Las Vegas Odds | Pure Dancing with the Stars

PureDWTS Season 17 Las Vegas Odds Going Into Week 2

My, how the Las Vegas odds can change after the couples dance and that they do as we approach the 2nd episode of Dancing With The Stars Season 17. Note the odds makers at Sports Bovada are putting Amber Riley in first place now. The top four are the same but, just switched around a bit. They don’t have Valerie Harper in last. She’s moved up the list, but, I think she should be even higher? And Leah Remini? Well, I think she should be placed in the bottom three if not last. I’m just not feeling it? I was also a little shocked on Snooki’s odds being so high now? I think she should placed in the bottom four or five.

Amber Riley 2/1
Corbin Bleu 3/1
Elizabeth Berkley 11/2
Christina Milan 7/1
Snooki 15/2
Jack Osbourne 10/1
Brant Daugherty 14/1
Leah Remini 14/1
Valerie Harper 20/1
Keyshawn Johnson 33/1
Bill Engvall 100/1
Bill Nye 100/1

Below are last week’s odds:

Corbin Bleu 5/2
Christina Milan 13/4
Amber Riley 11/2
Elizabeth Berkley 11/2
Leah Remini 7/1
Snooki 8/1
Brant Daugherty 10/1
Keyshawn Johnson 10/1
Jack Osbourne 25/1
Bill Engvall 50/1
Bill Nye 50/1
Valerie Harper 50/1

So, what do you think? Do you agree with this week’s odds? Let see what Heidi and Courtney think. Let us know your thoughts too in comments.

Courtney: Ehhh…I’m not sure really what to think for this week, other than that Amber’s probably correct at the top with Corbin nipping at her heels, and Elizabeth & Christina following up behind. The rest is kind of murky for me – I doubt Bill is headed home this week, but I do think his novelty will wear off before long; I think Bill may have more longevity than we originally thought; and based on murmurings here – Leah’s days may be numbered. Brant, Jack, & Keyshawn are big question marks for me – I don’t think they’re doing terribly with votes, but I don’t think they’re doing fantastic with votes, either. Snooki & Valerie are somewhere between the top tier (Amber, Corbin, Elizabeth, & Christina) and the guys I have no clue about (Jack, Keyshawn, & Brant). I think things will become clearer come Monday, when we see the results of the first vote – beyond that, I’m just feeling discombobulated 😛

Heidi: I think they have the top five right…just not in that order. 🙂 As much as I love Amber and Derek, I really doubt that she’s going to win this thing. And that’s what these odds are – the odds to win. I still think that Corbin is going to take this, mainly because I think he’ll end up being good across both ballroom and latin (as he should be, being second only to Elizabeth in terms of ringerdom) and I’m not sure that Amber will be. Plus, I doubt anyone is going to let Derek get a 5th trophy AND Len’s bias will certainly come out shortly. If Snooki can reign it in a bit, I think she could edge Christina and Elizabeth out of the top three, based mainly on fanbase. I think one of those two (Christina and Elizabeth) could be a shocking elimination – I’m just not sure both of them can make the top 5. I guess we’ll see.

Dancing with the Stars Season 17, Week 1 – Who’s Dancing What…and When??

Hoo-ray!! It’s that time again folks. Time to talk about dances and dance order. Who’s going to do well and who’s…not. 🙂

Leah going second to last is no surprise as she’s one of the bigger names. I’d be willing to bet that Valerie goes last – takers? 🙂 Amber got a good spot at the top of the second hour. Pretty interesting that they stuck Bill in the second hour.

ETA 1: I take it back. I don’t think they will have two foxtrots back to back and Leah and Valerie have the same dance. So…maybe she will go first?? No, cuz Jack is going second. Hmmmm…Here’s my guess. For now.

ETA 2: hmmmm…someone tells me that Peta says they are dancing first, so I think there was a shuffle late in the game.

ETA 3: And Cheryl says they are dancing 4th. How widespread is the shuffle??

ETA 4: So, Snooki’s number is 12 – but will she dance last??

ETA 5: A little birdie tells me that the DWTS crew will play paparazzi in the opening number tomorrow night. 🙂

ETA 6: And Tony says he and Leah are dancing second. It’s starting to seem like they set the phone numbers before they did the dance order. Possibly because they had to do camera blocking a day earlier than normal? Who knows what’s going on.

ETA 7: And a birdie named Courtney tells me that she’s 75% sure that the opening number is to “Applause” by Lady Gaga. She’s sure it’s a Lady Gaga song, in any case. 😀 She also told me to blame her if it’s wrong.

ETA 8: Sharna says they are dancing 8th…and their number 3408? Well, see, all is not lost. 🙂

Brant and Peta – Cha Cha Cha
Dancing 1st
Voting # 1-800-868-3403

Leah and Tony – Foxtrot
Dancing 2nd
Voting # 1-800-868-3411

Bill and Tyne – Cha Cha Cha
Voting # 1-800-868-3404

Christina and Mark – Contemporary
Voting # 1-800-868-3401

Jack and Cheryl – Foxtrot
Dancing 4th
Voting # 1-800-868-3402

Elizabeth and Val – Contemporary
Dancing 5th (??)
1-800-868-3405

Corbin and Karina – Contemporary
Dancing 6th (??)
1-800-868-3406

Amber and Derek – Cha Cha Cha
Dancing 7th (??)
Voting # 1-800-868-3407

Keyshawn and Sharna – Cha Cha Cha
Dancing 8th
Voting # 1-800-868-3408

Bill and Emma – Foxtrot
Dancing 9th (??)
Voting # 1-800-868-3409

Valerie and Tristan – Foxtrot
Dancing 10th
Voting # 1-800-868-3410

Snooki and Sasha – Cha Cha Cha
Dancing 12th
1-800-868-3412

Some pics from the cast and crew….someone want to explain the red couches to me?? 🙂 Read more..

Dancing With The Stars Season 17 – Las Vegas Odds Before The Premiere

Awww, our first Las Vegas Odds post for Dancing With The Stars Season 17! Even without seeing our new couples dance yet on Dancing With The Stars, the odds makers have their bets in at Sports Bovada. Note how their top four include Corbin Blue, Christina Milian, and Amber Riley and Elizabeth Berkely. They have Bill Engvall, Bill Nye, and Valerie Harper tied for last place.

Corbin Bleu 5/2
Christina Milan 13/4
Amber Riley 11/2
Elizabeth Berkley 11/2
Leah Rimini 7/1
Snooki 8/1
Brant Daugherty 10/1
Keyshawn Johnson 10/1
Jack Osbourne 25/1
Bill Engvall 50/1
Bill Nye 50/1
Valerie Harper 50/1

My thoughts: The top four is looking reasonable to me with an exception to Keyshawn Johnson. I think he should be placed higher. I think Valerie Harper will do much better too. They should have her listed in the middle of the pack somewhere. I also think Brant Daugherty should be placed a little higher as well. It’s so hard to tell though without seeing them dance first! Thank goodness, it won’t be long until dance time. 🙂

Let’s see what Heidi and Courtney think and you let us know in comments what you think too…..

Courtney: I think Bill should be higher – I’m seeing a lot more buzz about him than I initially thought I would, and he’s got some dance background…so he may have some staying power. I would drop Leah and Brant down a bit – I just think Brant is less well-known and Leah seems to rub some people the wrong way, so they may struggle with votes. I would probably drop Jack down a bit, too – I’m not sure he’s going to hold the same “redemption” appeal that his sister did. As for the top – I think they have it ABOUT right, but I think Amber might have more of an edge than Christina – she’s more current, and she has Derek, who consistently brings out the best in his partners.

Heidi: I think the top four is right on target, not having seen any of them dance. Have to disagree with Vogue about Keyshawn, though – someone has to be on the bottom and I’m not sure this guy is into it. I guess we’ll see. I do think Valerie should be higher, toward the middle of the pack. I think Leah needs to come down and Bill Nye needs to go up some. I think he’s going to be underestimated in a big way. Jack Osborne?? No idea – I don’t think that kind of lightning hits one family twice, frankly. And part of that has to do with who your competition is, of course. We’ll have to wait and see how they all stack up against each other, but only one Kardashian could rise toward the top and I think only one Osborne will as well. And Kelly already has. I’d leave Snooki where she is, put Bill E at the bottom by himself, and move Brant down a bit as well. Being hot is no guarantee – just ask Aiden Turner. Or Ashley Hamilton. Or Mike Catherwood. Or Jack Wagner. 😀

Odds For DWTS Season 16 Finale, Zendaya And Kellie Pickler Neck And Neck

“Never let the odds keep you from doing what you know in your heart you were meant to do.” ~H Jackson Brown Jr.Orison Swett Mardenon on beating the odds

Our last Las Vegas Odds post for Dancing With The Stars Season 16! You ready? This time Sports Bovada has placed Zendaya and Kellie Pickler in ‘neck and neck’ odds for first and second place. Then in a little further down in third place is Aly Raisman and Jacoby Jones in 4th. Do you agree or disagree with this scenario? Do you think Zendaya is going to take it all or will Kellie or one of the others? Who is the dark horse? I tend to think JACOBY is the dark horse. Watch out for him to be explosive Monday night. I think Kellie will take it all with Jacoby placing second or even first? We will soon see, but, that’s where I’d put my bets and who I’m rooting for. I’m really liking Aly now too especially after her and Mark’s Afro Jazz dance.

So, below are the new odds:

Zendaya Coleman 2/3
Kellie Pickler 6/5
Aly Raisman 14/1
Jacoby Jones 20/1

Here are last week’s Las Vegas Odds to compare.

Zendaya Coleman 2/3
Kellie Pickler 13/10
Aly Raisman 12/1
Jacoby Jones 18/1
Ingo Rademacher 150/1

Let’s see what Heidi and Courtney think and be sure you let us know your thoughts and predictions too in comments….

Courtney: To be quite honest, I’m just kind of ready for this season to be over – and I find myself giving fewer and fewer hoots about who wins each week. 😛 I’m fully expecting Zendaya to get set up to win this thing, and I’m vacillating between them making it a neck-and-neck race with either Kellie or Aly…it SHOULD be Kellie, but they seem to have this love affair with Aly as of late, even though I still find her to be a total snooze to watch. I do think the freestyle round could be a make-or-break dance – even though I said the same thing last season, and the strongest freestyle didn’t win. I think Kellie & Jacoby could be the standouts in that round, although if Zendaya goes the hip-hop route and Aly goes the gymnastic route (and I think both are pretty likely), I’m guessing the judges are going to gush, regardless of how impressive the dances actually are. I’m worried that Jacoby is going to get lowballed, regardless of how well he actually dances, and that he may not be able to hope for anything better than 4th 🙁 I’d say he’d have the MBT in the bag in a regular season, but with the judges getting increasingly wonky each season, I don’t think that holds true anymore. All this manipulation makes me think it’s time to move on and blog something else…

Heidi: Word, Court. Do the odds makers have it right? Probably. Is that how it SHOULD be? No, but you don’t have to be a genius (or, actually, maybe you do 😀 ) to see the set up here. They LOVE them some Zendaya and Aly, yet Kellie isn’t emotionally connecting to Derek. Uh huh. Well, I guess it probably is easier to emotionally connect when you get to add a bit of hip hop to every dance and you don’t even have to wear ballroom shoes…or do the rumba. In any case – the truth (and the chances of the odds being right) will be in the scoring and the words they use to critique the dancers – not the actual dances themselves. What little weasel words will they use to tear anyone not named Zendaya down to try to manipulate the audience?? I think the key will be in how they score Jacoby, actually. They will either low ball him to keep him away from the trophy (which means that one or all of the ladies is getting enough votes to beat him if his score is low enough) OR they will score him about right and let the chips fall (which means he’s getting a ton of votes and it doesn’t matter how they score him). There are two things at play here – the judges ego/show credibility and TPTB vested interests. We MAY get to see which one is stronger. What I mean when I say “judges ego” – do you really think that any of those three want to come out on the wrong side of history?? They (and TPTB to a much lesser extent) want to be able to point and say “Look, the people pick the winner and we the judges were also right on target” – it’s ego. That’s why I say that if Jacoby is going to win *regardless* cuz he’s getting a ton of votes – they will score him appropriately, or maybe even a bit of an over score. However, if it is possible for someone else to win (Zendaya is really all they care about with Aly and Kellie a distant 2nd and 3rd, respectively), they will low ball Jacoby with the intent of one of the other three getting the trophy. Then the scoring of the other three comes into play. I suspect, thanks to her own fanbase and lots and lots of help from the producers all season, that Zendaya is getting a ton of votes. I think it’s an all or nothing thing with Jacoby, frankly – which leads me to think that the odds makers have it about right. Of course, the judges did put Jacoby in first place last week, AHEAD of two better dancers, so…foreshadowing??

The Odds Makers Switch DWTS Jacoby Jones And Aly Raisman, New Odds For Week 9

“Success is not measured by what you accomplish but by the opposition you have encountered, and the courage with which you have maintained the struggle against overwhelming odds.” ~Orison Swett Mardenon on beating the odds

Sports Bovada has posted their new odds for Dancing With The Stars. What do the odds makers think this week? Well, take a look below. Note: for the first time this season, they have placed Jacoby behind Aly. I don’t agree and I hope Jacoby makes a strong showing this week. I still think he is just as much of a force in this competition as Kellie and Zendaya? Don’t get me wrong, I like Aly as a person, but, why is Aly so over-rated and will the judges continue to overlook her and Zendaya’s faults while crucifying Kellie’s, Jacoby’s, and Ingo’s? Sad, and I’m not sure I’m ready for another week of this? ❓ 😕

So, below are the new odds:

Zendaya Coleman 2/3
Kellie Pickler 13/10
Aly Raisman 12/1
Jacoby Jones 18/1
Ingo Rademacher 150/1

Here are last week’s Las Vegas Odds to compare.

Zendaya Coleman 10/11
Kellie Pickler 1/1
Jacoby Jones 10/1
Aly Raisman 12/1
Ingo Rademacher 100/1
Sean Lowe 100/1

Let’s see what Miss Heidi and Court think. Be sure you let us know your thoughts and predictions too in the comments section.

Courtney: *shrug* Maybe it’s the fact that Andy is gone, maybe it’s the fact that voting (either to keep someone in the competition, or in the various Twitter contests) seems to be an exercise in futility, but I just find myself altogether apathetic about the odds (and really, the show in general) now. It doesn’t seem to matter how well any of the couples dance anymore – the praise/ridicule they get will have little to do with how they actually dance, and at the end of the day, the person that TPTB have a vested interest in winning, will win…and right now, it seems pretty clear to me that that’s Zendaya. And oddly enough, I’m beginning to wonder if they’re setting it up to be a close finish between Zendaya and Aly as the last two standing – double-whammy with the youngin’s, maybe? Lord knows…I just find myself puzzled by the gushing over Aly, considering that Kellie & Jacoby have far bigger personalities and Aly tends to come across rather bland. As for Kellie & Jacoby – if the Zendaya & Aly lovefest continues, I worry that they may not be able to hope for any better than 3rd & 4th place, respectively. I think Jacoby may unfortunately get picked apart for subpar technique, and Kellie may be collateral damage as a result of Len’s “there wasn’t enough content!” tirades. Ingo? He’ll be gone this week, unless they really lay into Jacoby…which is possible. I’m hoping that TPTB realize that they’re going to be better off having a good entertainer (Jacoby) in the finale, than another ABC family member who’s pretty marginal (Ingo). But as I said, I’m fully preparing myself to be let down by the finale, so I wouldn’t be surprised if we lost a fun contestant like Jacoby to make room for another ABC pimpee like Ingo. Just…blah.

Heidi: Read Derek’s blog and tell me what you think of what he says Len said to him when he and Kellie were in jeopardy. It does NOT give me faith that this ending won’t be totally manipulated, as opposed to just a bit manipulated as it’s been in the past. It would be funny if Zendaya and Aly split the vote, though, and either Kellie or Jacoby slipped in there. I just don’t get the Aly love fest either. I don’t think she touches either Kellie or Zendaya in talent nor Jacoby in FUN. The fact that I can barely bring myself to think about The Cheesecake should tell you how I feel about this season right now. They just have it SO set up to pimp Zendaya every step of the way. On Facebook, Kellie is wondering why she and Derek haven’t gotten an encore yet – good f*%king question, Kel. Aly’s had two and Zendaya’s had 2 or 3- if you count Team Paso. If that doesn’t tell you about the outcome of this show, nothing does. Lots of visual and audible cues that Zendaya and Aly are supposed to be winners. Some visual cues that Kellie is a winner, but then they hide her completely for a results show and then smack the crap out of Derek the week – giving the audience the BIG cue that Derek’s doing it wrong. Gotcha ABC. Congratulations, you’ve completely shredded ANY faith I had in you NOT fixing the actual outcome. I’ve been backing you up for years, saying you don’t care who wins. Guess Disney got you this season, eh??

Dancing With The Stars Las Vegas Odds Going Into Week 8: What Do You Think?

“If somebody says no to you, or if you get cut, Michael Jordan was cut his first year, but he came back and he was the best ever. That is what you have to have. The attitude that I’m going to show everybody, I’m going to work hard to get better and better.” ~Basketball player Magic Johnson on beating the odds

Sports Bovada has their new odds posted for Dancing With The Stars Week 8. Unfortunately, they were right about the last place couple last week (as they have been for a couple of weeks now) and Andy Dick indeed was eliminated. Will they be right again? Take a look below.

Zendaya Coleman 10/11
Kellie Pickler 1/1
Jacoby Jones 10/1
Aly Raisman 12/1
Ingo Rademacher 100/1
Sean Lowe 100/1

Here are last week’s Las Vegas Odds to compare.

Zendaya Coleman 1/1
Kellie Pickler 11/10
Jacoby Jones 7/1
Aly Raisman 12/1
Ingo Rademacher 75/1
Sean Lowe 75/1
Andy Dick 100/1

I think the new odds are pretty correct, though, I think Ingo is a better dancer and a more genuine, passionate, and likable person than Sean. So, I think Ingo’s odds should be a little higher…..and especially after Sean’s rude comments this week saying this of Andy to E News: “He probably lasted a lot longer than he should have.” Yes, I’m still grrring! Really Sean? What makes you think you are all that great of a dancer? What’s more, Andy had you beat in the entertainment, genuine, class, and likable factor in spades. Good luck with that. As for the rest of celebrities, I think Kellie should be in the top spot with Jacoby second …or even Jacoby and Kellie tied. Then again, it might be too early to put them tied, but, in the end, I think Jacoby will take it all. Yes, I am huge fan to him now! He makes me laugh and I love how he sang to Andy telling him he was his best friend in Andy’s elimination interview with On The Red Carpet. Let’s see what Miss Heidi and Court think. Be sure to let us know what you think too in comments.

Courtney: Before I weigh in on the actual odds, can I just say that I think EVERYONE in the cast would be a lot better off if they just stuck to the typical “company lines” about other people in the cast??? Sean probably would have just been better off saying “Andy worked really hard and I’m glad to have gotten to know him!” or something to that extent than blurting out “Yeah, he probably lasted a lot longer than he should have.” And I think Val probably would have caught a lot less flak if he had simply said “We pick Jacoby & Karina” and then shut up – if you don’t give your detractors anything to work with, they can’t use it against you. These are two instances in which the Sabrina Bryan philosophy of having rainbows shoot out your ass every time you speak would probably help 😛 And I find it funny that SEAN of all people thinks Andy lasted longer than he should have, considering that Sean really wore out his welcome by week 3. But anyway…looks like the oddsmakers are just vacillating between Zendaya & Kellie as the winners of this season. At this point I’m not even sure I’m all that invested in who wins, because Andy really was the big winner this season for me – the only one who would have made a really good, inspiring human interest story, had he won. I don’t see Sean or Ingo making the finale, and I don’t think any of the 4 who will likely make the finale (Zendaya, Kellie, Jacoby, & Aly) are really all that hungry for the trophy, nor do they really need it – I will probably be throwing all my votes to Jacoby from now on, because he seems to be having the most fun. So yeah, I guess I agree with the odds…but that doesn’t mean I’m particularly excited about them.

Heidi: I find it interesting that the odds makers have basically said, “You ain’t getting JACK from us if you pick Kellie or Zendaya” while essentially making Jacoby’s odds longer. I will laugh pretty hard if Jacoby ends up winning. I’m no longer convinced that he WILL win, although I think he has a better shot than the odds makers do. Not only is he likely to be the only male and athlete in the top 3 (whether Kellie or Aly makes it…or Zendaya…who knows?), but the two women could split the vote, making it easier for him. I think this coming week will be the make or break week for both Zendaya and Jacoby – I don’t really believe that Kellie’s chances are as good as even money (they SHOULD be, but we know all about the silliness that pervades the DWTS fanbase re: Derek and his partners), and they are probably on track with Aly’s, which is why the fate rests with those two. If Jacoby does a stellar job and remains likeable, I think he moves into a better position than he is now. The question is Zendaya – the judges showed a willingness to give her the actual score she deserved as opposed to over scoring her. Did they do that because she’s getting a ton of votes….or did they just see a “27” in that dance like many of us did and they were afraid of losing what little credibility they have? Who can say? But I think it’s now up to Val to not fail her choreographically – make sure last week was a fluke and not the result of too much pressure with an on-going negative impact. She could win this thing….but we all know that the judges scores DO matter, as does the free style. An off week by Jacoby OR Val/Zendaya could leave the door open for the one of the other two ladies. I’m also still not sure of Derek’s fanbase – did his fans say “screw it” after last season, to the point that it rests on Kellie and the average viewer?? No idea.

Heidi Still: I kinda feel like we are venturing into a bit of uncharted territory with the top four dancers: not just a singer, but a COUNTRY singer (who I think have fans that are beaten in passion only by the teenboppers ala Justin Bieber); a Disney Kid but not just any Disney Kid, the one they have pegged as the next big thing who would really benefit from winning this thing; A football player, but not just ANY football player, one that had a record breaking touchdown run in the most recent Super Bowl, and; an Olympian – a RECENT, gold medal winning Olympian. I dunno, but to me, this is a tough one to call. I’m thinking that the top three in the odds are correct – but I’m not at all certain that’s the order they’ll be in at the end of the day.

New Dancing With The Stars Season 16 Las Vegas Odds For Week 7

“I want to lift the audience to the miraculous in human nature. After all, we shouldn’t be here, with all the odds against us in nature. It’s kind of unusual and wonderful!” ~Ballet Choreographer Paul Taylor on beating the odds

It’s that time again!!! Sports Bovada has posted their new Odds for Dancing With The Stars going to week 7. Note how they’ve lowered Sean Lowe’s odds dramatically from the week(s) before and rightfully so. I think if Sean doesn’t show some vast improvement this coming Monday night, he could find himself eliminated? They have also listed Andy Dick at the bottom. I think they underestimate Andy’s entertainment factor. As in previous weeks, I look forward to Andy just doing “his Jagger Moves thing” and proving the odds makers wrong again (Have I said? I love fighters like that! 🙂 ). I also think they should have put Kellie at the top this week.

Zendaya Coleman 1/1
Kellie Pickler 11/10
Jacoby Jones 7/1
Aly Raisman 12/1
Ingo Rademacher 75/1
Sean Lowe 75/1
Andy Dick 100/1

Here are last week’s Las Vegas Odds to compare.

Zendaya Coleman 11/10
Kellie Pickler 2/1
Jacoby Jones 13/4
Aly Raisman 15/2
Sean Lowe 33/1
Ingo Rademacher 75/1
Andy Dick 150/1
Victor Ortiz 200/1

Let’s see what Miss Heidi and Court think and be sure to let us know what you think too in comments….

Courtney: If I were the oddsmakers, I’d stop banking on the power of the ABC “family” to pull Zendaya & Sean (and to a lesser degree, Ingo) through week after week. Sean in particular really kind of crashed & burned this week – he may have gotten a better score than Andy, but I really don’t think he did much better…and while Sean ended up in the bottom 2 with weekly cannon fodder Victor, Andy did not. Now while I don’t have any delusions about Andy winning this whole thing, I do think he’s doing better than any of us anticipated – and support for him just seems to be growing. Notice that he hasn’t landed in the bottom 2 since week 3…and last week, he wasn’t even in jeopardy. Unless Sean either knocks his dance out of the park this week or gets blatantly overscored, I fully expect to see him in the bottom 2 on Tuesday. Jury’s still out on Ingo, too – as hard as he’s working, I get the feeling he may be blending into the woodwork, and I’m not really seeing a ton of improvement from him…and on top of that, Kym seems like her patience may be wearing thin. He could also be bottom 2 material in the coming week. As for the top of the pack – if the team dance was any indicator, Zendaya is not immune to mediocrity, and I would really consider that paso doble to be an epic fail on Val’s part; there was no reason that they shouldn’t have won that challenge, EASILY. But I daresay complacency could be Zen & Val’s downfall – too many consecutive weeks of praise can lead a couple to feel a bit too…comfortable. Hopefully this week was a wake-up call.

Heidi: My perspective is a bit different after reading the ABC press release for this weeks show. If the judges work it the way I think they will work it, it will mean Zendaya once again at the top of the pack, whether she deserves it or not, and Andy going home. It is one HUGE manipulative ploy – and if they keep that sort of thing up for the rest of the season, the people the judges want to go home, WILL go home. Right now, Andy seems to be that guy. And that pisses me off. IF the odds makers are looking at that, then they might be right on the money. Or they could be totally clueless and end up being right accidentally. 🙂 I DO agree that the odds, combined with the twitter voting crap could really cause an issue with Val and Zendaya – if they think they have this in the bag, they could be in trouble. I mean, really – why do TPTB feel like they need to do this immunity thing? Who isn’t getting the votes? Would they do it for Kellie?? Doubtful. Add in the complacency that some of her fans might be feeling and you are straying into shocking elimination territory. Seriously, I’ve heard lots of people say they didn’t even vote in the finale last season, they were so sure that Shawn was going to win. How many now consider Zendaya a “sure thing” – including Val and Zendaya themselves?? I don’t know – I’m seriously asking. Anyway, they have Zen and Kellie close to tied with Jacoby at 7/1?? I think they’re under rating him a bit, but we’ll see.

DWTS Season 16 Las Vegas Odds Going Into Week 6 – Do You Agree or Disagree?

“Champions keep playing until they get it right.” ~Billy Jean King on beating the odds

Sports Bovada has their new Odds posted!! As you can see, they aren’t too much different than the week before with an exception of there aren’t any ties for last place this time which I’m glad for. Though I still don’t think they are giving Andy Dick enough credit for the mark he’s made with his dancing and entertainment factor. For what I’ve seen, fans of Dancing With The Stars are loving him for the most part. I’m also not in agreement for how high they keep putting Aly Raisman and Sean Lowe. However, I totally agree with Victor being in last place! Take a look and then read below for what Heidi and Court think. Be sure you let us know what you think as well.

Zendaya Coleman 11/10
Kellie Pickler 2/1
Jacoby Jones 13/4
Aly Raisman 15/2
Sean Lowe 33/1
Ingo Rademacher 75/1
Andy Dick 150/1
Victor Ortiz 200/1

Here are last week’s Las Vegas Odds to compare.

Zendaya Coleman 8/5
Kellie Pickler 2/1
Jacoby Jones 13/4
Aly Raisman 5/1
Ingo Rademacher 33/1
Sean Lowe 33/1
Andy Dick 100/1
D.L. Hughley 100/1
Victor Ortiz 100/1

Court and Heidi?

Courtney: Dang, they really think Zendaya is gonna run away with this thing, huh? I still think there are politics in play that could potentially play spoiler to that one – namely the fact that I think viewers are wising up to some of the manipulation, and may retaliate by voting in in a direction opposite to the one TPTB are trying to lead them in. I think the fact that Jacoby ended up with the encore this week (after it was pretty widely believed that Zendaya was going to get it) could be a testament to the power of the average (read: not necessarily young) voter to change the course of the competition. I would keep a close eye on Jacoby – I think he may currently be the biggest threat to Zendaya running away with a MBT. As for the bottom of the pack – I still think Andy has a much better chance than Victor, and at this point I think he may even have a better chance than Ingo. Ingo’s stock seems to be dropping pretty rapidly, and I think he could end up in the bottom 2 this week.

Heidi: Well, they have to have Aly and Sean that high because there’s not really any where else to put them! 🙂 I do think that they could move Andy up between Aly and Sean, but other than that, they seem to have it basically right. Although I don’t think Zendaya is such a lock. I think Jacoby could easily beat her. Depends on what happens the next couple weeks.

Dancing With The Stars Season 16 Las Vegas Odds For Week 5

“I’ve always made a total effort, even when the odds seemed entirely against me. I never quit trying; I never felt that I didn’t have a chance to win.” ~Arnold Palmer on beating the odds

Well, last week Sports Bovada nailed it by putting Lisa Vanderpump at the bottom of their odds for who will win Dancing With The Stars despite many of our protests! Will they nail it again this coming week? Below are their new sets of Odds. Note that their Odds aren’t too different from the week before except for putting Victor at the bottom of the pack and tying him with Andy and D.L. again. I’m sorry, but, I don’t understand why they keep giving Andy Dick low odds with them when he’s been a stand out, likable, and has done as well as he has? You’d think they’d atleast tie him with Ingo and Sean or put him above them? But hey, keep giving him low odds as he keeps proving their odds wrong every week!!! I loved the same challenge when playing tennis. 🙂

Zendaya Coleman 8/5
Kellie Pickler 2/1
Jacoby Jones 13/4
Aly Raisman 5/1
Ingo Rademacher 33/1
Sean Lowe 33/1
Andy Dick 100/1
D.L. Hughley 100/1
Victor Ortiz 100/1

Here are last week’s Las Vegas Odds to compare.

Zendaya Coleman 8/5
Kellie Pickler 2/1
Jacoby Jones 3/1
Aly Raisman 15/2
Ingo Rademacher 25/1
Sean Lowe 25/1
Victor Ortiz 75/1
Andy Dick 100/1
D.L. Hughley 100/1
Lisa Vanderpump 100/1

Let’s see what my partners in crime think and be sure to tell us what you think too in comments….

Courtney: I think Andy is unfortunately getting stuck with sh*t odds because they keep putting the poor guy in jeopardy, and he has been in the bottom 2 once – and like so many viewers that can’t seem to understand that “in jeopardy” means “not necessarily in the bottom 2, and we could be totally pulling your leg and this person is completely safe!”, I think the oddsmakers are also falling into that trap and thus assume that Andy is consistently in danger, which I’m not sure I believe. If anything, I think Andy’s odds are improving, while Victor’s, D.L.’s, & Sean’s are getting worse – Sean in particular seems to have lost his luster in the eyes of the judges and I think he could be bottom 2 material in the coming week, if he’s not getting the votes. As for the other end of the spectrum – I agree that Zendaya & Kellie are the frontrunners FOR RIGHT NOW, but I still think we may see a situation like we did in season 14: two contestants basically take turns leading the pack for the bulk of the season, there’s some “pimping” going on, viewers get tired of it, and a 3rd, “alternative” choice (in this case, Jacoby) ends up subtly sneaking his way into the top of the pack and winning the whole thing. Not sure what to make of Aly – I think TPTB, like Sean & Peta with that damn Murgalo, are trying to make her a “thing”, but I’m not sure that it’s really catching on the way they want it to. She doesn’t have the same appeal that big personalities like Zendaya, Kellie, & Jacoby have, and nor the charm of Victor, Ingo, or Andy. She’s got the dance skills, but that’s about it right now – she needs the personality in order to really make a big move to prove she’s a contender. Ingo’s also a bit of a question mark right now – nice guy, decent dancer, but not as explosive as many of those at the top of the pack…can’t tell if this is pretty much all we’re going to get out of him, or if he’s holding back and waiting for the right moment to make his move.

Heidi: Yeah, I pretty much agree with Courtney, although I’m not sure that it matters that Andy, Victor and DL are all 100/1 – I would wager (heh) that their life on the show is HEAVILY dependent on the judges scores in any given week. For example, they give Andy a crap score compared to Victor and DL – Andy goes home. They give Victor a crap score relative to Andy and DL – Victor goes home. We’ve seen the happen before where there aren’t enough votes to reduce the judges scores impact. The question is how Ingo and Sean still play into that equation – we’ll see this week. 🙂 I guess I think they have the order just about right, although I think the top three might not be in that exact order. I think the ONLY reason that Aly is in 4th place at this point is because of the weakness of Sean and Ingo. I also agree with Courtney that they might be making her into something. But I think that something might be just a prop to keep Zendaya from supposedly running away with it. I don’t think they care about Aly one way or the other, but I think they are likely heavily invested in Zendaya. The next Selena Gomez?? Or bigger.

DWTS Season 16 Las Vegas Odds Going Into Week 4 – What do you think?

“I’ve missed more than 9000 shots in my career. I’ve lost almost 300 games. 26 times, I’ve been trusted to take the game winning shot and missed. I’ve failed over and over and over again in my life. And that is why I succeed.” ~Michael Jordan on beating the odds

Sports Bovada has posted their new set of odds for Dancing With The Stars Season 16 Week 4. Though once again, I have to disagree for how they are tying Andy, D.L., and Lisa at 100/1, but, that’s ok because Andy keeps proving this set of odds makers wrong every week…and same with Lisa. D.L. too, but, I don’t think Andy and Lisa belong in the same group or with as low as odds as D.L. in my opinion. Also, what are they seeing in Aly and Sean? I don’t get it? 😯

Zendaya Coleman 8/5
Kellie Pickler 2/1
Jacoby Jones 3/1
Aly Raisman 15/2
Ingo Rademacher 25/1
Sean Lowe 25/1
Victor Ortiz 75/1
Andy Dick 100/1
D.L. Hughley 100/1
Lisa Vanderpump 100/1

Here are last week’s Las Vegas Odds to compare.

Zendaya Coleman 5/2
Jacoby Jones 4/1
Aly Raisman 9/2
Kellie Pickler 5/1
Dorothy Hamill 7/1
Ingo Rademacher 16/1
Sean Lowe 16/1
Andy Dick 75/1
D.L. Hughley 75/1
Victor Ortiz 75/1
Wynonna Judd 75/1
Lisa Vanderpump 100/1

And like in previous weeks, below are the odds from Wynn Las Vegas currently to compare. With an exception to Aly Raisman (who should be in 6th or 7th in my opinion), I think they have it about right. Though I have a feeling Jacoby will win. I also think Andy should be higher at 4th or 5th? I think he can take Victor!

Kellie Pickler Derek Hough 7 TO 2
ZENDAYA COLEMAN Valentin Chmerkovskiy 4 TO 1
JACOBY JONES Karina Smirnoff 9 TO 2
ALY RAISMAN Mark Ballas 5 TO 1
INGO RADEMACHER Kym Johnson 10 TO 1
VICTOR ORTIZ LINDSAY ARNOLD 15 TO 1
ANDY DICK Sharna Burgess 16 TO 1
Sean Lowe Peta Murgatroyd 28 TO 1
Lisa Vanderpump GLEB SAVCHENKO 60 TO 1
D.L. HUGHLEY Cheryl Burke 75 TO 1

Ok, let’s see what our Miss Heidi and Courtney think and be sure to let us know your thoughts on this weeks odds as well in comments…..

Heidi: Well, both sets of Odds have Kellie and Zendaya pretty much neck and neck and I agree with that…although I still think they are neck and neck for SECOND place. 🙂 Still thinking it’s going to be Jacoby standing up there at the end, but if he doesn’t shine this week I may revise my opinion on that one. And if it comes down to Kellie and Zendaya, Zendaya will win because of the whole Derek backlash crap perpetuated by the “everyone gets to win” mentality of pee wee baseball – no point in pretending it will be a contest. She might have won anyway, but it’s so much easier when so many people are voting against the other team because of the pro in the mistaken belief that he “wins all the time”. I also agree wtih Aly being in 4th place – you have to take into consideration all the other dancers who are left and none of them are really standing out – including Aly – but she has fanbase over the rest of them, I think. Beyond that…well, I MUCH prefer Wynn’s read on the situation, since they have Sean going out in week 6 and Andy and Victor lasting longer than him. 🙂

Courtney: Not a whole lot to add here – I think Kellie & Zendaya tied is about right, and it kind of reminds me of last season at this time, when William & Katherine were at the top of the odds and Donald was much lower, which I think is mirroring the situation with Jacoby right now. The more and more I mull it over, the more I think that the backlash that Heidi mentioned with Derek, combined with some growing backlash I’m seeing about Zendaya “being pimped”, I think the stage is slowly being set for Jacoby to play spoiler and swoop in to win it all. As for everyone else – Aly bores me to tears, but I think she too has enough of a fanbase to keep her in for awhile – plus we’re starting to witness some subtle pimpage from the judges. I think Andy now has MUCH better odds of sticking around than Lisa, D.L, AND Victor, and think it’s going to be either Lisa or Victor on the chopping block this coming week. Still boggles my mind that people are still voting for D.L. – I find absolutely nothing appealing or redeeming about that man, as all I’ve seen him do is whine, bitch, and moan about the judges “being bullies”, crack painfully unfunny & often inappropriate jokes, and half-ass his way through his routines. But hey, as we’ve said before: there are some batsh*t crazy fans out there…

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