelle *drools*. Anyway, actors in general tend to do better than actresses, I have no idea why… that’s what the numbers tell me. Maybe it’s the eye candy, maybe they are more endearing to the watching demographic, maybe it’s a bit of all three. In any case, he’s most likely going to come in with a stronger fanbase than most. I’m really looking forward to this pairing, Kym could totally use his huge arsenal of acting chops to get the character of the dances (a la Donny Osmond), it’s just the matter of can he dance?
Conclusion: I’m hoping/thinking that he’ll be lasting past the midway point.

GAVIN DEGRAW
Age: 30s
Occupation: Singer
Professional Partner: Karina Smirnoff
Overall Rank: 5 ( 3 – 4 – 5 )
Comments: This is a classic example of someone trying to rekindle or salvage their dying career. I don’t remember any songs sung by him, but I’ve never been one for the U.S. mainstream music to begin with. With a few exceptions here and there, anyone that made their name via a singing career tend to stay in the middle of the pack going towards the midway point of the season or maybe just passing it by the week. Where would Gavin land in this normalization? I’m thinking he’ll just miss the midway point… but with Karina kicking his butt, we might be in for a surprise… especially since Karina did Aaron Carter well. Keep in mind that Karina’s stock shot up with her win last season. But she tends to have a stronger track record than most pros (not counting Steve Wozniak). Every singer that Karina has worked with has placed 5th in their season (Billy Ray, Mario, Aaron Carter) so I’m actually laughing that the numbers came out the same way.
Comments Addendum: Ok… so I fanned a few flames when I mentioned that I was under the belief that Gavin was trying to salvage his career. I personally have not heard of him in several years and felt that he had fallen off the face of the planet. So I am going to retrack my original statement about his career… and just say that this show could possibly be something of a promotion for him… since his latest album came out last year and he is currently on tour… or he’s just doing it for the sake of doing it.
Conclusion: Gavin has a lot going for him numbers-wise, as long as his personality meshes with Karina’s he should be ok, don’t know how long he’d last though.

GLADYS KNIGHT
Age: 60s
Occupation: Singer (Legend)
Professional Partner: Tristin MacManus
Overall Rank: 4 ( 2 – 4 – 3 )
Comments: On the other side of the singer spectrum we have a legend in our midst, a last minute addition if rumors are to be believed. Oddly enough celebrities in their 60s actually fare better than most other age groups (outside of the obvious Teens and those in their 20s) just barely inching past those in their 30s. Being a legend, Gladys has a lot going for her, a built in fanbase, musicality and of all the “new” professional dancers she landed the most successful of the three.
Conclusion: So I could see her heading towards the midway point on the show, but past it? The jury’s out.

ROSHON FAGEN
Age: 20s
Occupation: Disney
Professional Partner: Chelsie Hightower
Overall Rank: 3 ( 1 – 2 – 8 )
Comments: ENOUGH WITH THE DISNEY STARS ALREADY! I know ABC and Disney are tied at the hip, but really? Another classic example of ABC cross promoting we have the representative from the Disney channel. Not only that, by being in his 20s he has youth and energy by his side to go far in the season. My speculation is that ABC is wanting the youth ratings so they are bringing in someone from the Disney channel to boost said ratings (especially since they will be competing against The Voice that overlaps in the 8:00pm – 9:00pm timeslot). I wouldn’t be surprised if TPTB are hoping for another “Kyle Massey” in Roshon… just sayin’.
Conclusion: All that being said, I wouldn’t be surprised if Roshon continues the Disney Channel strong streak, he might have that Disney spirit that his predecessors had to get far on the show.

WILLIAM LEVY
Age: 30s
Occupation: Actor
Professional Partner: Cheryl Burke
Overall Rank: 2 ( 3 – 7 – 2 )
Comments: Not only is ABC trying to stretch their age demographic, they bring in one of the hottest guys from Telemundo. I know absolutely nothing about him so I had to ask my Mexican friend who was bound to know more about William than I did… his take on him: “He is so very hunky and has a spectacular sense of humor. Once he went onto a talk show and just started undressing stating ‘this is what you all came to see anyway, right?’…” Well I guess we just discovered our new eye candy for the season, or (hell) he might be the next “Gilles Marini” for all I care at this point.
Conclusion: The jury’s out, but if he could dance, meld with his partner and keep that (theoretical) sense of humor up… I could see this placement happening.

MARIA MENOUNOS
Age: 30s
Occupation: Host
Professional Partner: Derek Hough
Overall Rank: 1 ( 3 – 10 – 1 )
Comments: My evil mind wanted to call this couple the “Barbie and Ken” of Season 14 only in reverse since Maria is a brunette and Derek’s a blonde(-ish), but they do make a pretty couple. Maria has a sense of humor, is a television host, people know her… so yeeeeeaaaah. Not much to say here on my end, except… She has Derek for a partner who brings out the best from his partners and with the strongest track record of all the pros. Her age group also fares well on the show… Her personality does shine rather well on the red carpet, however, and that should translate well on the dance floor.
Conclusion: By the sheer power of Derek she’ll get far, her combo can be considered strong. Win though? I’m not sure.

March 7, 2012 I Written By

My life can be summed up in the following two quotes: 1) "I am married to engineering and am its faithful wife by day, but at night my wanderlust takes hold and the arts becomes my jealous paramour." and... 2) "Engineering is my safety net. Writing is my passion. Acting is my escape when the other two become too much." So where does dancing fit in? Pretty much anywhere at this point... =)

Cheryl Burke And William Levy Meet In Florida For Their First DWTS Rehearsal (Photo)

Finally, a little press on Dancing With The Stars pro Cheryl Burke and partner William Levy. Too Fab is reporting the two arrived in Florida and are now officially rehearsing. A short write up can be read at the link. At twitter, Cheryl reported William’s first rehearsal day went great. Their first dance is the Cha Cha and his Latin Cuban heels are killin him. Let’s hope we start hearing more from these two soon.

Picture courtesy of Splash News Online.

March 6, 2012 I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . To view my photography site, see Lisa Kay Photography.

The Dancing With The Stars Season Cast Spills Some Dance Secrets (Video)

Good Morning America’s Cameron Mathison interviews the couples behind the scenes to see if he could find out more on the cast. More below and here. This is good!!! 🙂

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I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . To view my photography site, see Lisa Kay Photography.

Dancing With The Stars Season 14 Title Photos Have Been Released (Photos)

The official Dancing With The Stars title photos have been released. See below thanks to TV Overmind. Be sure to see the link because there is a cool write up on each of them!! If you’d like to see individual shots of each of the celebs and the pros, see Getty Images for a complete gallery. Note too that they aren’t complete being Mark Ballas, Katherine Jenkins, Cheryl Burke, and William Levy have just met up and started rehearsing. Hopefully, we’ll get photos on them soon. So, which photos are your favorites? What a beautiful cast…so diverse and full of charm, pizazz, personality, and chemistry not to mention some additional true legendary figures.

Read more..

I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . To view my photography site, see Lisa Kay Photography.

Sneak Peek of First Dancing With The Stars Season 14 Dress Rehearsals In Full Costumes And Interviews (Videos)

This is sooo sooo COOL! I’m going to let this video say it all, ok? Enjoy from ET Online (if the video below doesn’t work for you, see the link)!!!!

ADDING: Go HERE to see some interviews from the Dress Rehearsals. Keep watching the link because they may add more soon!!

March 5, 2012 I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . To view my photography site, see Lisa Kay Photography.

Heads Up On Dancing With The Stars Television Interviews Next Week

Just a heads up on some TV interviews to take place next week. According to Maks’ management, he will be on Access Hollywood on Monday.

Then according to ABC Media Cameron Matheson will be going into rehearsals to see how the couples are fairing. This segment will be shown on Tuesday on Good Morning America.

On Wednesday, Karina Smirnoff will be a guest on The View.

Lots on tap next week as the show gets closer to it’s premiere date on March 19th! So be ready!!

If you know of anymore television interviews to take place, be sure to let us know in the comments sections of this post and we’ll be sure to add them. Thanks All!! xx 😉

March 3, 2012 I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . To view my photography site, see Lisa Kay Photography.

First Dancing With The Stars Official Cast Rehearsal Photos Released

The first official Dancing With The Stars cast rehearsal photos have been released. Pictured above is Peta, Donald, Maks, and Melissa. You can view more pics of Anna, Jack, Kym, ,Jaleel, Tony, and Martina in a fun gallery at the official site here. There is some serious dancing going on by the looks of them. I’m impressed.

ADDING: Mark Ballas flew to Europe to meet his partner Katherine Jenkins. They have officially started their first rehearsals. Below is a picture she tweeted at her twitter account with the quote, “So this is really happening then…!!” lol So cute!

March 2, 2012 I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . To view my photography site, see Lisa Kay Photography.

Carrie Ann Inaba On The New DWTS Cast, Judging, And Her Animal Rescue Work

Dancing With The Stars judge Carrie Ann Inaba describes her excitement for the new cast at USA Today. She’s worked with Gladys Knight before and is excited to judge her. She’s really excited to see Jaleel White dance as well, but, she intends on staying neutral. More in a take below….

The DWTS judge and Knight have met previously. “I worked with her once before on a small show called American Juniors,” Inaba says. ” And I choreographed with her before so it will be interesting to sit on this side of the table. On the other show, she was the judge and I was the choreographer.”

Who else is Inaba looking forward to seeing? Well, everyone really. But “I’m very excited about Urkel (Jaleel White). I watched the cast announcement with the rest of America — from home — and the way he came out on stage: I just thought ‘Wow, this man has great stage presence.’ And he’s very confident so I’m looking forward to that. I’m also looking forward to seeing Maria Menounos and Sherri Shepherd who’s wanted to be on the show for so long and has talked openly about it. And I’m very happy she’s finally on our show.”

But just because she is excited about participants, viewers shouldn’t think Inaba is going to play favorites. “Before the season, I try not to do any research on anybody because I think it’s better as judges for us to remain as neutral as possible which is difficult to do these days with the media the way it is. … I try to stay neutral and once I hear the names, I try not to really think about it,” she tells USA TODAY. “People come up to me on the street all the time and want to engage with me and tell me their thoughts and I try not to listen because I don’t want to go in with any sort of notion on who’s going to be good or who’s not going to be good. Everyone is pretty much on fair playing ground until they hit the dance floor, and I see for myself.”

Also, Carrie Anne has been doing a lot of promotions lately for Pet Adoptions and animal rescue. This is a cool segment she did for Access Hollywood.

Peoplepets.com has a cool article up as well. Below is a quote and one of the pictures. Be sure to read and see more at the link. So sweet….

Working with networks of animal rescuers has “made the biggest difference in my life,” Inaba says. “I go to bed crying sometimes, because you can’t save them all, but it’s also so uplifting because you can go to bed knowing you did something. We try, and I feel good about that.”

I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . To view my photography site, see Lisa Kay Photography.

Vegas Odds Makers Make Their First Dancing With The Stars Season 14 Predictions

So, would you believe the odds makers in Las Vegas are already wagering on who will win Dancing With The Stars Season 14? Below is how the stars stack up from first to last place according to Vegas Odds On. Notice currently how they have William Levy in first place….and this is without even seeing him dance yet. As you can see, they have Martina in last place which I think is a mistake knowing how fierce she can be on a competitive level?

William Levy 4/1
Jaleel White 5/1
Donald Driver 5/1
Maria Menounos 11/2
Gladys Knight 15/2
Roshon Fegan 17/2
Katherine Jenkins 10/1
Sherri Shepherd 12/1
Melissa Gilbert 12/1
Jack Wagner 15/1
Gavin DeGraw 18/1
Martina Navratilova 20/1

The NY Daily has written up a good article on this subject. Check out the predictions from American Line and Wynn Las Vegas. I can understand William Levy to win, but Sherri Shepherd? 😯

“Last season, we correctly predicted J.R. Martinez as the favorite and eventual winner,” America’s Line President Ben Eckstein told the Daily News.

“This season, we’re gonna try another Latin star, William Levy. Known as the ‘Cuban Brad Pitt,’ Levy is gorgeous, he has a ‘special’ relationship with Jennifer Lopez, and with J-Lo as a mentor — remember she wa a former Fly Girl — how can he possibly lose?”

Easily, according to Wynn Las Vegas’ oddsmaker, the mirror ball trophy belongs to “The View” co-host Sherri Shepherd, a 5-1 favorite in their book.

Let’s get Heidi’s and Courtney’s thoughts on this and be sure to let us know what you think too in the comments section:

Courtney: No joke – I actually LOL’d at these preliminary odds 🙂 Why? Because these oddsmakers seem to be playing into a few stereotypes that likely aren’t going to be true of this season’s cast.  Their biggest mistake: assuming that William will be the 2nd coming of Gilles.  As I was discussing with someone yesterday, Gilles was a total fluke – a good-looking relative unknown who ended up having quite a bit of natural dance skill.  While I don’t think William will be terrible, I also don’t think they should expect lightening to strike twice for Cheryl – she’s a great teacher, but she also just got incredibly lucky with Gilles.  I think they may be overestimating Gladys – she is a legend, yes, but she’s also the oldest competitor this season, and she isn’t going to get by on votes alone – at least not in the long run.  I think they’re overestimating Katherine as well – she may be young and a pretty good dancer, but it ain’t gonna mean squat if she doesn’t have any stateside voters behind her.  I think they’re probably underestimating Roshon, who I expect to be the best dancer this season in terms of technique; I also think they’re underestimating Melissa & Sherri, who will likely have a good part of the viewing audience rooting for them.  But to give you guys some perspective, here are the preliminary odds from season 13 & season 12 – and they’re even more laughable in retrospect.  They initally had Kendra winning season 12 – she ended up placing 6th, and they had eventual winner Hines in 4th place.  For season 13, it was even wackier – they predicted Elisabetta to win (she got sent home the 2nd week) and had JR way down in 9th place! They also had Carson, Kristin, & Chynna in 2nd, 3rd, & 4th place, respectively – so in short, they were wayyyyy off 🙂 Which is why I’m just kinda smiling & nodding with these odds…because I highly doubt they’re gonna hold up in the long run.

Heidi: There is another odds making site out there that has Maria at nearly even money to win. So there you go.  These guys will make adjustments every single week until it appears they get it right…in week 10.  Last season was just absolutely ridiculous.  They had Ricki being the 3rd or 4th person eliminated.  Of course, if Sherri has been practicing with Val for months, then she really could win. 🙂  This is wacky – they should pay US to determine the real odds. This site gives it to Martina, with Maria being in second place and Katherine at 25 to 1, William at 10 to 1.  This site has William at 25 to 1, Martina at 18 to 1, Maria at 3 to 1 and Gladys for the win. Oookay. As you can see, they don’t really take into account judges scores, professional partner – anything other than their own personal stereotypes.  I don’t think they watch the show. 🙂 Or consider the DWTS demographic when it comes to voting.  It’s rather important, as we all know.

March 1, 2012 I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . To view my photography site, see Lisa Kay Photography.

Follow The Dancing With The Stars Season 14 Celebs At Twitter, Meet The Cast And Pros

Are you following the celebs picked to do Dancing With The Stars Season 14 at Twitter yet? If not and you’d like to, below are a list of their twitter handles. Be sure to “follow” each of them and put them in your favorites or in a Twitter list. They are a kick to follow and they need your support….especially those new to Twitter like Martina, Donald, and Jack. Special thanks to TristanMacmanusFans at Facebook for helping us to gather these up.

@Roshon
@mariamenounos
@Donald_Driver80
@GavinDeGraw
@jaleelwhite
@MsGladysKnight
@KathJenkins
@willylevy29
@MelissaEGilbert
@Martina
@SherriEShepherd
@JackWagnerhpk

Also, the official site of Dancing With The Stars has some cool links now for “Meeting The Cast”, “Meeting The Pros”, and “How Well Do You Know The New Cast Of Season 14 Trivia”. Be sure to read what they have set up so far here.

I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . To view my photography site, see Lisa Kay Photography.