DWTS Season 14 Stats Class – Week 6 (Motown Week)
Motown Week? How much you wanna bet that this is honor of Gladys Knight being part of the cast? Just throwing it out there. =) In any case… ONWARDS!
As a REMINDER we are in Week 5, which means that the data that the following predicted scores are based off of, are from the middle third of the previous seasons. If you’re wondering what this means see the following breakdown:
– First “Third”: Weeks 1 through 4
– Middle “Third”: Weeks 4 through 7
– Last “Third”: Weeks 7 through 10
This is to keep the progression as accurate as possible. So if there is a dance that happened in a previous season but in a later week (like Week 9), it wouldn’t make sense to consider it in the predicted scores because the skill level is different between Week 5 and Week 9.
I’m gunning for accuracy here people… well as accurate as subjectivity can be.
GLADYS KNIGHT
Dance: Jive
Average Scores:
– Age: 21.000
– Occupation: 23.000
– Professional Partner: 21.000
Predicted Score / Rank: 22 / 8th
Comments: We don’t know for sure that Gladys has the Jive, but I do find it odd that she is given the Jive and the Dance Duel is also the Jive. Is this in anticipation that she’d be in the “bottom two” and as thus to help her pass the Dance Duel TPTB’s gave her the same dance? We’ll never know for sure until the show, so enough speculation for now. Since the numbers do indicate her to be at the bottom of the pack… this is just re-enforcing what could be true. Without any data of previous celebrities in a similar situation, we can only speculate, but personally I think the score is fairly spot on.
DONALD DRIVER
Dance: Foxtrot
Average Scores:
– Age: 25.077
– Occupation: 22.667
– Professional Partner: N/A
Predicted Score / Rank: 24 / 7th
Comments: Donald is dealt the Foxtrot, and gets to prove that he can be a debonair gentleman… ooo la la! Season 3’s Warren Sapp is the only other NFLer that has done the Foxtrot midway through the season and he got a 21, the difference between Warren and Donald though (in my opinion) is that Warren was more of an “everyman” dancer, while Donald’s got some game as well as that winning personality. So having a higher score than Warren makes sense to me, but I’m hoping for higher.
WILLIAM LEVY
Dance: Rumba
Average Scores:
– Age: 24.389
– Occupation: 24.000
– Professional Partner: 23.500
Predicted Score / Rank: 24 / 6th
Comments: Before I go on… I’m totally missing the allure of William, what is it about him that is making the girls swoon, because I’m not seeing it. (Lack of) Physical attraction aside, William gets the Rumba, where he has another chance to be a pole dancer (aka a guy that is a prop for the female to dance around… like a pole), I really hope not… I really really hope not, because that can only take you so far. Actors in their 30s that did the Rumba midway through the season was Season 3’s Mario Lopez who got a 27 and Joey Lawrence who received a 24. Dance-wise William seems to be closer to Joey’s skill level than Mario’s so I say a 24 sounds about right.
JALEEL WHITE
Dance: ChaCha
Average Scores:
– Age: 25.556
– Occupation: 24.000
– Professional Partner: 24.000
Predicted Score / Rank: 25 / 5th
Comments: Jaleel hasn’t been able to capture the same magic as the first week, and with a dance that caters more to the fun/flirty happy-go-lucky side I’m thinking this is the dance that would keep him from the bottom two this week. Granted Season 13’s David Arquette got a 24, so I’m sure that Jaleel do better, but not by much unless he shines beyond the Dance Duel last week (remember it was the ChaCha).
KATHERINE JENKINS
Dance: Samba
Average Scores:
– Age: 24.417
– Occupation: 24.000
– Professional Partner: 26.500
Predicted Score / Rank: 25 / 4th
Comments: Another week of Katherine getting to shake her “naughty bits” in a different way. Samba moves differently from the Jive and some of the other Latin dances, so she doesn’t really have those to fall back on. If you look at Season 3’s Sara Evans and Season 8’s Chuck Wicks they got a 24 and 27 respectively. I’m hoping that Katherine would get closer to Chuck than Sara because she is a far superior dancer by skill than Chuck.
MELISSA GILBERT
Dance: Viennese Waltz
Average Scores:
– Age: 23.600
– Occupation: 25.800
– Professional Partner: 26.000
Predicted Score / Rank: 25 / 3rd
Comments: Melissa has had a lot of high energy-ish dances for the first half of the season, it’s about time she gets to slow it down a bit. Season 6’s Marlee Matlin was more middle of the road with a 24, so I’m looking for Melissa to do about the same if not a point or two better than that, as the predicted score entails.
MARIA MENOUNOS
Dance: Foxtrot
Average Scores:
– Age: 25.077
– Occupation: 26.000
– Professional Partner: 26.333
Predicted Score / Rank: 26 / 2nd
Comments: Yay the Foxtrot, a happy-go-lucky dance with absolutely zero chance of kissing happening… I hope. Season 7’s Brooke Burke did this dance and received a perfect score… Maria’s progression hasn’t gotten her to the point that a 30 would make sense… but with Derek as her partner, so anything’s possible (apparently).
ROSHON FEGAN
Dance: Rumba
Average Scores:
– Age: 26.667
– Occupation: 25.00
– Professional Partner: N/A
Predicted Score / Rank: 26 / 1st
Comments: Oh, Roshon is going to have some fun tonight! I mean look at him! He’s been trying to put the moves on Chelsie (well if the packages are to be believed, and we know how heavily THOSE are edited). He is smooth on the dance floor, and the boy can dance! But can he Rumba? Well other Disney stars in their 20s were able to: Season 3’s Monique Coleman got a 27 while Season 5’s Sabrina Bryan received a 28… so he’s got some heels to fill in, but considering what we have seen thus far… I’m hoping he’d come closer to that perfect score than what is predicted.
Marinaya, so fascinating as always!!!
LOVED this post! I agree with a lot of these. The only four I think are going to be different are M+M (Its not too different but i think its going to be 8s accross the board for her), William and Cheryl (I think that Carrie Ann and/or Bruno might give a 9 or ten with Len giving an 8), maria (I just think its going to be a 27), and Donald and Peta (I think he might get a 27). Anyways like I said I love this part of the site π
Vin, I love your predictions too!!
Interesting analysis as always. I think Maria will really shine tonight and pull off a great Foxtrot. Hope Roshon does well, but I think the prediction might be a bit skewed because we’re comparing him to female Disney celebs. Rumba is tough on male celebs. They either can’t bring the delicate sensuality or they can’t get the smooth hip action and their pros tend to dance around them. I’ve only seen one or two good male celeb Rumbas.
Ok, here are my guesses. Like Sasa in another post, I don’t think Katherine will do as well tonight. So, I’ve put her a little lower than I have been. I’m having a hard time seeing Roshon doing a Rumba, but, how I’d love to see him in the top 3 this week? I’d also love it if Melissa had a huge break through tonight.
Donald and Peta – 10, 10, 9
Maria and Derek – 10, 10, 9
William and Cheryl 10,10, 9 (changed to add another 10)
Mark and Katherine 9,9,9
Roshon and Chelsie 9,8,8
Jaleel and Kym 9,8,8
Melissa and Maks 8,8,8
Gladys and Tristan 7,7,7
Vogue – only disagree with 1 of your scores. William doing Rumba? CAI & Bruno will be scoring with their lady-parts… π 10, 9, 10 at least…
TRUE! lol
I’m a Team Rochee fan and I hope Roshon rocks that Rumba tonight. I am also finding the “Hot for Teacher” showmancing, on and off the dance floor, to be very scripted as well as entertaining. But here is hoping it’ll get them votes tonight.
Sally, You’re right about the 10 from Bruno. π Maybe they’ll get an 8 from Len instead of a 9 He won’t be scoring with lady parts, and if Cheryl makes it too spicy, he’ll get indigestion.
The only reason William’s Rumba will get an 8 is if he goes the route Cristian de la Fuente took when he peformed his Rumba. He seems to dislike the feminine moves (Cristian’s problem too) but he’s very competitive and is hungry for a ’10’ so he might surprised everyone with a very sensual Rumba. Dance-wise, he’s a much better dancer than Donald … a better mover but the feminine movements may hold him back (guys these days are so sensitive about being viewed as effiminate). Otherwise, I’ll say if the William in his AT kicks in, he might just get the first ’30’ in this season … and that will be because he is a good dancer. The guy is a natural dancer … he does his moves intuitively and effortlessly … and that’s undeniable to an objective viewer.
Ok, bebingc, I feel I need to remind you that terms like “I think” and “In my opinion” are your friends when posting here. You’re making a lot of assertions that are nothing more than your own opinions.
“The guy is a natural dancer β¦ he does his moves intuitively and effortlessly β¦ and thatβs undeniable to an objective viewer.” Are you kidding me??? It doesn’t get much more subjective than this. Why don’t you step down off your pedestal and discuss this rationally with us normal folk? I disagree completely with pretty much everything you said – I do not think William is a better dancer than Donald, I do not find his dancing “intuitive”, and I do not think these men are suddenly “sensitive about being viewed as effeminate”. See how I used “I think” there? Why don’t you try it? π
Great post;) , my predictions:
-Gladys 7, 7, 8
Tough dance for her.Very energetic, fun,lots of kicks.Im sure she will put a great performance then she always does but the technique would be passable.
-Donald 8,8,8
The foxtrot is imo the hardest ballroom dance(it should appear to be very smooth, slow,so many changes of rythm…);It annoys me a little bit that in this show that some of the judges fail to mention the correct technique of a dance at times.Peta is a great teacher and Im sure that he will produce a great routine:).
-William 10, 8,10
No comment other that I’ll keep my opinion to myself π π
Katherine 9,9,9 The samba is a hard dance;If she nails the technique and gets the party feeling/carnival spirit of the dance then she might see a 10;Once again hard dance to master, the only worry here is that she may be good technically but fails to make it a “party dance”, well we shall see ;). But she definetely left herself go in the jive so Im pretty sure that she can nail this routine:)
Jaleel 9,8,9
For a couple of hours to learn last week before the dance off, he did pretty good :). He need to straighten his knees though ;its straight, straight legs in the chacha!!!! and last week he had bent knees so hopefully he will sort that out!
Melissa 9,8,8
How nice to finally see her do a ballroom :). I actually think that Maks will choreograph a great piece today and she will be fine:).One of the easiest ballroom dance imo:natural turn , reverse turn, and then just turn, turn turn lol lol
Maria 9,8,9
I love Derek’s choreography thats all and Im interested to see this dance.
Roshon 9,8,8
Tough dance for a male celeb and I actually think that he will dance better than William but will score LESS.
There will be a lot of ties this week I think, thats why I am actually glad that there is a Marathon so that we dont have too many ties in the leaderboard;One thing is sure, people need to vote& vote and dont assume that anyone will be SAFE!
I think ur right about motown week being for glady from the rumours I’ve heard next week is going to be classical week i think we all know who will excel next week if that comes true
On the Wiki DWTS site, it has Gladys doing the Rumba. That could be Accurate.
@Colleen – I’m basing the dances to what Heidi wrote in her post: https://www.puredwts.com/2012/04/22/dwts-season-14-week-6-whos-dancing-what-and-when/
Just to keep it consistent on the site at least.
@Vogue
It wasn’t me who predicted Katherine will struggle. It was, I believe, Steve. I actually think she will do well but I can’t really tell.
I do have some doubts about Donald pulling off a great Foxtrot.
dwtsfan – You may be absolutely correct on your scores, but I will say – if that comes to pass, what with Roshon already having been in the bottom 2 with a good score, that would make it a *very* bad night for him.
Oh, that’s right. It was STEVE! Thanks for the correction. I can’t seem to keep people’s names straight today. DON’T ASK! lollll
I think Katherine will do fine. She is good. Would not be surprised if she got like a ten or even 30. I think Donald and Maria will be charming and hope both get their tens. But doubt it given Maria is going early. I think it will be Melissa’s improvement week too.
Now with the marathon, I see either Katherine or Roshon winning. Donald, Maria, Jaleel will be in the middle.
If you check Derek’s tweet. He said that Gladys is going first tonight to kick off Motown. Derek and Maria are going second.
Imo everyone but Roshon was overscored so far (Donald danced)
The danced I enjoyed:
1. Jaleel- smokin’ and the package was even cute, they seem to have turned a new leaf!
2. Roshon- IMO underscored again
3. Katherine- very good but not her best
4. Maria/Donald- both had good and bad things going on, with Maria it was messing up and Donald had pretty lousy posture, both IMO a bit overscored
5. Melissa- the dance was an improvement but I’m left with very little tolerance for Maks’ outbursts
6. William- ugh, Cheryl, please choreograph some steps for the guy!
7. Gladys- overscored
Well I tried for one hour to vote for Donald and Peta, starting at 9 and ending at 10. It was busy everytime and I still have not reached my quota.
This night was so predictable. The EXTREME pimpage is pissing me off…
I am not even bothering to vote this week. They titled the show Motown week. They might as well have titled it the week “We eliminated Gladys Knight”. It couldn’t be more obvious they want her gone. So I won’t even bother. She will be in the bottom 2 with Roshon who must be doing something wrong because he continues to get picked out every week.
the dance marathon was interesting. Why did they tap out Maria and derek though?
Newsflash Carrie Anne – Not all woman want to say “Thank You” to William. Sorry, but I am not a fan of “Mr. Ed”. But some of us women want to tell you (Carrie Anne) to STFU… Thank You, I just had to say that.
Len wants to see Willy with harder choreography??? Understatement of the century! Give him at least a few steps to do for goodness sakes! The pimping of Willy is pathetic! Free Willy now!
I loved Motown week. The Temptations and Smokey were wonderful. What is up with Maria and Derek? What a disappointment. Maria seems lost half the time. THey were out of sync and in the Marathon it looked like Maria wasn’t even trying or else they weren’t prepared. What a drag. Derek’s my fav. I agree with most of your post, sasa, except I didn’t think Donald was overscored. He continues to improve. And Maks, ugh. Overall, a delightful show tonight!
I loved Donald and Maria’s foxtrots. Sorry they had little mistakes. Hope they make it through. Figure Donald will but worry more for Maria.
I broke down to watch Motown night. I should have watched the Voice again. What the heck was that all about. I did not feel Katherine’s samba at all. What did I miss? I did not feel William’s rumba. What did I miss? Kudos to Melissa for speaking up about the package they showed before her dance with Maks. I am soo disappointed with this show.
WOW Jaleel was on fire! What a performance :)! he could really emerge as a contender.This probably was my favourite performance this week :):):). I actually feel like him and Kim are growing closer and have now a very good partnership π
Katherine is my favourite in this competition but I actually feel like she was a bit overmarked in her samba ;). But she still is a beautiful dancer and Im loving her relationship with Mark.
-Poor Roshon π I actually love his rumba and he as severely undermarked imo π :(!
Didnt like Willy& C rumba like Carie Ann said let the man dance!
Love Mellisa&Maks once again undermaked imo!
The other performances were forgettable for me.
Boring foxtrot by Maria&Derek;I didnt like that choreography at all;I kept thinking when is it going to end?Overmarked imo.
Gladys tried :).
Is it wrong that I want to rip Carrie Anne’s extension out. Really lift police??? My revenge for now is voting. Sorry for hostility and cattiness. Now I know why jive was picked for the dance duel. Sorry for my rudeness and if I offend.
Well tonight showed that yes the judges are favouring William way too much even though I think he is a good dancer & Len is right, give him some steps please, he can handle them.
Katherine & Mark once again were the standouts no surprise there, I thought Roshon was way undermarked & WTF was he out of the dance marathon so quick for? ugh!
Lastly I know some here love Derek as do I but…….that Foxtrot was weak & again WAY overscored, the fact Maria got the same mark as Katherine from Len was a joke.
The dance marathon showed Maria’s weakness, she was awful in it, looked lost & stiff once again when it comes to the Latin based dances.
Why Derek looked pissed is beyond me, they were right to boot them early.
@Meggie – I am just sick of it. And don’t get me started on the Motown Marathon, all Willy did in that was open his shirt and slide across the floor. What a joke!!
It seems like Len is our only hope ladies. The other two judges have lost it, they are completely bonkers to the point of no return. I am convinced now that Katherine and Willy will be in the finals and it really doesn’t matter who the 3rd spot is. *sadface*
I did not even talk about the marathon. Peta and Donald were sooo much better than William and Cheryl. The agenda is out there. Someone they don’t want to be in it must be getting a hell of a lot of votes and they just want to get rid of them any way that they can.
How can I vote online? I feel like I should throw a couple of votes for Roshan,Jaleel( and Katherinejust to be safe π
I know Sandy! I couldn’t believe my eyes when I saw him continue to slide across the floor! I’ll save the rest of my opinions for the power rankings, but we can only hope that the judges come to their senses soon! Or the voters! π‘
Well, it’s just one opinion, but I can’t watch Jaleel without being creeped out – so his routine did NOTHING for me. I thought it was grossly over-scored. And tapping our Donald before Jaleel? I thought it was blatant manipulation to save Urkel. IMO, Katherine was also over-scored. I also didn’t think William did well enough to last as long in the marathon as he did.
At this rate, I don’t know why TPTB don’t go ahead and announce that they’re eliminating the popular vote. Just take the judges scores, and move on….. oh wait, I know why! Because if they do that, there’s no need for a Tuesday night results show! π― So they need us, but they don’t really want us, because, you know, we might “pick the wrong people”.
I don’t think I’ve ever been this upset over an episode of DWTS. It’s times like this that I feel like I need to keep an old, beat-up TV lying about the house, so I have something to chuck out one of the upstairs windows without breaking the really good TV… π Damn you, TPTB, and most of all, Damn you, judges.
It seems so unfair that Roshan was voted early in the Marathon :(? William should have gone earlier, why he got the 2nd place is beyond me!
The Marathon showed how overrated Maria’s Latin is;as someone else said she looked so stiff at times!
And Jaleel was also voted early! This is a way for the judges to manipulate the scores!
@dwtsfan are you serious about voting
4 chelsie and Roshon 18008683405, text 3405 if you have AT&T, vote online at abc.go.com you have 2 verify your emails. With emails you have till 11am eastern time zone. Let me know but Jaleel should be safe with 37 points to Roshon’s 28 I think, so Roshon would gladly take all your votes. Let me know I can help and will be up all night.
My opinion of the marathon: Maria and Derek should’ve stayed longer, not top 4 but longer. Roshon was one of the better performances, he should’ve stated longer. Melissa shouldn’t have outlasted Maria and Roshon. Why was William even in the top 4? Oh yeah, Carrie Ann and Bruno. I thought for sure he won when he did the knee slide to the judges table. If he wanted to win he should’ve completley ripped off his shirt, and made out with Carrie Ann. Roshon should’ve taken his place in the top 4. Katherine was good, definetley the top 4, but winning is kind of pushing it. I loved watching her reaction to winning though. Donald and Peta should’ve won. Jaleel and Kym were good, I actually liked them tonight. I’m still not sending any votes in their direction, but I stilled enjoyed it. That’s what I thought. Of course, Im no expert, so it’s all my opinion.
I have never been as upset about a DWTS show as I was tonight. As I was watching Roshon’s rumba, I was thinking that it was one of the best, if not the best, that had been done by a male celebrity on the show — it had hip movement, graceful arm and leg extensions, and a sensual quality. Roshon danced a lot more than most male celebrities do in a rumba. I was totally floored when the judges attacked the quality of the dance and even more so when Carrie Ann decided to call out a lift. She hadn’t mentioned or deducted for several egregious lifts that occurred earlier in the season, but Chelsie’s leg comes off the floor for a little bit (I can’t say I even saw it), and she deducts a point.
I only became more angry as the show went on. Katherine and Jaleel perform a samba and cha cha that incorporated a lot of Motown choreography and get rave reviews and high scores from the judges, but when Roshon did that in his cha cha and samba, he was slammed by Len. Donald has a misstep in his foxtrot, and none of the judges mention it. Two weeks ago, Roshon has a bobble in his Viennese Waltz and is called out on it by Len.
I stopped watching after I saw Jaleel and Kym dance. I figured the dance marathon was only going to aggravate me more if I watched it, and it turns out I was right. It’s obvious they want Roshon in the dance off tomorrow, but at this point I don’t trust the judges to keep him in. All I can say is that once he’s off the show, I am no longer watching. Moreover, if he ends up getting kicked off tomorrow because of the judges’ shenanigans, I am never going to watch the show again.
TO Harriet yes I think it would be better if I vote online since I dont have AT&T. I will throw a couple of votes to Roshan and Jaleel also(you are never really safe in this competition).
Katherine too π
Amen IrisandLilies!!!! I’m trying to be positive and using the scoring to keep up voting more and more.
I’m very biased of course…. Geez Roshon and Chelsie’s rumba was smoldering, smokin hot, sensual, and I could watch it over and over. They left me feeling like the teacher is now hot student and reciprocating the students feelings. Hot-hot-hot!!!!
@Harriett
I went back to watch it again on Y**t**e, and for the life of me I couldn’t see where Roshon was jerky or made his movements too large or where the alleged “lift” occurred.
Good luck with your voting. I’m going to create some more email accounts to vote. I’ve already sent about 260 votes Chelsie’s and Roshon’s way. Here’s hoping that they get a lot of sympathy votes. I noticed on the ABC boards that a couple of posters who are not team Roshee fans stated they were going to send a few votes their way because of the underscoring by the judges.
BTW, I thought Roshon and Chelsie had the absolute worst song to dance to, and Smokey’s performance of it was not great.
I totally saw the lift AND I called Roshon jerky on twitter before the judges did – that said, he danced better than William did.
Carrie Ann needs to switch whichever HRT she`s on, the one she`s taking is obviously not working. Bruno needs to look into taking some HRT (might balance him out a bit!) and Len is just his usual grandad self. OK it was`nt Derek and Maria`s best performance but i would hate to see them leave. Wonder what Roshon has done to annoy TPTB?, Len`s comment`s were like a baseball bat attacking veal calf. Katherine`s “part samba”?, best cure for insomnia.
Did definitely see the lift, however I saw many others over the last few weeks that she didn’t call. π
Someone said that thay feel TPTB would love a “fight for their third” finals…Cheryl, Kym, Mark. That’s would be interesting only that I think Donald deserves to be there and not William.