Dancing With The Stars Season 18 Week 4 Las Vegas Odds To Win
Last week, Sports Bovada didn’t post their new odds for Dancing With The Stars, so that’s why you didn’t see us post on them. However, they have posted a new set of odds for Dancing With The Stars Week 4! Note how tight they are to previous seasons at this time which is a credit to this cast of dancers. Also, note how Amy Purdy moved up to second place ahead of Charlie White!! After she and Derek’s dance this past week, it’s no wonder…
Meryl Davis 7/4
Amy Purdy 5/2
Charlie White 3/1
James Maslow 10/1
Danica McKellar 10/1
Candace Cameron Bure 15/1
Cody Simpson 20/1
NeNe Leakes 25/1
Drew Carey 33/1
Odds two weeks ago:
Charlie White 5/2
Meryl Davis 5/2
Amy Purdy 4/1
Candace Cameron Bure 11/2
Danica McKellar 15/2
James Maslow 10/1
Cody Simpson 20/1
Drew Carey 25/1
NeNe Leakes 25/1
Sean Avery 33/1
Billy Dee Williams 100/1
Diana Nyad 100/1
So, what do you think? Do the odds makers have it right this week? I think they do with an exception to Nene, Drew, and Cody. I think Nene should be in last place. I think Candace should be lowered to next to last with Drew and Cody in the middle of the pack. Other than that, they have it about right.
Court and Heidi, what do you think?
Courtney: *shrug* Do the odds really even matter anymore, with all of the shady business going on behind the scenes? I feel like I’m betting on a fixed boxing match. I guess I understand why Meryl is at the top – seems like she’s being set up as the golden girl now, after a few weeks of Charlie actually being the golden boy. Do I think she’ll actually win? Hell no. Mark my words, the “setting up” will backfire. Glad to see Amy moving up; looks like everyone else is kind of staying the same. I would put NeNe before Drew, though – I doubt the Real Housewives fanbase is going to carry her a whole lot further, past switch week.
Heidi: I’m kinda with Courtney. And I think Charlie will end up winning in the end. I think we’re going to get to some dances that Amy may struggle with and I think Meryl will come off too much like a sure thing and it will backfire. People do like an underdog and they’re the ones putting Charlie there – really, he talks in his package about how it’s nice to be at the top of the leaderboard and then he’s underscored to make sure he’s lower than Meryl? That’s not at all transparent!! If they don’t hose Meryl but good a couple times, or at least get real with Maks on not upping the choreo, I think she’ll lose. They had her 3 points ahead of the next couples – bad idea. I do agree that Drew will last longer than NeNe – he just has a larger fanbase and unless they start overscoring her and underscoring him, I think he outlasts her. I do wonder if we’re going to see a “shocking” elimination of either Candice or Danica – Candace because she’s not dancing that well and is kind of in the background (note they didn’t even really show her Full House cast in the audience) or Danica because Maks is back and any cross over voting Val might have benefited from in the past is going all to Maks to help him win. And if not….well, that supports my Meryl isn’t going to win wager. 🙂 If not one of the women, possibly either Cody or James and I’m leaning toward Cody right now because James is making a strong showing.
I don’t think Meryl will win over Charlie. I feel like Sharna’s choreography for the freestyle (which is an influence for viewers votes) will be better than Maks.
That being said, I hope Amy wins, will she? that’s another question. I’m curious to see her progress throughout the season.
I’m not convinced James will make it in the top 4 because I don’t know how strong his fan base is.
It all comes down to likeability james for instance is growing on me as is charlie and candace im losing interest in and thinking week 1 was a flook. Amy is my fav but i do like meryl just as has been said it comes down to choreography and that freestyle.
Its still early but there seems to be a lot more talk/hype about Meryl and Maks on different message boards, facebook, comment sections, etc. Some of it may have to do with Maks being back, Also I remember reading that Meryl is the more popular one of the duo. A lot can change obv. but if it comes down to these two I hope Charlie takes it.
I do not see Maks/Meryl winning if val and Danika are in final. The family will split votes and I do not think the Derek fans will be pro Maks after the tweeter vote fiasco. Also Meryl is going to have split votes with Sharna/Charlie.
I am interested in the selection of teams for the team dance. Assuming the top 2 are Maks and Sharna, is the first pick the 10 for 10 man or brother. It is nice that the mirrorball is up for grabs.
freestyle is all important and both Maks and Val have lost to Derek. Remember Maks critique in week 10 with Amber. I think the easy eliminations are about to end soon. Good for ABC
The top 4, for me, is pretty much right. If that is indeed the top 4, I don’t think Meryl will get the win nor do I think Amy will get the win (I think she’ll struggle in some dances and at most I think she might get 2nd place). So again, if that is the top 4 I would say Charlie or James win. Charlie seems to be a bit more likeable to some people than Meryl and James seems to be impressing people and he has the fanbase also. Either Cody, Candace and Danica might be the “surprise eliminations” I think.
I don’t want Meryl and Maks to win. I think that Amy is going to be close, but I don’t see her as a winner (although I root for her!). So I think that Charlie will win. But…In the finals, I think that it’s all about freestyle and we all know Derek can beat everyone in freestyle. It’s going to be interesting 🙂 However, I really don’t want Meryl/Maks to win.
I don’t really mind who wins… I want Meryl to win, and I think Charlie will win, but it’s the first time I’ve pretty much liked everyone in the cast. So I’d be happy to see anyone do well.
How are Mery and Charlie even going to be ready for tomorrow. They seem to have a skating show tonight and then back to LA? That is crazy. Might be ok for this week but it is hard to imagine keeping that schedule and with Maks and Sharna waiting around for them.
I think Charlie will win, mainly because Maks’ choreo is typically not inspired. Maks does seem to have a lot of fan support, but when he has Meryl smacking her bottom and doing other cutesy moves that don’t suit her or loses his temper again, it may hurt their chance of winning. Also the height difference really doesn’t work with them and she is SO tiny next to him. Sharna is doing a great job with Charlie and he is so charming, I think it’s theirs to lose, at this point.
I like Charlie, Meryl and Amy and not in any specific order. I have never been a Max fan, but I really like Meryl. Between those three one week I like one the best and the next it might be another one. I have no idea who will win and after the Switch Up voting fiasco I don’t mean to sound cynical, but can’t help but wonder if they can get away with things when it comes to the regular voting. I guess there are rules in place where they can’t pull a fast one but then again I don’t know how that really works. I’m sure the Mods know a lot more about that then I do. If any of you read this post maybe you can tell me how that really works and are they held to the same type of standards as the game shows? Thanks in advance.
I think, barring a major upset, the top four are probably correct. The two people I could see possibly spoiling that top four, based on fan base and likeability, are Drew and Candace. As long as their dancing remains pretty decent, I could see one of them replacing someone – most likely James.
As far as who will win – I’m going to say Charlie, with an outside chance of Amy. Maks hasn’t been able to pull out a decent freestyle yet, and no matter what he comes up with, I can’t see him besting either Derek (despite Amy’s challenges) or Sharna on the night, as far as choreography – and I can’t see James beating both Charlie and Amy; Charlie in terms of dance ability, likeability and charm, and Amy in terms of journey, inspiration, and Derek’s fan base. I also think both Derek and Sharna have Peta beat in the choreography department as well – though she is probably better than Maks.
If either Candace or Drew make top four, I don’t see either of them winning, because I can’t see them beating out Charlie and Amy for the reasons given above (though both Mark and Cheryl can be better freestyle choreographers than both Maks and Peta).
@Gail. Game show rules don’t apply to reality shows. Those rules are limited to games of chance or where people have to use their minds to win prizes. The contract contestants have to sign for The Voice recently came out and those contracts say the show can basically do what they want as far as counting votes, making up things about contestants, etc. I mentioned in another thread that Project Runway runs a disclaimer saying judges’ decisions are made in consultation with the producers. As far as I know, DWTS has never run such disclaimers and I know at one time they said they had outside people counting the votes, but I assume there are lots of manipulations going on beyond the judges building up or knocking down the couples.
Wasn’t Corbin constantly topping the list last season?
#13 Ananya….um…NO! ;(
@KarenT thanks for the information. I guess I’m not surprised that they can do what they want. I missed the other thread where you addressed this very issue, so appreciate your feedback.
I think the final will definitely include Meryl, Charlie, and Amy, who will win? We’ll find out in 7 weeks!
Bringing Maks back is not the hit the producers thought, most of my friends cannot stand him. They are not enjoying his constant kissing Meryl, she is shy.
I am hoping for Charlie and Sharna to be the winners……they are a good match and Sharna is great. Charlie is winning more and more hearts as well as Amy. I am just not sure Amy will be able to keep up with the different dances. It has been an interesting season, but the producers already have it figured out how they want it to go.