Dancing With The Stars 17 Las Vegas Odds Going Into Week 8 —Hmmm, Interesting!
“I like to be against the odds.” ~Barry Bonds
Have you noticed the odds makers in Las Vegas have been wrong almost every week this Season (if you base it on a ranking)? Though this isn’t really anything new either, but, last season they seemed to nail it every week despite our protests. Then again, the odds are more of an overall prediction of who will win at the end (for what Courtney and Heidi are always good at explaining. It’s confusing. I know.). So, below are Sports Bovada’s new odds going into Dancing With The Stars Season 17 Week 8!! Note how the numbers have changed compared to the week before. They also have tied Brant and Jack in fourth with 16/1 odds which I think I agree with. Though I think Elizabeth should be tied with them with the same 16/1 odds too. The biggest change though is how they changed Leah’s odds from 100/1 to now 66/1. They also insist on giving Bill 100/1 odds again as in previous weeks. Though sadly, I have to say I think Bill’s time might be running out either this week or the next. So maybe these odds are correct this time? Though how I hope (again) it’s Leah to go first.
Corbin Bleu 6/5
Amber Riley 5/4
Elizabeth Berkley 6/1
Brant Daugherty 16/1
Jack Osbourne 16/1
Leah Rimini 66/1
Bill Engvall 100/1
Below are last week’s odds:
Corbin Bleu 5/4
Amber Riley 7/5
Elizabeth Berkley 6/1
Jack Osbourne 12/1
Brant Daugherty 16/1
Snooki 16/1
Bill Engvall 100/1
Leah Rimini 100/1
Heidi, Court…take it away….
Heidi: Well, technically, as someone who doesn’t know that much about betting…they aren’t really “wrong”, per se, as these are the odds to win the show. So, if their person with the lowest odds isn’t the one eliminated, then they are only wrong if their person that is the odds on favorite to win is the one eliminated. Otherwise, they just didn’t have long enough odds on the person eliminated. Courtney knows more about this than I do, but that’s the way I understand it. We are looking at is as a ranking, which I don’t know if that’s what the odds makers intended when they place the odds. Besides all that, I think they have it right in one respect – I think the judges will continue to do their best to ensure Bill is the next one to go. Whether they are successful or not depends heavily on the scores of the other people. Personally, I’m not sure why they have Leah so low, currently, since Jack hasn’t been scoring as well as Leah and seems to be fading to the background. Why does he get 16/1 and she gets 66? I personally think she’s not been worthy of better scores than Jack, but she has been getting them and I think she’ll continue to get them as long as Bill is around…possibly leaving the door open for Jack or Brant (or Liz or even Amber) to get eliminated. So, what are they seeing with regards to Leah? Who knows? All I do know is that we will probably see a meltdown of Hope Solo proportions when the judges DO get real on Leah…if they ever do.
Courtney: You are right about the odds – they are essentially just a prediction of how likely someone is to win, as opposed to being a “ranking” of who is the next to go. That being said – I tend to interpret it like this: the odds are how likely someone is to stay until the end of the competition – so if someone’s odds of staying until the end are low, then by extension, their odds of leaving sooner (rather than later) are probably high. And when you interpret it that way – it does sort of feel like a prediction of who might be the most likely to be eliminated next. So applying those thoughts to the situation at hand – I think Bill has made a strong showing these past few weeks, but he is getting rather hosed by the judges in comparison…and I don’t expect this coming week to be any different. The question is – can his viewer votes neutralize his crummy judges’ scores? One thing that struck me as I voted this week (and please forgive this brief segue away from the topic at hand), is that each week, we get fewer votes to work with per voting method – so unless people are motivated to create more accounts each week, as the weeks wear on, it gets harder and harder to pull a low-scoring couple out of a point deficit…and I’m sure the judges/PTB relish this fact, as it makes it easier for them to oust the “undesirables”. So while we may have done enough to keep Bill safe in previous weeks – it only gets harder each week. And I’m beginning to think the fact that there was no elim last week probably helped Bill to some extent, because it just created a huge points dump that made the margins a lot smaller. I hope I’m just being skeptical, but I’m preparing for the worst. As for Leah – ack. I can’t decide if it’s padded scores or just a lot of former fans of King of Queens or The Talk feeling nostalgic, but she has got to go – the sooner, the better. I’m beginning to think that there’s a very real possibility that, unless the judges stop drinking the Leah Remini “Anti-Scientology Not-a-Dancer” flavored Kool-Aid, she could end up bumping somebody out of the finale…and do you really want to see a freestyle out of her? Yikes 😯
I have a feeling we are going to see a repeat of S11 (I hope I am wrong) but at this point Leah could make her way into the finale like Bristol. I am just scared who might have to pay the price. I am hoping its not Amber or Corbin.
At the end ANYHTING IS POSSIBLE with TPTB
@Court You mean another “contemporary, artistic” number from Tony so he can say again next season he’s never choreographed one?
My thing is and has been who would you prefer to see achieve more on the show Bill or Leah? The one that leaves a rehearsal before even attempting to try it. The one that leaves a bad taste in some viewers mouths. The one that week after week acts like she doesn’t want to be there. Gives attitude to the judges and still gets over scored.
Or the one that pretty much has admitted he knows he is getting the screw over and has the attitude “I’m just going to roll with it and have fun.” And some people actually enjoy watching him dance.
I hope the rioters didn’t disappoint this week. I would really hate to see him go before Leah. I really hope she doesn’t pull a Bristol or Kelly Monaco and make it to the finals but the way Tony has been talking it is like he already knows they’re going to be there and it is irritating.
I don’t think Tony “knows” his ass from a hole in the ground. But that’s just me. 🙂
Also…while Bill’s fans have fewer votes with which to dig themselves out of a deficit, I think you can take comfort in the fact that Leah’s fans also have fewer votes with which to protect her or increase the margin even further.
Might not help, but it’s food for thought.
Well…I was one, note emphasis on the word was, in Leah’s court, kind of, because you all know I am a die hard Derek fan…lol. However, the bloom fell off that rose 2 weeks ago, not Derek’s but Leah’s. She had a melt-down or close to it when the judges did try to score her somewhat fairly and she started in whining the next week about how much the other dancers had more experience than her. And I have a real thing about adult temper tantrums….sheesh, like in the beginning of the team dance thing. You can talk about your lack of experience once or maybe even twice, but each of these dancers have their good points and bad points, or maybe I should say their strengths and weaknesses. Some of that has to do with the pro they have, and others with actual physical issues, musicality, and personality. Wasn’t Bill Engvall part of that guy Foxworthy or something comedy tour. He may have a bigger fan base than we think. He is in the same circles of, okay don’t kill me y’all, Bristol Palin’s family. Those folks are a pretty determined fan base you know. Jeff Foxworthy is doing that bible show now on the Game Show Network and they still tour together so maybe we are under estimating him, I don’t know just thinking about it. Well this is a disjointed post, but I was primarily thinking out loud.
Bill Engvall is part of the Blue Collar Comedy Tour along with Jeff Foxworthy and Larry the Cable guy. He is well known amongst country music fans for his comedy and music videos, as well as his television shows.
I’m not big on Bristol Palin but I am very passionate about Bill getting as far as he can in the show this season. You are more than welcome to join me and the rest of the rioters, we come from all classes and walks of life. Bill is an equal opportunity make you laugher. 🙂
I’m saying right now, I will not watch any freestyle of Leah’s if she manages (gag) to make it that far. Tony’s dances are boring from week 1, the freestyle won’t be any different. And I don’t want to watch him lifting her anymore.
No, Bill doesn’t have a chance of getting to the finals, although I would love to see that. But does he deserve to stay over Leah? Absolutely! Like it was mentioned above, I would much rather see someone stay in the competition that has a good attitude and is enjoying the experience for what it is. Not someone having a melt down because things don’t go their way. Not someone bringing in their famous friends to smile at the camera.
I know Bill’s chances of leaving are increasing, but please, please let him make it through at least one more week and Leah is packing her bags tomorrow. I want Elizabeth gone as much as Leah, but between the two, I’d rather Elizabeth stay. Leah is taking the joy and fun of watching DWTS away from the show and I want to see it back.
@Cindy – You said it! The Leah and Tony pairing reminds me of Maks and Kirstie… They both had lackluster choreography, lackluster dancing, (remember the lose of Kirstie’s shoe and even Maks falling onto her) and both pairs still managed to be way overscored for their routines. The thought of Leah in the finals is just wrong!
The only highlight left this season is Bill and Emma. Their joy radiates through my television each week and makes me happy. And honestly, if they go this week I am not so sure that I will stay tuned in to watch the rest of the season. Other than Amber and Derek, there is not one couple that would be left on the dancefloor that I am remotely concerned about should I miss their routines.
And I can’t remember a previous season where in week 8 that I would feel this way toward a finale.
I would prefer Kristie and Maks 100x more than leah. At least she tried her best and actually cared about the show. Plus they were very fun to watch. The same can’t be said about Leah and Tony.