Dancing with the Stars Season 15: Predicted Eliminations w/o Professional Partners
So now that we know who most of the cast is I decided to whip up a quick breakdown of how the Season 15 cast would fare against one another now.
However, then I started thinking: How cool would it be to see how they would have fared against one another with the professional partners that they had before? Yes, I know that there are duplicates here and there but if you were able to clone those pros… how would the “All Star” cast fare? Well let’s find out!
CELEBRITY | PROFESSIONAL | ORIGINAL RANK | NEW RANK |
Apolo Anton Ohno | Julianne Hough | Winner | Winner |
Shawn Johnson | Mark Ballas | Winner | 2nd |
Drew Lachey | Cheryl Burke | Winner | 3rd |
Gilles Marini | Cheryl Burke | 2nd | 4th |
Hélio Castroneves | Julianne Hough | Winner | 5th |
Emmitt Smith | Cheryl Burke | Winner | 6th |
Joey Fatone | Kym Johnson | 2nd | 7th |
Bristol Palin | Mark Ballas | 3rd | 8th |
Kelley Monaco | Alec Mazo | Winner | 9th |
Melissa Rycroft | Tony Dovolani | 3rd | 10th |
Kirstie Alley | Maksim Chmerkovskiy | 2nd | 11th |
Pamela Anderson | Damian Whitewood | 6th | 12th |
VOTABLE CELEBRITIES | |||
Sabrina Bryan | Mark Ballas | 7th | 3rd (before Drew) |
Carson Kressley | Anna Trebunskaya | 8th | 12th (before Pamela) |
Kyle Massey | Lacey Schwimmer | 2nd | 4th (before Gilles) |
An interesting breakdown to be sure… granted probably not accurate but what can you do? On the other hand this is with the assumption that everyone was with their original partner but that’s not going to happen, not by a long shot. So with the information that we do know about the celebrities (occupation, current age) how would they fare on the season?
CELEBRITY | OCCUPATION | AGE | NEW RANK |
Shawn Johnson | Olympian | 20s | 1st |
Apolo Anton Ohno | Olympian | 30s | 2nd |
Drew Lachey | Band Member | 30s | 3rd |
Joey Fatone | Band Member | 30s | 4th |
Emmitt Smith | NFL | 40s | 5th |
Gilles Marini | Actor | 30s | 6th |
Kelly Monaco | Soap Opera Star | 30s | 7th |
Hélio Castroneves | Athlete | 30s | 8th |
Melissa Rycroft | Reality TV Star | 20s | 9th |
Kirstie Alley | Actress | 60s | 10th |
Bristol Palin | Other | 20s | 11th |
Pamela Anderson | Actress | 40s | 12th |
VOTABLE CELEBRITIES | |||
Sabrina Bryan | Disney | 20s | 3rd (before Drew) |
Carson Kressley | Host | 40s | 12th (before Pamela) |
Kyle Massey | Disney | 20s | 3rd (before Drew) |
Without knowing the professional partner, it is interesting to see how there are some that can stay relatively in the same area while others are all over the place in the rankings. For example Hélio Castroneves appears to be stronger with the right professional dancer, mainly because athletes in general tend be in the middle of the road.
Keep in mind this are predictions without a professional partner… I would be interested to know who the partner could possibly be and how would that affect the above rankings.
Can’t WAIT!!!
My Hopes for the Professional Partners:
Shawn Johnson and Derek Hough
Bristol Palin and Mark Ballas
Pamela Anderson and Val Chmerkovskiy
Kelly Monaco and Tristan MacManus
Melissa Rycroft and Tony Dovolani
Kirstie Alley and Maksim Chmerkovskiy
Joey Fatone and Kym Johnson
Apolo Anton Ohno and Julianne Hough
Helio Castroneves and Peta Murgatroyd
Emmitt Smith and Anna Trebunskaya
Gilles Marini and Cheryl Burke
Drew Lachey and Chelsie Hightower/Lacey Schwimmer
anna and emmitt. that sounds great!
@Vin — I really hope for some reason that Shawn and Derek are partnered together! I think they’ll do good together tbh! And plus Derek hasn’t had anyone younger than him yet! But I think Shawn could very well win this thing again!
I really don’t think it would be fair for some to have their former partners while others can’t. I think it would hurt the pairs that had been partners before in the end because people would be upset at how unfair it is and vote for other pairs.
Switching everyone up would be the most interesting. Then we would really see how good the all-stars are…if they can be great a second time or if the magic was only in the former pairing!
Marianya! It’s great to see you back with your prediction posts! Loves this!!! My first thought is that the winner will be Apolo! OMG, this season is going to be a blast!
this is interesting. My initial reactions were that Shawn, Apolo, Gilles, and Drew would all do very well. I know Helio adn Emmitt are winners, but I don’t see them being as popular this time around and among this cast. I love Melissa, but I think she might have a hard time being memorable among this cast as well–I hope I’m wrong. My hope is that she will not be paired with Tony again, b/c I think that would be the nail in the coffin so to speak. I’m thinking, and hoping, that Bristol and Pam are the first two out.
The pairings will throw such a wrench in things. It will be so interesting to see if all the guys split votes and cancel each other, as I’ve seen mentioned. Or, like EPmusic said, that if something totally unfair happens (IMO) like Cheryl and Mark getting handed Gilles and Shawn, if there would be a backlash.
I think I will enjoy the season nonetheless, and can’t wait to see it all play out.
One of Maks and Vals friends tweeted that Val Maks and Tony(boo) have been confirmed for the allstars.
Since this is Derek’s last season, why not give him Bristol! I think he hasn’t really been tested at all and he is about to retire.
Shawn would look extremely awkward with Derek.
i don’t think we really can predict who is going to place where until the pairings have been announced, really.
Mel, you really should read the room before posting stuff that has been debunked ages ago. You’re making yourself look bad and I’m not in the mood to deal with stupid shit this early.
As always, an interesting analysis. It would be interesting to add in one more variable, their estimated fanbase/support. With new celebs, we don’t really know, but since they have been on before, we have a better idea of how big (Kirstie) or how small (Sabrina) their fanbase was.
Also, should we add a analysis point for the likelyhood of the judges tipping the scale in the dancers favor like they had in the past (bristol/kirstie).
Ok soooo…..the female cast really kinda sucks 🙁
However I really like the male cast! Good job producers!
I hope they are paired like this:
Kym & Gilles (please let them be paired together!!! So gorgeous!
Cheryl & Apolo
Karina & Helio
Anna & Emmitt
Chelsie & Drew
Lacy & Joey
I agree 100% with EPMusic. I really hope that producers do not make some old pairings because it really would be unfair. Part of being great is forming a chemistry with your partner so having someone you already have a relationship with is an unfair advantage…
With that being said, here are my hopeful/guess pairings:
Apollo Ohno- Cheryl Burke
Drew Lachey- Chelsie Hightower
Joey Fatone- Lacey Schwimmer
Emmitt Smith- Karina Smirnoff
Helio Castranoves- Anna Trebunskaya
Gilles Marini- Peta Murgatroyd
Pamela Anderson- Val Chmerkovski
Melissa Rycroft- Mark Ballas
Kirstie Alley- Tony Dovalani
Bristol Palin- Maksim Chmerkovski
Kelly Monaco- Derek Hough
Shawn Johnson- Tristan MacManus
Sabrina Bryan- Louis V. Amstel
Kyle Massey- Kym Johnson
Carson Kressley- Kym Johnson
I would LOVE to see the return of some old pros for this season like Julianne, Ashley and Jonathan but I am not sure how likely this is..
My pick as the winner is Joey Fatone, its great to see him competing agains Apollo again because that final had to be one of the closest!
I have to agree with Diana, and I’m hoping that the producers have all the celebs paired up with a new pro; part of the charm of the show is watching the partnership form & grow, you wouldn’t get that from being with a pro you’ve already danced with. It would also be unfair to the celebs w/ a new pro while another celeb has their old pro as their partner. The one thing that will put everyone on the same playing field is by dancing with a new pro.
Anywhoo, here’s my hopeful pairings (based on height, personality & age):
Apollo Ohno- Chelsie Hightower
Drew Lachey- Anna Trebunskya
Joey Fatone- Peta Murgatroyd (he did fantastic w/ Kym, and I’m sure he’ll do great with another Aussie)
Emmitt Smith- Kym Johnson
Helio Castranoves- Cheryl Burke (Cheryl’s been such a bitchy sourpuss the last few seasons, dancing with Helio should help her smile more and not take things so seriously)
Gilles Marini- Karina Smirnoff (they’ll be smoking hot!!!)
Melissa Rycroft- Mark Ballas
Kirstie Alley- Tony Dovolani
Shawn Johnson- Val Chmerkovskiy (let’s face it Shawn will be fantastic regardless of who you pair her with)
Pamela Anderson- Tristan MacManus
Bristol Palin- Derek Hough (Derek’s proven he’s the master choreographer & hiding his partner’s flaws, I’d like for him to prove himself the master teacher & make Bristol sparkle)
Kelly Monaco- Maksim Chmerkovskiy (hello, another smoking hot pairing, I just see these 2 oozing sex appeal)
I for one do not want to see Julianne Hough return she is considered to being a wanna be actress so NO to her.
I want to see
CHeryl Burke with Apolo or Gilles
KArina with Emmitt Smith
Peta Murgatroyd with Joey Fatone
Lacey with Helio
Anna T with Drew LAchey
Male Pros
Maks with Melissa
Tristian with Kelly
Derek with Kirstie
Mark with Pamela ANderson
Val with Shawn Johnson
I am thinking of an all-male finals. Gilles, Apolo, and Helio.
I would be interesting if their partners were Karina, Chelsie, and Anna 🙂
@BellaDashwood I agree with your whole list, really good pairings imo ! Gilles and Karina would be really good together!
I so want to see Karina dance with Gilles! And I fell in love with Derek last season so can’t wait to see who he’ll be paired with but I’m sure he’ll go far! So not happy to see Kirstie & Bristol again.
Wait, so who is in first? One chart has it Apolo and the other Shawn…(and I personally can’t pick between them!)
Love all of your guesses for who you’d like to see coupled together. I think I’d like them to go like this:
Apolo and Chelsie
Drew and Karina
Joey and Cheryl
Emmitt and Kym
Helio and Anna
Gilles and Peta
Pamela and Maks
Melissa and Mark
Kirstie and Val
Bristol and Tony
Kelly and Derek
Shawn and Tristan
Sabrina and Sasha or Henry
Kyle and Sharna
Carson and Lacey
if they are going to give them new partners, i think I would pair them like this:
Apolo and Chelsie
Drew and Anna
Joey and Karina
Emmitt and Kym
Helio and Anna
Gilles and Peta
Pamela and Tristan
Melissa and Tristan
Kirstie and Tony
Bristol and Val
Kelly and Mark
Shawn and Derek
i voted for carson for the other thing so carson and lacey would be my 13th couple
Some of you REALLY need to look at the heights of the pros and celebs before making your predictions. 😀 There are some floating around that just are highly unlikely.
i meant drew and cheryl.
Seems like these predictions say the pro is irrelevant if the celeb is super popular. Will be interesting dynamic.
I’ve always said that the pro was not that important if the celeb is super popular. Kristi, Kirstie, Shawn, Donny…all people with tremendous fanbases who are likely to vote. I was laughing my ass off when people were crediting Maks for Kirstie getting through. Or even crediting Derek for Jennifer. I think that Derek dealt better with Jennifer’s issues than many would have – and he had to be extra creative when dancing with her – but she has a pretty huge fanbase all of her own. Would she have won with anyone?? I don’t think so. I think that the relationships are important too, as a couple. The ones I listed above are, I think, the only ones who would have won with nearly anyone. Note the word “nearly”.
@Vin #21 – you have Tristan paired with both Pamela and Melissa. Now I’m a huge Tris fan and think he’s the best thing since sliced bread, but I don’t think he can handle two celeb partners LOL So which is it Pamela or Melissa?
my hope is for derek to be paired with kelly monaco and not someone like bristol palin. if he is paired with kelly, maria menounos will be a thing in the past.
I really think the best way to have done it would be to bring back one former partner for each of 12 pros and kept original pairings intact.
But yeah, yeah, I know the show doesn’t think about the pros (even though to a lot of longtime fans, the pros are the “Stars” in DWTS)
So, since they messed it up that way (I mean, c’mon, don’t they know that viewers want to see their favorite COUPLES back, not just the celebrities), I agree that the only fair way to do it would be to have everyone with a new partner.
So, here would be my guesses/choices for pairings:
Shawn & Val
Kelly & Mark
Pam & Maks
Bristol & Derek
Kirstie & Tony
Melissa & Tristan
Drew & Lacey/Anna
Emmitt & Kym
Apolo & Chelsie
Helio & Cheryl
Gilles & Karina
Joey & Peta
Kirstie tweeted today that she already knows her partner but can’t let the cat out of the bag. She did say he does not have blonde hair and its not Derek.
I have noticed that Maks has been very silent about the announcement of the cast. No tweets. Nothing. Wouldn’t it be hilarous if they paired him with Bristol?
Tony and Val seemed pretty upbeat in the interviews. Mark seems excited. Tristan is always upbeat so it’s hard to read him.
I really don’t like them switching up the partner. I can’t imagine Kirstie with any other pro than Maks.
my guess is Kirstie and Tristan. She said that her partner has brown hair, (and it’s nrt Derek or Louis). I think the rest like Tony, Val and Maks all have black hair.
Maks is in the Ukraine (Val said in interview).
Val has brown hair 🙂
Sorry…forgot to mention that Kirstie tweeted a pic of Tony interviewing her and said basically that it’s not him either.
I hope that if Helio is with Karina, then Kym gets Emmitt and Anna gets Giles. Giles would be awesome with Karina but have a feeling they won’t do it…and Anna, with somebody as good as Giles, I think can step up her choreo.
About Derek..I really hope they give him someone capable of really bringing it…we haven’t seen half of the amazing choreo he can do, yet. An All-Star season would have been amazing with him and Nicole…we would have seen stellar stuff from all, because it woud be forced outta them. But since that’s not happening, really hope he does not get Bristol or Pam, the 2 weakest dancers. Any other season I wouldn’t mind that because I’ll bet he could take even them far into the competition and it would be fun to see the interaction, in both seasons…but not this season.
Also, I sure hope that TPTB do the ONE fair thing they have control over and that is to NOT give anyone an original partner, since everyone can’t have an original partner.
I think Anna has been DQed from ever getting a good partner again after that freestyle she came up with for Evan L. Dmitry also seemed to get black listed after his Mya freestyle. To have dancers as good as that and to come up with such lame freestyles can really hurt a pro in who they get in the future.
[…] Thanks to yesterday’s live blog post by Heidi of the announcements of the partnerships on Dancing with the Stars Season 15, I can now provide the predicted eliminations with the professional partners as opposed to previously where the partnerships were not announced. […]