So, now that the 13th couple has been announced for the Dancing With The Stars All Star Season, let’s see what the odds makers in Las Vegas have to say about it. Below is a run down of the Las Vegas Odds from a previous posting when we first found out who would be dancing. After that is the NEW Las Vegas Odds from Sports Bovada. Note how they still have Pamela coming in last. They’ve also lowered Bristol and Melissa. Helio and Apolo have been switched around with Apolo at the top.
First preliminary Las Vegas Odds the before 13th couple was announced:
Helio Castroneves 9/2
Apolo Anton Ono 5/1
Emmitt Smith 6/1
Shawn Johnson 6/1
Drew Lachey 7/1
Joey Fatone 7/1
Kelly Monaco 15/2
Gilles Marini 10/1
Kirstie Alley 10/1
Melissa Rycroft 12/1
Bristol Palin 15/1
Kyle Massey/Sabrina Bryan/Carson Kressley 20/1
Pamela Anderson 25/1
New preliminary Las Vegas Odds AFTER the 13th couple was announced:
Apolo Anton Ono 9/2
Helio Castroneves 5/1
Emmitt Smith 6/1
Shawn Johnson 6/1
Drew Lachey 15/2
Joey Fatone 15/2
Gilles Marini 9/1
Kirstie Alley 14/1
Kelly Monaco 15/1
Sabrina Bryan 15/1
Melissa Rycroft 18/1
Bristol Palin 25/1
Pamela Anderson 40/1
So, do the odds makers have it right or wrong?
I think they have Helio way too high. He should be more towards the bottom. I also think they are underestimating Gilles. They are underestimating Pamela as well. I think Kirstie is going to be more of a force than many realize too. Let’s get my sistah’s thoughts because they are ‘in the know’ if you know what I mean. 😀 Be sure you let us know your thoughts too in the comment section.
Courtney: They still have Helio too high. I get it, he’s a fun, popular guy – but in a sea of fantastic dancers? He’s gonna look a bit weak. And I wouldn’t underestimate the comedic appeal of a sultry American bombshell paired with a modest, boy-next-door Irishman 😉 Not so sure why they have Kelly so high – are they banking on her soap opera fanbase to pull her through? Because I doubt it’s going to be her dance skills keeping her around…and judging from what I’ve seen so far, she also seems to have a bit of a lack of motivation to really get competitive. Emmitt? Also too high – I think that, like Helio, they’re banking on his personality carrying him through, and seem to forget that he maybe wasn’t the strongest champion we’ve had and he’s also in his 40’s now…with a lifetime of football injuries under his belt. I actually think they have Gilles about right – I don’t think he’s going to do as well this season as we may have originally thought, based on the fact that he seems a bit bummed about not getting his preferred partner…and the jury’s still out on his actual partner’s choreographic skills.
Heidi: I think just about the ONLY thing they’ve gotten right is Apolo at the very top (although he may not actually win) and the first five eliminations (although not necessarily in that order)…sort of. I think Helio is way too high, as is Emmett. I kind of agree with where they put Gilles, too. More because he seems to have Brandy-itis this time around – that is, an extreme desire to WIN at all costs. That’s off putting to a lot of people. Including me, and I love Gilles. He needs to RELAX. I don’t know who will be the first person out, but I do think it will be one of those bottom five women they have listed…and I think they might be about right with Kirstie as well. What you have to think about in this instance is not JUST the ability of a given dancer, but the ability and fanbase of all the other dancers on the show at the same time. That’s why I’m not sure that Kirstie is going to get anywhere near the final, let alone the top five, and that Helio and Emmett are over rated. That’s also why it’s very possible that Pam could be the first out, followed by Kelly, Melissa and Sabrina. But really – this season is going to be difficult to predict. The test of any fanbase on this show will be how they survive not being at the top of the leader board. It could be as simple as “you’re at the bottom, you’re out” – and I think that could apply to several of our celebrities this time around. The ones that I think NEED to not be at the bottom of the leaderboard the first week are Pam, Bristol, Kelly, Helio and maybe Drew.