DWTS All Stars Week 2 – A Dancing by the Numbers Retrospective
So, lots of surprise and shock that Joey was eliminated this past week on DWTS. How could that happen, when three women had lower scores than him and he was such a charmer?? Well, there are lots of theories – I didn’t even really consider him as an option for elimination, but that’s what’s crazy about this season. So, let’s explore how that might have happened. There are a number of possible reasons, but first we’ll go over the “How did it happen” as opposed to the “Why”.
As you might remember from my “Dancing by the Numbers” post for Week 2, Joey was tied for 7th place with Drew and Emmitt. For Drew, who had been in the bottom two the previous week, to stick around, all he had to do was get ONE more vote per million votes cast than Joey, and voila! He’s safe. Same for Emmitt. Clearly, that happened.
But how did Helio end up in the bottom over the previously at-risk Drew? Drew had to have gotten at least 1,812 more votes per million votes cast than Helio. What else?? Well, ALL of the following had to happen for Helio to land in the bottom two:
– Bristol got at least 18,116 more votes per million votes cast than Helio, AND;
– Kirstie got at least 7,246 more votes per million votes cast than Helio, AND;
– Kelly got at least 3,623 more votes per million votes cast than Helio, AND;
– Drew and Emmitt both got at least 1,811 more votes per million votes cast than Helio.
Now, I had never believed that Helio was in the running for the MBT. I and others also said that he was a potential early exit. But Joey?? That was rather surprising. ALL of the following had to happen for Joey to be eliminated:
– Bristol got at least 16,304 more votes per million votes cast than Joey, AND;
– Kirstie got at least 5,435 more votes per million votes cast than Joey, AND;
– Kelly got at least 1,812 more votes per million votes cast than Joey, AND;
– Drew and Emmitt both got at least 1 more vote per million votes cast than Joey, AND;
– Joey didn’t cover the spread between him and Helio.