Dancing with the Stars Season 15 – Week 5 Predictions
After taking a week off (I actually flew out to New York two weekends ago) and as thus wasn’t able to rework my spreadsheet in time for the predictions of Week 4. But I am back and raring to go with Week 5 predictions.
So without further ado… here are the predictions that you were missing last week (with thanks from Heidi for putting together who is dancing what):
Consequently those celebrities in their 60s have done a Quickstep but again only in the first two weeks of their season… so to stick with some sort of accuracy I chose not to include those scores.
However, with those missing scores it seems rather odd for Kirstie to be placed so high (though it could be possible) while Melissa is placed so low… Again as proven in past prediction posts… they tend to be a crap shoot… so take the above with a grain of salt.
In the meantime let’s look at how the scores went at the end of the day for Week 3 and (from what is available in Week 4).
WEEK 3 ACTUAL to PREDICTION RESULTS
What I found to be interesting is that back in Week 3, Drew Lachey and Kirstie Alley were indeed to be predicted to be towards the bottom of the pack… and were towards the bottom of the leaderboard when the scores actually came out. Bristol was also at the bottom of the leaderboard even though her age group tends to perform rather well.
But when you compare the actual scores to that of the previous scores (averaged out) the generality is that the higher previous scores were towards the top and it kind of trickled down from there for the most part.
WEEK 4 ACTUAL to PREDICTION RESULTS
Don’t even get me started about the scoring from Week 4… I am liable to go into a full blown rant at that rate and that isn’t healthy… particularly since it has been a week!
But what about the Group Dances you asked? Well considering I just finished the worksheet for this very question let’s find out:
– Cheryl Burke and Maksim Chmerkovskiy have done team dances together in Season 13 (Paso Doble: Win) and in Season 14 with Peta Murgatroyd (Paso Doble: Loss)
– While the only time (that I have been able to gauge) that any of the pros in Team Shawn have worked together in a Team Dance is Derek Hough and Louis van Amstel in Season 9 for a Team Tango for which they have won.
Anyway… I hope you enjoyed this long awaited post! See you at the other side!
Fascinating as always Marianya! I love these…but, oiy, I hope Apolo and Emmitt don’t finish that low. And wow, Kirstie second? We will soon see if this is another strong week for her?
Well I just added a tidbit about the professional dancers in relation to the group dances… I was going to do a whole spiel about the breakdown and try to predict the group dances but I ran out of time… maybe next year.
Is this the way the pros in Vegas do it? Where’s the regression analysis?
@Albert – To go through an entire regression analysis on the data… and to do it as similar to the way the pros in Vegas do it would require me to change my current day to job to work the odds in Vegas… and as thus I wouldn’t be able to blog for PureDWTS any longer.
aka… what’s the point?