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Dancing with the Stars Season 10, Week 1 – By the Numbers

I’m such a nerd. I will say that now and get it out of the way. And I don’t much care that I’m a nerd. I claim nerd-dom because I have this urge to do the math on the dancing. 🙂

First, let me say that this is going to likely be my favorite season of DWTS. Not because Derek is dancing with a Doll, but because I think this cast has given us the best, out of the gate dancing in several seasons. The only boring person on the show is Jake, and even he’s not that bad. There is no one on the show that I out and out dislike – even Kate! Every dancer kept me engaged for one reason or another. The bad news is for Aiden – dude, you are HOT, that’s for sure. But when I, a heterosexual female, am more mesmerized and impressed with your smokin’ hot partner and her dress – you got problems. Sorry – you seem like a very nice guy. 🙂

Based on what I saw last night, and my thoughts on Aiden, here’s how I think the math shakes out – keep in mind that the math for the scores is set. What I have to GUESS at, is how many votes each couple will get. To simplify the math, I kept those numbers small. You can multiply by a thousand, or ten thousand, if you want.

Here are the Judges Scores:

Dancer/Score
Nicole /25
Evan /23
Pam /21
Erin /21
Jake /20
Chad /18
Niecy /18
Shannen /18
Kate /16
Aiden /15
Buzz /14
Total Judges Points Awarded = 209

Dividing the individual scores by the total points awarded gives you the following percentages:

Dancer/Percentage of Total
Nicole /11.96
Evan /11
Pam /10.05
Erin /10.05
Jake /9.57
Chad /8.61
Niecy /8.61
Shannen /8.61
Kate /7.66
Aiden /7.18
Buzz /6.70

Based on this, you can see that Buzz is 5.26% out of first place. Remember, the percentage of total points awarded is added to the percentage of total votes cast to determine the dancers rank. So, Buzz only needs to make up that 0.48% in votes to catch Aiden. Do you think he can do it? I sure do. The question is – can Aiden catch any of the people ahead of him?

Anyway, let’s say they were eliminating someone tonight. Here’s how I think the voting might go, in tens of thousands (or thousands, who knows?):

Dancer/Votes (in thousands)
Nicole /15 – yes, she danced great, but she’s really not well known compared to some of the rest.

Evan /30 – this margin might even be higher. He could have fallen and still done this well.

Pam /10 – Very entertaining, but I don’t know it will get her votes. Was she drunk?

Erin /15 – She did well – not as well as Nicole and a tad leggy, but she’s got some sympathy working for her.

Jake /15 – He just came off the Bachelor, had Gia in the audience and he didn’t totally suck. Nuff said.

Chad /15 – He came off as charming, so he’ll get the football vote, but not sky high since he didn’t do as well as I expected.

Niecy /10 – Again, entertaining as hell, but I don’t think she’s as well known as some of the others.

Shannen /15 – Pretty stiff, but hell, she had me crying with her Dad sitting there and looking so proud. She’s around for a while.

Kate /15 – Very polarizing figure, but also way in the media – I’ve put her up with the other 15’s.

Aiden /10 – Gorgeous, but lost in a sea of characters and much better dancers.

Buzz /25 – Horrendous dancer…but he’s *80*!!! And an Astronaut!! And most of the voters (but not this writer) remember when he stepped foot on the freakin’ MOON!!! Consider him safe for a bit. But not as long as Cloris.

Now, if you do the same math as I did above for the Judges points – add up the total and then divide into each individual score to get a percentage – then add the two percentages together, you get the total following points. I’ve reshuffled so that the high scorer is at the top and the low scorer is at the bottom.

Evan/28.15
Buzz/20.98
Nicole/ 20.53
Erin/18.62
Jake/18.14
Chad and Shannen –tie/17.18
Kate/16.23
Pam/15.76
Niecy/14.33
Aiden/12.89

Note: Buzz had to get about 5.71% more votes than Nicole to make it to second place. Also note that next week’s dancing counts, so Aiden could save himself with a great Foxtrot, compared to the disaster that Pam’s and Niece’s are likely to be. For that matter – Kate and Jake doing a Jive? Yikes. While I think Shannen, Erin, Nicole, and Chad will likely get better with their next dances, the ones I mentioned have train wreck written all over them. Aiden has a chance if he can pull off a good Foxtrot. Can Buzz?

March 23, 2010 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

DWTS Season 10 – The Ratings are UP!!

No shock there – great cast, in my opinion. Lots of Twitter chatter about the show last night garnering the highest ratings for ABC since 2001 – no clue on the veracity of that, but the ratings are, indeed, high. I also read that after an initial dip last season, ratings did indeed climb back to normal levels at about mid season. That was per Tom Bergeron. I watch the ratings and I believe he’s correct, but I’m too lazy to look it up right now. 🙂 Per CBS News:

“DWTS” Premiere Scores Record Ratings
Season 10 Premiere is Most-Watched “Dancing with the Stars” Show Opener Ever

(CBS) “Dancing with the Stars” debuted strong on Monday night, earning the show’s most-watched opening ever, according to The Hollywood Reporter.

The 10th season opener brought in 23.9 million viewers, with 6.3 million of those viewers in the coveted 18-49 age range.

“Dancing with the Stars” also climbed slightly in the ratings as compared to last year.

This is the picture they used:

I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

New Dancing with the Stars Host

There’s been a whole lot of discussion about the new host, Brooke Burke, on Dancing with the Stars. In fact, there’s already been a few comments on this site about the host. So, I thought it would be fitting to have a little poll to see what people thought of the new host and how many people want Samantha Harris to come back to DWTS.

Brooke Burke
[picappgallerysingle id=”4956284″]
Samantha Harris
[picappgallerysingle id=”8287089″]

I Written By

Better known as Charlie.

Dancing with the Stars 2010 Premiere Music

UPDATE: Check out all the latest Dancing with the Stars Music.

It’s BACK!! That’s right, another season of Dancing with the Stars has kicked off and we’re back again to satisfy all of your Dancing with the Stars 2010 music desires. That’s right.

In case you’re new to Pure DWTS, here’s a link where you’ll be able to find all the latest and great Dancing with the stars music. Bookmark that link and return each week (or twice a week) to find the listings of music from all the episodes of Dancing with the Stars.

Ok, enough of that. Now on to the music…

Chad & Cheryl danced a Cha-Cha-Cha to the song “It’s Just Begun” The Jimmy Castor Bunch - 16 Slabs of Funk - It's Just Begun—The Jimmy Castor Bunch
Shannen & Mark danced a Viennese Waltz to the song “The Killing Moon” Echo & The Bunnymen - Songs to Learn and Sing - The Killing Moon—Echo & the Bunnymen
Erin & Maksim danced a Cha-Cha-Cha to the song “TiK ToK” Ke$ha - Animal - Tik Tok—Ke$ha
Jake & Chelsie danced a Viennese Waltz to the song “Kiss from a Rose” Seal - Seal: Best 1991-2004 - Kiss from a Rose—Seal
Niecy & Louis danced a Cha-Cha-Cha to the song “Rescue Me” Fontella Bass - Chess Soul: A Decade of Chicago's Finest - Rescue Me—Fontella Bass
Evan & Anna danced a Viennese Waltz to the song “I’ll Be” Edwin McCain - Rhino Hi-Five: Edwin McCain - EP - I'll Be—Edwin McCain
Buzz & Ashly danced a Cha-Cha-Cha to the song “Cupid” Sam Cooke - 30 Greatest Hits - Sam Cooke Portrait of a Legend 1951-1964 - Cupid—Sam Cooke
Nicole & Derek danced a Viennese Waltz to the song “Hold You In My Arms” Ray LaMontagne - Trouble - Hold You In My Arms―Ray LaMontagne
Aiden & Edyta danced a Cha-Cha-Cha to the song “Hungry Like the Wolf” Duran Duran - Duran Duran: Greatest - Hungry Like the Wolf—Duran Duran
Kate & Tony danced a Viennese Waltz to the song “She’s Always a Woman” Billy Joel - The Essential Billy Joel - She's Always a Woman—Billy Joel
Pamela & Damian danced a Cha-Cha-Cha to the song “Gimme All Your Lovin'” ZZ Top - Eliminator (Collector's Edition) - Gimme All Your Lovin'—ZZ Top

March 22, 2010 I Written By

Better known as Charlie.

Vote for the Dancing with the Stars Season 10 Winner

Now that you’ve all had a chance to see the stars dance for the first time, it’s time for you to vote for who you think will be the winner of Dancing with the Stars season 10. This poll isn’t about voting for your favorite. It’s about voting for who you think will win DWTS season 10. So, cast your vote now:

It will be interesting to compare the results from this DWTS season 10 poll with the very early DWTS season 10 favorites (see the DWTS 2010 winner prediction).

I Written By

Better known as Charlie.

Dancing with the Stars 2010 Premiere on Twitter

For those of you who haven’t gotten on Twitter, what are you thinking? Just kidding. Although, it seems that many people don’t realize that you don’t even have to sign up for Twitter to enjoy it. All you need to do is head over to our list of Dancing with the Stars twitter accounts, click on your favorite star/pro and it will take you to their twitter page where you can see their latest updates about DWTS 2010. Easy enough, no?

Of course, if you want to watch all the tweets flying from all the stars and pros from DWTS 2010, you can check out this list of Dancing with the Stars 2010 twitter accounts. That list will automatically update with the latest tweets from everyone involved with DWTS season 10. Woot!

Go check it out now and you’ll find interesting things like Chad Ochocinco will be up first tonight and Jake was having lunch with the enemies (Erin and Kate) today. How did we live our lives before Twitter?

Warning: If you’re on the west coast, be careful on Twitter since you’ll often stumble upon Dancing with the Stars spoilers from those watching on the east coast.

I Written By

Better known as Charlie.

DWTS Season 10 Preview on GMA!!

Hmmm…we don’t get to see much of Nicole, and nothing of Chad or Evan, in terms of dancing. And only a tiny bit of Erin. The more I do see, the less I believe in a clear front runner beside Evan – and that’s ONLY because of his Olympic Gold Medal.

I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

DWTS Season 10 – The Dance Order and Voting Numbers!

Still missing two:

Chad and Cheryl are Number 1 – Phone: 800-868-3401 (per Cheryl’s twitter)

Shannen and Mark are Number 2 – Phone: 800-868-3402

Erin and Maks are Number 3 – Phone: 800-868-3403 (per Twitter chatter)

Jake and Chelsie are Number 4 – Phone: 800-868-3404

Niecy and Louis are Number 5 – Phone: 800-868-3405 (per Louis’s twitter)

Evan and Anna are Number 6 – 800-868-3406 (per Evan’s manager)

Buzz and Ashly are Number 7 – 800-868-3707

Nicole and Derek are Number 8 – Phone: 800-868-3408 (per Derek’s twitter)

Aiden and Edyta are Number 9 – Phone: 800-868-3409 (per Rebecca in comments – don’t know why I haven’t seen it on Twitter)

Kate and Tony are Number 10 – Phone: 800-868-3410 (per Tony’s twitter)

Pam and Damian are Number 11 – Phone: 800-868-3411

Hmmm…the way they are spaced out, it almost looks like it was planned that way. 🙂

March 21, 2010 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

DWTS10 Preliminary Power Rankings, Part II

Thank you guys so much for all the great feedback yesterday…I’m sure this is going to be a very interesting season with a lot of good discussions about who is going to win!

Now I give you the lower half of the list – those I don’t see faring quite as well this season.  I really did struggle with several of these, because we have some definite “wild cards” this season that could go either way – again, it should be intersting to see who sinks and who swims 🙂

7.)    Buzz Aldrin & Ashly Delgrosso – I think it’s a safe bet to say that Buzz has cornered the “senior citizen” vote this season – much like Tom DeLay did last season & Cloris did in season 7.  This is a really good thing – I think a certain degree of respect comes when you’re the “old dog” in the competition, and people want to see you do well to prove that young age doesn’t always equate skill.  And unlike the dubious fame of Tom DeLay or the loose cannon that was Cloris Leachman – Buzz is a living legend: a NASA astronaut, the 2nd man to set foot on the moon, and a highly decorated military officer.  People LIKE him, and could very well keep him around for a little while even if he isn’t particularly good.  Ashly may also garner quite a bit of support since she has been absent since season 3, and had been a favorite for the first 3 seasons of the show – and I’m sure Utah is behind her as well, as the Delgrosso family is basically a dancing dynasty there and is extremely well-respected.  But there is one big concern, and it’s one that does seem to plague some of the “older” contestants: injury.  We can see how it sidelined Tom last season (I think he actually would have stuck around for another week or so had he not withdrawn), and hindered the Woz in season 8.  I hope that Buzz can dodge that hurdle and stay in the competition and be voted out, rather than having to drop out. 

 8.)    Shannen Doherty & Mark Ballas – I’m sure I’m going to spark another debate with this one, but as I mentioned as comment on part 1, I think Shannen is going to have some demographical voting issues – voting issues stemming from her reputation as a bit of a “witch” 😉 John brought up a good point – Shannen is well-known for her TV roles as Brenda on 90210 and Prue on Charmed (and also to some degree her role in the movie Heathers); however, what some people may not remember is that she left both shows unceremoniously, due mainly to tensions with producers & co-stars.  She also had brief, tumultuous marriages to both Ashley Hamilton (remember him? First guy voted off last season?) and Rick Salomon (who also co-starred in a sex tape with a certain blonde heiress, and ironically was also married to Pam Anderson for a few months back in ’07 – wow, I could totally play “Six Degrees of DWTS” this season!), and both ended in very messy, very public break-ups.  There was also a DUI thrown in there somewhere, all which adds up to Shannen’s infamy as a bit of a bad girl.  My point? Female viewers tend not to like pretty women of questionable virtue (sort of ties into my Pretty Girl Backlash Theory), and thus don’t vote for them.  Granted, Shannen could be the greatest dancer on the show this season; but that doesn’t mean she’s going to get votes week after week.  I also fear that Mark’s sometimes overbearing nature might clash with Shannen’s obviously “strong” personality – these two could be the second coming of Debi vs. Maks.  I don’t see them going home the first week; but I wouldn’t be surprised if they were in the bottom 3, due to what I’ve mentioned above…it may take some time for the female viewing audience to really “warm up” to Shannen L

 9.)    Aiden Turner & Edyta Sliwinska – I may have had the hardest time placing this couple, next to my struggles with Jake & Chelsie.  On one hand, Aiden is a hunky soap star that likely has quite a following from his role on All My Children; on the other hand, he isn’t as well-known and hasn’t been on the show as long as Susan Lucci or Cameron Mathison, and doesn’t have an additional “claim to fame” like General Hospital Playmate Kelly Monaco.   Having Edyta as his partner could also be both a blessing and a curse – she’s a fan favorite (due to her tenure on all 10 seasons of the show), but also seems prone to having some boring choreography and a history of early eliminations.  In the end, my pessimistic side wins out – I think Aiden’s name might be the least well-known of this season’s celebs at first glance (even I had to look him up, and I have been known to watch AMC on occasion!), and in the few practice sessions I’ve seen of he & Edyta, he looks like he could be a bit of an awkward mover.  Aiden, please, prove me wrong – we need another cute guy to stick around to put doofy Jake in his place!

 10.)                        Kate Gosselin & Tony Dovolani – I solemnly swear I am going to make an honest effort to try and give Kate a chance this season – however, I’m not sure America is going to be willing to do the same.  Many have (understandably) questioned Kate’s choice to undertake such a big time commitment while being the primary custodian of 8 kids, and amid the media firestorm surrounding her divorce.  And while Kate comes out as more of the “victim” in her situation with Jon – some cite her volatile temper in episodes of Jon & Kate Plus 8 prior to the divorce as a possible contributing factor for it.  In other words – Kate may be dealing with the same “witch” syndrome as Shannen.  I’ve said it before, and I’ll say it again: female viewers do not like mean girls.  Granted, she’s a mean girl with kids and a smarmy ex-husband – but a mean girl nonetheless.  There are already rumors swirling about her “diva-like” behavior on-set (although I don’t know that I fully believe it, there may be some partial truth to it). I don’t know that Tony is going to be much of a help either – his support seems to run hot & cold, depending on who he is dancing with.  But Kate is allegedly in pretty good shape, and does quite a bit of running & yoga, so she might not be half-bad…I think viewers may keep her around for a week or two just to see how she fares – but will ultimately tire of her.

 11.)                        Pamela Anderson & Damian Whitehood – This is probably going to come as the biggest shocker for many of you who said that Pam may be the “big surprise” this season – but before you crucify me, hear me out 😉 I totally agree that Pam may be one of the better dancers this season – I really & truly would love to see her do well.  But I think the deck could not be stacked against her more with the female viewing audience – she’s a textbook example of my “Pretty Girl Backlash Theory”: female viewers feel jealous and/or threatened by attractive women (especially overtly sexy ones with questionable reputations) and hence, do not vote.  They find reasons to dislike their dancing in order to justify their animosity – it’s unfortunate, but true.  Women are CATTY.  And I think Pam unfortunately has enough scandal under her belt to add fuel to the fire – she’s appeared in Playboy multiple times (and I’m sure many viewers’ husbands have salivated over those pictures); she has not one, but TWO sex tapes (you can see what good it did for Kim Kardashian only having one!); a string of failed marriages to ahem, “questionable” men (Tommy Lee, Kid Rock, and Rick Salomon); and a wardrobe of rather suggestive ensembles.  While I personally couldn’t care less about all of it – I doubt it will sit well with some of the more conservative viewing audience.  Her charity work with PETA and the American Liver Foundation is somewhat redeeming, but I’m afraid it’s often overlooked in favor of her more scandalous activities.  She also has a disadvantage in having a new pro – he has no fan base yet.  Unless Pam proves to be the best dancer this season and starts knocking perfect 10s outta the park every week – I just don’t see her sticking around for long L

 

Alright, my predictions for the season are officially made…I’m excited to see how things pan out, and I really hope I’m proved wrong on some of these.  I certainly was last season! Now let’s here some more good debates from you guys: who do you think will be the first to go?

 

I Written By

Ultrasound sales specialist by day, semi-knowledgeable DWTS fan by night...with a smattering of hair & makeup enthusiast, occasional model, baker, and crazy cat lady peppered in to make things REALLY interesting ;-) I might pee my pants in happiness if Donnie Wahlberg ever does DWTS - or if they ever use "Sunglasses at Night" as a paso doble.

DWTS Season 10 – The Full Newsday Article

Okay, this is seriously impacting my anticipation of the show. I hope to god this article is crap, but I have a scary feeling it isn’t. Thanks to PiPPi for sending me the whole article, an excerpt of which I linked to yesterday.

A new cast, a new ‘Dancing With the Stars’

Originally published: March 19, 2010 3:50 PM
Updated: March 19, 2010 5:56 PM
By VERNE GAY verne.gay@newsday.com
Quick Summary

This is the strongest lineup ever because you will have (and likely already do) strong opinions about each.

What’s new this season of “Dancing With the Stars”? What isn’t? So tweaked and revamped are so many elements that this edition could be called “The New Dancing With the Stars.” Take that glass-enclosed balcony, for example. What glass-enclosed balcony you (rightfully) ask? “DWTS” has added a “sky box” from which contestants, or “stars,” as they are quaintly referred to on this set, can watch other stars dance. They can boo, or cheer, or gasp or groan – without a sound escaping to the audience or dance floor below. You will be able to see and hear their reactions. “It will make more like a sporting event,” explains “DWTS” executive producer Conrad Green.

Dear god, no. Just. No. What the hell is wrong with these guys?? There was NOTHING wrong with the old format!! Did they learn nothing from their tinkering last season??

Meanwhile, there is that aforementioned cast. The ninth season was ruled (foolishly in hindsight) by the edict that more was more. It was stuffed with 16 couples, most of whom failed to bond with viewers if numbers were an indication – the season-opener was exactly 5 million viewers lower than the eighth season, and the finale (19.2 million) was the lowest since the first season.

This season is ruled by less-is-more. There will be only 11 couples because, as Green says, “We wanted to focus on what people liked, so we focused on getting great names made it deliberately smaller to get your head around it more easily.”

Finally, let’s not forget that with Samantha Harris gone, Tom Bergeron gets a new co-host, Brooke Burke, Season 7 winner. What will she bring? We shall see.

MY SAY: Last season seemed to drag itself across the finish line, so battered were the stars, the pros and the viewers. “DWTS” had become a chore and a bore – a big part of the problem was that dishrag of a cast.

By contrast, this is the strongest lineup ever because you will have (and likely already do) strong opinions about each. Here are the stars with their pro partners:

Buzz Aldrin (with Ashly DelGrosso-Costa)
A bona-fide hero, the second man to step on the moon, Aldrin could stumble across the floor and still get votes

Pamela Anderson (Damian Whitewood)
Insanely inspired casting move. Everyone will watch to “See How Pam Does.” Why? Because we must. That’s why.

Erin Andrews (with Maksim Chmerkovskiy)
ESPN star reporter is fresh from a traumatic stalker trial that turned her into a household name. Will she generate a sympathy vote?

Shannen Doherty (with Mark Ballas)
Geeeenius. Sheer geeeenius. Shannen is perfect. We will watch to see if she punches anyone out. (Does Bruno know what he’s in for?)

Kate Gosselin (with Tony Dovolani)
Already causing a rumpus, the tabloids claim. They say the reality-TV mom is being haughty. Says Green: “I feel for that poor woman. You hear she’s a terrible diva, but she’s an absolute pleasure. . . . Nothing in those rumors.”

Ya might want to have a word with Mark Ballas, Conrad. Seriously.

Evan Lysacek (with Anna Trebunskaya)
The gold medal men’s single figure-skating champ is already the front-runner.

Niecy Nash (with Louis van Amstel)
Beloved by fans of Comedy Central’s hilarious “Reno 911!”

Chad Ochocinco (with Cheryl Burke)
Beloved by fans of formerly hilarious Bengals, and in fact by a lot of NFL fans. A great receiver, but a great clown, too; recall the time he tried to bribe an official with one dollar to reverse a call?

Jake Pavelka (Chelsie Hightower)
Not exactly Mr. Excitement, but he will last a while here.

Nicole Scherzinger (with Derek Hough)
The Pussycat Doll and part of this show’s desperate and perhaps futile attempt to reverse its plummeting 18-to-49-year-old viewership.

Aiden Turner (Edyta Sliwinska)
Former “All My Children” star, now “DWTS” eyecandy.

I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)