Dancing with the Stars Season 15: Predicted Eliminations w/ Professional Partners

Thanks to yesterday’s live blog post by Heidi of the announcements of the partnerships on Dancing with the Stars Season 15, I can now provide the predicted eliminations with the professional partners as opposed to previously where the partnerships were not announced.

If you have forgotten, in a previous post I have ranked the announced celebrities in accordance to their normalized averages via their ages at the time of their original season and their occupations and how they would have fared if we were able to clone their professional partner if one professional dancer had multiple celebrities.

And then I had another table that updated their ages to Season 15 and kept their occupations for which they are known for but at that time without the professional partner. So in the below table is a comparison of how each of the celebrities had fared without knowing whom their professional partners are and after the announcement from Monday:

Shawn Johnson Olympian 20s 1st Derek Hough 1st
Apolo Anton Ohno Olympian 30s 2nd Karina Smirnoff 2nd
Emmitt Smith NFL 40s 5th Cheryl Burke 3rd
Joey Fatone Band Member 30s 4th Kym Johnson 4th
Gilles Marini Actor 30s 6th Peta Murgatroyd 5th
Drew Lachey Band Member 30s 3rd Anna Trebunskaya 6th
Bristol Palin Other 20s 11th Mark Ballas 7th
Kelly Monaco Soap Opera Star 30s 7th Val Chmerkovskiy 8th
Pamela Anderson Actress 40s 12th Tristan MacManus 9th
HΓ©lio Castroneves Athlete 30s 8th Chelsie Hightower 10th
Kirstie Alley Actress 60s 10th Maks Chmerkovskiy 11th
Melissa Rycroft Reality TV Star 20s 9th Tony Dovolani 12th

In generalizations it would appear that the professional partner does not change how the celebrity would do on the show, however when you really compare the two different rankings there are some significant jumps.

For example Emmitt Smith jumping from 5th place without Cheryl Burke to 3rd when paired with her. Drew Lachey was originally slated for 3rd place before we found out his professional partner who (as we found out) turned out to be Anna Trebunskaya and it dropped him to 6th place.

Bristol Palin’s ranking jumped from 11th without her professional partner, Mark Ballas, who moved her up to 7th place. A similar jump up in placement happened for Pamela Anderson when she is paired with Tristan MacManus.

This is what the numbers show me… and hopefully over the coming weeks the numbers would reveal if in previous seasons there was warped scoring for the celebrities or not…