DWTS Season 19 First Las Vegas Odds: What Do You Think And Predict?
It’s that time again! The odds makers have placed their first bets (or made their predictions) for Dancing With The Stars Season 19 at Sports Bovada. Just a note before we get started. We usually like to post the Las Vegas Odds at the end of the week (Friday or Saturday) in case they change. Plus, they make fun discussion during the weekend when the news slows down. So, if you don’t see the odds posted during the week, that is why. With that said, take a look below and see if you think the first odds look correct to you. Are you surprised on some on them? Be sure to let us know in comments on your thoughts and predictions.
Alfonso Ribeiro 3/1
Janel Parrish 5/1
Antonio Sabato Jr. 6/1
Jonathan Bennett 7/1
Lolo Jones 7/1
Sadie Robertson 9/1
Bethany Mota 10/1
Tavis Smiley 12/1
Randy Couture 15/1
Lea Thompson 20/1
Betsey Johnson 33/1
Michael Waltrip 33/1
Tommy Chong 50/1
My thoughts: I kind of expected the older contestants to be placed at the bottom, but, I think Michael Waltrip will stick around longer than they think. I also think Michael will most likely be at the bottom every week just like Bill Engvall in his season. Then in the end, Michael (like Bill) will prove them wrong. Andy Dick did the same for how far he made it in his season proving the odds makers wrong. I also think they should have placed Bethany Mota much higher along with Janel and Alfonso. I also think Lea and Randy will do better than they think.
Heidi and Court, what do you think?
Courtney: The thing that puzzles me is why they have Antonio so high – not quite sure why they think he’s gonna be such a contender. I mean, sure, he’s a soap star – but he’s a soap star that’s been outta the game for many years. Do people assume that, because he’s got a Latin-sounding name (he’s actually Italian), that he’s got moves? I also don’t think Jonathan is going to be as much of a contender as the oddsmakers do – I could see Bethany, Sadie, and even Randy doing better than him. Knock Tavis down several notches – I think he’ll probably in the bottom 2 with Tommy this first week; bring Michael up above both Betsey & Lea – I think the NASCAR vote is going to keep him around for awhile.
Heidi: Well, while I find Michael very charming and LOVE him with Emma – it’s not a sure thing that he’s the second coming of Bill Engvall. I would be inclined to leave him where he is, maybe move him up one spot, because this cast as a whole is fun and charming. As for Lea – I think people are under rating her, big time. I could be wrong – but I think she may be every bit the dancer that Jen Gray was. She’s had dance training! A lot of it! Way more than Jennifer EVER had. Yes, it was 30 years ago so she’s not a huge ringer, but still. I think Antonio, Tavis and Lolo are all toooo high. Leave Betsy, Tommy and Michael where they are. Move up Lea, Randy and Bethany. Sadie? Move her up one spot – there is room if you move the others down. 🙂
Shot in the dark: Janel, Alphonso, Jonathan and Lea should all start with the best scores. Sadie is going to surprise. I believe the big surprise may be Keo and Lolo. He is an unbelievable dancer and she seems to move well. Bethany is an unknown. She has a huge fan base, if they will watch. DWTS is counting on it. Her job is to get her fans to vote, continue to be adorable and follow the genius instructing her. My favorite is Michael and Emma. They seem to have great chemistry. Emma is a world class teacher and nurturer. My flash thought description of Michael is naughty teddy bear ! Betsy, Randy, Tommy, and Tavis will all round out the bottom. Of course these four have some of the most experienced and professional coaches.
Well Vegas, what does it say that I completely overlooked Antonio?
I would switch Michael and Tavis. I actually think Tavis might go week 1 or 2 unfortunately. I would put Randy and Lea higher than Antonio. I agree with Courtney that I don’t know why Antonio is so high. In fact, I see him as a “surprise” early elimination (though I don’t know how much of a surprise it will be really). I also think they’re overshooting Jonathan (sorry babe).
Will be interesting to see how they change. I keep having to remind myself that they are talking about the odds someone WINS, sometimes I think in the sense of the odds someone MAKES IT TO THE FINALS.
I don’t think Janel is going to do as well as people think, or why go the showmance route,if your celebrity can dance as well as you claim. Get out on the floor and let your dance speak for itself without manipulating the general audience into thinking you and your partner fell in love 10 days. It seems like they are hiding something like maybe she’s not as hot as we think. Derek hasn’t showed anything that Bethany can do so how can they have her that low? I see her playing around dancing in her video and the girl got rhythm and she can groove.
Val’s head will explode if he and Janel come in 2nd place.
My top 4 are Bethany, Alphonso, Sadie, Randy.
Lol at vals head will explode, he will combust if he doesn’t win, this is all about val winning his partner is secondary lol I really hope alfonso wins he has been my dream contestant for a while .I really was hoping we would have a season free of showmance but no val and janel have already started, don’t know whether to laugh or be sick .
This may sound odd but i think Janel is playing the showmance up. She is employing her acting skills early on. In several videos she is coming over as overflirtacious and too soon and its catching Val at times by surprise.
@Sandy Don’t say that like it’s a bad thing… 😉 Lol
My first thought when I saw the list was: “Why is Antonio so above Bethany and, heck, even Sadie?!”. Nothing against the guy but as funny as I find him and as good looking as he may be, I don’t see him doing all that well in the competition. I don’t think his fanbase is all that better than Bethany and Sadie’s. Even Lea’s fanbase is probably bigger than Antonio’s, given that she is on a current show of ABC Family, and she is way low on this list. I would rank them like this:
Alfonso Ribeiro
Janel Parrish
Bethany Mota
Sadie Robertson
Jonathan Bennett
Lea Thompson
Lolo Jones
Randy Couture
Michael Waltrip
Antonio Sabato Jr.
Betsey Johnson
Tommy Chong
Tavis Smiley
My top five would be in no particular order are Alfonso,Sadie,Janel,Randy and Lolo. I am worried about Bethany relying on her youtube followers probably half may be international and not vote.I hope she is a good dancer she has a good teacher
The way Val is showing his desperation anything less than a win would be a massive disappointment to him and his crew. This season is all about him, and Janel is just the vehicle to get him the win. I think they’re around to stay unfortunately, not necessarily win though. The best I could hope for is an elimination during the semi-finals.
Janel is actually surprising me and buying into this showmance stuff more than I thought she would. I swear, when I see pictures of them I feel like it’s September of 2012 and I’m looking at Val and Kelly again.
@rana – Can’t international viewers vote through ABC.com?
#Jo Zendaya is a trained dancer and he couldn’t win with her what makes you think he’s going to win with someone who has some dancing in her past?
I think that one reason that these odds are so off is that I doubt the oddsmakers have seen as many rehearsal vids as we have, so they don’t have as clear of an idea. Question: are the oddsmakers taking things like social media into account? Because I doubt Tavis is as popular as Bethany in that regard…
@DLT
ABC has region detection cant vote or watch internationally through them. Or through facebook. Only way to vote internationally is through twitter if you have location disabled.
I’m hoping for a shocking elimination for janel and val I can’t take a full season of them. Damn the season hasn’t even started and I’m sick of them. Sad it took him being paired with a 16 year old for me to tolerate him.
I think Randy is going to pass Tavis and Antonio and possibly Sadie.
Aviva, great minds think alike! lol!
I was just going to post the same thing when I read yours. Once the normal viewing audience (not that we’re abnormal) sees Michael and Emma’s package and dance I think they’ll start to ride the wave of popularity. Then they’ll be as charmed as we who have already seen footage of them are.
I’m not getting Antonio up so high either. It must be a combination of having a pro who knows how to get her partner to the finals along with them thinking the over 40 ladies will get the vapors every-time we see him dance.
I’d actually put Lolo up there in Antonio’s place and Tavis down much farther.
Not true, rana. I know LOTS of Derek fans who are international who vote through ABC.com. I think they vote through facebook as well. And there is no actual “twitter” voting for couples to stay or leave – only stupid stuff like prom queen and king. Up to this season anyway.
I’ll say it again…I wouldn’t count on Michael being the second coming of Bill Engvall. Bill’s season was stuffed with people who weren’t nearly so fun and charming as he is. Michael can’t say the same. Hell, they are ALL charming and likable, with the possible exception of Janel and even she ain’t so bad.
I think Michael will have a harder row to hoe than Bill did, and Bill’s wasn’t easy. And I would bet their fanbases are similar was well.
@Stephanie
You’re not by yourself.
*raises hand* yeap, as a fan from Europe, I can confirm that we can vote through abc.com and FB. As for the region detection, there are some easy ways to get around it (extensions for browsers for example). I’m a bit older than most of Bethany’s fans and definitely less computer savvy, so if I know, chances are they know too 😀 Guess it’s up to Bethany to make her fans watch and vote.
The showmance could backfire on Val big time, because the “valdaya” fans aren’t very happy about it.
I’ll tell ya, Bethany is (unfortunately) emulating Derek when it comes to use of social media. Those two have been VERY quiet, whereas Janel is tweeting every five minutes.
But Derek’s partners are always like this and I have to wonder if he just keeps them busy or if it’s part of his crazy strategy that isn’t a strategy.
@Princess Heidi
I’m so sick of Janelskiy and they haven’t even danced yet. I just go away! There’s such a thing as overexposure and they have wore out their welcome.
I’m excited and curious about Motough! I don’t know he what he has cooking but it’s got to be good because they are the only ones not trying to make the audience believe something or another, it’s like they are just going to get out there and bring it!!!
I’m so over all the speculation and I am ready to see all of this play out. I have a feeling this season will surprise us in more ways then one.
I’m really surprised at how low they’ve put Lea, given her Back to the Future creds, her current show, and her dance background.
I also (like many others here) am not sure why they’ve put Antonio so high.
I’m not sure how I would rank them, but I would say top half would include (in some order) Alfonso, Lea, Bethany, Sadie, Janel, Lolo, and Jonathan; bottom half would be Betsey, Tommy, Tavis, Michael, Antonio, and Randy, with Michael and Randy as the two most likely to make the top half, and Janel, Jonathan and/or Lolo being the ones most likely to lose their spot.
Subtlety is Derek’s secret weapon. He just keeps it on the DL. Let’s us anticipate what might be, then bam, we’re always surprised at what he and his partner give us.
That Kelly Pickler freestyle still blows me away!
I am pleasantly un-involved with any of this celeb group. So I can’t wait to watch this one play out. Yep, I too think we will be in for some surprises.
I don’t know what to make of Lea yet. I was in high school and, of course, remember her from Back to the Future and I know she has an extensive, high-caliber, dance background so I don’t doubt her abilities. But since we know being the best dancer doesn’t meant MBT on its own, I’m left waiting for the packages to see what she’s like. For me she’s very different than Jennifer Grey, who was the iconic Baby, the lead role and that was a totally different personal connection for me.
I can’t wait for Monday. I love the variety of celebs and pros this season.
Veronika, you are so right about Valdaya fans. For most fans of that partnership, it was seeing him step out of the showmance into focussing on his choreography. I guess they are going showmance cuz they think they can win and also there is no other couple that can really deploy that tactic this season. So they will have Erin all over it, A H will be all over it etc. I can only hope it backfires but people will ship anything it seems. She has a very understanding bf or they have already broken up. I find it such a stupid strategy but maybe it will work for them.
I’m gonna take a shot in the dark with predictions here. I’ve been right sometimes but completely wrong in others. :p
1. Alfonso & Witney
2. Janel & Val
3. Bethany & Derek
4. Sadie & Mark
5. Lea & Artem
6. Antonio & Cheryl
7. Randy & Karina
8. Lolo & Keo
9. Jonathan & Allison
10. Michael & Emma
11. Betsey & Tony
12. Tommy & Peta
13. Tavis & Sharna
@princessheidi and @veronica its good to know that there are ways to block your region. I used to use the links of twitter for ABC and they blocked my region that way. It connects you thru to ABC.com without region detection. Not direct twitter voting. I guess i ve got get better region blockers and browser extenders. I wish i was more tech savvy. Thanks for the info though
My top four are Alfonso, Bethany, Stephanie and Sadie. I think Sadie is going to be the big surprise. Lea is going to be around longer than people are giving her credit for right now. I’m hoping Tommy lasts a few weeks, I think he’ll be fun to watch. I’m still predicting Betsey to be out first and I don’t think Tavis is going to last that long.
Looking at the comments on Janel and Val’s Instagram pictures there are a lot of people asking her if she and her BF broke up and why is she so flirty with Val and that it seems forced and even people saying it’s a showmance and they are trying to be like Maks and Meryl. Obviously this is just a small sampling but it gives me some hope that the general audience sees through it. These people also know about her boyfriend though, unless he’s mentioned on the show the majority of the audience probably won’t know about him.
Val probably figures with her skill, the lack of real competition from this cast skill-wise and fan base wise, and doing a showmance will equal a win for him. I SO want him proven wrong though!
@DLT
Her boyfriend likes every single pic of her & Val.
@Cindy – Who’s Stephanie?
I was disappointed when I saw the first few second rehearsal clip of Val and Janel and thinking they were going to take the showmance route until i saw their actual full rehearsal. They have a goofy relationship and i’m even more excited now because their rehearsal footage is so fun. Val has so much hate on here it’s ridiculous, but hey, everyone is entitled to their own opinions.
If everyone is entitled to their own opinions, diane, why mention the so-called “hate” that Val gets here? It’s not “hate” – that is so childish – it’s critical thinking. That’s what we do here. You don’t like it, you can leave. We don’t typically allow people to come in here and make comments about other people like that, but I’ll let you slide this one time. Express YOUR opinion, and leave others out of it.
Susan2 #16, I think that these odds could radically change next week, after the first elim and the first set of rehearsal packages.
I also just had an epiphany. How many results shows are there? Because if there is no elim the week of the switch up, then the switch up will probably be the week factor the last results show…
There are only two results shows (weeks 1 and 2). Assuming there is no week 3 elimination, a celeb will go home based on only the switch-up, unless they do a double-elimination (either on week 2 or the week after the switch-up).
Tavis has better odds that Lea…..interesting.