We usually see a twist in the Las Vegas Odds after another week of dances. This week, however, the Las Vegas odds are relatively the same in comparison to last week’s odds. The only difference is are the numbers slightly. The odds for Jaleel and Roshon have lowered. Also, Roshon and Melissa have switched places which I don’t understand since Roshon is clearly the better dancer? I imagine his fan base isn’t as big? Also note how Donald is in first place this week where he and Katherine were tied for first last week.
This week’s new Las Vegas Odds:
Donald Driver 19/10
Katherine Jenkins 2/1
William Levy 9/4
Maria Menounos 8/1
Jaleel White 25/1
Melissa Gilbert 30/1
Roshon Fegan 30/1
Gladys Knight 100/1
Last week’s Las Vegas Odds:
Donald Driver 2/1
Katherine Jenkins 2/1
William Levy 9/4
Maria Menounos 8/1
Jaleel White 15/1
Roshon Fegan 25/1
Melissa Gilbert 30/1
Gavin DeGraw 75/1
Gladys Knight 100/1
Let’s see what my PureDwts partners in crime think after looking at the new odds for this week? Be sure to tell us what you think too in the comments section.
Courtney: I think the fact that Melissa has been consistently scoring pretty low and still hasn’t fallen into the bottom 2 is confuzzling the oddsmakers 🙂 I don’t think they quite know what to make of her. At this point, I’d actually put her above both Roshon AND Jaleel, considering those two have actually appeared in the bottom 2 while Melissa hasn’t yet – then again, I’m wondering if they’re trying to anticipate who falls into the dance duel and emerges victorious. I’m also not so sure I’d give Gladys such long-shot odds – she hasn’t been in the bottom 2, either, and had to get a decent amount of votes in order to overcome Roshon in week 4. Will she win the whole thing? Probably not, but I don’t think it’s as implausible as these odds imply. But, as with Melissa, I think they’re torn between what the scores & voting so far are telling them and what the judges are likely to do in the dance duel – I actually feel for the oddsmakers in that respect, because the two concepts seem to contradict one another. Yes, the judges would likely eliminate Melissa and/or Gladys in a heartbeat if they happened to tumble into the bottom 2, but what’s the likelihood that it would actually happen at this point??? The pattern of this season so far seems to indicate that both Roshon & Jaleel falling into the duel next week is a far more likely scenario…or one of them getting eliminated outright and the other duking it out with someone else in the dance duel. As for the opposite end of the odds…I’m really surprised they actually still have Donald at the top, with even better odds than last week, considering the tongue bath William was given this week, and Donald getting kinda shafted by Len. Oh well…I have a feeling the odds still have some shifting to do as we approach the finale…
Heidi: I think the odds makers see the same thing we do, in terms of Donald – personality. Like it or not, he also has his football fans behind him whereas William and Katherine MAY be suffering from being relatively unknown. Odds makers are people too. 🙂 They may just see the same things we do and they may also know that the over hyped are usually being over hyped for a reason. That said, and while I think Donald does have the best actual shot of winning, I think the others could step in and be a surprise. So much of what happens on this show depends on things other than one or two given dances – the judges tend to rank and their ranking and desire to keep a few out of the bottom is, I think, obvious to everyone. But once they get down to the core 5 that they think deserve to be there, THAT’S when their true feelings come out. I fully expect Maria and maybe even Donald to start getting a bit of the Ralph treatment to make sure that William, Katherine and Donald are in the final three, with William and Katherine being the final two. But only a bit of the Ralph treatment – it also seems clear to me that the judges got the memo on their treatment of many past contestants because, over all, they have been MUCH nicer this season than any season in recent memory. And these people aren’t THAT good at dancing. There ain’t a Nicole in this bunch. And there is no Kristi with the huge fanbase either, I don’t think. That makes things harder. 🙂
Source: Las Vegas Sports Betting
