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Dancing With The Stars 17 Las Vegas Odds Going Into Week 8 —Hmmm, Interesting!

“I like to be against the odds.” ~Barry Bonds

Have you noticed the odds makers in Las Vegas have been wrong almost every week this Season (if you base it on a ranking)? Though this isn’t really anything new either, but, last season they seemed to nail it every week despite our protests. Then again, the odds are more of an overall prediction of who will win at the end (for what Courtney and Heidi are always good at explaining. It’s confusing. I know.). So, below are Sports Bovada’s new odds going into Dancing With The Stars Season 17 Week 8!! Note how the numbers have changed compared to the week before. They also have tied Brant and Jack in fourth with 16/1 odds which I think I agree with. Though I think Elizabeth should be tied with them with the same 16/1 odds too. The biggest change though is how they changed Leah’s odds from 100/1 to now 66/1. They also insist on giving Bill 100/1 odds again as in previous weeks. Though sadly, I have to say I think Bill’s time might be running out either this week or the next. So maybe these odds are correct this time? Though how I hope (again) it’s Leah to go first.

Corbin Bleu 6/5
Amber Riley 5/4
Elizabeth Berkley 6/1
Brant Daugherty 16/1
Jack Osbourne 16/1
Leah Rimini 66/1
Bill Engvall 100/1

Below are last week’s odds:

Corbin Bleu 5/4
Amber Riley 7/5
Elizabeth Berkley 6/1
Jack Osbourne 12/1
Brant Daugherty 16/1
Snooki 16/1
Bill Engvall 100/1
Leah Rimini 100/1

Heidi, Court…take it away….

Heidi: Well, technically, as someone who doesn’t know that much about betting…they aren’t really “wrong”, per se, as these are the odds to win the show. So, if their person with the lowest odds isn’t the one eliminated, then they are only wrong if their person that is the odds on favorite to win is the one eliminated. Otherwise, they just didn’t have long enough odds on the person eliminated. Courtney knows more about this than I do, but that’s the way I understand it. We are looking at is as a ranking, which I don’t know if that’s what the odds makers intended when they place the odds.  Besides all that, I think they have it right in one respect – I think the judges will continue to do their best to ensure Bill is the next one to go. Whether they are successful or not depends heavily on the scores of the other people.  Personally, I’m not sure why they have Leah so  low, currently, since Jack hasn’t been scoring as well as Leah and seems to be fading to the background.  Why does he get 16/1 and she gets 66? I personally think she’s not been worthy of better scores than Jack, but she has been getting them and I think she’ll continue to get them as long as Bill is around…possibly leaving the door open for Jack or Brant (or Liz or even Amber) to get eliminated. So, what are they seeing with regards to Leah? Who knows? All I do know is that we will probably see a meltdown of Hope Solo proportions when the judges DO get real on Leah…if they ever do.

Courtney: You are right about the odds – they are essentially just a prediction of how likely someone is to win, as opposed to being a “ranking” of who is the next to go.  That being said – I tend to interpret it like this: the odds are how likely someone is to stay until the end of the competition – so if someone’s odds of staying until the end are low, then by extension, their odds of leaving sooner (rather than later) are probably high.  And when you interpret it that way – it does sort of feel like a prediction of who might be the most likely to be eliminated next.  So applying those thoughts to the situation at hand – I think Bill has made a strong showing these past few weeks, but he is getting rather hosed by the judges in comparison…and I don’t expect this coming week to be any different.  The question is – can his viewer votes neutralize his crummy judges’ scores? One thing that struck me as I voted this week (and please forgive this brief segue away from the topic at hand), is that each week, we get fewer votes to work with per voting method – so unless people are motivated to create more accounts each week, as the weeks wear on, it gets harder and harder to pull a low-scoring couple out of a point deficit…and I’m sure the judges/PTB relish this fact, as it makes it easier for them to oust the “undesirables”.  So while we may have done enough to keep Bill safe in previous weeks – it only gets harder each week.  And I’m beginning to think the fact that there was no elim last week probably helped Bill to some extent, because it just created a huge points dump that made the margins a lot smaller.  I hope I’m just being skeptical, but I’m preparing for the worst.  As for Leah – ack.  I can’t decide if it’s padded scores or just a lot of former fans of King of Queens or The Talk feeling nostalgic, but she has got to go – the sooner, the better.  I’m beginning to think that there’s a very real possibility that, unless the judges stop drinking the Leah Remini “Anti-Scientology Not-a-Dancer” flavored Kool-Aid, she could end up bumping somebody out of the finale…and do you really want to see a freestyle out of her? Yikes 😯

November 2, 2013 I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . To view my photography site, see Lisa Kay Photography.

DWTS17 Peta Murgatroyd On Brant Daugherty: “So Immersed In This Whole Competition”

Ok Magazine! interviewed Peta Murgatroyd about how she stays fit and in tip top shape, but, they also asked her about Dancing With The Stars and if there are any days off during the season. She also chats about her partner Brant Daugherty and how he’s feeling about the competition.

OK!: Are there really and truly any days off for you during the season?

Peta Murgatroyd: There are no days off. I haven’t had a day off since we started the show and neither has Brant. He’s been amazing. He’s so wanting to be in the studio. I don’t think I’ve had a partner who has been so immersed in this whole competition. He’s absolutely loving it and I love that about him. This show is constantly on my mind and if I’m not in the studio I’m choreographing the next chunk of our dance for that week. On Monday night when people go out and party after the show I’m literally back in the studio and working out my next dance until 1 AM. It’s a constant, constant battle to keep up with everything but in the end it’s all worth it. We keep up with massages. We keep up with healthy eating and lots of water and stuff like that.

You can read the full interview at Ok Magazine!. Also, below is a new @DancingABC instagram of Peta and Brant. I wonder what Brant is yelling at her? lol

I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . To view my photography site, see Lisa Kay Photography.

Dancing with the Stars Season 17, Week 7 – Dancing by the Numbers

I’ve seen lots of people making the mistaken assumption (again) that Bill must be getting a ton of votes. This is not necessarily true. And it’s not necessarily false. We don’t actually know. All we know is that Nicole WASN’T getting the votes she needed and that Bill and Leah were getting enough to cover the spread. But as I’ve said before, If Nicole got 10 votes, Bill got 15k votes and Leah gets 20k votes does it matter when Corbin is getting 100k votes?? Nope. It just means that Nicole was first to go of the three, instead of second. Follow me?

Anyway, this week was not a major accomplishment by Bill or Leah, IMO. I think Nicole, along with possibly Jack, fall into the dangerous middle of the road territory, not so much in scoring, but certainly in the impact they are having on the show. I’m also wondering if Brant falls into this category, but he hasn’t even gotten close to “jeopardy” in a few weeks now.  Here’s where the scores from weeks 6 and 7 put each of our couples.

Table 1

Ten whole points between Bill and Nicole seems like a lot, eh?? Not so much as you might think. As shown, below, Bill only needed about 15k votes per million votes cast to beat Nicole – that’s not even close to the largest margin beaten on this show (45k, I believe, by Kurt Warner, who was eliminated the very next week). I was saying the same thing then as I am now – don’t count your chickens. Read more..

I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

Bill Engvall Discusses His DWTS Journey, Feelings On Cher, New Disco Dance, And More

This is such a cool interview with Bill Engvall!! He tells TV Guide all about what his journey has been like so far on Dancing With The Stars and the biggest impact it’s had on him personally. Though last week it wasn’t easy seeing Snooki eliminated when he thought it should be himself. Below are his feelings about Cher judging this upcoming week and a take on he and Emma’s new individual dance. He’s a hoot! Check it out…

Yes! She’s the guest judge this week. How excited are you?
Engvall: That’s when I knew there’s a God. [Laughs] … I’ve been a fan of Cher since the Sonny & Cher show. I always thought she was one of the sexiest — I look at her and go, I could totally hang out with this lady. It’s just going to be a blast. I’m dancing to a Cher song, and she’s going to be 10 feet from me. … She’s on par with me, as far as a fantasy girl, with Farrah Fawcett in front of the Indian blanket.

Is there an added sense of pressure because she’s going to be judging you?Engvall: Pressure’s trying to save somebody’s life, or being in the military and you don’t know who’s shooting at you. That’s pressure. I’m dancing. [Laughs] I think at first there’ll be some nerves, but … I’m the regular guy that will walk up to you and go, ‘Hi Cher, I’m Bill Engvall. How’re you doing?’ I’ll be nervous meeting her, but it’ll be fun.

What are you working on for your individual dance?
Engvall: We’re doing disco, which I love. Of course, [Emma] wasn’t even born. She goes, ‘When you were in the disco, what was your move?’ I go, ‘My move?’ She goes, ‘Didn’t you have, like, a standard move? I go, ‘No. My only move was, how do I get this girl from the club back to my apartment?’ What’s funny is, we have gotten through this disco quicker than we’ve gotten through any dance. We actually have the dance down. Now it’s just cleaning it up.

More at TV Guide. Instagram below courtesy of @DancingABC with the caption, “In only 4 weeks someone will be bringing home the mirrorball trophy. Will it be #TeamBill ? #dwts”

I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . To view my photography site, see Lisa Kay Photography.