DWTS Season 20 Week 2 Las Vegas Odds: Odds Makers Not Buying Pimp Job
The odds makers have placed their bets for week 2 of Dancing With The Stars Season 20 at Sports Bovada. Isn’t it interesting that Rumer and Val aren’t at the top? Even after all the pimping of them from the judges this past week and the media drinking the Kool Aid, the odds makers didn’t buy it. Ha!! Though if I was them, I would switch Rumer and Ryker. I’m shocked they have Willow so low. I’d put her more towards the top. Same with Redfoo. Take a look below and let us know what you think in comments. Read on to see what Miss Heidi and Court think too….
Nastia Liukin 6/5
Rumer Willis 5/1
Riker Lynch 6/1
Noah Galloway 7/1
Michael Sam 15/2
Robert Herjavec 10/1
Chris Soules 20/1
Patti LaBelle 20/1
Redfoo 33/1
Suzanne Somers 33/1
Willow Shields 33/1
Charlotte McKinney 50/1
Last week’s odds:
Nastia Liukin 2/1
Noah Galloway 4/1
Riker Lynch 7/1
Michael Sam 9/1
Charlotte McKinney 10/1
Patti LaBelle 12/1
Redfoo 12/1
Suzanne Somers 12/1
Willow Shields 12/1
Rumer Willis 16/1
Robert Herjavec 20/1
Heidi: Well, Rumer moved up, but only to 5/1 – and after all that pimpage she got! Going last, having the judges drool and proclaim her the winner…seems we weren’t the only ones who don’t buy it just yet. 🙂 Interesting that they have Nastia at 6/5 – I am still not convinced that she can win. Derek, after 5 wins, could choreograph 12 Emmy winning routines and still not win, plus they are pretty severely handicapped by being in NYC. Poor Nastia – Derek is a bit of an anchor with his track record and an audience who seems to think Pee-wee-baseball-everyone-gets-a-trophy is an acceptable way to hold a competition. Anyway, I think Michael is probably too low – and that Willow needs to be up with Robert. As for Noah, as much as I like him, I’m not so sure he’s going to finish as high as 4th place. It’s hard to say – Amy covered the inspiring territory, so do people expect him to dance as well as Amy? Are they inured to the injured? Is it different because he’s a veteran? Or did people even forget Amy was a double amputee because she was paired with Derek and did so well? What the general audience thinks is what will dictate how well he finishes. I don’t mean to sound callous…but people ARE callous as we saw with Amy. Of course, Amy threatened the precciousssssss….
Courtney: First off, an apology – these odds are late because of moi, as I was out-of-town this weekend and haven’t had a chance to even look at these until right meow. I guess my overall feeling about them, like my power rankings last week, is “Hmmm.” I find it interesting that the oddsmakers didn’t seem to buy into the OTT praise heaped onto Rumer, and the obvious “this could be your season!” subliminal messaging thrown at Val. As I told Heidi & Vogue – I think the oddsmakers’ BS detectors have gotten quite a bit better-calibrated over the seasons, and they probably recognize by now that that pimping doesn’t always work (hello, Vajanel). But they DID seem to buy into the nonsense the judges threw Michael about his feet – honestly, I think his performance was the most underrated of last week’s dances, and he got an incongruous amount of nitpicking from the judges. That’s what puzzles me the most, because I actually think Michael could be the biggest threat to the big 3 (Rumer, Riker, & Nastia) at the moment. I also think they aren’t quite sure what to make of Noah just yet – demographically-speaking, he should be a big draw; but ability-wise, he’s no Amy right off the bat. I think we’ll see them get a bit more decisive with his odds over the next few weeks, as we see what he’s actually capable of.
Oh how the Vegas odds make me laugh each week.
Interesting how they didn’t fully buy into the hype (yet anyway). I do keep wondering if Rumer starting off this strong right away will hurt them in the end. We’ve seen it before. I also wonder if her cockiness and strong desire to win will make it’s way to the live show and not just the livestreams. I guess the only reason I still think she’ll win is because I can’t decide who ELSE would win. I really don’t think Nastia is winning so not sure where that leaves us. I need to see more dancing…it only has been one week after all.
Anyone that does beat Rumer it will be because of personality and improvement (the journey). That could be Michael, Robert, heck, maybe even Chris! While I know I want to keep voting for Noah until the bitter end he’s just not going to get the scores that Amy got and I wonder if the audience will grow tired of the storyline and become immune to it. With Riker I just don’t think his fan base will stick with him and Allison could be a crutch.
Hard season to predict! Other than Charlotte going tonight I don’t feel sure or anything.
I do think Nastia will win regardless of traveling back and forth from New York. I can’t see anyone else. Rumer is too cocky that attitude gets you no where. Unless the judges score as they did Janel last season (as if she’s already won showing favoritism)
So nobody is equal to rumer this season according to the lady herself. Val and rumer have no competition. See i liked rumer and vals dance and suspect she is going to be good at this cha cha but cocky too confident statements like that make me blind to her dancing and vote for someone else.
I really hope Derek and Nastia win this time. I wud love to see the look on CBros 🙂 if the gold B goes to derek and nastia 🙂
Seeing what Rumer said this morning increases the odds of Nastia winning in my mind. You don’t usually win when you have that attitude. The desire to knock them down a peg becomes too strong.
Why Rumer Why? I was actually liking her a lot. Dang it.
We’ve only seen one week, one dance and I cannot predict a winner yet. The all important fan base!People should not underestimate Patti. I don’t think she’ll win, but she could be at the top. Willow? It depends on the age demographics and who votes the most. The pros are working hard and doing a good job, as evidenced by their rehersals. I hope everone will enjoy the show.
Unless the cockiness/arrogance is depicted on the live show though I don’t think it will effect voting that much. Only fanatical fans (like myself) watch the livestreams and all their interviews. I think the core audience just watches the show Monday night and that’s all they see. Maybe I’m wrong though. If the show wants to pimp them they’ll get a good edit no matter what, just like Meryl/Maks. Now if Rumer says something when Erin or Tom are talking to her there is nothing they can do about that.
Apparently, this was on GMA, DLT. That audience is nothing to sneeze at. Bad move, no matter how you look at it.
Also, talk like that has a way of motivating other, LARGER fanbases. Like Derek’s for example. 🙂 I think they are somewhat lackadaisical these days (I could be wrong) but stuff like this is motivational. I imagine there are other fanbases that feel the same.
If Rumer is taking her cues from Val, not a surprise he’s not won. The fact that she says they have no competition AFTER ONE DANCE is not only ridiculous on its face, but also shows how little she appreciates what the show is about and/or what it will require of her. Minimally, considering Val’s pronouncement that to be the best you have to have been challenged by the best, Rumer’s declaration of the absence of competition would seen to devalue any win that might result.
One of my favorite’Derek always gets the best dancers’ latest arguments is that Amy had an advantage because she had her knees, and since Noah doesn’t have one, *that’s* Why Sharna has a bigger challenge than Derek did.
In other news, someone *finally* discovered evidence that the Earth is flat.
Given the preoccupation some have with Derek and his success record on the show (and their perception that it is “unfair”), I’d like to introduce a new term into the PureDWTS lexicon” “Derek privilege”. By definition, it is the perceived advantages one is granted in life simply by virtue of being Derek Hough, without regard for things like talent, hard work, and perserverance. A technique used by detractors without any logical argument when trying to discredit a Derek fan: “Check your Derek privilege, poor Val hasn’t won yet!”
😛
😛
One dance does not a season make. And even the best celebrity dancers struggle with at least one dance. It’s hard to stay on top. So Rumer’s claim that they have no competition is ridiculous and off-putting. A little humility – along with her talent – would go a long way!
These odds are interesting.
Noah should have much higher odds.
I did think that last week Rumer toned her attitude down a notch during the live show. It’ll be interesting to see how she acts during each live show.
Vin, I’m curious, why do you think Noah should have higher odds?
I actually think he’s pretty well placed. The oddsmakers seem to be taking into account that he’s going to have broad appeal as a wounded veteran but they’re not quite sure he’ll be able to consistently deliver on the dancing.
One should think of the VERY interesting fact ABC has BLOCKED access to voting from international viewers… !
That’s going to affect mostly Derek & Nastia and I guess THAT will make a big impact on Derek’s chances for winning this season not to mention going through the stages..
My guess – about 25% of Dereks’ votes are international – so we are talking big numbers here..
Hearing Val & Rumer speaking like the season is in their pocket – they are more the too sure of this – and that’s raises the question – why? The production is, again, playing tricks and games with US the viewers and voters…
It looks like “REPEAT” of the last 2 seasons… the production is pushing the C brother to the win no matter what (it worked just once…) 🙁
That’s complete and total speculation, Vered. You have no way of knowing if Derek has the most international fans or more than any other pro. It’s likely – but it’s also likely that it’s a small number who didn’t power vote anyway. And international people can still vote through facebook.
Yikes! Did anyone else see Tom Bergeron’s tweet saying less than 1/10th of 1% separates the bottom 2?!? Ughhhhhhh, dare I hold out hope for Charlotte??
Oh and Courtney, I’m all for that new term 😛
PH – Derek HAVE the most followers in FB, IG and TW.. thus it is logical to think that he has (potentially) more voters…
Why does ABC block the site for us ? for 10 years it was OK for us to vote and now it isn’t? by cutting us from ABC they are reducing our vottings by 50%…
We have many Americans leaving in Israel and they are pretty upset about it too. I’m sure there are Americans leaving in Europe and other places that are feeling the same.
The production (like I’ve said before) promised Maks the MBT (and indeed he won with the biggest ringer ever…[did hear screams about that] and last season they pushed/carried Val to the finals to everybody’s surprise, some of the scoring they received where very questionable … and others where copy, cut and paste from Maks’s dances.. (not to mention that he IS helping – Val, Pita, Artem and more? this season..).
just something to think about.
I hope I’m wrong but I do not see Derek make it to the finals without us votes 🙁
You used the word *international* voters, Vered. You can’t distinguish those from the rest.
agreed.. For me voters are voters wherever they are…
But ABC did just that… *us* the International/oversea/other countries can not vote via ABC only on FB… ONLY voters from US/Canada can vote via ABC!
The question is WHY ??
@cidra: I think he should have better odds because out of the male celebs, he seemed to be the one that everyone was talking about (which was well deserved becuase he was great) the day after. I wasn’t sure how people would react to that dance but thankfully people liked it a lot.
Vered, that’s sad!! I and a few others have been tuning into DWTS Russia on their Russian TV channel for it. It’s been fun and the quality has been off the hook. Well, this past week, they blocked only that show when the previous shows weren’t blocked. They also blocked their official you tube so International viewers couldn’t see the videos. So, I know how you feel and I ask ‘why’ too? Is it political or do they not want us voting for Gleb, etc etc? I don’t know….but, I agree…you’d think they’d be happy to have viewers and fans from all over the world tuning in.
retaliation ?? maybe
All I know is that the US production is messing with the viewers and NOT playing far…
Don’t forget – the C brothers may have a large fan base in Russia..
I could be totally way off base with this idea; but, it seems that maybe ABC & DWTS want to crack down on those who sign in under various ID’s just to power vote. I don’t know if they just wanted to have U.S. email ID’s so they could keep track of the MB better, since there was always suspicion of people having multiply ID’s. And, I am in no way saying those outside of U.S. are/were using multiple accounts. Like I said, this is only an idea.
#KreativeKat – they check the location… ONLY !
All you need to do is put your birthdate – and submit…
If you outside the US – you’re out… no questions asked – plane and simple.
I am sorry…Vered…I am not happy with this action by ABC DWTS website, especially with no explanation why. I hope they haven’t bit off their nose to spite their face!
This may seem slightly off topic but it’s about changes in voting. What’s the reason for not informing the caller that all votes have been used?
Vered, Canadians can’t vote on-line either much to my disappointment!
Thanks, Vin. So Noah was the water-cooler topic, huh? That’s good news because I definitely want him and Sharna to stick around a while.
@Cidra: It surprised me too. Even my friends in England were impressed by him and they dont get impressed by much….at all (They also had strong opinions on Nastia and Rumor and Michael but those werent as favorable…actually pretty brutal on everyone but the ones I mentioned lol).
Maybe stating the obvious here about Noah: not just a veteran, but a wounded veteran. He is good looking, southern charmed, father of 3..,,,plus Sharna is a popular pro and they have insane chemistry.
People will vote just to see what he can achieve.
Amy had that inspirational draw, but wounded serving your country? Can’t touch that. My BIL doesn’t even care if he can dance. He himself is a veteran that’s enogh for him.
But Amy could actually dance, and Noah may not come close to her ability. Depends on the scores – they do count for half, remember.
I love the title of this piece: Odds Makers Not Buying Pimp Job. That’s too funny! For some reason I do think Nastia and Derek can pull it off this season. At least – that’s who I’m voting for. I saw Rumer & Val on GMA this morning – another pimp job, having the whole segment to themselves – but yes, thought that when she said she had no competition that that’s not going to go over too well.
Hope the judges get real and stop with the OTT praise. I’m here on the West Coast so not reading your live blog or anyone’s comments so guess I’ll find out when I get home!