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DWTS Season 26, Week 1 – Dancing by the Numbers!

After the show, I started writing this post and re-looking at the numbers once Jamie and Johnny were eliminated…and realized that I’m going to have a hard time wrapping my mind around the fact that there are only three more weeks and two more people go home next week. That’s…crazy. There are only 8 couples left and not a ton of low hanging fruit. Interesting.

Well, this show needs a bit of a shake up in any case. 😊

Who’s my favorite thus far?? Well, I have to say, I really love what Jenna did with Adam. That was a ton of fun. I’m not particularly a Sharna fan and…hold on…I need to go actually watch that dance.

Okay…after that I AM a Josh Norman fan!! That was pretty hot. I still think that Mirai is the best dancer and Adam is a close second with a choreographic advantage…but that doesn’t mean either of them will necessarily win this season. Josh is right up there with them and could win this thing. We’ll see!! I also don’t think Tonya should be counted out.

This season is going to be incredibly tough from a numbers standpoint – I don’t feel like many of the typical metrics I use to GUESS who might be going home are actually there this season. I feel like so much of how well people do this season will depend on nearly instantaneous impressions that people have of a given couple. Typically, that impression is aided by their “fame” at some level prior to the show. Athletes who have been on this show in the past have VERY specific fanbases, unlike actors, models and other types of celebs. When it comes to these athletes, Kareem, the ice skaters and the football player have the odds in their favor with the average viewer – largely due to the popularity of their sport and the name recognition. Coincidentally (or not) the ice skaters and the football player also happen to be the best dancers…and Kareem is an icon. So, I suspect that the ice skaters and the football player are more likely to last to the end. Kareem might not due to lower scores.

Anyway, let’s refresh our memories on how everyone did in terms of scores.

 

Now, if I remember this correctly, the live voting during the show plus judges scores were used to eliminate Jamie and Johnny. The judges scores and the voting after the show by phone and online will result in two more people being eliminated this coming week. Who will it be??
Well, I feel reasonably confident that it will be either Kareem, Arike or Jennie. Of course, no one can be sure. Kareem survived week 1, but he didn’t have to do that much to make it.


As you can see above, he only needed 5k and 10k more votes per million votes cast to stay over Johnny and Jamie, respectively. In order to stay this week he needs 14k more than Arike AND nearly 20k more than Chris or Jennie. Two people going home, means he has to beat two people. I don’t think it’s out of the question that he could do that – half the battle is name recognition and he’s got it where Arike, Chris and Jennie don’t really. It will be tough though. And if he manages to do it, I think it will be Arike and Jenny.

So let’s say that Kareem gets past Arike and Jennie. What do they need to do in order to be safe?


Chris is tied with Jennie as you recall. Well, he only needs ONE more vote than her to be safe. And he needs for Arike to not get 4.8k more votes per million votes cast than him. I don’t think that will be a problem. Personally, I think Arike beats Jennie – she was just more memorable. Problem is, she needs to beat TWO people. I don’t think she gets the votes to get past Mirai, Tonya, Adam or Josh, so she needs to beat BOTH Chris and Jennie, or she needs to beat one of them and have Kareem not cover the spread.

And this is where it’s really hard. I hate double eliminations. My gut is kinda telling me that Arike and Jennie are going to be eliminated – mainly because I think that Kareem can beat Arike and that everyone beats Jennie….which would mean that Jennie and Arike are the two who would be eliminated.

What do you all think?? Am I half right like I was week one? Or completely wrong?

May 4, 2018 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

DWTS Season 26, Week 2 – Who’s Dancing What…and When? Plus….Team Dances

Week 2 of 4 and if you have seen the teams for team dances (below) you know that one group is really getting hosed. Damn. Anyway, I’ve got two dances and I’m sure more have been revealed, so if you know one, let us know…but we need a SOURCE. Thx. 🙂

Chris Mazdzer and Witney – Viennese Waltz (Song: “Next to Me” by Imagine Dragons)
1-800-868-3403

Kareem Abdul-Jabbar and Lindsay – Salsa (Song: “La Malanga” by Eddie Paleireri)
1-800-868-3408

Jennie Finch Daigle and Keo – Cha Cha (Song: “Make me Feel” by Janelle Monae)
1-800-868-3405

Mirai Nagasu and Alan – Foxtrot (Song: “It’s a Small World” by O’Nell Brothers Group)
1-800-868-3409

Arike Ogunbowale and Gleb – Foxtrot (Song: “What About Us” by Pink)
1-800-868-3402

Adam Rippon and Jenna – Quickstep (Song: “Make Way” by Aloe Blacc)
1-800-868-3401

Tonya Harding and Sasha – Quickstep (Song: “Redneck Woman” by Gretchen Wilson)
1-800-868-3410

Josh Norman and Sharna – Paso Doble (Song: The Plaza of Execution” by James Horner)
1-800-868-3407

Team 1970’s Football (Song: “Instant Replay” by Dan Hartman)

Mirai Nagasu & Alan Bersten
Adam Rippon & Jenna Johnson
Arike Ogunbowale & Gleb Savchenko
Jennie Finch & Keo Motstepe

Team 1950s Tennis (Song: “…Baby One More Time” by The Baseballs)

Chris Mazdzer & Witney Carson
Kareem Abdul-Jabbar & Lindsay Arnold
Tonya Harding & Sasha Farber
Josh Norman & Sharna Burgess

May 2, 2018 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

Dancing with the Stars Season 26, Week 1 – LIVE BLOG (SPOILERS)

All right all ya’ll – check in if you’re watching this season with us. I don’t want to be all alone here, bemoaning the crap or greatness – take your pick. 🙂

T-minus 15 minutes….

Ooooooo…..interesting and dramatic opening!!

Okay, I loved that in all it’s cheesy glory. 🙂

Chris is cute as hell and has some potential. Not necessarily for dancing but….potential. 😉

Damn. That was a lot of Salsa and a lot of lifts for week 1!!

Close your shirt, Bruno. Chris getting good comments from the judges for the most part.

And he pulls three 7s! Kinda predictable, but worthy.

Kareeeeeeeeem!!! He is the legend and the big name for the main demo for this show. And if anyone can work with this Lindsey can. Read more..

April 30, 2018 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

DWTS Season 26, Week 1 – Who’s Dancing What…and When?

I knew there was something I was forgetting to do…. 🙂 Who’s dancing what? Or..Who’s dancing TO what? Or both.

Voting Note: As we reported a couple weeks ago, there are some changes in the voting, particularly for week 1, this season. Here’s what the ABC.com press release has to say about it.

For week one, the evening’s eliminations will be based on live viewer votes cast during the show’s live broadcast in the EDT/CDT time zones, along with the judges’ scores. During the live season premiere broadcast in the EDT/CDT time zones at 8:00 p.m. EDT/7:00 p.m. CDT on Monday, April 30, viewers may cast their votes for their favorite couples, with these votes helping determine the couples who will move on to the next episode. This vote will be online only via ABC.com, will open at the top of the live show and end shortly after the last couple dances. Then, at the end of the episode, overnight voting will open for phone, ABC.com and Facebook, which will factor into the week two eliminations. Toll-free phone voting will be open nationwide from the end of the live show until 5:00 a.m. EDT/2:00 a.m. PDT on Tuesday. Online voting at ABC.com at http://dwtsvote.abc.go.com/ and on Facebook at http://bit.ly/2o1VO7b will open at the end of the live show and closes at 10:00 p.m. EDT/7:00 p.m. PDT on Tuesday. During each voting window, when voting online at ABC.com or Facebook, viewers can reallocate their votes until the voting window closes.

Heidi Comment – if you are dancing LAST, it’s an extreme disadvantage this time out, so don’t get excited if your favorite is in the “pimp spot”. This first week, at least, is no pimpage at all in going last.

ETA: Tentative dance order for the first four couples, per Rana on Twitter

ETA2: Full dance order is posted below thanks to Lori!

Chris Mazdzer and Witney – Salsa (Song: “Mr. Put It Down” by Ricky Martin featuring Pitbull)
Dancing 1st
1-800-868-3403

Kareem Abdul-Jabbar and Lindsay – Cha Cha (Song: “Signed, Sealed, Delivered (I’m Yours)” by Stevie Wonder)
Dancing 2nd
1-800-868-3408

Jennie Finch Daigle and Keo – Foxtrot (Song: “All-American Girl” by Carrie Underwood)
Dancing 3rd
1-800-868-3405

Jamie Anderson and Artem – Viennese Waltz (Song: “Feeling Good” by Avicii)
Dancing 4th
1-800-868-3404

Mirai Nagasu and Alan – Salsa (Song: “No Excuses” by Meghan Trainor)
Dancing 5th
1-800-868-3409

Arike Ogunbowale and Gleb – Salsa (Song: “Them Girls” by Whitney Myer)
Dancing 6th
1-800-868-3402

Adam Rippon and Jenna – Cha Cha (Song: “Sissy That Walk” by RuPaul)
Dancing 7th
1-800-868-3401

Johnny Damon and Emma – Foxtrot (Song: “Centerfield” by John Fogerty)
Dancing 8th
1-800-868-3406

Tonya Harding and Sasha – Foxtrot (Song: “When You Believe” by Whitney Houston and Mariah Carey)
Dancing 9th
1-800-868-3410

Josh Norman and Sharna – Cha Cha (Song: “Finesse” by Bruno Mars)
Dancing 10th
1-800-868-3407

April 24, 2018 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

Did ABC say “No” to Men Dancing Together on Dancing with the Stars?

Note the question mark in the title. I have no idea if this is true but I saw it yesterday and decided to report on it. I only hesitated yesterday because it was only showing up on a business blog. Still today, none of the mainstream media has picked it up (that I’ve seen) and run with it, despite the original source being TMZ (click to read the whole article).  Gay marriage is legal in how many states and there are how many openly gay characters on network television??  So, what’s the deal here…if true?

Sources connected with the show tell TMZ, the issue came up over an upcoming performance by an openly gay artist who goes by the name, Who Is Fancy. The performance is set for November 23, where he will debut his new song, “Boys Like You,” featuring Ariana Grande and Meghan Trainor, who will also appear on the show.

The song is about a man falling in love with another man. We’ve learned Who Is Fancy’s choreographer sent an email to a ‘DWTS’ producer, saying, it would “be an awesome look to have 2 males dancing with each other.”

Our sources say the ‘DWTS’ honchos discussed it and a producer fired back an email, saying, “Apologies all but this is a definitive no from the network.”

Apparently, it’s okay for Carlos and Alek to dance “near” each other. Wonder how the network felt about Val and Carlos doing salsa together??

November 13, 2015 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)