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Dancing With The Stars Season 24, Week 7 – Dancing by the Numbers!

Ya gotta look at that leader board and think they have it ranked how they would like it to go, right?  I don’t think they’re going to get their wish, and this coming week the judges scores could be quite illustrative as to what the current agenda is.

Anyway, my record isn’t great this season, but it’s been so stellar in previous seasons (pats self on back) that I keep plugging away. But it does beg the question: what is different this season?? As I’ve said in the comments, I think it’s that 2 or 3 contestants are getting such a lion’s share of the votes, that everyone else is vulnerable EVERY week. One bad score and you’re gone. Now, before you jump to the conclusion that Bonner must be getting a ton of votes, remember it’s not just who’s getting votes, but who ISN’T getting votes.  Bonner was not at the bottom last week so Nick had to cover the spead (and couldn’t) and Bonner only needed 7,500 more votes per million votes cast to beat Nancy – that is NOTHING. Chump change. David also needed very little to cover the spread between him and Nancy and he obviously did because he’s still there.

What does all this mean? Well, nothing, anymore. 🙂 It’s a new week now and they’ve kinda jury rigged the leader board to protect one person and make it hard for our dark horse – Bonner – to continue to stick around. There is no more low hanging fruit, I don’t think – he’s it.

They’ve given EVERYONE except Bonner and David nice fat cushions so they should be safe. SHOULD BE. These kinds of margins have been beaten before and this is a week that could make things interesting. I would put some money on them putting Bonner and Normani in jeopardy and then sending Bonner home – stimulates the Harmonizers for next week when she’s much more likely to need the votes and it creates lots of drama.  Anyway, I skip ahead. What are Bonner’s chances?

He needs less than 4k votes per million votes cast to stay over David. I know I say this every week, but I just don’t see that happening. David is a freshly retired Cub. They play his dances with Lindsay during rain delays…he came within 8% of Rashad on the dance off, which is quite an accomplishment.

Side note: Speaking of the dance off, did you notice that the judges never did a split decision this past week? They almost always have at least one of those…and they should have had a least one of those because they were close in dance quality in most places. Makes you wonder if they were DETERMINED to make sure that America didn’t screw up their decision…perhaps they are afraid of what might happen this week? They gotta be gun shy after losing Heather and Nancy.

Anyway…there isn’t a lot more to say. Bonner only needs about 4k more votes per million votes cast to be safe over David, and if he can’t beat David then he needs nearly 32k more votes per million votes cast to beat either Simone or Rashad – it’s not that that’s a huge spread, it’s that is Simone and Rashad. I would literally be actually shocked if Bonner were to stay over either of those two. I just don’t see it happening.  If he were to beat Normani, it would mean he got more than 47k more votes per million votes cast in order to stay.  It has happened in the past, for sure – but Bonner isn’t on the same level as Mark Warner and Normani is a bit better off than Audrina (I think…). I find this to be highly unlikely…which means Normani is probably safe, along with Simone and Rashad.

That leaves us with Bonner and David, and I think David is still raking in the votes to the point that Bonner can’t cover the spread.

But let’s say I’m wrong and that Bonner is doing much better than I think he is in votes relative to the other remaining contestants.  For Normani to be eliminated, ALL of the following things would have to happen:

  • Bonner would have to get 47,300 more votes per million votes cast than Normani, AND;
  • David would have to get 43,400 more votes per million votes cast than Normani, AND;
  • Simone AND Rashad would each have to get 15,800 more votes per million votes cast than Normani.

Now, either Simone or Rashad might be getting those votes, but I don’t think both Bonner and David are…so Normani is likely safe. What about Simone and Rashad? Well, ALL of the following would have to happen for them to be eliminated:

  • Bonner would have to get 31,500 more votes per million votes cast, AND;
  • David would have to get 27,600 more votes per million votes cast, AND;
  • Simone or Rashad would have to get ONE more voter per million votes cast over the other to be safe, AND;
  • Simone or Rashad DON’T get 15,800 more votes per million votes cast than Normani.

Those numbers tell me that Simone, Rashad and Normani are surely safe. And I believe David is safe. So, what do you all think? It seems pretty apparent to me that Bonner’s time has finally come. But, I’ve been wrong before… 🙂

May 3, 2017 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

Dancing with the Stars Season 24, Week EIGHT – Who’s Dancing What…and When?

So, what stupid theme do we have this week and what will be the manipulation tool of choice? Manufacture some tantrum by Bonner? Badger Rashad with stupid questions after a 12 hour rehearsal? Paint a saintly glow around Val (how DID that lawsuit turn out, anyway?)? Ugh, I can’t with this show. So obvious this past Monday, not even trying to hide the agenda. Must be feeling pretty desperate too, now that Maks is out.

So, I read on the internets that this week is Trio Week, per Tommy B.

ETA: Updated with the Trios according to @DancingABCStats on twitter – she says she got them on social media.

ETA2: All songs & dances posted, per the press release – which also reveals that it was THE JUDGES that assigned the trio partners.  *eye roll* And I’m sure they have a perfectly valid reason by kinda screwing Simone, who is the only one saddled with a trio partner of the same sex on a dance style that already doesn’t favor the woman.  Really, great choice guys – totes fair. -Court-

ETA3: Running order up, thanks to George. Although we’re at a point where running order doesn’t matter AS much, I’d say Normani & Bonner probably got the crappiest positions…and David closes the show for the 2nd time. Rashad opens the show for the 2nd time…and is the only remaining contestant who has yet to go last.  -Court-

Rashad and Emma – Jive (song: “Shake a Tail Feather” by Blues Brothers)
Trio with Witney – Argentine tango (song: “Dreams” by Gabrielle Aplin & Bastille)
Phone 1-800-868-3411

Normani and Val – Contemporary (song: “Freedom” by Anthony Hamilton & Elena Boynton)
Trio with Alan – Jive (song: “Feeling Alive” by Earl St. Clair)
Phone 1-800-868-3410

Bonner and Sharna – Argentine tango (song: “Believer” by Imagine Dragons)
Trio with Britt – Jazz (song: “That’s What I Like” by Bruno Mars)
Phone 1-800-868-3401

Simone and Sasha – Foxtrot (song: “What Makes You Beautiful” by One Direction)
Trio with Brittany – Paso doble (song: “Don’t Let Me Down” by The Chainsmokers feat. Daya)
Phone 1-800-868-3412

David and Lindsay – Waltz (song: “Humble and Kind” by Tim McGraw)
Trio with Hayley – Paso doble (song: “Gangsta’s Paradise” by 2WEI)
Phone 1-800-868-3404

 

I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

Dancing With The Stars Sharna Burgess And Bonner Bolton Interviewed On Good Day LA (Video)

Sharna Burgess and Bonner Bolton were interviewed by Good Day LA this morning. They talk about his challenges with dancing because of his injury and lots more.

I Written By

Hi, I have always been a big music and dancing fan, but, I'm also passionate about photography, nature, animals, and spending as much time as possible travelling and camping with my hubby and our loving and patriotic doggie, Cash. To read more on me and view my photos (including some dancers from DWTS), see Lisa Kay Photography. You can also follow me at: Voguerista Twitter & Voguerista Soundcloud.

Louis Van Amstel Weighs In Harshly On Nancy Kerrigan, DWTS Season 24 Week 7, Other Pros, And More

Louis Van Amstel had a facebook chat today. I thought long and hard whether to post this or not for all the negativity he said on Nancy Kerrigan. *so disappointing* And please NO to Louis being a “Guest Judge”.

I Written By

Hi, I have always been a big music and dancing fan, but, I'm also passionate about photography, nature, animals, and spending as much time as possible travelling and camping with my hubby and our loving and patriotic doggie, Cash. To read more on me and view my photos (including some dancers from DWTS), see Lisa Kay Photography. You can also follow me at: Voguerista Twitter & Voguerista Soundcloud.

DWTS Peta Murgatroyd And Maks Chmerkovskiy Chat On Being First Time Parents, Nick Vaill’s Thoughts On Elimination

Peta Murgatroyd and Nick Vaill talked to US Weekly about Dancing With The Stars and their elimination. Nick thought he was going home every week, but, he and Peta kept at it. Nick is glad it lasted as long as it did. More at US Weekly including talk on Peta and Maks’ wedding plans this summer and more. Also, here’s a really sweet video of Peta and Maks talking on being first time parents. So cute.

I Written By

Hi, I have always been a big music and dancing fan, but, I'm also passionate about photography, nature, animals, and spending as much time as possible travelling and camping with my hubby and our loving and patriotic doggie, Cash. To read more on me and view my photos (including some dancers from DWTS), see Lisa Kay Photography. You can also follow me at: Voguerista Twitter & Voguerista Soundcloud.

Nancy Kerrigan And Normani Kordei Blog On Dancing With The Stars Week 7

Dancing With The Stars has taught Normani Kordei to love her self after being bullied on Social Media. She writes even more below for how the show is helping her…

The biggest challenge for me so far was opening up. I wanted to walk in knowing that I’d be a different person walking out. The show has just taught me to love myself and open up and know that people can also look at you with kind hearts. I think that I’m so used to being judged. Me being a public figure, especially being a woman, people try to tear you down. I was bullied on social media a lot, so I’m very reserved and closed off, and I’m kind of scared to let them in because I don’t know how I’ll be accepted or if I’ll even be accepted so I think that’s what I’ve had to overcome.

More at Hollywood Life.

Also, Nancy Kerrigan has written a new blog at Team USA on her elimination. She was proud of her effort despite being eliminated and can’t wait for the finals. Be sure to read the link for lots more.

Loved our tango and thought our scores were strong. Wasn’t crazy about going up against Simone (Biles) in the dance-off. Gave it my best shot, though, but fell a little short.

Then came the news that we weren’t advancing. Can’t lie…that was tough to take, but if I step back far enough I realize that this was a great experience. I didn’t go on this show for any reason other than I thought it would be fun…and it was. But it was so much more. I am proud of my effort. I was surprised but honored that the show created a platform of sorts for me to talk about so many different issues: motherhood, parenting, miscarriages, eating disorders, competition, competitive spirit and more.

The reaction from people was overwhelming, and I am so moved by the fact that I just may have helped many people across the country by being willing to open up and let people in to parts of my life I haven’t spoken about much in the past. While it may not seem that way as I drive to the airport to fly to New York for “Good Morning America” and “LIVE with Kelly and Ryan,” I know that I will take that with me for the rest of my life.

And I am reminded that I will go back and dance in the finale, so I will be back here on TeamUSA.org in a few weeks for my final comments and thank you’s because I couldn’t have done this without the help of a lot of people. Hope you’ll come back to share those thoughts.

In the meantime, let’s keep dancing!!

I Written By

Hi, I have always been a big music and dancing fan, but, I'm also passionate about photography, nature, animals, and spending as much time as possible travelling and camping with my hubby and our loving and patriotic doggie, Cash. To read more on me and view my photos (including some dancers from DWTS), see Lisa Kay Photography. You can also follow me at: Voguerista Twitter & Voguerista Soundcloud.

DWTS David Ross and Lindsay Arnold Interviewed On Access Hollywood

David Ross and Lindsay Arnold were on Access Hollywood today. Lindsay says this has been one of her most rewarding season. See why and lots more below including how the Pros get to choose their song this week for the Individual dance. (I heart these two. One of my dances this season will be their Sci-fy Salsa).

I Written By

Hi, I have always been a big music and dancing fan, but, I'm also passionate about photography, nature, animals, and spending as much time as possible travelling and camping with my hubby and our loving and patriotic doggie, Cash. To read more on me and view my photos (including some dancers from DWTS), see Lisa Kay Photography. You can also follow me at: Voguerista Twitter & Voguerista Soundcloud.